〈台股开盘〉台积电力守红盘由记忆体及PCB族群带路涨逾300点守稳4万5

台股大盘成交量能停滞不前，指标股权王台积电 (2330-TW) 今 (12) 日开盘小涨 0.42%，同时，记忆体族群南亚科 (2408-TW) 等助攻，推升大盘早盘开盘上涨逾 300 点，指数可望站稳 4 万 5000 点，但证券分析师则认为在 4 万 6000 点之上将遇强大空方卖压。

台股大盘指数今天早盘上涨超过 300 点，集中市场指数以 45175.7 点开出，最高 45498.05 点，最低 45175.7 点，预估全场集中成交值 8445 亿元，早盘电子股指数上涨 0.81%，占大盘成交比重 82%，金融股上涨 0.18%，占大盘成交比重 1.18%。

同时，早盘日股上涨、韩国股市上涨 1.9%，对台股走势形成激励效果。同时，半年报表现优异的健鼎 (3044-TW) 攻上涨停 485.5 元完成填息、金像电 (2368-TW) 开盘上涨，对 PCB 上游的台光电 (2383-TW)、富乔 (1815-TW) 及台燿 (6274-TW)、联茂 (6213-TW) 走势形成强大激励。

资深证券分析师黄汉成指出，目前台股显现的成交量能不足走势，上档套牢的解套压力也大，外资态度中性偏空，期指空单量高达 8.8 万口，预估台股走势震荡向上，但上涨空间不高，认为台股指数在 4 万 6000 点之上将遇强大空方卖压，但下档支撑指数在 4 万 3000 点附近。

在今天台股的表现上，台积电上涨，联发科 (2454-TW) 走低，在 IC 载板股方面，欣兴 (3037-TW) 及南电 (8046-TW) 景硕 (3189-TW) 股价则涨跌互见，南电量能高但震荡也剧烈。

统一证券指出，美伊协议未见进展，油价居高不退，市场静待即将公布的通膨数据，借以判断 Fed 的利率决策路径。台股维持季线之上震荡盘坚，追价意愿不足成交量能难以放大。然 7 月营收与半年报佳音频传，搭配台积电与 SONY 合资及下周机器人展等利多，有利台股震荡盘坚。

统一证券指出，外资期货净空单仍逾 8.8 万口，仍须提防行情剧烈波动。操作建议「逢低布局、反弹汰弱留强」，选股以流动性佳的中大型 AI 权值股为主。长线追踪族群：台积电及先进制程 / 封装、载板与 PCB、电源管理相关、机箱滑轨、机器人概念、特用化学及自行车等族群。

国票证券指出，随 AI 机柜功耗持续攀升，NVIDIA 规划自 2027 年导入 800V HVDC 架构，带动电源转换、BBU 储能及高压保护元件需求同步升级，相关供应链已积极卡位系统电源、BBU 与高压继电器等关键环节，随 HVDC 逐步进入量产放量阶段，后续营运动能可期，当前股价位阶仍可偏多因应。重点产业与族群大电流台达电 (2308-TW)、顺达 (3211-TW) 及松川精密 (7788-TW)

国票证券指出，NVIDIA 下半年推出 Vera Rubin 平台将导入 800V 高压直流架构，以支应高达 600kW 的功耗需求，为电源供应链开启新动能，相关大厂伺服器电源营收有望大幅优于 2025 年。

美股收盘指数方面，道琼工业指数下跌 184.13 点，或 0.34%，报 53,791.85 点。那斯达克指数下跌 159.91 点，或 0.60%，报 26,445.45 点。S&P 500 指数下跌 24.91 点，或 0.32%，报 7,728.20 点。费城半导体指数上涨 104.61 点，或 0.87%，报 12,098.47 点。

美股收盘的台股指标股方面，台积电 ADR (TSM-US) 上涨 0.86%；辉达 (NVDA-US) 小跌 0.02%。

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走势形成强大激励。\n\n资深证券分析师黄汉成指出，目前台股显现的成交量能不足走势，上档套牢的解套压力也大，外资态度中性偏空，期指空单量高达 8.8 万口，预估台股走势震荡向上，但上涨空间不高，认为台股指数在 4 万 6000 点之上将遇强大空方卖压，但下档支撑指数在 4 万 3000 点附近。\n\n在今天台股的表现上，台积电上涨，联发科 (2454-TW) 走低，在 IC 载板股方面，欣兴 (3037-TW) 及南电 (8046-TW) 景硕 (3189-TW) 股价则涨跌互见，南电量能高但震荡也剧烈。\n\n统一证券指出，美伊协议未见进展，油价居高不退，市场静待即将公布的通膨数据，借以判断 Fed 的利率决策路径。台股维持季线之上震荡盘坚，追价意愿不足成交量能难以放大。然 7 月营收与半年报佳音频传，搭配台积电与 SONY 合资及下周机器人展等利多，有利台股震荡盘坚。\n\n统一证券指出，外资期货净空单仍逾 8.8 万口，仍须提防行情剧烈波动。操作建议「逢低布局、反弹汰弱留强」，选股以流动性佳的中大型 AI 权值股为主。长线追踪族群：台积电及先进制程 / 封装、载板与 PCB、电源管理相关、机箱滑轨、机器人概念、特用化学及自行车等族群。\n\n国票证券指出，随 AI 机柜功耗持续攀升，NVIDIA 规划自 2027 年导入 800V HVDC 架构，带动电源转换、BBU 储能及高压保护元件需求同步升级，相关供应链已积极卡位系统电源、BBU 与高压继电器等关键环节，随 HVDC 逐步进入量产放量阶段，后续营运动能可期，当前股价位阶仍可偏多因应。重点产业与族群大电流台达电 (2308-TW)、顺达 (3211-TW) 及松川精密 (7788-TW)\n\n国票证券指出，NVIDIA 下半年推出 Vera Rubin 平台将导入 800V 高压直流架构，以支应高达 600kW 的功耗需求，为电源供应链开启新动能，相关大厂伺服器电源营收有望大幅优于 2025 年。\n\n美股收盘指数方面，道琼工业指数下跌 184.13 点，或 0.34%，报 53,791.85 点。那斯达克指数下跌 159.91 点，或 0.60%，报 26,445.45 点。S&P 500 指数下跌 24.91 点，或 0.32%，报 7,728.20 点。费城半导体指数上涨 104.61 点，或 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