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"title": "苏姿丰喊AI周期才刚开始 AMD揭Helios需求超预期",
"shortTitle": "苏姿丰喊AI周期才刚开始 AMD揭Helios需求超预期",
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"description": "AMD(AMD-US) 在最新财报电话会议上释出强劲成长讯号。董事长兼执行长苏姿丰(Lisa Su)表示,随着领先产品采用持续扩大,公司再次交出创纪录季度业绩,并强调「我们仍处于多年 AI 采用周期的早期阶段」。 AMD 第二季营收达 115 亿美元,年增 50%,稀释每股收益较去年同期成长约 82%。公司表示,资料中心业务与核心客户的大规模采购,是推动营运成长的主要动能。 苏姿丰指出,AI 应用持续扩张,市场对加速器与 CPU 的需求都超出公司先前预期,整体资料中心市场机会的扩展速度也明显高于",
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"content": "<p>AMD(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:AMD:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">AMD-US</a>) 在最新财报电话会议上释出强劲成长讯号。董事长兼执行长苏姿丰(Lisa Su)表示,随着领先产品采用持续扩大,公司再次交出创纪录季度业绩,并强调「我们仍处于多年 AI 采用周期的早期阶段」。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6559647/l/33149ab48641a2d8ffab8abcaed7af3d.jpg\" alt=\"苏姿丰喊AI周期才刚开始 AMD揭Helios需求超预期\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>AMD 第二季营收达 115 亿美元,年增 50%,稀释每股收益较去年同期成长约 82%。公司表示,资料中心业务与核心客户的大规模采购,是推动营运成长的主要动能。</p>\n\n<p>苏姿丰指出,AI 应用持续扩张,市场对加速器与 CPU 的需求都超出公司先前预期,整体资料中心市场机会的扩展速度也明显高于六个月前的预估。</p>\n\n<p><em>资料中心成核心引擎 营收年增 107%</em></p>\n\n<p>资料中心业务成为 AMD 本季最大亮点。财报显示,该业务第二季营收达 67 亿美元,年增 107%,创下历史新高,占公司总营收比重升至 58%,较一年前的 42% 明显提升。</p>\n\n<p>在伺服器 CPU 市场,AMD 旗下 EPYC 处理器连续第五个季度创下营收纪录,云端与企业客户销售均较去年同期成长超过 70%。新一代第六代 EPYC Venice 系列目前已投入生产,客户需求也高于过往任何一代产品。</p>\n\n<p>苏姿丰表示,Venice 采用 Zen 6 核心与 2 奈米技术打造,每瓦效能优于领先 x86 CPU 两倍以上,并达到领先 ARM CPU 的 3.3 倍水准。她指出,客户对 Venice 的需求「比任何一代 EPYC 都更强劲」。</p>\n\n<p>此外,资料中心 GPU 业务也受惠于云端服务供应商与 AI 企业扩大部署,营收同样较去年同期翻倍成长。</p>\n\n<p><em>Helios 需求超预期 加速布局 AI 机架平台</em></p>\n\n<p>在 AI 基础设施布局方面,AMD 推出的机架级 AI 平台 Helios 成为市场关注焦点。该平台整合 Venice CPU 与 MI450 系列 GPU,定位为大型 AI 运算需求提供完整解决方案。</p>\n\n<p>苏姿丰表示,客户对 Helios 的需求非常强劲,甚至超越公司最初预测。AMD 目前已与 OpenAI、Meta 展开多代吉瓦级部署合作,并宣布与 Anthropic 建立新的策略合作伙伴关系。</p>\n\n<p>根据 AMD 说法,Anthropic 将在 Helios 平台部署最高达 2 吉瓦的 MI450 系列 GPU,其中首批 1 吉瓦部署预计于 2027 年上半年开始。