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力成(6239) FOPLP良率突破90%!500亿资本支出砸下去,下一步才是关键?

2026-09-09 15:21:08 网络 阅读(2)

优分析产业资料库力成 历年单月营收

力成(6239-TW)近期突破性进展,其一为8月底法说会揭露FOPLP技术细节、良率高于95%且产能已被客户锁定,其二为2026年8月单月营收85.58亿元创历史新高,年增24.5%,AI与记忆体需求双引擎发威。激情过后,2027年量产能转为实质营收吗?

8月营收创历史新高,记忆体本业先帮AI封装撑腰

在FOPLP还没有大量贡献之前,力成的主要获利支撑仍来自既有记忆体封测业务。2026年8月营收达85.58亿元,月增3.47%、年增24.45%,创下历史新高。而且这已经是连续两个月刷新单月营收纪录。背后主要受惠于AI相关记忆体需求,包括HBM外溢、SSD与DDR5等产品需求提升。

FOPLP量产进入倒数,良率已突破90%!

力成目前积极布局的FOPLP,是未来AI高阶封装的重要技术之一。相较于传统12吋晶圆制程,面板级封装可以利用更大的面积进行晶片封装,有机会提高单片产出、降低成本,因此特别受到AI大型晶片市场关注。

力成竹科P11厂的FOPLP产线目前已完成建置,总投资规模约500亿元,可以提供从前段RDL、晶片贴合,到后段封装的一站式服务。更重要的是,目前FOPLP良率已达90%~95%,已超越先前设定的90%目标,实体样品也已经送交客户验证。

5倍光罩已经上线,2026年底再挑战9倍

除了良率之外,FOPLP另一个关键就是大型面板制程与设备能力。力成目前已具备5倍光罩尺寸的生产能力,若采用约515mm × 510mm的面板制程,单片可以产出约45颗晶片。相比12吋晶圆一次约只能产出8~9颗,单片产出明显提高。

而力成的设备布局还在持续扩大。目前5倍光罩尺寸已可生产,预计2026年底设备进一步提升至9倍光罩尺寸,未来再朝14倍光罩尺寸扩充。

AMD、博通加持,FOPLP不只是技术题材

如果单纯只有「良率突破90%」,市场未必会给太高评价。真正让FOPLP受到关注的,是客户与合作伙伴已经开始进场。市场资讯显示,AMD已导入力成FOPLP作为核心CPU Venice相关封装平台;另一方面,力成也与博通在新加坡成立合资公司,投资规模达4亿美元,规划分4年投入。

这两项布局代表的意义不同:

  • AMD:代表FOPLP开始进入HPC/AI高阶晶片封装应用。
  • 博通:代表力成有机会透过合资模式,进一步绑定高阶AI ASIC封装需求。

尤其当AI晶片持续放大,而先进封装产能供应仍吃紧时,市场确实需要台积电以外的第二封装来源。因此,力成这几年的FOPLP布局,开始从「长期技术投资」逐渐走向「商业化收成」。

500亿元资本支出押注FOPLP,2027年才是真正验收期

虽然FOPLP长线题材强,但力成目前仍有几项风险需要留意。

首先,FOPLP量产进度仍需要客户验证,目前技术与良率虽已达到一定水准,但从样品到大规模量产仍存在时间差。

其次,力成目前把大量资本集中到FOPLP,因此部分HBM、CIS新案暂缓开发。如果FOPLP放量速度不如预期,高资本支出反而可能增加短期折旧与资金压力。

最后则是新产能的实际稼动率。设备到位只是第一步,真正决定投资效益的,是客户订单能否快速填满产能。

力成现在最大的转变,是公司已经逐步从传统记忆体封测,跨向AI先进封装。目前FOPLP已经具备:良率突破90% → 5倍光罩量产 → 9倍设备扩充 → 客户验证 → AI大厂合作

