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【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向 抢先布局九月大行情?!

2026-08-19 17:57:58 钜亨网 阅读(1)

【八月底选股策略? 两大方向 抢先布局九月大行情】

【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向 抢先布局九月大行情?!

影片中分享给你知道

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再来看一下今天的台股!

加权指数今日开低走低,终场下跌589.33点,收在44719.35,成交量9584.44亿。

观察三大法人今天筹码动向,外资卖超416.39亿元,投信卖超120.90亿元,自营商卖超171.18亿元,三大法人合计卖超708.48亿元,其中,外资、自营商连卖二日、投信则由买转卖。

油价持续攀升,市场重新担忧通膨压力升温,加上美国10年期公债殖利率逼近4.70%,全球债市卖压加重,企业融资成本上升疑虑升温,进一步压抑高估值科技股表现,美股周二四大指数全面收黑,其中费城半导体指数重挫4.98%,半导体族群成为主要杀盘重心,(NVDA-US)辉达,(AMD-US)超微,等AI概念股同步承压,显示市场短线风险偏好明显降温。

受到美股科技股重挫影响,台股今日开盘面临较大卖压,加上受到台指期结算影响,加权指数今日开低走低,不过随着低接买盘逐步进场,跌幅明显收敛,终场下跌589.33点,收在44719.35,成交量9584.44亿,指数回测季线附近后出现反弹,今日收量缩黑K棒,台股虽然收黑K棒,但留下长达410.64点的下影线,代表低档有人承接,月线有撑,目前将是属于震荡格局;展望后市,美债殖利率高档、中东地缘政治风险,以及前波套牢筹码形成的卖压,仍是短线影响台股波动的重要因素,若后续急跌过程中融资余额同步下降,且成交量没有失控放大,反而有助市场消化短线浮额,待卖压逐步沉淀后,指数有机会重新寻找支撑,本周市场焦点则聚焦台指期结算、FED会议纪要,以及机器人与自动化工业展,相关自动化、机器人零组件及AI应用概念股仍有机会成为资金轮动的重要方向。

权值股方面,(2330-TW)台积电,下跌1.26%,收在2350元,持续扩大资本支出,法人预估2027Capex将由750亿美元上修至800亿美元,2028年维持900亿美元,主要受AI加速器、苹果2奈米晶片及AMD伺服器CPU需求带动,强劲需求也有助台积电持续扩大与英特尔、三星晶圆代工的竞争差距,法人同步上调20262028年每股获利预估约8%15%,维持「优于大盘」评等,随着先进制程产能持续扩充、定价能力提升,加上AI运算供应短缺仍未完全缓解,台积电有望持续受惠AI长期资本支出超级循环;

(2317-TW)鸿海,下跌1.61%,收在245元,鸿海第二季营运表现优于预期,受惠云端网路产品营收占比突破51%,加上营运杠杆及成本控管改善,营益率达3.8%,优于市场预期,EPS4.24元,法人同步上修20262027EPS预估9%16%,展望后市,GPU伺服器仍是2027年主要成长动能,AI伺服器营收预估第三季季增双位数,ASIC及网通产品亦逐步放量,CPO交换器预计第三季进入量产,随着AI基础建设需求延续,鸿海2026年资本支出预估年增逾30%,并持续扩充台湾、美国及墨西哥产能,AI伺服器、ASICCPO多元布局可望推升长期获利成长;

(2454-TW)联发科,下跌1.03%,收在3845元,第2季营收达1,521.83亿元,EPS 15.28元,上半年EPS累计30.45元,毛利率维持46.2%,基本面表现稳健,7月营收虽月减16.44%484.75亿元,但仍年增12.16%,主要受到旗舰手机晶片换机周期影响,预期89月营收可望回升。更重要的是,联发科首款AI加速器ASIC预计第4季量产,资料中心业务今年营收可望突破20亿美元,并瞄准2027AI ASIC市场15%20%市占,加上已取得次世代CSP客户2028年量产专案,云端与AI布局持续深化,长线成长动能值得关注。

