反弹行情进入分化期！量缩横盘短打胜率最高，两大强势主流「二次买点」浮现！

美债殖利率降温带动国际股市反弹，台股加权指数力求站稳支撑，面对成交量能萎缩的区间震荡格局，市场进入方向分化期，控管中性持股水位并搭配低进高出的短打策略是现阶段致胜关键。

〈量缩横盘格局延续　45000点要尽快站稳〉
受到美国财政部释出购债消息、长天期公债殖利率压力降温带动，台股今盘中一度来到45160点，但随后卖压出笼震荡走低，所幸尾盘低接买盘逐步进场，终场加权指数收在44933点，成交量萎缩至约7930亿元，持续低于月均量，从期权结构来看，近月选择权比已重新回升至1之上，接下来指数要尽快站稳健45000点，才能进一步确认支撑力道。

〈散热拉回不是坏事　光通讯资金再度汇聚〉
散热族群前波涨幅不小，短线出现拉回本来就是正常的筹码交换，只要产业趋势没有改变，拉回寻求支撑，反而是重新检视进场位置的机会，不用看到股价下跌就急着否定产业方向，这也是为什么奇𬭎(3017-TW)前几日涨高，智霖老师先带会员做调节，涨多之后回测支撑，反而是重新观察介入节奏的重要时点。另一方面，光通讯族群尾盘再度出现资金汇聚，光圣(6442-TW)、华星光(4979-TW)走势明显强于大盘，代表光通讯依旧是这一波资金认同度相对高的方向，市场进入分化之后，不是所有股票都会一起涨，选股会比猜指数更加重要。

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APP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：https://lihi.cc/zwrii

〈量能没有放大以前　耐心等主流股给位置〉
台积电(2330-TW)相关下游供应链，历经一段时间量缩整理后，短线走势虽然比较平淡，但也正因为现在市场还没有高度追逐，反而保留中长线逢低布局的安全边际，目前多项量化指标与市场广度仍处于中性区间，在成交量没有出现明确方向性放大以前，还不到全面积极追价的阶段，现阶段就是量缩横盘、个股轮动，低进高出、不要追高，优先锁定稳居月线与季线之上的主流产业，持续观察成交量能何时重新放大，再提高攻击水位，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：https://lihi.cc/RFzlE

钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。

文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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\n散热族群前波涨幅不小，短线出现拉回本来就是正常的筹码交换，只要产业趋势没有改变，拉回寻求支撑，反而是重新检视进场位置的机会，不用看到股价下跌就急着否定产业方向，这也是为什么奇𬭎(3017-TW)前几日涨高，<a href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>先带会员做调节，涨多之后回测支撑，反而是重新观察介入节奏的重要时点。另一方面，光通讯族群尾盘再度出现资金汇聚，光圣(6442-TW)、华星光(4979-TW)走势明显强于大盘，代表光通讯依旧是这一波资金认同度相对高的方向，市场进入分化之后，不是所有股票都会一起涨，选股会比猜指数更加重要。\n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉 \nAPP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"189\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"4.021164021164021\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6582686/m/bf2a82b038ad912914a38ad47906a1eb.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6582686/l/bf2a82b038ad912914a38ad47906a1eb.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6582686/l/bf2a82b038ad912914a38ad47906a1eb.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6582686/xl/bf2a82b038ad912914a38ad47906a1eb.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6582686/xxl/bf2a82b038ad912914a38ad47906a1eb.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n〈量能没有放大以前　耐心等主流股给位置〉 \n台积电(2330-TW)相关下游供应链，历经一段时间量缩整理后，短线走势虽然比较平淡，但也正因为现在市场还没有高度追逐，反而保留中长线逢低布局的安全边际，目前多项量化指标与市场广度仍处于中性区间，在成交量没有出现明确方向性放大以前，还不到全面积极追价的阶段，现阶段就是量缩横盘、个股轮动，低进高出、不要追高，优先锁定稳居月线与季线之上的主流产业，持续观察成交量能何时重新放大，再提高攻击水位，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n最新影音(请点影音上方标题至Youtube收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/ay-YVycHcGc\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉 \n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a>\n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-515.html\" title=\"崇越携手创意引进BE打造全台首座低碳运算中心\">崇越携手创意引进BE打造全台首座低碳运算中心</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-15452.html\" title=\"讯舟日本新专案2027首季启动出货短期审慎应对料件涨价与AI排挤\">讯舟日本新专案2027首季启动出货短期审慎应对料件涨价与AI排挤</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17257.html\" title=\"抢卡位亚洲AI算力商机！野村亚洲伞型ETF 00420A 009833获准募集台日韩携手捧AI金饭碗\">抢卡位亚洲AI算力商机！野村亚洲伞型ETF 00420A 009833获准募集台日韩携手捧AI金饭碗</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9634.html\" title=\"主动式ETF再添新兵！00411A、00987D同步聚焦科技、美债，攻守配置成市场焦点？\">主动式ETF再添新兵！00411A、00987D同步聚焦科技、美债，攻守配置成市场焦点？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13198.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：南亚(1303-TW)目标价调升至277.5元，幅度约7.77%\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：南亚(1303-TW)目标价调升至277.5元，幅度约7.77%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11071.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：英业达(2356-TW)EPS预估上修至3.57元，预估目标价为65元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 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