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美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点 新屋销售大减10.5%

2026-10-07 20:38:13 网络 阅读(55)

美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点,民众对未来企业景气、就业与收入前景更加悲观;新屋销售也大幅下滑,凸显高物价、能源成本及房贷利率持续压抑家庭支出与购屋能力。

美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点 新屋销售大减10.5%

美国经济评议会(Conference Board)周二(25日)公布,8月消费者信心指数下降0.8点至89.4,不仅低于市场预期的90.2,也创1月以来最低。7月数据则遭下修至90.2。

(图:ZeroHedge)
美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点,民众对未来企业景气、就业与收入前景更加悲观。(图:ZeroHedge)

反映未来6个月展望的预期指数跌至1月以来最低,进一步落入悲观区间;衡量当前状况的指数则升至4个月高点。美国经济评议会首席经济学家Dana M. Peterson表示,消费者对当前商业环境的看法略为改善,就业市场评价也扭转连续3个月下滑,但对未来景气及劳动市场更为悲观,家庭收入预期虽降温,整体仍维持乐观。

调查显示,认为工作机会充足的受访者比例增加,认为工作难找的比例下降,两者差距扩大至今年最高水准之一。不过,消费者对未来工作及收入展望转差。

物价仍是家庭主要担忧。这次调查于8月3日至16日进行,期间美伊冲突再度升温,推动美国平均汽油价格维持在每加仑4美元以上。受访者对整体物价、油价、食品、战争、贸易及就业的负面评论增加,未来12个月通膨预期也小幅升高。

此外,61.3%消费者预期未来一年利率还会上升,略低于7月的62%。消费者对汽车购买计划仍相对强劲,但购屋意愿较前月下滑。

房市数据同样疲弱。美国8月新屋销售月减10.5%,逆转7月上修后的7.6%增幅,年减6.3%,经季节调整后年率降至60.7万户,与2016年水准相近,近4个月已有3个月下滑。

(图:ZeroHedge)
美国8月新屋销售月减10.5%,逆转7月上修后的7.6%增幅。(图:ZeroHedge)

尽管建商透过免费升级、补贴房贷利率及降价刺激需求,入门住宅市场仍受到可负担性限制。新屋售价中位数已降至5年低点,但高价住宅持续支撑平均售价。市场接下来将关注美国商务部周三(26日)公布的7月消费支出、所得与通膨数据,经济学家预估实质消费支出可能陷入停滞。

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      "name": "美股",
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      "title": "晶片股回档恐引发市场震荡 大摩:这些族群最值得布局",
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    "title": "美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点 新屋销售大减10.5%",
    "shortTitle": "美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点 新屋销售大减10.5%",
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    "description": "美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点,民众对未来企业景气、就业与收入前景更加悲观;新屋销售也大幅下滑,凸显高物价、能源成本及房贷利率持续压抑家庭支出与购屋能力。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/l/15fd179dd19c0e95aa4dfbb6df36cffa.jpg",
    "content": "<p>美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点,民众对未来企业景气、就业与收入前景更加悲观;新屋销售也大幅下滑,凸显高物价、能源成本及房贷利率持续压抑家庭支出与购屋能力。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/l/15fd179dd19c0e95aa4dfbb6df36cffa.jpg\" alt=\"美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点 新屋销售大减10.5%\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>美国经济评议会(Conference Board)周二(25日)公布,8月消费者信心指数下降0.8点至89.4,不仅低于市场预期的90.2,也创1月以来最低。7月数据则遭下修至90.2。</p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"(图:ZeroHedge)\" data-height=\"459\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.6557734204793029\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/m/27a276ce0238e9a22673ee85a135f329.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/l/27a276ce0238e9a22673ee85a135f329.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/l/27a276ce0238e9a22673ee85a135f329.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/xl/27a276ce0238e9a22673ee85a135f329.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/xxl/27a276ce0238e9a22673ee85a135f329.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>美国8月消费者信心降至7个月低点,民众对未来企业景气、就业与收入前景更加悲观。(图:ZeroHedge)</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>反映未来6个月展望的预期指数跌至1月以来最低,进一步落入悲观区间;衡量当前状况的指数则升至4个月高点。美国经济评议会首席经济学家Dana M. Peterson表示,消费者对当前商业环境的看法略为改善,就业市场评价也扭转连续3个月下滑,但对未来景气及劳动市场更为悲观,家庭收入预期虽降温,整体仍维持乐观。</p>\n\n<p>调查显示,认为工作机会充足的受访者比例增加,认为工作难找的比例下降,两者差距扩大至今年最高水准之一。不过,消费者对未来工作及收入展望转差。</p>\n\n<p>物价仍是家庭主要担忧。这次调查于8月3日至16日进行,期间美伊冲突再度升温,推动美国平均汽油价格维持在每加仑4美元以上。受访者对整体物价、油价、食品、战争、贸易及就业的负面评论增加,未来12个月通膨预期也小幅升高。</p>\n\n<p>此外,61.3%消费者预期未来一年利率还会上升,略低于7月的62%。消费者对汽车购买计划仍相对强劲,但购屋意愿较前月下滑。</p>\n\n<p>房市数据同样疲弱。美国8月新屋销售月减10.5%,逆转7月上修后的7.6%增幅,年减6.3%,经季节调整后年率降至60.7万户,与2016年水准相近,近4个月已有3个月下滑。</p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"(图:ZeroHedge)\" data-height=\"451\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.6851441241685143\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/m/340debcf0b6c811e8cb3ac716adb23ab.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/l/340debcf0b6c811e8cb3ac716adb23ab.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/l/340debcf0b6c811e8cb3ac716adb23ab.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/xl/340debcf0b6c811e8cb3ac716adb23ab.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586723/xl/340debcf0b6c811e8cb3ac716adb23ab.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>美国8月新屋销售月减10.5%,逆转7月上修后的7.6%增幅。(图:ZeroHedge)</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>尽管建商透过免费升级、补贴房贷利率及降价刺激需求,入门住宅市场仍受到可负担性限制。新屋售价中位数已降至5年低点,但高价住宅持续支撑平均售价。市场接下来将关注美国商务部周三(26日)公布的7月消费支出、所得与通膨数据,经济学家预估实质消费支出可能陷入停滞。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-11897.html\" title=\"川普称不再与伊朗对话!称荷姆兹海峡「已开放」、但海峡再传油轮遇袭\">川普称不再与伊朗对话!称荷姆兹海峡「已开放」、但海峡再传油轮遇袭</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-7050.html\" title=\"韩监管出招爆踩踏!记忆体晶片AI牛市遭获利了结 SK海力士、Sandisk大跌\">韩监管出招爆踩踏!记忆体晶片AI牛市遭获利了结 SK海力士、Sandisk大跌</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8468.html\" title=\"闪迪一个月接近腰斩、SK海力士破发 市场剧烈震荡只因中国DRAM龙头上市\">闪迪一个月接近腰斩、SK海力士破发 市场剧烈震荡只因中国DRAM龙头上市</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-12993.html\" title=\"Anthropic IPO前抛出30兆美元营收商机 这可能并非天方夜谭?\">Anthropic IPO前抛出30兆美元营收商机 这可能并非天方夜谭?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-10852.html\" title=\"AI瓶颈不再是晶片 高盛点名「这两档」成下一波大赢家\">AI瓶颈不再是晶片 高盛点名「这两档」成下一波大赢家</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-1448.html\" title=\"SpaceX传IPO估值下修至1.8兆美元最快6月中旬挂牌\">SpaceX传IPO估值下修至1.8兆美元最快6月中旬挂牌</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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