天天财经

【袁志峰专栏】中国10月贸易数据胜预期

2026-11-11 05:13:31 网络 阅读(1)

今日推介 - 中银香港(2388, $51.5), 目标价$160, 止损价$140

【袁志峰专栏】中国10月贸易数据胜预期

1) 股市前景

周二港股上扬,成交平稳,沽空比率偏低,南向资金转净卖出,主要增持阿里(9988)及减持盈富基金(2800)。预期港股短线整固,高息股将继续跑赢大市。

2) 上日中港股市况总结

周二恒指高开172点,早段最多曾涨227点,其后升幅收窄至23点,午后窄幅震荡,收报24557点,升108点或0.4%。成交额按日增3%至1782亿元,10月份日均成交额1806亿元。

港股通南向资金转净卖出约27亿元。阿里(9988)、中芯国际(981)及华虹宏力(1347)录得8.7、2.2及2.1亿元净买入。盈富基金(2800)、腾讯(700)及长飞光纤(6869)录得6.9、6.1及3.0亿元净卖出。11月以来累积净卖出约41亿元,10月净卖出约280亿元。

恒指升0.4%,成份股67升24跌4持平。舜宇光学(2382)涨逾5%,为升幅最大蓝筹。理想汽车(2015)及汇丰(5)涨逾4%。潍柴动力(2338)及洛阳钼业(3993)涨逾3%。泡泡玛特(9992)、信达生物(1801)、石药集团(1093)、宁德时代(3750)、李宁(2331)及老铺黄金(6181)升逾2%。中银香港(2388)、友邦保险(1299)、百济神州(6160)、药明生物(2269)、长和(1)、创科实业(669)、农夫山泉(9633)及携程(9961)升逾1%。中国铝业(2600)跌逾4%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。中国宏桥(1378)、中石油(857)及新东方(9901)跌逾3%。中海油(883)跌逾2%。中石化(386)及中国人寿(2628)跌逾1%。

恒生科指升1.1%,收报4084点,成份股24升6跌。大型科技股涨跌不一,小米及百度(9888)升逾1%。阿里(9988)跌逾2%,为跌幅最大成份股。天数智芯(9903)涨逾15%,为升幅最大成份股。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)涨逾11%及10%。地平线机器人(9660)涨逾7%。舜宇光学(2382)及理想汽车(2015)涨逾5%及4%。比亚迪电子(285)及华虹宏力(1347)升逾3%。中芯国际(981)、联想(992)、商汤(20)及小鹏集团(9868)升逾2%。

板块方面,铝制品、石油及煤炭股逆市下跌。中国铝业(2600)及中国宏桥(1378)跌逾4%及3%。中石油(857)及中海油(883)跌逾3%及2%。兖矿能源(1171)及中煤能源(1898)跌2%。

人工智能、半导体、航空、手机零件及本地银行股跑赢大市,涨幅居前。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)涨逾11%及10%。天数智芯(9903)及华虹宏力(1347)涨逾15%及3%。东方航空(670)及南方航空(1055)涨逾8%,中国国航(753)涨逾7%。舜宇光学(2382)及瑞声科技(2018)涨逾5%及3%。汇丰(5)及中银香港(2388)升逾4%及1%。

周二上证指数高开0.6%,已接近全日高位,随后弱势走低,尾市一度抹去全部涨幅,收报3663.72点,升0.1%。深证成指升0.9%。科创50指数升0.6%。沪深两市总成交约15000亿元(人民币·下同),环比增加约200亿元,10月份日均成交额约16000亿元。

3) 宏观/行业讯息

中国海关总署公布,以美元计价,10月出口4123.3亿美元,升35.2%;进口3070.5亿美元,升41.6%。10月贸易顺差1052.8亿美元。(信报)

美国10月消费物价指数(CPI)按月升0.4%,市场预期为涨0.3%。期内,核心CPI按月升0.3%,预期为涨0.2%。(信报)

4) 个股讯息

智谱(2513)公布,拟根据今年6月22日举行的股东会上授予的购回H股的一般授权,不时于公开市场购回本公司的H股。股份购回计划的预期总金额上限为40亿元,而购回的H股总数不得超过公司已发行股份总数的1%。(信报)

领展(823)的管理人及英康保险宣布建立策略伙伴关系,共同推动新加坡东福坊(Eastpoint Mall)的未来发展。领展房托将以2.395亿坡元向英康保险收购东福坊50.1%权益,英康保险则继续持有余下49.9%权益。(信报)

周大福创建(659)公布,以代价总额约19.794亿元人民币出售三条内地高速公路的股权。(信报)

有关选股表现,欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合: www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model

