天天财经

指数高档遇解套卖压,财报利多反成出货陷阱?跟着主流资金大举转向卡位下半场!

2026-08-21 22:07:17 钜亨网 阅读(2)

大盘开高走低伴随量缩,市场对亮眼财报的反应转趋钝化,频见解套卖压,显示高档追价力道已显疲态。盲目追高风险加剧之际,唯有保留资金弹性、静待关键支撑,并看懂主流资金「由高转低」的换档节奏,才能提前锁定低位阶补涨契机,从容掌握下一阶段的波段获利!

指数高档遇解套卖压,财报利多反成出货陷阱?跟着主流资金大举转向卡位下半场!

〈高档量缩不是没事 追价意愿正在降温〉

今日台股加权指数开高后震荡,盘中一度站上46000点,终场上涨46点,成交量缩至9420亿元,现在的量缩,和反弹初期因为大量强势股锁涨停、流动性下降造成的价量背离完全不同,现在是指数一拉高,追价的人开始变少,因此上面解套跟获利了结的卖压就出来,所以周末直播智霖老师一直提醒大家,指数往上推的时候不要乱追,像群联(8299-TW)前面财报数字很漂亮,股价却没有因为利多一路往上,反而出现明显卖压,这就是市场对利多开始钝化的讯号,好消息出来,股票都不一定涨,现阶段如果大盘顺势回测季线约46000点附近寻求支撑,反而才是重新找机会的位置。

〈欣兴涨停表态 ABF补涨逻辑开始发酵〉

上周老师提过,ABF载板族群部分个股因为处于处置交易期间,资金短线不好进出,但这并不代表基本面消失,处置解除之后,市场资金自然会重新回头检视,欣兴(3037-TW)就是最清楚的例子,恢复正常交易后直接攻上1120元涨停,景硕(3189-TW)也上涨近5%,PCB相关的臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)同步走强,正好呼应我们前面一直强调的观念,当高位阶股票开始震荡,资金就会寻找有基本面、但股价位阶相对落后的族群,今天ABF表态,就是这个资金轮动逻辑开始被市场验证。

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〈下一阶段关键 锁定低位阶与法人筹码〉

经过这一波快速反弹,部分高位阶股票已经累积相当大的涨幅,市场自然会开始进行高低位阶切换,ABF先动了,接下来包括台积电(2330-TW)相关设备、先进制程以及半导体耗材供应链里面,仍有部分基本面具备支撑、但股价尚未明显反映的低基期标的值得持续观察仍有部分基本面具备支撑、但股价尚未明显反映的低基期标的,现在不是去追市场最热、已经涨很多的股票,高档该调节就调节,拉回有安全边际再找机会,观察法人筹码往哪里集中、哪些低位阶族群开始出现量价转强,行情永远都有机会,邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】,即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享,带你用数据掌握节奏,每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单,帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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文章来源:陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

