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"title": "方舟不怕AI泡沫逆势加码「这一股」!木头姐:市场越担忧我越乐观、牛市未完",
"shortTitle": "方舟不怕AI泡沫逆势加码「这一股」!木头姐:市场越担忧我越乐",
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"description": "伍德称AI疑虑未削弱信心,视当前波动为技术革命中的「前进两步、后退一步」。 ARK近一周加码最具信心持股,SpaceX部位已增加;她建议反弹时获利了结、回落时加码。 她预期AI革命尚未走完,多头可望延续至2027年,ARKK今年已涨逾35%。",
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"content": "<p>美股科技股近期遭遇卖压,人工智慧(AI)交易热潮也出现降温迹象,那斯达克综合指数跌入修正区间,但方舟投资(ARK Invest)创办人、「木头姐」伍德(Cathie Wood)并未因此转趋保守,反而趁市场震荡加码核心持股,并看好这波AI技术革命尚未走到尽头,预期美股多头行情将延续至2027年。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6652398/l/b0c9413be6d9e2683281f670441ad20d.jpg\" alt=\"方舟不怕AI泡沫逆势加码「这一股」!木头姐:市场越担忧我越乐观、牛市未完\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>伍德周五(6日)接受《CNBC》访问时表示,市场对AI产业的疑虑并未削弱她的信心,反而让她更加看好牛市的延续性。</p>\n\n<p>她认为,当市场充满不确定性与悲观情绪时,往往代表多头行情仍具备韧性,目前并没有迹象显示这波牛市已经脱轨。</p>\n\n<p>尽管科技股周五小幅反弹,市场情绪仍相当脆弱。伍德将近期波动形容为技术革命发展过程中「前进两步、后退一步」的正常现象,并建议投资人在市场反弹时适度获利了结,趁股价回落时加码具高度信心的持股。</p>\n\n<p>谈及近期美股下跌原因,伍德指出,周四(5日)的抛售压力,直接来自市场担忧民主党主导国会后,资料中心建设可能放缓。</p>\n\n<p>不过,她认为,市场对AI产业的疑虑其实已持续相当长一段时间,投资人始终质疑科技企业庞大的AI资本支出、资金消耗速度,以及超大规模云端服务业者(Hyperscalers)从原本拥有大量正自由现金流,转为面临负自由现金流的情况。</p>\n\n<p>除了AI产业本身的压力,宏观经济环境也进一步加剧市场波动。美伊战争推升全球通膨,美国利率与公债殖利率今年以来大幅攀升,企业债殖利率也同步走高。</p>\n\n<p>伍德认为,近期市场修正部分反映债券市场的变化。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>「忧虑之墙」反而有利牛市延续</strong></h6>\n\n<p>面对市场对AI投资泡沫化的担忧,伍德以「忧虑之墙」(Wall of Worry)形容当前投资环境,并认为这种普遍存在的疑虑,反而有助于让牛市走得更稳健。</p>\n\n<p>她回顾过去科技与电信泡沫时期指出,当时市场几乎没有人感到担忧,投资人普遍认为股市只会一路上涨;但这次AI行情的发展模式截然不同。</p>\n\n<p>伍德认为,目前金融业高层对市场泡沫的警惕,是这堵「忧虑之墙」的重要来源。这些业界资深人士在过去泡沫时期仍相当年轻,如今则对市场风险保持高度戒心,而债券投资人也开始加入讨论。</p>\n\n<p>她进一步指出,过去科技产业以软体为主,固定成本较低,应用程式能快速扩散,并创造极高利润率;但AI产业具有高固定成本特性,债券投资人因此必须重新理解科技产业的营运模式,这对他们而言是相当陌生的领域。</p>\n\n<h6><strong>伍德看好</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>成长前景</strong><strong> ARK</strong><strong>近期加码</strong><strong>SpaceX</strong></h6>\n\n<p>对于利率上升可能带来的压力,伍德认为,AI超大规模云端服务业者具有不同于传统企业的成长条件。如果企业认为举债能够加快成长速度,利率变动对这类公司的影响就相对有限。</p>\n\n<p>当被问及目前牛市是否已接近尾声时,伍德明确表示并不认同。她认为,全球仍处于技术革命的中途阶段,无人驾驶计程车与AI代理等技术发展,都显示这场革命仍在持续推进。</p>\n\n<p>ARK近期也已将市场波动转化为加码机会。伍德透露,旗下基金过去一周左右持续提高对最具投资信心标的的配置,其中SpaceX(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:SPCX:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">SPCX-US</a>) 持股部位已经增加。</p>\n\n<p>她认为,地面资料中心建设引发的争议,反而可能为太空资料中心创造更大的发展机会。</p>\n\n<p>对一般投资人,伍德建议,在市场反弹时适度获利了结,并在股价下跌时重新布局。她认为,先前反弹时已经实现部分获利的投资人,面对市场回档时也会更有信心重新进场。</p>\n\n<p>展望2027年,伍德预期,随着技术革命的发展逐渐明朗,股市将有良好表现。</p>\n\n<p>值得注意的是,ARK旗下旗舰基金ARK 创新 ETF(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:ARKK:STOCK:ETF\" href=\"#\">ARKK-US</a>) 在2025年上涨逾35%,优于标普500指数同期16.4%及那斯达克综合指数20.5%的涨幅。</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15389.html\" title=\"iPhone Duo就是跟风华为、三星做的!古尔曼爆料:库克2020年亚洲行后拍板\">iPhone Duo就是跟风华为、三星做的!古尔曼爆料:库克2020年亚洲行后拍板</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-22688.html\" title=\"黄仁勋被爆身边有女共谍 H200销售受美中双重夹击\">黄仁勋被爆身边有女共谍 H200销售受美中双重夹击</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-22094.html\" title=\"PC出货量重挫逾20% 20多年最惨Q3 英特尔AMD能否靠伺服器与AI突围?\">PC出货量重挫逾20% 20多年最惨Q3 英特尔AMD能否靠伺服器与AI突围?</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-22922.html\" title=\"油价重挫逾7%!高盛为何仍预测明年均价可能达130美元?\">油价重挫逾7%!高盛为何仍预测明年均价可能达130美元?</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5149.html\" title=\"苹果M7要来了!2027 iPad Pro大升级、首配均热板散热、AI效能全面爆发\">苹果M7要来了!2027 iPad Pro大升级、首配均热板散热、AI效能全面爆发</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-18386.html\" title=\"彼得·林区年均29.2%回报 这类神话为何再难重演?\">彼得·林区年均29.2%回报 这类神话为何再难重演?</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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