一文掌握Fed重点决策：2张反对票、减少利率决策次数、物价稳定优先

美国联准会(Fed)周三(28日)结束为期两日会议后，宣布将基准利率目标维持在3.75%至4%区间。

虽然市场普遍预期联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)按兵不动，但有两名成员反对这项决议：理事库克(Lisa Cook)与克里夫兰联准银行总裁哈玛克克(Beth Hammack)主张升息1码，即0.25个百分点。

联准会最新利率声明与记者会重点如下：

重点一：「累积更多资讯」再决定下一步

联准会在会后声明中表示，需要更多数据来指引接下来的政策方向。

央行官员在声明中指出，「通膨仍处于高档。」

「累积更多资讯将有助于委员会判断适当的政策立场，以确保通膨及时回到委员会设定的2%目标。委员会将实现物价稳定。」

重点二：库克的反对票

FWDBONDS首席经济学家Chris Rupkey认为，联准会理事罕见反对利率决议，可能源于对川普政府法律行动的不满。

联准会理事库克是周三反对维持利率不变决议的两名成员之一。川普曾试图解职库克，两人随后在法院交锋。川普指控库克涉及房贷诈欺，但她否认相关指控。

Rupkey表示，「联准会理事投下反对票的情况非常罕见，毕竟他们就在主席所在的同一栋大楼里。这可能是一种抗议性投票，因为川普政府正采取各种措施，试图以某种方式迫使库克辞职。」

重点三：减少制定利率会议次数

联准会主席华许(Kevin Warsh)在会后记者会上表示，央行将减少成员投票决定利率的会议次数。

他谈到，「我们认为，FOMC每年召开8次会议是适当的安排。但从2027年起，其中一次会议将专门讨论广泛的货币政策策略，不预期会对联邦资金利率进行表决，也不预期会发布政策声明。其余会议将是例行的FOMC政策制定会议。我预期到了2028年，我们将安排两次专门讨论策略的会议，以及六次制定政策的会议。」

华许随后补充，他「不预期」会在这些策略会议上作出政策决定。

重点四：物价稳定是重点就业表现「相当正面」

华许表示，联准会近几天的讨论「主要聚焦于职责中的物价稳定面向」。

他指出，双重使命中的充分就业目标表现「相当正面」，并以失业率较一年前下降为例。华许也表示，若以四周平均值观察，失业救济申请人数已降至「数个世代以来最低水准」。

他也谈到，经济成长表现仍然正面。「经济成长已经加速。今年上半年GDP增幅经修正后，从先前估计的1.8%上调至2.4%，而第三季的成长速度看起来更快。」

重点五：利率对AI建设的影响

华许表示，较高的利率确实对人工智慧基础设施的建设产生影响。「利率确实产生了影响。你可以看到，市场参与者正在区分自己想要投资的不同类型项目。部分资产的信用利差已经扩大，甚至大幅拉开，另一些领域则出现金融环境收紧的情况，但幅度并不大。」

他补充，「我不认为这些投资与整体经济完全脱节。」

不过，华许表示，资本支出的趋势「不仅强劲，而且正在扩大」。与几季前相比，如今要主张经济强劲表现仅由少数几个产业带动，已经「困难得多」。

重点六：华许再次表明不支持「前瞻指引」

华许再次重申，他不支持联准会透过所谓的「前瞻指引」方式，预先释出未来利率走向及货币政策的讯号。

华许接受记者提问时表示，「除非情况极为紧急或发生危机，否则我不认同前瞻指引。」

「我必须补充这项例外，因为在2008年金融危机最黑暗时期，部分借鉴了近期一位诺贝尔奖得主的研究与观点，这类前瞻指引确实相当有帮助。但在正常、一般的时期，尤其是当基本经济环境如此强劲的时候，我不认同这种做法，也不支持它。」