在大盘震荡加剧、资金转向具基本面支撑个股的环境下,AI与自动化、功率半导体成为盘面重要主轴,其中(3008-TW)大立光,受惠AI之眼与机器人视觉应用题材,AI与光学族群方面,市场持续寻找具差异化题材的标的,(3008-TW)大立光,搭上「AI之眼」题材,受惠AI视觉、机器人及高阶光学应用持续拓展,股价强势创下新高,显示资金即使在大盘急跌时,仍愿意布局具产业趋势与高成长潜力的个股,另外(4931-TW)新盛力,受惠AI伺服器、备援电源及储能需求成长,亦可留意AI基础建设扩张所带来的需求机会 ;另外 (2603-TW)长荣,具大型货柜航商地位,美线与SCFI指数连续走扬,市场预期第三季为传统旺季,运价「易涨难跌」,带动对长荣获利与配息想像。配合公司上半年获利亮眼、近月营收连续年增三成以上,基本面强势成为支撑股价强势创下新高。

2026.7.30股市期皇后领先预告(3008-TW)大立光

(3008-TW)大立光,3715=>5720,领先预告后+53%

大立光高阶镜头需求回升 CPO布局添长线成长动能,受惠主要手机品牌新机放量及中国旗舰机种推出,预期第3季营收可望逐月回升,并带动毛利率改善。第2季营收年增17%,毛利率49.4%,随高阶镜头规格持续升级,加上潜望式、可变光圈及折叠手机镜头需求增加,有助产品组合优化。另一方面,大立光积极布局CPO光通讯,FA技术预计第3季完成试产线,最快2027年中进入量产,虽短期贡献有限,但随高速传输需求成长,CPO有望成为长期新成长引擎。

欢迎免费订阅

股市期皇后 庄佳萤

https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

8/19

强势股分享

【上市 量大上涨股】

(3090-TW)日电贸

(2478-TW)大毅

(5608-TW)四维航

(5269-TW)祥硕

(2613-TW)中柜

(6715-TW)嘉基

(9921-TW)巨大

(2417-TW)圆刚

(3034-TW)联咏

(2492-TW)华新科

(3008-TW)大立光

(6116-TW)彩晶

(2375-TW)凯美

(5538-TW)东明-KY

(2609-TW)阳明

(2617-TW)台航

8/19

强势股分享

【上柜 量大上涨股】

(5314-TW)世纪*

(3508-TW)位速

(3498-TW)阳程

(8042-TW)金山电

(3236-TW)千如

(6125-TW)广运

(3265-TW)台星科

(6290-TW)良维

(6532-TW)瑞耘

(3490-TW)单井

(3537-TW)堡达

(3441-TW)联一光

(4931-TW)新盛力

(2641-TW)正德

(5351-TW)钰创

(3221-TW)台嘉硕

庄佳萤分析师:

每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股,让投资朋友轻松追踪2026年年台股操作方向,相关详细内容请加入Line@索取,免费提供给您!

股市期皇后 证期双分析师 庄佳萤

LINE官方帐号

LINE ID搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)

或是点击下方网址加入

https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

Youtube影音频道 精彩解盘影片不容错过!

(记得按赞,订阅并打开小铃铛)

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文章来源:摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师