此外,微软也将在 Azure 平台大规模部署 Helios。</p>\n\n<p>面向未来产品规划,苏姿丰表示,AMD 计划每年推出新的机架级 AI 平台,并预期 MI500 将成为 Instinct 系列历来最大的世代升级,使公司有望在四年内将推理效能提升超过 2000 倍。</p>\n\n<p><em>上修市场规模 2027 年资料中心营收看翻倍</em></p>\n\n<p>AMD 此次电话会议也大幅上调对 AI 与资料中心市场的长期展望。公司预估,资料中心 AI 加速器市场至 2030 年将以超过 45% 的年复合成长率扩大,市场规模约达 1.4 兆美元;伺服器 CPU 市场则预计以超过 50% 的年复合成长率成长,规模达约 2200 亿美元。整体高效能与 AI 运算市场未来几年预估将以约 40% 的年复合成长率成长,至 2030 年接近 2 兆美元。</p>\n\n<p>在营运展望方面,AMD 预计 2026 年下半年伺服器营收年增超过 80%,并在更高基期下,预估 2027 年全年成长超过 70%;资料中心业务 2027 年营收则预计较 2026 年同期成长超过一倍。</p>\n\n<p>苏姿丰表示,AMD 目前正大幅超越去年 11 月提出的长期财务模型,公司预计营收将明显高于原先超过 35% 的成长目标,并在策略时间框架内显著超越每股收益 20 美元的年度目标。</p>\n\n<p><em>非 AI 业务回温 支撑整体营运表现</em></p>\n\n<p>除了资料中心业务外,AMD 其他产品线也呈现不同程度复苏。由于半客制化销售下降,游戏业务第二季营收年减 31% 至 7.79 亿美元,不过客户端与嵌入式业务成长抵销部分影响。</p>\n\n<p>第二季客户业务营收年增 23% 至 31 亿美元,嵌入式业务营收年增 19% 至 9.77 亿美元,创下三年多来最强劲成长表现。</p>\n\n<p>财务长胡锦表示,嵌入式业务复苏将在 2027 年为公司毛利率带来额外推动力,未来营运支出成长也将控制在低于营收成长速度的水平,以进一步提升营运杠杆并推动每股盈余成长。</p>\n\n<p>AMD 在电话会议中释出的讯息显示,公司正押注 AI 基础设施需求持续扩张,并透过 CPU、GPU 及机架级 AI 平台布局,争取多年 AI 运算周期带来的成长机会。</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\"><em>AMD 2026 年第二季财报电话会议全文翻译:</em><br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#B22222\">苏姿丰,董事长兼执行长:</span><br>\n<br>\n随着我们领先产品的采用持续扩大,我们再次交出了出色的季度业绩,营收和获利能力均创下纪录。营收年增 50%,达到 115 亿美元,这得益于 EPYC、Instinct、Ryzen 和嵌入式处理器销售额的大幅成长。资料中心营收年增超过一倍,目前占总营收的 58%,高于一年前的 42%,这反映了我们的伺服器和资料中心 AI 业务规模的快速扩大。<br>\n<br>\n我们的创纪录业绩标志着 AMD 财务表现的另一个显著提升,并展示了我们产品组合和执行力的强大。我们仍处于多年 AI 采用周期的早期阶段,因为部署在广泛的市场和工作负载中不断增长,推动了对更多计算的需求,并为未来几年的显著营收成长和获利能力创造了清晰的路径。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>转向我们的细分市场。</em></span>资料中心业务营收年增 107%,达到创纪录的 67 亿美元,这得益于 EPYC 处理器和 Instinct 加速器的强劲需求。在伺服器方面,我们连续第五个季度实现伺服器 CPU 营收创纪录,云端和企业销售均年增超过 70%,超出了我们上季提供的展望。随着客户扩大了第五代 EPYC Turin 系列和第四代 EPYC Genoa 系列的部署,我们的 x86 伺服器营收市场份额较去年同期有所成长。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>在云端,</em></span>超大规模客户继续在其内部基础设施和公有云产品中扩展 EPYC 的使用,包括 AWS、微软、Google、甲骨文等。