野村资产管理：结构改革与获利复苏双轨并进日股重现新契机

今年以来全球金融市场在联准会持续关注通膨，以及人工智慧算力基础建设持续扩张的双重浪潮下，国际资金正加速重新配置亚洲资产。野村资产管理指出，今年以来日本股市表现展现出极具韧性的结构性转变，日经指数与东证一部指数在企业盈余成长与外资持续流入的推动下，频频刷新历史纪录。这不仅是短期资金炒作的结果，更是日本经济摆脱长达三十年通缩阴霾、迎来温和通膨与薪资增长良性循环的重要里程碑，吸引全球主动型机构投资人重新检视这块长线投资沃土。

野村基金 (爱尔兰系列)- 日本策略价值基金协管经理人河野光成 (Mitsunari Kawano) 表示，根据 2026 年最新季度日本央行短观调查，日本制造业与非制造业的企业信心指标双双走强，银行放款余额与存放比的稳定攀升，更彰显企业扩大资本支出的强烈意愿。同时，在东京证交所持续推动资本效率改革的催化下，日本企业正加速透过股票回购与股利提升来优化财务结构，逐步打破过去因现金过多、低杠杆导致的股东权益报酬率折价困境。

从最新实体经济数据来看，日本央行 2026 年最新公布的短观调查显示，中大型制造业与非制造业信心均创下近年新高，且基础通膨年增率已稳健站上 2% 的政策目标，促使日银将政策利率逐步引导至 0.5%，引领十年期日债殖利率于 1.1% 附近震荡。在产业面，全球科技巨擘于 2026 年宣告的资本支出总计增至创纪录的 1800 亿美元，刺激日本关键半导体高阶封装材料与测试设备的产能利用率暴增至 92% 以上。尽管东证一部指数预估本益比已回升至过去二十年的第一个四分位区间，但相较于美股标普五百指数超过 22 倍的估值，日股仍具备极高的性价比，也呼应了企业定价能力改善将进一步转化为实质获利增长的内部研判。

河野光成进一步指出，当前日股的核心魅力在于治理准则深化带来的资本效率提升。旗下日本策略价值团队不盲从大盘权重，而是透过独创的「三角价值验证」方法论，从资产重建价值、盈余可持续性与特许经营壁垒三个维度深度解构企业。透过严密的量化筛选漏斗，在约 3800 档日股中精选出资本回报率改善、且积极展开股份回购的优质企业，将长期的市场折价转化为超额报酬机会，协助投资人跨越价值陷阱，掌握真正具有获利重估底气的产业先锋。

综上所述，日本投资的致胜关键在于精准的主动选股，而非盲目追逐指数波动。野村资产管理建议，在 2026 年的全球资产配置蓝图中，应将日股视为兼顾防御性与成长性的核心部位。策略上建议采取金融、消费电子与先进半导体设备并重的均衡配置，积极把握治理改革带来的重估红利。虽然全球地缘政治与供应链调整仍可能带来短期扰动，但在温和通膨、外国直接投资涌入以及企业健全财务的强力支撑下，日股的中长期牛市格局依旧扎实。

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【野村投信赞助刊登】

本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。

野村投信
野村投信于 1998 年成立，为日商野村资产管理及香港 Allshores 集团等专业投资团队所组成之合资企业。野村投信为高盛、晋达、野村基金 (爱尔兰系列) 及骏利亨德森系列基金在台湾之总代理。截至 2025 年 12 月底，投信基金、境内全权委托与境外基金总代理在台规模共计新台币 9,638 亿元，居所有台湾资产管理业 (基金) 公司第 8 名。野村投信六度荣获亚洲资产管理杂志台湾区最佳退休基金管理公司 (2018~2020，2024~2026)，以及五度获最佳股票经理公司肯定 (2020~2023，2026)；于 2014、2015、2016 及 2017 连续四年荣获理柏台湾基金奖混合型团体大奖肯定。(资料来源：投信投顾公会 (2025/12)；理柏 (2014~2017)；亚洲资产管理杂志 (2026/01)

