台股失守季线！震荡休整期别杀低，资金暗中转移「这两大产业」？

台股今日上演多空拉锯，是涨多拉回还是蓄势洗盘? 今日大盘呈现早盘强、午盘弱的震荡格局，且量缩至月均量之下。主要是因为指数反弹逼近月线与季线交会区，面临高档套牢筹码的解套压力，在筹码尚待进一步消化之际，市场整体氛围转趋观望。

〈台股失守季线短线进入筹码消化阶段〉
今天台股早盘开高，但盘中追价力道没有持续，午盘过后卖压明显加重，终场加权指数下跌 170.79 点，收在 44,225.91 点，跌幅 0.38%。台积电 (2330-TW) 上涨 5 元、收在 2,370 元，对指数仍有一定支撑，但柜买指数回档压力较为显著，终场下跌 1.83%，收 384.19 点，中小型股的压力明显比大型权值股来得重。

智霖老师独家数据显示，盘面强势股数量结构相对弱势且逢周末，盘中个股行情难有连续性表现，因近期融资余额增长节奏稍快，外资期货再新增避险配置，之前提醒过，柜买目前临 390 点附近的大态底部与下弯月线双重压力，在早盘明显量缩下，难以单日顺利越过；短线回档震荡在预期之内，不过先前市场担忧的估值过高去杠杆压力与油价等总经利空皆已缓和，只要盘面未浮现突发性变数，目前的拉回打底与横盘整理不需过度紧张。

〈ABF 主轴续强设备机台迎出货转换期〉
产业面来看，ABF 载板仍是接下来值得持续追踪的主流方向。日本味之素最新法说再度调高 ABF 薄膜展望，终端客户用量明显增加，持续验证 AI、高效能运算带动高阶载板需求。欣兴 (3037-TW) 今日一度翻红后震荡，主要仍受 6 月 26 日大量成交区解套卖压影响，短线需时间换手；长广 (7795-TW) 则一度跳空涨停，虽尾盘随盘势拉回，但第二季毛利率、营益率明显改善，高阶机台已进入出货转换期。接下来重点不是单月营收，而是下周二法说对订单能见度与出货节奏的说明。

〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单
APP 选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】：https://lihi.cc/zwrii

〈散热族群无惧短线洗盘资金仍将回流主流板块〉
散热族群今日受到大盘震荡影响回档，但前一日才出现明确的族群性表态，中长线 AI 水冷散热趋势也没有改变，因此短线整理不用过度放大解读。接下来市场焦点会转向半年报与获利结构的验证，资金也会逐步往真正具有产业成长趋势的主流板块集中。在后续展望仍正向的情况下，手中也不能完全没有持股；现在要做的不是追高杀低，而是等待筹码充分换手沉淀，再顺势衔接下一阶段的反弹轮动，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，即时资讯都会在 APP 内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉
忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：https://lihi.cc/RFzlE

钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。

文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>独家数据显示，盘面强势股数量结构相对弱势且逢周末，盘中个股行情难有连续性表现，因近期融资余额增长节奏稍快，外资期货再新增避险配置，之前提醒过，柜买目前临 390 点附近的大态底部与下弯月线双重压力，在早盘明显量缩下，难以单日顺利越过；短线回档震荡在预期之内，不过先前市场担忧的估值过高去杠杆压力与油价等总经利空皆已缓和，只要盘面未浮现突发性变数，目前的拉回打底与横盘整理不需过度紧张。\n\n〈ABF 主轴续强设备机台迎出货转换期〉 \n产业面来看，ABF 载板仍是接下来值得持续追踪的主流方向。日本味之素最新法说再度调高 ABF 薄膜展望，终端客户用量明显增加，持续验证 AI、高效能运算带动高阶载板需求。欣兴 (3037-TW) 今日一度翻红后震荡，主要仍受 6 月 26 日大量成交区解套卖压影响，短线需时间换手；长广 (7795-TW) 则一度跳空涨停，虽尾盘随盘势拉回，但第二季毛利率、营益率明显改善，高阶机台已进入出货转换期。接下来重点不是单月营收，而是下周二法说对订单能见度与出货节奏的说明。\n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单 \nAPP 选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"189\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"4.021164021164021\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6564497/m/7eaa855d6fade434f79ffa176fe7ae21.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6564497/l/7eaa855d6fade434f79ffa176fe7ae21.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6564497/l/7eaa855d6fade434f79ffa176fe7ae21.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6564497/xl/7eaa855d6fade434f79ffa176fe7ae21.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6564497/xxl/7eaa855d6fade434f79ffa176fe7ae21.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n〈散热族群无惧短线洗盘资金仍将回流主流板块〉 \n散热族群今日受到大盘震荡影响回档，但前一日才出现明确的族群性表态，中长线 AI 水冷散热趋势也没有改变，因此短线整理不用过度放大解读。接下来市场焦点会转向半年报与获利结构的验证，资金也会逐步往真正具有产业成长趋势的主流板块集中。在后续展望仍正向的情况下，手中也不能完全没有持股；现在要做的不是追高杀低，而是等待筹码充分换手沉淀，再顺势衔接下一阶段的反弹轮动，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，即时资讯都会在 APP 内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n最新影音 (请点影音上方标题至 Youtube 收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/R0tYsf_mbQs\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉 \n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a>\n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-298.html\" title=\"合勤控旗下兆勤推出「生成式AI 防护解决方案」协助企业应对影子AI资安风险\">合勤控旗下兆勤推出「生成式AI 防护解决方案」协助企业应对影子AI资安风险</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4757.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：长荣航(2618-TW)EPS预估上修至3.85元，预估目标价为42元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：长荣航(2618-TW)EPS预估上修至3.85元，预估目标价为42元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13888.html\" title=\"台印CEO论坛首战印度矽谷贸协：近10年已有386家台企于当地发展\">台印CEO论坛首战印度矽谷贸协：近10年已有386家台企于当地发展</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7907.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：南亚(1303-TW)目标价调升至265元，幅度约13.73%\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：南亚(1303-TW)目标价调升至265元，幅度约13.73%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5019.html\" 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