目前,全球超过 1600 种 EPYC 公有云实例类型中,近三分之一由第五代 EPYC Turin 提供支持,供应商透过新的资料库、储存和 AI 工作负载扩大了其产品范围。这种不断扩大的覆盖范围正在转化为云端 EPYC 采用率的成长,上个季度,医疗保健、金融服务、媒体和科技公司增加了数千万个实例。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>企业方面,</em></span>我们连续第四个季度实现创纪录的销售和创纪录的 sell-through,这得益于我们 EPYC 产品组合的领先性能和 TCO 优势,本地部署采用率加速增长。成长基础广泛,我们在领先的金融服务、制造业、电信、零售和科技公司赢得了大规模部署。目前,来自 HPE、戴尔、联想、超微等公司的超过 230 个第五代 EPYC 平台已上市,这是我们迄今为止最广泛的企业产品组合。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>展望未来,</em></span>Agentic AI 正在为伺服器 CPU 创造新的成长向量,涵盖高频 AI 主机节点、高密度 Agentic 伺服器以及通用云端和企业工作负载。我们的第六代 EPYC Venice 系列专为这些不断扩大的工作负载而设计,并实现了 EPYC 历史上最大的代际性能提升之一。 Venice 基于我们全新的 Zen 6 核心和 2 奈米技术构建,每瓦性能是领先 x86 CPU 的两倍以上,是领先 ARM CPU 的 3.3 倍。 Venice 系列包括 30 多款处理器,将领先的单核心和单插槽效能与广泛的储存和 IO 配置相结合,使客户在优化效能、效率和 TCO 方面具有更大的灵活性。 Venice 现已投入生产,所有主要 OEM 厂商都按计划推出平台,领先的云端供应商计划从今年稍后开始部署。客户对 Venice 的需求比任何一代 EPYC 都更强劲,我们预计在未来几季将继续在云端和企业领域扩大市场份额。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>转向我们的资料中心 AI 业务,</em></span>得益于对 Instinct 加速器的强劲需求,营收年增超过一倍。随着领先 AI 公司在越来越多的推理和训练工作负载中扩大部署,以及云端供应商扩大 MI350 的可用性,MI355x 的采用率持续扩大。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>在我们的 Advancing AI 活动中</em>,</span>我们发布了 Helios,这是一个机架级 AI 平台,结合了 EPYC Venice CPU、MI450 系列 GPU、Pensando 网路和 ROCm 软体。在广泛的推理工作负载中,Helios 在相同机架功耗下提供高达 15% 的吞吐量提升,每美元代币数比竞争对手高出高达 30%。客户对 Helios 的需求非常强劲,并超越我们最初的预测。<br>\n<br>\n除了与 OpenAI 和 Meta 的多代吉瓦级部署外,我们宣布与 Anthropic 建立新的策略合作伙伴关系。 Anthropic 将在 Helios 中部署高达 2 吉瓦的 MI450 系列 GPU,首批 1 吉瓦的部署将于 2027 年上半年开始。这项合作关系包括一项多年联合工程合作,使用 Cloud 优化 Instinct GPU 的工作负载并加速 ROCm 软体开发。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>我们也扩大了与微软的长期合作关系。</em></span>微软将在 Azure 大规模部署 Helios,用于微软及其 AI 客户以及 Azure AI 服务的前沿模型推理。这些合作共同扩大了领先 AI 公司和云端供应商的群体,这些公司正在 AMD Helios 上建立下一代基础设施。 Helios 现已投入生产,首批出货按计划于本季稍后开始,并在第四季及 2027 年持续提升,以满足非常强劲的客户需求。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><strong><em>展望 Helios 之后。</em></strong></span><em><span style=\"color:#0000CD\">我们计划每年发布一个新的机架级 AI 平台</span>,</em>每一代都在效能、效率和 TCO 方面带来显著提升。 