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          "id": 45,
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          "name": "期货公司",
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    "content": "\n<p>【八月底选股策略? 两大方向 抢先布局九月大行情】</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/2aaf1b20ee4430e8d13863dfd124d3f1.jpg\" alt=\"【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向 抢先布局九月大行情?!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/OBZsIXcT5Xs\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<p>影片中分享给你知道</p>\n\n<p>(按赞订阅打开小铃铛)</p>\n\n<p><strong>再来看一下今天的台股</strong><strong>!</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>加权指数今日开低走低,终场下跌</strong><strong>589.33</strong><strong>点,收在</strong><strong>44719.35</strong><strong>,成交量</strong><strong>9584.44</strong><strong>亿。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>观察三大法人今天筹码动向,外资卖超</strong><strong>416.39</strong><strong>亿元,投信卖超</strong><strong>120.90</strong><strong>亿元,自营商卖超</strong><strong>171.18</strong><strong>亿元,三大法人合计卖超</strong><strong>708.48</strong><strong>亿元,其中,外资、自营商连卖二日、投信则由买转卖。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>油价持续攀升,市场重新担忧通膨压力升温,加上美国</strong><strong>10</strong><strong>年期公债殖利率逼近</strong><strong>4.70%</strong><strong>,全球债市卖压加重,企业融资成本上升疑虑升温,进一步压抑高估值科技股表现,美股周二四大指数全面收黑,其中费城半导体指数重挫</strong><strong>4.98%</strong><strong>,半导体族群成为主要杀盘重心,</strong><strong>(NVDA-US)</strong><strong>辉达,</strong><strong>(AMD-US)</strong><strong>超微,等</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>概念股同步承压,显示市场短线风险偏好明显降温。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>受到美股科技股重挫影响,台股今日开盘面临较大卖压,加上受到台指期结算影响,加权指数今日开低走低,不过随着低接买盘逐步进场,跌幅明显收敛,终场下跌</strong><strong>589.33</strong><strong>点,收在</strong><strong>44719.35</strong><strong>,成交量</strong><strong>9584.44</strong><strong>亿,指数回测季线附近后出现反弹,今日收量缩黑</strong><strong>K</strong><strong>棒,台股虽然收黑</strong><strong>K</strong><strong>棒,但留下长达</strong><strong>410.64</strong><strong>点的下影线,代表低档有人承接,月线有撑,目前将是属于震荡格局;展望后市,美债殖利率高档、中东地缘政治风险,以及前波套牢筹码形成的卖压,仍是短线影响台股波动的重要因素,若后续急跌过程中融资余额同步下降,且成交量没有失控放大,反而有助市场消化短线浮额,待卖压逐步沉淀后,指数有机会重新寻找支撑,本周市场焦点则聚焦台指期结算、</strong><strong>FED</strong><strong>会议纪要,以及机器人与自动化工业展,相关自动化、机器人零组件及</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>应用概念股仍有机会成为资金轮动的重要方向。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>权值股方面,</strong><strong>(2330-TW)</strong><strong>台积电,下跌</strong><strong>1.26%</strong><strong>,收在</strong><strong>2350</strong><strong>元,持续扩大资本支出,法人预估</strong><strong>2027</strong><strong>年</strong><strong>Capex</strong><strong>将由</strong><strong>750</strong><strong>亿美元上修至</strong><strong>800</strong><strong>亿美元,</strong><strong>2028</strong><strong>年维持</strong><strong>900</strong><strong>亿美元,主要受</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>加速器、苹果</strong><strong>2</strong><strong>奈米晶片及</strong><strong>AMD</strong><strong>伺服器</strong><strong>CPU</strong><strong>需求带动,强劲需求也有助台积电持续扩大与英特尔、三星晶圆代工的竞争差距,法人同步上调</strong><strong>2026</strong><strong>至</strong><strong>2028</strong><strong>年每股获利预估约</strong><strong>8%</strong><strong>至</strong><strong>15%</strong><strong>,维持「优于大盘」评等,随着先进制程产能持续扩充、定价能力提升,加上</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>运算供应短缺仍未完全缓解,台积电有望持续受惠</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>长期资本支出超级循环;</strong><strong> </strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>(2317-TW)</strong><strong>鸿海,下跌</strong><strong>1.61%</strong><strong>,收在</strong><strong>245</strong><strong>元,鸿海第二季营运表现优于预期,受惠云端网路产品营收占比突破</strong><strong>51%</strong><strong>,加上营运杠杆及成本控管改善,营益率达</strong><strong>3.8%</strong><strong>,优于市场预期,</strong><strong>EPS</strong><strong>为</strong><strong>4.24</strong><strong>元,法人同步上修</strong><strong>2026</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>2027</strong><strong>年</strong><strong>EPS</strong><strong>预估</strong><strong>9%</strong><strong>及</strong><strong>16%</strong><strong>,展望后市,</strong><strong>GPU</strong><strong>伺服器仍是</strong><strong