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"title": "「星际之门」AI资料中心遇供电瓶颈!电力供应、监管审批成问题 甲骨文发「不可抗力」通知",
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"description": "甲骨文向新墨西哥州Project Jupiter发「不可抗力」通知,若电力供应、审批延迟,部分付款可顺延。 Project Jupiter规画2.45GW微电网,供电与州级环境许可卡关,2028年投运恐受阻。 消息拖累甲骨文股价,约180亿美元联贷也折价交易至0.89至0.91美元。",
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"content": "<p>美国规模最大的AI基础设施计划之一,近期在电力供应问题上遭遇阻碍。甲骨文(Oracle)近日向新墨西哥州AI资料中心Project Jupiter的开发商发出「不可抗力」通知,表示若专案因电力供应、监管审批等外部因素延迟,甲骨文希望相应延后部分付款,以因应专案可能无法如期交付的风险。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617580/l/017334e557c45a60879dc5359eaa8218.jpg\" alt=\"「星际之门」AI资料中心遇供电瓶颈!电力供应、监管审批成问题 甲骨文发「不可抗力」通知\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>Project Jupiter由Blue Owl Capital旗下公司参与开发,甲骨文(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:ORCL:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">ORCL-US</a>) 为主要租户,完工后将为OpenAI提供AI算力,也是「星际之门」(Stargate)目前在美国推进的大型资料中心计划之一。</p>\n\n<p>按照原先规画,Project Jupiter配套微电网的容量最高达2.45GW。然而,这么庞大的新增用电需求,似乎难以在原定2028年投运前,完成发电设施、电网接入及相关监管审批。</p>\n\n<p>消息传出后,甲骨文股价一度下跌,也让市场对超大型AI资料中心建设进度的疑虑升温。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>从</strong><strong>5000</strong><strong>亿美元计划 扩张至逾</strong><strong>10GW</strong><strong>算力</strong></h6>\n\n<p>「星际之门」最初于2025年1月在美国白宫宣布启动。</p>\n\n<p>按照最初规画,OpenAI、软银、甲骨文及阿联拉伯联合大公国投资机构MGX共同参与,计划未来4年在美国投资最高5000亿美元建设AI基础设施,首期投入1000亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>其中,软银主要负责资金筹措,OpenAI负责营运,甲骨文、辉达(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:NVDA:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">NVDA-US</a>) 、Arm(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:ARM:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">ARM-US</a>) 及微软(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:MSFT:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">MSFT-US</a>) 等则担任初期技术合作伙伴。OpenAI 当时将目标概括为:在美国本土建立支撑下一代尖端模型训练和推理的超大规模算力基础设施。</p>\n\n<p>2025年夏季,首座旗舰园区、位于美国德州阿比林的园区开始试营运,甲骨文陆续部署辉达GB200系统,OpenAI也在当地启动训练及推论任务。此后,OpenAI再与甲骨文签署4.5GW资料中心合作协议。</p>\n\n<p>2025年9月,OpenAI、甲骨文与软银再公布5处新的「星际之门」基地选址,涵盖德州、新墨西哥州、俄亥俄州及美国中西部多地。</p>\n\n<p>OpenAI当时表示,包括阿比林及与CoreWeave(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:CRWV:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">CRWV-US</a>) 合作的计划在内,未来3年的「星际之门」规画投资已超过4000亿美元,规画容量接近7GW。</p>\n\n<p>其中,位于新墨西哥州多尼亚安娜县的Project Jupiter,正是这批计划之一。</p>\n\n<p>进入2026年后,「星际之门」规模持续扩大。OpenAI今年4月宣布,已在美国「锁定」超过10GW的基础设施容量,仅过去90天就新增超过3GW。</p>\n\n<p>不过,「锁定容量」与实际投入运作仍存在差距。这项统计同时涵盖已投产、兴建中的设施,以及已签署远期协议但尚未交付的资料中心。目前真正承担大规模模型训练的仍主要是进度较快的阿比林园区,其他多数计划仍处于施工、审批及能源配套阶段。