2027 年,我们的下一代平台将结合 MI500 系列 GPU、Verano CPU 和 Pensando 网络,并具有扩展的 scale-up 域以及基于铜缆和光学的互连。客户对 MI500 的参与度非常强,多家客户在规划其下一代 AI 基础设施时与我们密切合作。我们预计 MI500 将实现 Instinct 史上最大的世代飞跃,使我们有望在短短四年内将推理性能提升超过 2,000 倍。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>转向我们的 AI 软体栈,</em></span>ROCm 已经达到了一个重要转折点,其效能、能力和开发者体验满足了客户大规模生产部署 AI 的需求。生态系的广度也不断扩大。超过 300 万个模型现在可以在 AMD 上开箱即用。领先的开放模式在发布时就支援 Instinct。在过去一年中,对 ROCm 的开源贡献增加了十倍以上。<br>\n<br>\n上个月,我们推出了 ROCm.ai,这是我们针对 AMD GPU 的新 AI 辅助开发平台。 ROCm.ai 允许开发者使用当今领先的编码代理,包括 Claude、Codex 和 Cursor,为 Instinct 创建、移植和优化程式码,使得将新模型和工作负载引入 AMD ROCm 变得更快、更容易。 ROCm.ai 在广泛模型上的训练表现是 ROCm 7 的两倍以上,推理表现是其三倍以上。我们也与领先的 AI 实验室密切合作,包括 OpenAI、Anthropic、Meta 等,共同优化 ROCm 以适应其模型,这些改进将使整个 AMD 生态系统受益。<br>\n<br>\n<em><span style=\"color:#0000CD\">整体来看,整体资料中心市场机会的扩展速度远超我们六个月前的预期</span>。</em>随着 AI 进入更广泛的应用和工作负载的生产环境,对加速器和 CPU 的需求都远远超出了我们先前的预期。<br>\n<br>\n我们现在预计,资料中心 AI 加速器市场到 2030 年将以超过 45% 的年复合成长率成长至约 1.4 兆美元。我们预计伺服器 CPU 市场到 2030 年将以超过 50% 的年复合成长率成长至约 2,200 亿美元。<br>\n<br>\n对 AMD 而言,这个更大的市场机遇,加上我们产品组合的实力和日益增长的客户可见性,正为我们的资料中心业务创造更陡峭的成长轨迹。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>在资料中心 AI 领域,</em></span><span style=\"color:#800080\">H</span>elios 和 MI450 系列 Instinct 部署的数量和规模不断增加,这为业务在下半年的显著成长奠定了基础,并在 2027 年加速成长。在伺服器 CPU 方面,凭借非常强劲的客户需求和改善的供应,我们现在预计 2026 年下半年伺服器营收将年增超过 80%,并在更高的基数上,2027 年全年成长超过 70%。综合来看,我们现在预计 2027 年资料中心细分市场营收将年增超过一倍。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>转向客户端和游戏业务。</em></span>细分市场营收年增 6%,达 38 亿美元。<br>\n<br>\n在客户端,营收年增 23%,达到 31 亿美元,这得益于创纪录的行动处理器营收和持续的市场份额成长。本季度,商业采用率持续扩大,Ryzen Pro 销售额年增超过 50%,我们在大型医疗保健、科技、汽车和金融服务公司赢得了新的合作。为延续这一势头,戴尔、惠普、联想、华硕等公司推出了广泛的商业 PC 新产品组合,这些产品搭载了我们最新一代的 Ryzen AI Pro 400 系列处理器。对 Ryzen AI Halo 开发者系统的需求也很强劲,该系统在本季上市。<br>\n<br>\n7 月,我们推出了下一代 Ryzen AI Halo 平台,该平台由我们新的 Gorgon Halo 处理器驱动,具有业界领先的 192GB 统一内存,可运行高达 3000 亿参数的模型。为了进一步方便开发者在本地建立和测试大型 AI 模型,我们正在与 Hugging Face 合作,从今年稍后开始,为每台 Ryzen AI Halo 系统附带一年的 Hugging Face Pro 订阅。