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"title": "Anthropic喊出逾30兆美元AI商机！IPO规模有望超越SpaceX",
"shortTitle": "Anthropic喊出逾30兆美元AI商机！IPO规模有望超",
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"description": "人工智慧(AI)新创Anthropic预计在首次公开募股(IPO)文件中向投资人表示，公司潜在营收市场规模超过30兆美元，高于SpaceX(SPCX-US)提出的28.5兆美元，可能成为史上最惊人的市场规模预测之一。",
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"content": "<p>人工智慧(AI)新创Anthropic预计在首次公开募股(IPO)文件中向投资人表示，公司潜在营收市场规模超过30兆美元，高于SpaceX(SPCX-US)提出的28.5兆美元，可能成为史上最惊人的市场规模预测之一。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586800/l/2d3ad9da1befa3fe6f6cbe7d2b5f3c21.jpg\" alt=\"Anthropic喊出逾30兆美元AI商机！IPO规模有望超越SpaceX\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>《华尔街日报》(WSJ)周二(25日)引述知情人士消息报导，Claude开发商Anthropic正以AI模型未来可完成的所有工作为基础，估算其「总潜在市场」(Total Addressable Market，TAM)。这项数据代表一家公司若取得特定市场100%市占率，理论上每年可以获得的最高营收。</p>\n\n<p>科技新创及高速成长企业通常会在上市时提出TAM，借此说明未来仍有庞大扩张空间，但相关估算高度依赖产业数据与投资银行模型，本就带有相当程度的假设。由于AI可能重塑众多产业，预测其长期影响更加困难，也使Anthropic的30兆美元目标面临可信度考验。</p>\n\n<p>SpaceX今年5月曾在上市文件中将28.5兆美元的TAM称为「人类史上最大的可执行市场」，其中265兆美元来自AI商机。这项数字远高于过去大型IPO，例如Uber 2019年上市时估算市场规模约6兆美元，WeWork在最终放弃的IPO计划中则提出3兆美元。</p>\n\n<p>被称为「估值院长」的纽约大学财务学教授Aswath Damodaran先前便批评，SpaceX对AI市场的估算已接近合理范围极限，甚至可能超出可信程度。</p>\n\n<p>Anthropic第二季营收较去年同期成长逾一倍至116亿美元，但与30兆美元愿景仍存在巨大差距。根据FactSet统计，标普1500指数中的191家科技公司，去年合计营收也仅约2.4兆美元。</p>\n\n<p>除TAM可能超越SpaceX外，Anthropic的IPO规模与估值也可能刷新纪录。知情人士透露，公司可能寻求募资最高1,000亿美元，高于SpaceX的860亿美元，目标估值则约2兆美元，也超过SpaceX上市时的1.77兆美元。</p>\n\n<p>SpaceX股价在IPO初期大涨，但之后表现低迷，8月初盘中一度跌破105美元，目前约在135美元发行价附近交易，显示庞大的潜在市场估算不一定能长期支撑股价。</p>\n\n<p>Anthropic的上市计划仍在讨论，相关数字可能调整。公司预计未来数周公开IPO财务文件，最快可能于9月或10月初挂牌。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-1449.html\" title=\"华尔街最新点名「6大」潜力股！辉达目标价425美元 Semtech、沃尔玛、BILL同步获看好\">华尔街最新点名「6大」潜力股！辉达目标价425美元 Semtech、沃尔玛、BILL同步获看好</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8631.html\" title=\"「微信梦」迈出关键一步 马斯克推电子钱包业务「X Money」\">「微信梦」迈出关键一步 马斯克推电子钱包业务「X Money」</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5347.html\" title=\"英特尔调涨CPU价格 PC售价短期恐维持高档 AI基础建设成本同步攀升\">英特尔调涨CPU价格 PC售价短期恐维持高档 AI基础建设成本同步攀升</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-6241.html\" title=\"全球市场迈入「动荡之夏」！分析警告：警惕联准会变局、日元危机与财报季\">全球市场迈入「动荡之夏」！分析警告：警惕联准会变局、日元危机与财报季</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-11245.html\" title=\"中国货绕道「洗产地」！白宫：美国每年痛失260亿美元关税\">中国货绕道「洗产地」！白宫：美国每年痛失260亿美元关税</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-1980.html\" title=\"晶片股卖压再现 费半一度暴跌8.6% 终场跌幅缩至1.9%\">晶片股卖压再现 费半一度暴跌8.6% 终场跌幅缩至1.9%</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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