如果2027年能顺利进入量产,并且AMD、博通等高阶客户需求持续放量,那么FOPLP就有机会从目前的「技术与题材」,逐步变成力成新的AI营收成长引擎。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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    "content": "<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6601502/o/91e658e352db4ee6174b6f4149aef4e6.jpg\" alt=\"优分析产业资料库力成 历年单月营收\" />\n<p>力成(6239-TW)近期突破性进展,其一为8月底法说会揭露FOPLP技术细节、良率高于95%且产能已被客户锁定,其二为2026年8月单月营收85.58亿元创历史新高,年增24.5%,AI与记忆体需求双引擎发威。激情过后,2027年量产能转为实质营收吗?</p>\n\n<h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"1rj758k\" data-start=\"1753\" data-end=\"1779\">8月营收创历史新高,记忆体本业先帮AI封装撑腰</h2>\n<p data-start=\"1781\" data-end=\"1819\">在FOPLP还没有大量贡献之前,力成的主要获利支撑仍来自既有记忆体封测业务。2026年8月营收达85.58亿元,月增3.47%、年增24.45%,创下历史新高。而且这已经是连续两个月刷新单月营收纪录。背后主要受惠于AI相关记忆体需求,包括HBM外溢、SSD与DDR5等产品需求提升。</p>\n<h2>FOPLP量产进入倒数,良率已突破90%!</h2>\n<p data-start=\"489\" data-end=\"521\">力成目前积极布局的FOPLP,是未来AI高阶封装的重要技术之一。相较于传统12吋晶圆制程,面板级封装可以利用更大的面积进行晶片封装,有机会提高单片产出、降低成本,因此特别受到AI大型晶片市场关注。</p>\n<p data-start=\"591\" data-end=\"659\">力成竹科P11厂的FOPLP产线目前已完成建置,总投资规模约500亿元,可以提供从前段RDL、晶片贴合,到后段封装的一站式服务。更重要的是,目前FOPLP良率已达90%~95%,已超越先前设定的90%目标,实体样品也已经送交客户验证。</p>\n<h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"qrsnvj\" data-start=\"806\" data-end=\"829\">5倍光罩已经上线,2026年底再挑战9倍</h2>\n<p data-start=\"831\" data-end=\"866\">除了良率之外,FOPLP另一个关键就是大型面板制程与设备能力。力成目前已具备5倍光罩尺寸的生产能力,若采用约515mm &times; 510mm的面板制程,单片可以产出约45颗晶片。相比12吋晶圆一次约只能产出8~9颗,单片产出明显提高。</p>\n<p data-start=\"959\" data-end=\"974\">而力成的设备布局还在持续扩大。目前5倍光罩尺寸已可生产,预计2026年底设备进一步提升至9倍光罩尺寸,未来再朝14倍光罩尺寸扩充。</p>\n<h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"dl4ytf\" data-start=\"1070\" data-end=\"1094\">AMD、博通加持,FOPLP不只是技术题材</h2>\n<p data-start=\"1096\" data-end=\"1123\">如果单纯只有「良率突破90%」,市场未必会给太高评价。真正让FOPLP受到关注的,是客户与合作伙伴已经开始进场。市场资讯显示,AMD已导入力成FOPLP作为核心CPU Venice相关封装平台;另一方面,力成也与博通在新加坡成立合资公司,投资规模达4亿美元,规划分4年投入。</p>\n<p data-start=\"1247\" data-end=\"1260\">这两项布局代表的意义不同:</p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1262\" data-end=\"1296\">AMD:代表FOPLP开始进入HPC/AI高阶晶片封装应用。</li>\n<li data-start=\"1298\" data-end=\"1338\">博通:代表力成有机会透过合资模式,进一步绑定高阶AI ASIC封装需求。</li>\n</ul>\n<p data-start=\"1340\" data-end=\"1385\">尤其当AI晶片持续放大,而先进封装产能供应仍吃紧时,市场确实需要台积电以外的第二封装来源。因此,力成这几年的FOPLP布局,开始从「长期技术投资」逐渐走向「商业化收成」。</p>\n<h2 class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-section-id=\"1i0506c\" data-start=\"1434\" data-end=\"1465\">500亿元资本支出押注FOPLP,2027年才是真正验收期</h2>\n<p data-start=\"2463\" data-end=\"2492\">虽然FOPLP长线题材强,但力成目前仍有几项风险需要留意。</p>\n<p data-start=\"2494\" data-end=\"2551\">首先,FOPLP量产进度仍需要客户验证,目前技术与良率虽已达到一定水准,但从样品到大规模量产仍存在时间差。</p>\n<p data-start=\"2553\" data-end=\"2629\">其次,力成目前把大量资本集中到FOPLP,因此部分HBM、CIS新案暂缓开发。如果FOPLP放量速度不如预期,高资本支出反而可能增加短期折旧与资金压力。</p>\n<p data-start=\"2631\" data-end=\"2649\">最后则是新产能的实际稼动率。设备到位只是第一步,真正决定投资效益的,是客户订单能否快速填满产能。</p>\n<p class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-start=\"2727\" data-end=\"2766\">力成现在最大的转变,是公司已经逐步从传统记忆体封测,跨向AI先进封装。目前FOPLP已经具备:良率突破90% &rarr; 5倍光罩量产 &rarr; 9倍设备扩充 &rarr; 客户验证 &rarr; AI大厂合作</p>\n<p class=\"PDq2pG_selectionAnchorContainer\" data-start=\"2727\" data-end=\"2766\">如果2027年能顺利进入量产,并且AMD、博通等高阶客户需求持续放量,那么FOPLP就有机会从目前的「技术与题材」,逐步变成力成新的AI营收成长引擎。</p><p>※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:<a style=\"color:#A9A9A9\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https://uanalyze.com.tw/articles/6873154945\">原文连结</a>\n            <br>※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。</p>\n            <p></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-549.html\" title=\"台股又超车了! 彭博:台湾跃全球第五大股市\">台股又超车了! 彭博:台湾跃全球第五大股市</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14076.html\" title=\"安基生技SBMA新药临床三期试验申请送件美国FDA 最快Q4启动\">安基生技SBMA新药临床三期试验申请送件美国FDA 最快Q4启动</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-7276.html\" title=\"大摩调升台积电目标价!AI扩产能否撑住毛利率?\">大摩调升台积电目标价!AI扩产能否撑住毛利率?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4973.html\" title=\"台湾5月手机市场苹果市占近4成居冠 Google凭AI实力冲上第五\">台湾5月手机市场苹果市占近4成居冠 Google凭AI实力冲上第五</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-6763.html\" title=\"〈AWS台湾高峰会〉威刚智联抢实体AI商机 导入AWS部署时间大减三分之二\">〈AWS台湾高峰会〉威刚智联抢实体AI商机 导入AWS部署时间大减三分之二</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10535.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 捷创科技(7810)7月营收8,386万元年增率高达109.78%\">营收速报  - 捷创科技(7810)7月营收8,386万元年增率高达109.78%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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