https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK

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中国10月出口升35.2%、进口升41.6%;美国10月CPI月升0.4%,核心CPI升0.3%,皆高于预期。",
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    "content": "<p>今日推介 - 中银香港(2388, $51.5), 目标价$160, 止损价$140</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6657717/l/afb158c1f83a4cb846c6aeb3b0cb2101.jpg\" alt=\"【袁志峰专栏】中国10月贸易数据胜预期\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>1) 股市前景</p>\n\n<p>周二港股上扬,成交平稳,沽空比率偏低,南向资金转净卖出,主要增持阿里(9988)及减持盈富基金(2800)。预期港股短线整固,高息股将继续跑赢大市。</p>\n\n<p>2) 上日中港股市况总结</p>\n\n<p>周二恒指高开172点,早段最多曾涨227点,其后升幅收窄至23点,午后窄幅震荡,收报24557点,升108点或0.4%。成交额按日增3%至1782亿元,10月份日均成交额1806亿元。</p>\n\n<p>港股通南向资金转净卖出约27亿元。阿里(9988)、中芯国际(981)及华虹宏力(1347)录得8.7、2.2及2.1亿元净买入。盈富基金(2800)、腾讯(700)及长飞光纤(6869)录得6.9、6.1及3.0亿元净卖出。11月以来累积净卖出约41亿元,10月净卖出约280亿元。</p>\n\n<p>恒指升0.4%,成份股67升24跌4持平。舜宇光学(2382)涨逾5%,为升幅最大蓝筹。理想汽车(2015)及汇丰(5)涨逾4%。潍柴动力(2338)及洛阳钼业(3993)涨逾3%。泡泡玛特(9992)、信达生物(1801)、石药集团(1093)、宁德时代(3750)、李宁(2331)及老铺黄金(6181)升逾2%。中银香港(2388)、友邦保险(1299)、百济神州(6160)、药明生物(2269)、长和(1)、创科实业(669)、农夫山泉(9633)及携程(9961)升逾1%。中国铝业(2600)跌逾4%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。中国宏桥(1378)、中石油(857)及新东方(9901)跌逾3%。中海油(883)跌逾2%。中石化(386)及中国人寿(2628)跌逾1%。</p>\n\n<p>恒生科指升1.1%,收报4084点,成份股24升6跌。大型科技股涨跌不一,小米及百度(9888)升逾1%。阿里(9988)跌逾2%,为跌幅最大成份股。天数智芯(9903)涨逾15%,为升幅最大成份股。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)涨逾11%及10%。地平线机器人(9660)涨逾7%。舜宇光学(2382)及理想汽车(2015)涨逾5%及4%。比亚迪电子(285)及华虹宏力(1347)升逾3%。中芯国际(981)、联想(992)、商汤(20)及小鹏集团(9868)升逾2%。</p>\n\n<p>板块方面,铝制品、石油及煤炭股逆市下跌。中国铝业(2600)及中国宏桥(1378)跌逾4%及3%。中石油(857)及中海油(883)跌逾3%及2%。兖矿能源(1171)及中煤能源(1898)跌2%。</p>\n\n<p>人工智能、半导体、航空、手机零件及本地银行股跑赢大市,涨幅居前。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)涨逾11%及10%。天数智芯(9903)及华虹宏力(1347)涨逾15%及3%。东方航空(670)及南方航空(1055)涨逾8%,中国国航(753)涨逾7%。舜宇光学(2382)及瑞声科技(2018)涨逾5%及3%。汇丰(5)及中银香港(2388)升逾4%及1%。</p>\n\n<p>周二上证指数高开0.6%,已接近全日高位,随后弱势走低,尾市一度抹去全部涨幅,收报3663.72点,升0.1%。深证成指升0.9%。科创50指数升0.6%。沪深两市总成交约15000亿元(人民币&middot;下同),环比增加约200亿元,10月份日均成交额约16000亿元。</p>\n\n<p>3)  宏观/行业讯息</p>\n\n<p>中国海关总署公布,以美元计价,10月出口4123.3亿美元,升35.2%;进口3070.5亿美元,升41.6%。10月贸易顺差1052.8亿美元。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>美国10月消费物价指数(CPI)按月升0.4%,市场预期为涨0.3%。期内,核心CPI按月升0.3%,预期为涨0.2%。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>4)  个股讯息</p>\n\n<p>智谱(2513)公布,拟根据今年6月22日举行的股东会上授予的购回H股的一般授权,不时于公开市场购回本公司的H股。股份购回计划的预期总金额上限为40亿元,而购回的H股总数不得超过公司已发行股份总数的1%。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>领展(823)的管理人及英康保险宣布建立策略伙伴关系,共同推动新加坡东福坊(Eastpoint Mall)的未来发展。领展房托将以2.395亿坡元向英康保险收购东福坊50.1%权益,英康保险则继续持有余下49.9%权益。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>周大福创建(659)公布,以代价总额约19.794亿元人民币出售三条内地高速公路的股权。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>有关选股表现,欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合: <a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"0\" data-outlook-id=\"a071582a-828d-4cfe-bf88-204115703341\" href=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\" id=\"x_ms-outlook-mobile-sharing-link-anchor-7f60a2bf-f86c-4ab8-ba34-c55434c979d5\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\">www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model</a></p>\n\n<p><a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"1\" data-outlook-id=\"1d8d7948-ec8b-4f00-8ee2-b5029aa4274b\" href=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\">https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK</a></p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-8307.html\" title=\"〈港股盘后〉PCB概念与科网股强势领涨 恒指重上两万五\">〈港股盘后〉PCB概念与科网股强势领涨 恒指重上两万五</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-20026.html\" title=\"鸿海集团深化AI Rack垂直整合能力 OCP 2026展出Vera Rubin平台创新技术\">鸿海集团深化AI Rack垂直整合能力 OCP 2026展出Vera Rubin平台创新技术</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-467.html\" title=\"中国重拳打击跨境交易 香港320亿美元资产恐遭波及\">中国重拳打击跨境交易 香港320亿美元资产恐遭波及</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-1870.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-150.11点至4738.28点,跌幅3.07%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-150.11点至4738.28点,跌幅3.07%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-11106.html\" title=\"月底生效!获MSCI中国指数纳入 智谱早盘在港股飙逾6%\">月底生效!获MSCI中国指数纳入 智谱早盘在港股飙逾6%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-2300.html\" title=\"〈港股盘后〉恒指续跌失守24400点 科指微升 AI及存储概念走强\">〈港股盘后〉恒指续跌失守24400点 科指微升 AI及存储概念走强</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-11-10T20:50:03.000Z",
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