>2027</strong><strong>年主要成长动能,</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>伺服器营收预估第三季季增双位数,</strong><strong>ASIC</strong><strong>及网通产品亦逐步放量,</strong><strong>CPO</strong><strong>交换器预计第三季进入量产,随着</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>基础建设需求延续,鸿海</strong><strong>2026</strong><strong>年资本支出预估年增逾</strong><strong>30%</strong><strong>,并持续扩充台湾、美国及墨西哥产能,</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>伺服器、</strong><strong>ASIC</strong><strong>与</strong><strong>CPO</strong><strong>多元布局可望推升长期获利成长;</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>(2454-TW)</strong><strong>联发科,下跌</strong><strong>1.03%</strong><strong>,收在</strong><strong>3845</strong><strong>元,第</strong><strong>2</strong><strong>季营收达</strong><strong>1,521.83</strong><strong>亿元,</strong><strong>EPS 15.28</strong><strong>元,上半年</strong><strong>EPS</strong><strong>累计</strong><strong>30.45</strong><strong>元,毛利率维持</strong><strong>46.2%</strong><strong>,基本面表现稳健,</strong><strong>7</strong><strong>月营收虽月减</strong><strong>16.44%</strong><strong>至</strong><strong>484.75</strong><strong>亿元,但仍年增</strong><strong>12.16%</strong><strong>,主要受到旗舰手机晶片换机周期影响,预期</strong><strong>8</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>9</strong><strong>月营收可望回升。更重要的是,联发科首款</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>加速器</strong><strong>ASIC</strong><strong>预计第</strong><strong>4</strong><strong>季量产,资料中心业务今年营收可望突破</strong><strong>20</strong><strong>亿美元,并瞄准</strong><strong>2027</strong><strong>年</strong><strong>AI ASIC</strong><strong>市场</strong><strong>15%</strong><strong>至</strong><strong>20%</strong><strong>市占,加上已取得次世代</strong><strong>CSP</strong><strong>客户</strong><strong>2028</strong><strong>年量产专案,云端与</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>布局持续深化,长线成长动能值得关注。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>在大盘震荡加剧、资金转向具基本面支撑个股的环境下,</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>与自动化、功率半导体成为盘面重要主轴,其中</strong><strong>(3008-TW)</strong><strong>大立光,受惠</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>之眼与机器人视觉应用题材,</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>与光学族群方面,市场持续寻找具差异化题材的标的,</strong><strong>(3008-TW)</strong><strong>大立光,搭上「</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>之眼」题材,受惠</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>视觉、机器人及高阶光学应用持续拓展,股价强势创下新高,显示资金即使在大盘急跌时,仍愿意布局具产业趋势与高成长潜力的个股,另外</strong><strong>(4931-TW)</strong><strong>新盛力,受惠</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>伺服器、备援电源及储能需求成长,亦可留意</strong><strong>AI</strong><strong>基础建设扩张所带来的需求机会</strong><strong> </strong><strong>;另外</strong><strong> (2603-TW)</strong><strong>长荣,具大型货柜航商地位,美线与</strong><strong>SCFI</strong><strong>指数连续走扬,市场预期第三季为传统旺季,运价「易涨难跌」,带动对长荣获利与配息想像。配合公司上半年获利亮眼、近月营收连续年增三成以上,基本面强势成为支撑股价强势创下新高。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>2026.7.30股市期皇后领先预告(3008-TW)大立光</strong><br></br>\n </p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"362\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.5303867403314917\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/648f351eb9527e545565e64dd12f96f9.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/648f351eb9527e545565e64dd12f96f9.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n<p><strong style=\"letter-spacing:0.7px\">(3008-TW)</strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing:0.7px\">大立光,</strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing:0.7px\">3715=>5720</strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing:0.7px\">,领先预告后</strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing:0.7px\">+53%</strong><strong style=\"letter-spacing:0.7px\">,</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>大立光高阶镜头需求回升</strong><strong> CPO</strong><strong>布局添长线成长动能,受惠主要手机品牌新机放量及中国旗舰机种推出,预期第</strong><strong>3</strong><strong>季营收可望逐月回升,并带动毛利率改善。第</strong><strong>2</strong><strong>季营收年增</strong><strong>17%</strong><strong>,毛利率</strong><strong>49.4%</strong><strong>,随高阶镜头规格持续升级,加上潜望式、可变光圈及折叠手机镜头需求增加,有助产品组合优化。