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"title": "「股神」巴菲特周日迎96岁生日 加码Alphabet、扩大库藏股仍难追上大盘",
"shortTitle": "「股神」巴菲特周日迎96岁生日 加码Alphabet、扩大库",
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"description": "波克夏今年股价几乎原地踏步,明显落后标普500指数13%的涨幅,成为股神交棒后最受市场关注的问题。",
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"content": "<p>《巴隆周刊》报导,「股神」巴菲特即将在本周日 (30日) 迎接96岁生日,虽然他今年初卸下波克夏·海瑟威 (BRK.B-US) 执行长职务,但并未淡出公司决策,仍以董事长身分主导股票投资与库藏股计划。不过,波克夏今年股价几乎原地踏步,明显落后标普500指数13%的涨幅,成为交棒后最受关注的问题。波</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6590294/l/e321bbf3c9d4ca9b99ff3b388ce79ebf.jpg\" alt=\"「股神」巴菲特周日迎96岁生日 加码Alphabet、扩大库藏股仍难追上大盘\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p><em><strong>卸任执行长后仍深度参与决策</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>巴菲特掌舵波克夏60年后,今年初将执行长职务交给阿贝尔 (Greg Abel)。过去8个月来,他仍每天前往奥马哈办公室、密切追踪金融市场,并将工作重心放在自己最熟悉的投资与资本配置。</p>\n\n<p>阿贝尔则负责管理波克夏旗下数十个营运部门,包括BNSF铁路与大型电力事业。</p>\n\n<p>CFRA分析师Cathy Seifert认为,巴菲特为阿贝尔留下稳健的公司基础,两人的能力也具有互补性。</p>\n\n<p>不过,巴菲特今年年中曾摔断腿,视力也持续恶化,已难以阅读,显示他的工作步调正逐渐放缓。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>主导加码Alphabet与扩大库藏股</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>巴菲特卸任后最受瞩目的投资,是波克夏持有的Alphabet (GOOGL-US) 部位。这笔投资始于2025年第三季,目前规模已增至350亿美元,其中包括今年6月直接向Alphabet购入的100亿美元股票。</p>\n\n<p>Alphabet目前与可口可乐 (KO-US) 并列波克夏第三大股票投资,仅次于苹果 (AAPL-US) 和美国运通 (AXP-US)。不过,波克夏最近一次加码前,Alphabet股价已在16个月内上涨一倍,最新购入的100亿美元部位目前略有亏损。</p>\n\n<p>巴菲特也与阿贝尔共同决定扩大库藏股。波克夏4月初至7月底买回近80亿美元自家股票,成为公司历来最积极的买回时期之一,远高于第一季约2亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>以波克夏约1.1兆美元市值及股票流动性估算,公司每年有能力买回500亿美元以上股票,相当于约5%市值。市场接下来将观察,公司第三季是否继续加速买回。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>波克夏股价落后大盘</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>波克夏 (BRK.B-US) 周四小跌0.24%,收在503.70美元,今年以来股价仅小涨 1.38%,公司市值约1.08兆美元,股价较52周高点537.74美元低约6.3%,但仍较52周低点464.01美元高约8.6%。</p>\n\n<p>尽管巴菲特仍积极参与决策,波克夏股价今年以来大致持平,A股约报75.3万美元,B股约503美元;同期标普500指数累计上涨13%。波克夏的表现也落后保险、工业、铁路和公用事业等相关类股。</p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"(图:REUTERS/TPG)\" data-height=\"507\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.4990138067061145\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6590294/m/9226c58d0e7391545d9aae3044da3b36.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6590294/l/9226c58d0e7391545d9aae3044da3b36.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6590294/l/9226c58d0e7391545d9aae3044da3b36.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6590294/xl/9226c58d0e7391545d9aae3044da3b36.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6590294/xxl/9226c58d0e7391545d9aae3044da3b36.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>(图:REUTERS/TPG)</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>股价落后的确切原因尚不明确。部分投资人可能仍在观察阿贝尔接任后的表现,也可能对公司未更积极运用庞大现金感到失望。截至第二季末,波克夏持有3650亿美元现金,且公司仍拒绝发放股息。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>现金庞大但大型收购难寻</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>波克夏第二季买进230亿美元股票,7月完成85亿美元收购房屋建商Taylor Morrison,并于今年稍早斥资约20亿美元投资日本保险公司东京海上。相关交易虽然降低部分现金部位,但波克夏每年税后营业利益接近500亿美元,现金仍会持续累积。</p>\n\n<p>巴菲特一直希望完成规模可能达1000亿美元以上的「大象级收购」,但波克夏坚持价格纪律,也不参与企业竞标,使大型交易始终难以成形。联合太平洋铁路2025年7月同意收购诺福克南方后,波克夏也未进一步追求收购CSX。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>投资团队缩编引发接班疑问</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>波克夏投资团队的安排同样受到市场关注。长期投资经理Todd Combs去年12月转往摩根大通后,巴菲特与阿贝尔并未补充人手。</p>\n\n<p>目前Ted Weschler约管理波克夏超过3500亿美元股票投资组合中的6%,整体投资组合则由阿贝尔监督。阿贝尔今年似乎尚未买进任何股票,反而出售约150亿美元持股,包括原先由Combs管理的Visa (V-US) 与亚马逊 (AMZN-US)。</p>\n\n<p>巴菲特约15年前延揽Weschler与Combs时,原先设想两人未来共同管理整体投资组合,但之后似乎改变了安排。阿贝尔目前的做法也显示,波克夏未来可能不再像巴菲特时代一样,高度倚赖股票投资创造额外价值。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>安排捐出持股但未告别投资</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>巴菲特上个月表示,计划在2034年前捐出自己持有的全部波克夏股票。这笔约占公司13%的持股价值超过1400亿美元,他希望三名逐渐年长的子女能在未来8年内亲自完成捐赠。</p>\n\n<p>即使已卸下执行长职务、着手安排捐出持股,巴菲特仍未离开股票市场。从1942年首次买进股票至今已过84年,他依然参与波克夏的重要投资与资本配置决策。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-3801.html\" title=\"为特斯拉、Waymo自驾车铺路!美媒:运输部拟取消Robotaxi配备刹车踏板规定\">为特斯拉、Waymo自驾车铺路!美媒:运输部拟取消Robotaxi配备刹车踏板规定</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-4103.html\" title=\"美精品百货完成破产重整!Saks Global更名Exemplar Luxury Group、负债大减75%\">美精品百货完成破产重整!Saks Global更名Exemplar Luxury Group、负债大减75%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-4838.html\" title=\"当Meta开始卖算力 是「以旧养新」还是「产能过剩」的预警?\">当Meta开始卖算力 是「以旧养新」还是「产能过剩」的预警?</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15595.html\" title=\"《财富》折叠iPhone来势汹汹!三星能否守住销量王座?\">《财富》折叠iPhone来势汹汹!三星能否守住销量王座?</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-18319.html\" title=\"想换掉鲍尔没那么简单!川普锁定Fed三理事 最终恐难开铡\">想换掉鲍尔没那么简单!川普锁定Fed三理事 最终恐难开铡</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-18992.html\" title=\"辉达加持Lambda估值狂飙 上看145亿美元 拟募40亿美元 2027年挑战IPO\">辉达加持Lambda估值狂飙 上看145亿美元 拟募40亿美元 2027年挑战IPO</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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