台币暴升不是送分题！大户资金暗中大搬家，法说前夕「这族群」悄悄发动修复行情

汇率升值看似热络，但钱被少数权值巨头吸光，盘面严重失衡，盲目抄底只会深陷套牢泥淖，当热门主流集体熄火整理，聪明钱早已转向基期充分消化的潜力周边，趁法说前夕长线护短线低调卡位，抢赚估值修复红利。

〈汇率走强资金集中权值股　量能不足才是盘面关键〉

智霖老师昨天特别加开节目剖析，新台币汇率强升，外资资金集中于少数大型权值股，反而压缩整体市场广度，今天早上APP盘前分析也再次提醒，如果柜买市场没有实质量能推升，中小型股就很难出现健康的全面性行情，今天盘面正好印证这套推演，加权指数终场收在47105点，成交值8766亿元，柜买成交值2129亿元，两大市场成交量皆低于月均量，近期融资余额快速增加，不少融资筹码往被动元件等相对弱势族群逢低摊平，当国巨(2327-TW)、华新科(2492-TW)等股票再度拉回，短线融资自然形成套牢与上档解套压力，高基期的光学股大立光(3008-TW)也持续修正，代表目前不管低基期补涨还是高基期强势股，都还没有形成真正一致性的攻击结构，没有量价齐扬，就不要因为一天上涨急着把部位打满。

〈广达营收创高为何还跌？ AI基本面强不等于可以追价〉

今天AI伺服器ODM同步进入整理，广达(2382-TW)先前经过一波上涨之后，来到前波整理区间后遭遇反压，今天拉回幅度相对明显，最新公布8月营收4239.71亿元，月增15.8%、年增177.5%，不只首度突破4000亿元，也改写单月历史新高，前8月累计营收达2.64兆元，代表AI伺服器中长线需求并没有因为一天股价拉回就改变，基本面底气还是在，有基本面，接下来还是要看各期均线纠结之后能不能重新转强，法人筹码、中长线需求都可以继续观察，但短线操作一定要等量价重新表态。

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〈台积电率先转强　半导体设备耗材迎来评价修复机会〉

台积电(2330-TW)近期率先转强之后，也让沉寂一段时间的周边设备、耗材与半导体供应链有没有机会跟着进入评价修复，现在随着下个月台积电季度法说会逐步接近，市场资金往往会提前开始交易未来预期，相关供应链能否由低档整理转为量价齐扬，将是接下来的重要观察方向。

台股目前就是很典型的震荡洗盘期，多空交错、族群轮动快，所以操作不能躁进，维持中性偏低的防御性持股水位，有量价齐扬的突围讯号，再弹性搭配短线价差操作，保留现金与主动权，才能在下一轮机会从容布局，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

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无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>昨天特别加开节目剖析，新台币汇率强升，外资资金集中于少数大型权值股，反而压缩整体市场广度，今天早上APP盘前分析也再次提醒，如果柜买市场没有实质量能推升，中小型股就很难出现健康的全面性行情，今天盘面正好印证这套推演，加权指数终场收在47105点，成交值8766亿元，柜买成交值2129亿元，两大市场成交量皆低于月均量，近期融资余额快速增加，不少融资筹码往被动元件等相对弱势族群逢低摊平，当国巨(2327-TW)、华新科(2492-TW)等股票再度拉回，短线融资自然形成套牢与上档解套压力，高基期的光学股大立光(3008-TW)也持续修正，代表目前不管低基期补涨还是高基期强势股，都还没有形成真正一致性的攻击结构，没有量价齐扬，就不要因为一天上涨急着把部位打满。\n\n〈广达营收创高为何还跌？ AI基本面强不等于可以追价〉\n\n今天AI伺服器ODM同步进入整理，广达(2382-TW)先前经过一波上涨之后，来到前波整理区间后遭遇反压，今天拉回幅度相对明显，最新公布8月营收4239.71亿元，月增15.8%、年增177.5%，不只首度突破4000亿元，也改写单月历史新高，前8月累计营收达2.64兆元，代表AI伺服器中长线需求并没有因为一天股价拉回就改变，基本面底气还是在，有基本面，接下来还是要看各期均线纠结之后能不能重新转强，法人筹码、中长线需求都可以继续观察，但短线操作一定要等量价重新表态。\n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉\n\nAPP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"121\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"4.016528925619835\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6600576/m/2e953b5a8fab76641685aaed08578a41.jpg\" data-width=\"486\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6600576/l/2e953b5a8fab76641685aaed08578a41.jpg\"></figure>\n\n〈台积电率先转强　半导体设备耗材迎来评价修复机会〉\n\n台积电(2330-TW)近期率先转强之后，也让沉寂一段时间的周边设备、耗材与半导体供应链有没有机会跟着进入评价修复，现在随着下个月台积电季度法说会逐步接近，市场资金往往会提前开始交易未来预期，相关供应链能否由低档整理转为量价齐扬，将是接下来的重要观察方向。\n\n台股目前就是很典型的震荡洗盘期，多空交错、族群轮动快，所以操作不能躁进，维持中性偏低的防御性持股水位，有量价齐扬的突围讯号，再弹性搭配短线价差操作，保留现金与主动权，才能在下一轮机会从容布局，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n最新影音(请点影音上方标题至Youtube收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/IdBDGd5uiL0\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉\n\n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a>\n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14742.html\" title=\"挑战台积电代工霸主地位！三星泰勒厂月底试产 2奈米订单已接满\">挑战台积电代工霸主地位！三星泰勒厂月底试产 2奈米订单已接满</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-8848.html\" title=\"富邦媒释出百名配送司机职缺平均月薪7万元年薪上看百万\">富邦媒释出百名配送司机职缺平均月薪7万元年薪上看百万</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17264.html\" title=\"〈台经院看景气〉房市过度悲观的流动性危机化解投机也彻底退场\">〈台经院看景气〉房市过度悲观的流动性危机化解投机也彻底退场</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5229.html\" title=\"中裕爱滋病新药获TFDA领证通知距台湾上市剩最后一哩路\">中裕爱滋病新药获TFDA领证通知距台湾上市剩最后一哩路</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-16464.html\" title=\"〈房产〉仲量联行：AI及半导体投资延续企业自用需求仍支撑商用不动产\">〈房产〉仲量联行：AI及半导体投资延续企业自用需求仍支撑商用不动产</a></li>\n 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