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>展望下半年,我们预期 PC 市场将因更高的储存和组件成本对需求造成压力而有所疲软。</em></span>在此背景下,我们预期我们的客户端业务表现将优于市场,这得益于我们不断上升的产品组合实力和日益增长的商业采用率。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>在游戏业务方面,</em></span>营收年减 31% 至 7.79 亿美元,主要由于游戏机周期现阶段半客制化销售额下降。游戏图形营收也较去年同期下滑,因为产业范围内更高的组件成本导致显示卡价格上涨,并对整体需求造成压力。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>转向我们的嵌入式业务,</em></span>营收年增 19% 至 9.77 亿美元,这是我们三年多来最强劲的成长。需求基础广泛,在网路、航太与国防、测试测量与模拟、通讯客户中表现强劲。本季度,我们的嵌入式 x86 业务大幅成长,因为超大规模客户和网路客户越来越多地采用我们的 CPU 来为资料中心的关键网路和控制平面功能提供动力。我们也继续扩大我们的产品组合,推出了针对要求苛刻的即时边缘 AI 工作负载的 Ryzen AI Embedded X100 处理器,以及实体 AI 的 Kria AI Robotics Platform。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>更广泛地来看,我们在过去几年执行的策略现在正在取得强劲成果。</em></span>嵌入式 x86 正成为此细分市场的重要成长动力。我们的整体嵌入式产品组合成长超过市场并赢得市场份额,我们的嵌入式半客制化合作也在扩大。设计得标势头依然非常强劲。我们正朝着另一个创纪录年份迈进,新增超过 180 亿美元的设计中标,主要由网路、资料中心、通讯、测试以及航空航太和国防客户的主要得标项目引领。<br>\n<br>\n总而言之,我们在第二季度实现了创纪录的营收和获利能力,反映了我们强大的执行力以及领先产品日益增长的采用率。我们以强劲的势头进入下半年。<br>\n<br>\n随着 Venice 和 MI455X 现已投入生产,Helios 首批出货将于本季开始,Ryzen Pro CPU 推动商业市场占有率持续成长,以及我们的嵌入式业务恢复强劲的年成长。<br>\n<br>\n十多年的专注投资为我们带来了行业中最强大、最广泛的产品组合,与推动计算未来的公司建立了深厚的战略关系,并拥有经过验证的交付多代路线图和规模化复杂产品的能力。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>同时,AI 正在推动我们所有市场对运算能力的巨大需求。</em></span>我们现在看到,高效能和 AI 运算的整体市场在未来几年将以约 40% 的年复合成长率成长,到 2030 年将接近 2 兆美元。我们预计我们的成长将远超市场。<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#0000CD\"><em>因此,我们正大幅超越去年 11 月金融分析师日上分享的长期财务模型。</em></span>我们现在预计营收将大幅超过先前超过 35% 的成长目标,并且我们预计在我们的策略时间范围内显著超过每股收益 20 美元的年度目标。我们仍处于多年 AI 采用周期的早期阶段,未来的机会是巨大的。我们处于非常有利的位置,能够抓住这一机遇,并在未来几年实现显著成长。<br>\n<br>\n现在,我将把电话交给胡锦,让她提供关于我们第二季业绩的更多细节。胡锦?<br>\n<br>\n<span style=\"color:#B22222\"><em>胡锦,执行副总裁、财务长兼财务长:</em></span><br>\n<br>\n谢谢苏姿丰,大家午安。我将从回顾我们第二季的财务表现开始,然后提供我们对 2026 财年第三季的当前展望。<br>\n<br>\n<em>我们第二季表现出色,这是连续第六个季度营收年增超过 30%。</em>营收年增 50%,季增 13%,达到创纪录的 115 亿美元,这得益于我们各项业务的持续成长动能。