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声明称需再搜集更多数据，通膨仍高档，将以此判断是否让物价回到2%目标。
华许称将减少利率会议，并指就业、GDP与资本支出仍正面，利率已影响AI建设。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6639562/l/0f2d5f2080e67604326db9cac1b4f190.jpg", "content": "<p>美国联准会(Fed)周三(28日)结束为期两日会议后，宣布将基准利率目标维持在3.75%至4%区间。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6639562/l/0f2d5f2080e67604326db9cac1b4f190.jpg\" alt=\"一文掌握Fed重点决策：2张反对票、减少利率决策次数、物价稳定优先\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>虽然市场普遍预期联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)按兵不动，但有两名成员反对这项决议：理事库克(Lisa Cook)与克里夫兰联准银行总裁哈玛克克(Beth Hammack)主张升息1码，即0.25个百分点。</p>\n\n<p>联准会最新利率声明与记者会重点如下：</p>\n\n<h6><em><strong>重点一：「累积更多资讯」再决定下一步</strong></em></h6>\n\n<p>联准会在会后声明中表示，需要更多数据来指引接下来的政策方向。</p>\n\n<p>央行官员在声明中指出，「通膨仍处于高档。」</p>\n\n<p>「累积更多资讯将有助于委员会判断适当的政策立场，以确保通膨及时回到委员会设定的2%目标。委员会将实现物价稳定。」</p>\n\n<h6><strong>重点二：库克的反对票</strong></h6>\n\n<p>FWDBONDS首席经济学家Chris Rupkey认为，联准会理事罕见反对利率决议，可能源于对川普政府法律行动的不满。</p>\n\n<p>联准会理事库克是周三反对维持利率不变决议的两名成员之一。川普曾试图解职库克，两人随后在法院交锋。川普指控库克涉及房贷诈欺，但她否认相关指控。</p>\n\n<p>Rupkey表示，「联准会理事投下反对票的情况非常罕见，毕竟他们就在主席所在的同一栋大楼里。这可能是一种抗议性投票，因为川普政府正采取各种措施，试图以某种方式迫使库克辞职。」</p>\n\n<h6><strong>重点三：减少制定利率会议次数</strong></h6>\n\n<p>联准会主席华许(Kevin Warsh)在会后记者会上表示，央行将减少成员投票决定利率的会议次数。</p>\n\n<p>他谈到，「我们认为，FOMC每年召开8次会议是适当的安排。但从2027年起，其中一次会议将专门讨论广泛的货币政策策略，不预期会对联邦资金利率进行表决，也不预期会发布政策声明。其余会议将是例行的FOMC政策制定会议。我预期到了2028年，我们将安排两次专门讨论策略的会议，以及六次制定政策的会议。」</p>\n\n<p>华许随后补充，他「不预期」会在这些策略会议上作出政策决定。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>重点四：物价稳定是重点</strong><strong> </strong><strong>就业表现「相当正面」</strong></h6>\n\n<p>华许表示，联准会近几天的讨论「主要聚焦于职责中的物价稳定面向」。</p>\n\n<p>他指出，双重使命中的充分就业目标表现「相当正面」，并以失业率较一年前下降为例。华许也表示，若以四周平均值观察，失业救济申请人数已降至「数个世代以来最低水准」。</p>\n\n<p>他也谈到，经济成长表现仍然正面。「经济成长已经加速。今年上半年GDP增幅经修正后，从先前估计的1.8%上调至2.4%，而第三季的成长速度看起来更快。」</p>\n\n<h6><strong>重点五：利率对</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>建设的影响</strong></h6>\n\n<p>华许表示，较高的利率确实对人工智慧基础设施的建设产生影响。「利率确实产生了影响。你可以看到，市场参与者正在区分自己想要投资的不同类型项目。部分资产的信用利差已经扩大，甚至大幅拉开，另一些领域则出现金融环境收紧的情况，但幅度并不大。」</p>\n\n<p>他补充，「我不认为这些投资与整体经济完全脱节。」</p>\n\n<p>不过，华许表示，资本支出的趋势「不仅强劲，而且正在扩大」。与几季前相比，如今要主张经济强劲表现仅由少数几个产业带动，已经「困难得多」。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>重点六：华许再次表明不支持「前瞻指引」</strong></h6>\n\n<p>华许再次重申，他不支持联准会透过所谓的「前瞻指引」方式，预先释出未来利率走向及货币政策的讯号。</p>\n\n<p>华许接受记者提问时表示，「除非情况极为紧急或发生危机，否则我不认同前瞻指引。」</p>\n\n<p>「我必须补充这项例外，因为在2008年金融危机最黑暗时期，部分借鉴了近期一位诺贝尔奖得主的研究与观点，这类前瞻指引确实相当有帮助。但在正常、一般的时期，尤其是当基本经济环境如此强劲的时候，我不认同这种做法，也不支持它。」</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8703.html\" title=\"Kimi 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重点一：「累积更多资讯」再决定下一步

重点二：库克的反对票

重点三：减少制定利率会议次数

重点四：物价稳定是重点 就业表现「相当正面」

重点五：利率对AI建设的影响

重点六：华许再次表明不支持「前瞻指引」

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重点四：物价稳定是重点就业表现「相当正面」