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谷歌TPU上天!专家:太空算力成本欲年降20% 星舰年均发射频率须达180次

2026-10-02 14:44:20 网络 阅读(2)

谷歌「追日计划」(Project Suncatcher)在轨算力原型卫星周四(1日)搭乘SpaceX火箭自加州升空,由Planet Labs制造,搭载自研TPU,首次把先进AI晶片送进近地轨道验证。

谷歌TPU上天!专家:太空算力成本欲年降20% 星舰年均发射频率须达180次

该计划负责人Travis Beals表示,地面已做过测试,但真实太空的振动、辐射、真空散热仍无法完全模拟。

原型卫星需要稳定供应约1kW电力并为晶片散热,调试后TPU每次以约15分钟突发运行,避免供电与热管理超载,后续预估2027年发射两颗专用演示卫星,承担更重负载,再透过雷射链路让多星协同,谷歌长期目标是由81颗卫星紧密编队,并行处理机器学习任务,解决跨卫星TPU的频宽与延迟问题。

另据周四刊登于《Joule》的同行评审白皮书,重点估算谷歌发射成本。研究以猎鹰1号问世以来的SpaceX学习曲线为参考,假设价格每年降约20%,推估2035年入轨成本可逼近每公斤200美元。若以星舰单次运200吨计,要把产业规模降至该成本,需累计运37万吨入轨,相当于未来10年约1800次、年均约180次,星舰至今年发射未超5次,距高频重复使用仍遥远。

马斯克曾表示,2029年可达每小时一发,但白皮书仅把其列为情景,而非既定事实。

业内人士解读,「追日计划」短期价值在证明TPU能在轨存活、跑模型、控热与控电,真正大规模太空资料中心仍受火箭成本、辐射加固、在轨散热、星间光通信与轨道拥堵制约。

对谷歌而言,「追日计划」是应对地面AI机房抢电、抢地的中长期备案,而非近期替代地面云。

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