本基金经金管会核准或同意生效，惟不表示绝无风险。本公司以往之经理绩效不保证基金之最低投资收益；本公司除尽善良管理人之注意义务外，不负责基金之盈亏，亦不保证最低之收益，投资人申购前应详阅基金公开说明书。基金买卖系以投资人自己之判断为之，投资人应了解并承担交易可能产生之损益，且最大可能损失达原始投资金额。基金不受存款保险、保险安定基金或其他相关保障机制之保障。如因基金交易所生纷争，台端应先向本公司申诉，如不接受前开申诉处理结果或本公司未在三十日内处理时，得在六十日内向金融消费评议中心申请评议。台端亦得向投信投顾公会申诉、向证券投资人及期货交易人保护中心申请调处或向法院起诉。基金投资风险包含标的指数价格波动之风险、类股过度集中之风险、产业景气循环之风险、流动性风险、追踪标的指数之风险、基金报酬未能紧贴标的指数报酬之风险等，请详见基金公开说明书。有关本基金之特性、相关投资风险及应负担之费用已揭露于基金之公开说明书中，投资人可向本公司及基金之销售机构索取，或至基金资讯观测站及本公司网站 (https://www.nomurafunds.com.tw) 中查询。本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表本基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。本资料系整理分析各方面资讯之结果，纯属参考性质，本公司不作任何保证或承诺，请勿将本内容视为对个别投资人做基金买卖或其他任何投资之建议或要约。本公司已力求其中资讯之正确与完整，惟不保证本报告绝对正确无误。未经授权不得复制、修改或散发引用。野村投信为高盛、晋达、野村基金 (爱尔兰系列) 及骏利亨德森系列基金在台湾之总代理。【野村投信独立经营管理】
野村证券投资信托股份有限公司，110615 台北市信义路五段 7 号 30 楼，理财咨询专线 02-8758-1568