重要的是,资料中心约占总营收的 58%,这突显了业务组合的持续转变及其对 AMD 成长的日益贡献。<br>\n<br>\n在可比较基础上,稀释每股盈余年增约 82%,显著超过营收成长,展现了我们在业务规模化过程中的获利能力。本季毛利率扩大至 56%,年成长超过 200 个基点,环比成长 80 个基点,反映了有利的产品组合以及资料中心业务日益增长的贡献。<br>\n<br>\n营运支出为 34 亿美元,年增 40%,因为我们继续投资于研发,以扩展我们的 AI 晶片、系统和软体能力,支持我们的长期成长机会。营业收入为 31 亿美元,营业利益率为 27%。<br>\n<br>\n现在转向我们的可报告细分市场,从资料中心业务开始。营收达到创纪录的 67 亿美元,年增超过一倍,季增 16%。成长得益于 EPYC 销售额年增超过 70%,企业终端销售创纪录,以及云端客户基础的强劲需求。单位出货量和平均售价均较去年同期大幅成长,反映了向最新第五代处理器持续的产品组合转变。随着 MI350 系列产品的持续成长,Instinct 销售额比去年同期超过一倍。采用范围扩大到最大的 AI 实验室、云端供应商、领先 AI 新创公司、国家实验室以及南方 AI 部署。资料中心业务营业收入为 21 亿美元,占营收的 31%。<br>\n<br>\n客户端和游戏业务营收为 38 亿美元,年增 6%,季增 7%。客户端业务营收为 31 亿美元,年增 23%,季增 6%,主要由创纪录的行动营收带动。游戏业务营收为 7.79 亿美元,年减 31%,主要因半客制化营收下降。环比来看,游戏营收成长 8%,由更高的半客制化销售额驱动,部分被较低的 Radeon 出货量所抵销。客户端和游戏业务营业收入为 5.82 亿美元,占营收的 15%,而去年同期为 7.67 亿美元,占营收的 21%,这反映了对市场推广活动和扩展产品路线图的持续投资。<br>\n<br>\n嵌入式业务营收为 9.77 亿美元,年增 19%,季增 12%,因为终端市场需求持续改善,新的设计得标开始提升。嵌入式业务营业收入为 3.86 亿美元,占营收的 40%,而去年同期为 2.75 亿美元,占营收的 33%,这得益于更高的营收和有利的产品组合。<br>\n<br>\n转向资产负债表和现金流。本季度,我们持续经营业务产生了 24 亿美元现金,自由现金流为 16 亿美元。库存环比增加至约 85 亿美元,以支援强劲的资料中心需求。季末,现金、现金等价物及短期投资为 131 亿美元。<br>\n<br>\n现在,转向我们对 2026 年第三季的展望。我们预计营收约 130 亿美元,上下浮动 3 亿美元。在指引中点,营收预计将年增 41%,这得益于资料中心业务非常强劲的两位数成长、嵌入式业务的强劲两位数成长,以及客户端和游戏业务的下滑(客户端业务的成长被游戏业务显著的两位数下滑所抵消)。环比来看,我们预计营收成长约 13%,这得益于资料中心和嵌入式业务均实现强劲的两位数成长,以及客户端和游戏业务的温和下滑(客户端小幅成长被游戏显著的两位数下滑所抵消)。<br>\n<br>\n此外,我们预计第三季非 GAAP 毛利率约为 56%。非 GAAP 营运支出约 36.5 亿美元。非 GAAP 其他收入和支出预计约为 5500 万美元的收益。非 GAAP 有效税率预计为 13%,稀释后股份数预计约为 16.6 亿股。<br>\n<br>\n最后,我们再次交出了出色的季度营收成长和显著的获利扩张,这反映了我们执行力的强大以及各项业务的强劲势头。随着资料中心成长持续加速,我们进入下半年。我们处于非常有利的位置,能够继续实现获利成长。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-4755.html\" title=\"「出了大毛病」 Palantir执行长痛批OpenAI和Anthropic的Token计价模式\">「出了大毛病」 Palantir执行长痛批OpenAI和Anthropic的Token计价模式</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-9204.html\" title=\"AI科技股暴跌真相?25岁明星基金高杠杆踩雷、Citadel抄底后市场急反弹\">AI科技股暴跌真相?25岁明星基金高杠杆踩雷、Citadel抄底后市场急反弹</a></li>\n <li><a 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