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    "content": "<p>大盘开高走低伴随量缩,市场对亮眼财报的反应转趋钝化,频见解套卖压,显示高档追价力道已显疲态。盲目追高风险加剧之际,唯有保留资金弹性、静待关键支撑,并看懂主流资金「由高转低」的换档节奏,才能提前锁定低位阶补涨契机,从容掌握下一阶段的波段获利!</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6579345/l/63cb86ec67e072d0cea41af5bb8ec7a5.jpg\" alt=\"指数高档遇解套卖压,财报利多反成出货陷阱?跟着主流资金大举转向卡位下半场!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p><em><strong>〈高档量缩不是没事 追价意愿正在降温〉</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>今日台股加权指数开高后震荡,盘中一度站上46000点,终场上涨46点,成交量缩至9420亿元,现在的量缩,和反弹初期因为大量强势股锁涨停、流动性下降造成的价量背离完全不同,现在是指数一拉高,追价的人开始变少,因此上面解套跟获利了结的卖压就出来,所以周末直播<a href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>一直提醒大家,指数往上推的时候不要乱追,像群联(8299-TW)前面财报数字很漂亮,股价却没有因为利多一路往上,反而出现明显卖压,这就是市场对利多开始钝化的讯号,好消息出来,股票都不一定涨,现阶段如果大盘顺势回测季线约46000点附近寻求支撑,反而才是重新找机会的位置。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>〈欣兴涨停表态 ABF补涨逻辑开始发酵〉</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>上周<a href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">老师</a>提过,ABF载板族群部分个股因为处于处置交易期间,资金短线不好进出,但这并不代表基本面消失,处置解除之后,市场资金自然会重新回头检视,欣兴(3037-TW)就是最清楚的例子,恢复正常交易后直接攻上1120元涨停,景硕(3189-TW)也上涨近5%,PCB相关的臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)同步走强,正好呼应我们前面一直强调的观念,当高位阶股票开始震荡,资金就会寻找有基本面、但股价位阶相对落后的族群,今天ABF表态,就是这个资金轮动逻辑开始被市场验证。</p>\n\n<p><em><strong>〈</strong><strong>免费下载【陈智霖分析师APP</strong><strong>】,掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单</strong><strong>〉</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>APP选股会员每月限额招收,名额有限,每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」,邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】:<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"121\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"4.016528925619835\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6579345/m/d3279b516ad7560ac961fde56898e2d8.jpg\" data-width=\"486\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6579345/l/d3279b516ad7560ac961fde56898e2d8.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p><em><strong>〈下一阶段关键 锁定低位阶与法人筹码〉</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>经过这一波快速反弹,部分高位阶股票已经累积相当大的涨幅,市场自然会开始进行高低位阶切换,ABF先动了,接下来包括台积电(2330-TW)相关设备、先进制程以及半导体耗材供应链里面,仍有部分基本面具备支撑、但股价尚未明显反映的低基期标的值得持续观察仍有部分基本面具备支撑、但股价尚未明显反映的低基期标的,现在不是去追市场最热、已经涨很多的股票,高档该调节就调节,拉回有安全边际再找机会,观察法人筹码往哪里集中、哪些低位阶族群开始出现量价转强,行情永远都有机会,邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】,即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享,带你用数据掌握节奏,每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单,帮你避开风险、锁定机会。</p>\n\n<p>最新影音(请点影音上方标题至Youtube收视品质会更佳)</p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/LnIxZo5GhKE\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<p><em><strong>〈</strong><strong>立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务</strong><strong>〉</strong></em></p>\n\n<p>忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请,每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新,面对震荡行情,理性分析与数据判断是关键,立即填表跟上专业:<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a></p>\n\n<p>钱进热线 02-2653-8299,立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。</p>\n\n<p>文章来源:陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11180.html\" title=\"国泰00878、00881年化配息率冲12%、16% 经理人看Q3震荡是买点\">国泰00878、00881年化配息率冲12%、16% 经理人看Q3震荡是买点</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7193.html\" title=\"〈亚洲生技大展〉萧美琴:生技为护国产业之一 期盼促进产业与世界连结\">〈亚洲生技大展〉萧美琴:生技为护国产业之一 期盼促进产业与世界连结</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-6751.html\" title=\"〈AWS台湾高峰会〉王定恺:AI Agent的企业四大AI策略 首先要「找到金矿再买铲子」\">〈AWS台湾高峰会〉王定恺:AI Agent的企业四大AI策略 首先要「找到金矿再买铲子」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-6338.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 全达(8068)6月营收1.52亿元年增率高达181.71%\">营收速报  - 全达(8068)6月营收1.52亿元年增率高达181.71%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11595.html\" title=\"幸福职场「电力满格」 熙特尔获亚洲最佳企业雇主奖\">幸福职场「电力满格」 熙特尔获亚洲最佳企业雇主奖</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4937.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:华邦电(2344-TW)目标价调降至200元,幅度约15.25%\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:华邦电(2344-TW)目标价调降至200元,幅度约15.25%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-08-17T09:48:34.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-08-21T14:07:17.000Z"
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