</p>\n\n<p>Project Jupiter目前面临的问题,正是从规画容量转化为实际算力过程中的能源与审批瓶颈。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>2.45GW</strong><strong>电力从</strong><strong>哪</strong><strong>里来?</strong></h6>\n\n<p>Project Jupiter自规画之初,能源供应就是最棘手的问题之一。</p>\n\n<p>由于吉瓦级资料中心若直接接入当地公共电网,新增负载可能对区域电力调度造成压力,因此开发团队最初规画建立独立供电系统,在园区内建设天然气微电网,并部署燃气轮机及柴油发电机。</p>\n\n<p>不过,这项方案随后受到当地居民、环保团体及监管部门质疑,争议涉及温室气体与空气污染物排放、用水规模,以及配套天然气管线建设。</p>\n\n<p>今年4月,甲骨文、BorderPlex Digital Assets与Bloom Energy宣布调整供电方案,放弃原先的大规模燃气轮机及柴油发电机组合,改采布鲁姆能源(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:BE:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">BE-US</a>) 的固态氧化物燃料电池(SOFC)。</p>\n\n<p>新方案规模仍达2.45GW,相当于为Project Jupiter建设一套大型独立微电网。甲骨文当时表示,燃料电池能在降低用水量及部分污染物排放的同时,持续为AI资料中心提供基载电力。</p>\n\n<p>然而,改变设备并未消除审批问题。固态氧化物燃料电池仍主要以天然气作为燃料,因此上游高压输气管线仍需同步建设;2.45GW规模的发电设施本身,也必须通过空气品质及环境许可审查。</p>\n\n<p>今年夏季,围绕微电网的行政及法律争议进一步升温。8月23日,新墨西哥州最高法院一度叫停相关空气品质许可审批;虽然法院9月17日驳回紧急禁令申请,审批程序得以恢复,但最终许可目前仍未落地。</p>\n\n<p>这也形成Project Jupiter当前的实际矛盾:资料中心建筑本身可以依照郡级许可继续施工,但负责供电的微电网则需要通过州级监管程序。换言之,机房可以持续兴建,但让伺服器真正通电运作的能源系统仍卡在审批环节。</p>\n\n<p>一旦供电节点延后,资料中心交付时间也可能受到影响。甲骨文此次发出「不可抗力」通知,也是在提前处理这项风险,若能源及审批问题造成专案延迟,其部分付款义务可相应顺延。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>180</strong><strong>亿美元贷款也受到影响</strong></h6>\n\n<p>除了工程进度,Project Jupiter背后的融资压力也开始浮现。</p>\n\n<p>据《路透》引述《金融时报》报导,与该专案相关、规模约180亿美元的联贷近期出现折价交易,原本面值1美元的贷款债权,在次级市场交易价格约为0.89至0.91美元。</p>\n\n<p>这项价格变化显示,投资人对专案延迟及后续偿付能力的疑虑升高,并要求更高的风险补偿。</p>\n\n<p>与此同时,甲骨文本身正处于AI基础设施投资高峰期。过去一年,公司围绕OpenAI签署一系列大型资料中心及云端运算合约,未来几年仍需持续承担伺服器、资料中心、电力及网路建设等资本支出。</p>\n\n<p>因此,这些专案能否按照计划投入运作,也直接关系到前期投资何时能转化为云端服务营收。</p>\n\n<p>Project Jupiter背后的参与方也不只有开发商与租户,还涉及Blue Owl等基础设施资本、联贷银行、甲骨文,以及最终使用算力的OpenAI。若建设周期拉长,影响也可能沿着融资、租赁及云端服务合约逐层传导。</p>\n\n<p>类似问题并非只发生在新墨西哥州。就在Project Jupiter发出不可抗力通知的3天前,德州宣布暂停审批新的州级资料中心专案,并重新评估电网承载能力。</p>\n\n<p>目前排队申请接入德州电网的资料中心容量已超过470GW,相当于该州历史最高用电负荷的5倍以上。监管机构也开始重新核实排队专案的真实性,并讨论电网扩建成本应如何在开发商与电力系统之间分摊。</p>\n\n<p>过去几年,AI资料中心竞争主要集中在晶片与算力规模。辉达持续推出新一代GPU,模型开发商也竞相扩大运算集群,规模从数万张晶片一路扩大至数十万甚至上百万张。</p>\n\n<p>但当单一园区的电力需求进入吉瓦级后,决定资料中心建设速度的因素已不只是晶片能否取得。</p>\n\n<p>发电设施何时完工、高压天然气管线能否接通、输配电网路是否能承受新增负载、冷却所需水资源是否充足,以及环境许可需要多久才能核发,都可能直接决定资料中心何时真正启用,而这些基础设施的建设周期通常以年计算。</p>\n\n<p>对「星际之门」而言,Project Jupiter只是其全美算力网路中的一个节点。德州阿比林已有设施投入运作,俄亥俄等地的专案也在推进,OpenAI也透过软银、CoreWeave等合作伙伴持续扩充算力来源。</p>\n\n<p>然而,Project Jupiter所暴露的问题显示,规画中的算力规模可以快速扩张,但真正落地仍必须经过能源、工程、审批及融资等环节,而这些环节的进度未必能与AI算力需求同步。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13718.html\" title=\"PwC:到2050年 全球AI资料中心支出将达到近32兆美元\">PwC:到2050年 全球AI资料中心支出将达到近32兆美元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13113.html\" 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