另一方面,大立光积极布局</strong><strong>CPO</strong><strong>光通讯,</strong><strong>FA</strong><strong>技术预计第</strong><strong>3</strong><strong>季完成试产线,最快</strong><strong>2027</strong><strong>年中进入量产,虽短期贡献有限,但随高速传输需求成长,</strong><strong>CPO</strong><strong>有望成为长期新成长引擎。</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"364\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.521978021978022\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/35018affced48583906777ae97554b5a.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/35018affced48583906777ae97554b5a.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n<p>欢迎免费订阅<br></br>\n股市期皇后 庄佳萤</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a></p>\n\n<p>8/19</p>\n\n<p>强势股分享</p>\n\n<p>【上市 量大上涨股】<br></br>\n(3090-TW)日电贸</p>\n\n<p>(2478-TW)大毅</p>\n\n<p>(5608-TW)四维航</p>\n\n<p>(5269-TW)祥硕</p>\n\n<p>(2613-TW)中柜</p>\n\n<p>(6715-TW)嘉基</p>\n\n<p>(9921-TW)巨大</p>\n\n<p>(2417-TW)圆刚</p>\n\n<p>(3034-TW)联咏</p>\n\n<p>(2492-TW)华新科</p>\n\n<p>(3008-TW)大立光</p>\n\n<p>(6116-TW)彩晶</p>\n\n<p>(2375-TW)凯美</p>\n\n<p>(5538-TW)东明-KY</p>\n\n<p>(2609-TW)阳明</p>\n\n<p>(2617-TW)台航</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"496\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1169354838709677\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/1c4c5cbce8cbe6e52cbfa91aafef88f1.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/1c4c5cbce8cbe6e52cbfa91aafef88f1.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n<p>8/19</p>\n\n<p>强势股分享</p>\n\n<p>【上柜 量大上涨股】<br></br>\n(5314-TW)世纪*</p>\n\n<p>(3508-TW)位速</p>\n\n<p>(3498-TW)阳程</p>\n\n<p>(8042-TW)金山电</p>\n\n<p>(3236-TW)千如</p>\n\n<p>(6125-TW)广运</p>\n\n<p>(3265-TW)台星科</p>\n\n<p>(6290-TW)良维</p>\n\n<p>(6532-TW)瑞耘</p>\n\n<p>(3490-TW)单井</p>\n\n<p>(3537-TW)堡达</p>\n\n<p>(3441-TW)联一光</p>\n\n<p>(4931-TW)新盛力</p>\n\n<p>(2641-TW)正德</p>\n\n<p>(5351-TW)钰创</p>\n\n<p>(3221-TW)台嘉硕</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"503\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1013916500994037\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/8ec6114890dc846c156faf1e4ac3809c.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/8ec6114890dc846c156faf1e4ac3809c.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n<p>庄佳萤分析师:<br></br>\n每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股,让投资朋友轻松追踪2026年年台股操作方向,相关详细内容请加入Line@索取,免费提供给您!</p>\n\n<p>股市期皇后 证期双分析师 庄佳萤</p>\n\n<p>LINE官方帐号</p>\n\n<p>LINE ID搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)</p>\n\n<p>或是点击下方网址加入<br></br>\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a></p>\n\n<p>Youtube影音频道 精彩解盘影片不容错过!</p>\n\n<p>(记得按赞,订阅并打开小铃铛)</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ\">http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ</a></p>\n\n<p>FB粉丝团:【股市期皇后】</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://goo.gl/kN2VKT\">https://goo.gl/kN2VKT</a></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"361\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4155124653739612\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/0cc050204ce31595e0d96dc10aca521f.jpg\" data-width=\"511\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/0cc050204ce31595e0d96dc10aca521f.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n<p>文章来源:摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br></br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br></br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-937.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 集中市场加权指数下跌-884.61点至43372.19点,跌幅2%\">盘中速报 - 集中市场加权指数下跌-884.61点至43372.19点,跌幅2%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9731.html\" title=\"年底旺季备货需求升温 电视面板8月价格跌幅收敛\">年底旺季备货需求升温 电视面板8月价格跌幅收敛</a></li>\n    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    "createdAt": "2026-08-19T09:45:27.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-08-19T09:57:58.000Z"
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