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日本策略价值基金协管经理人河野光成 (Mitsu", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6552261/l/ecf6cafa3dfd2ed2085025b731d181d2.jpg", "content": "今年以来全球金融市场在联准会持续关注通膨，以及人工智慧算力基础建设持续扩张的双重浪潮下，国际资金正加速重新配置亚洲资产。野村资产管理指出，今年以来日本股市表现展现出极具韧性的结构性转变，日经指数与东证一部指数在企业盈余成长与外资持续流入的推动下，频频刷新历史纪录。这不仅是短期资金炒作的结果，更是日本经济摆脱长达三十年通缩阴霾、迎来温和通膨与薪资增长良性循环的重要里程碑，吸引全球主动型机构投资人重新检视这块长线投资沃土。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6552261/l/ecf6cafa3dfd2ed2085025b731d181d2.jpg\" alt=\"野村资产管理：结构改革与获利复苏双轨并进日股重现新契机\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n野村基金 (爱尔兰系列)- 日本策略价值基金协管经理人河野光成 (Mitsunari Kawano) 表示，根据 2026 年最新季度日本央行短观调查，日本制造业与非制造业的企业信心指标双双走强，银行放款余额与存放比的稳定攀升，更彰显企业扩大资本支出的强烈意愿。同时，在东京证交所持续推动资本效率改革的催化下，日本企业正加速透过股票回购与股利提升来优化财务结构，逐步打破过去因现金过多、低杠杆导致的股东权益报酬率折价困境。\n\n从最新实体经济数据来看，日本央行 2026 年最新公布的短观调查显示，中大型制造业与非制造业信心均创下近年新高，且基础通膨年增率已稳健站上 2% 的政策目标，促使日银将政策利率逐步引导至 0.5%，引领十年期日债殖利率于 1.1% 附近震荡。在产业面，全球科技巨擘于 2026 年宣告的资本支出总计增至创纪录的 1800 亿美元，刺激日本关键半导体高阶封装材料与测试设备的产能利用率暴增至 92% 以上。尽管东证一部指数预估本益比已回升至过去二十年的第一个四分位区间，但相较于美股标普五百指数超过 22 倍的估值，日股仍具备极高的性价比，也呼应了企业定价能力改善将进一步转化为实质获利增长的内部研判。\n\n河野光成进一步指出，当前日股的核心魅力在于治理准则深化带来的资本效率提升。旗下日本策略价值团队不盲从大盘权重，而是透过独创的「三角价值验证」方法论，从资产重建价值、盈余可持续性与特许经营壁垒三个维度深度解构企业。透过严密的量化筛选漏斗，在约 3800 档日股中精选出资本回报率改善、且积极展开股份回购的优质企业，将长期的市场折价转化为超额报酬机会，协助投资人跨越价值陷阱，掌握真正具有获利重估底气的产业先锋。\n\n综上所述，日本投资的致胜关键在于精准的主动选股，而非盲目追逐指数波动。野村资产管理建议，在 2026 年的全球资产配置蓝图中，应将日股视为兼顾防御性与成长性的核心部位。策略上建议采取金融、消费电子与先进半导体设备并重的均衡配置，积极把握治理改革带来的重估红利。虽然全球地缘政治与供应链调整仍可能带来短期扰动，但在温和通膨、外国直接投资涌入以及企业健全财务的强力支撑下，日股的中长期牛市格局依旧扎实。\n\n<a href=\"https://money.nomurafunds.com.tw/articles.html?c=8&utm_source=cnYES&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=Campaignsite&utm_content=articles\">阅读更多精彩文章</a>\n\n【野村投信赞助刊登】\n\n本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。\n\n野村投信 \n野村投信于 1998 年成立，为日商野村资产管理及香港 Allshores 集团等专业投资团队所组成之合资企业。野村投信为高盛、晋达、野村基金 (爱尔兰系列) 及骏利亨德森系列基金在台湾之总代理。截至 2025 年 12 月底，投信基金、境内全权委托与境外基金总代理在台规模共计新台币 9,638 亿元，居所有台湾资产管理业 (基金) 公司第 8 名。野村投信六度荣获亚洲资产管理杂志台湾区最佳退休基金管理公司 (2018~2020，2024~2026)，以及五度获最佳股票经理公司肯定 (2020~2023，2026)；于 2014、2015、2016 及 2017 连续四年荣获理柏台湾基金奖混合型团体大奖肯定。(资料来源：投信投顾公会 (2025/12)；理柏 (2014~2017)；亚洲资产管理杂志 (2026/01)\n\n本基金经金管会核准或同意生效，惟不表示绝无风险。本公司以往之经理绩效不保证基金之最低投资收益；本公司除尽善良管理人之注意义务外，不负责基金之盈亏，亦不保证最低之收益，投资人申购前应详阅基金公开说明书。基金买卖系以投资人自己之判断为之，投资人应了解并承担交易可能产生之损益，且最大可能损失达原始投资金额。基金不受存款保险、保险安定基金或其他相关保障机制之保障。如因基金交易所生纷争，台端应先向本公司申诉，如不接受前开申诉处理结果或本公司未在三十日内处理时，得在六十日内向金融消费评议中心申请评议。台端亦得向投信投顾公会申诉、向证券投资人及期货交易人保护中心申请调处或向法院起诉。基金投资风险包含标的指数价格波动之风险、类股过度集中之风险、产业景气循环之风险、流动性风险、追踪标的指数之风险、基金报酬未能紧贴标的指数报酬之风险等，请详见基金公开说明书。有关本基金之特性、相关投资风险及应负担之费用已揭露于基金之公开说明书中，投资人可向本公司及基金之销售机构索取，或至基金资讯观测站及本公司网站 (https://www.nomurafunds.com.tw) 中查询。本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表本基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。本资料系整理分析各方面资讯之结果，纯属参考性质，本公司不作任何保证或承诺，请勿将本内容视为对个别投资人做基金买卖或其他任何投资之建议或要约。本公司已力求其中资讯之正确与完整，惟不保证本报告绝对正确无误。未经授权不得复制、修改或散发引用。野村投信为高盛、晋达、野村基金 (爱尔兰系列) 及骏利亨德森系列基金在台湾之总代理。【野村投信独立经营管理】 \n野村证券投资信托股份有限公司，110615 台北市信义路五段 7 号 30 楼，理财咨询专线 02-8758-1568\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7831.html\" 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