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CCL「降级鬼故事」重击PCB!台光电、联茂、台燿同步重挫,真正改变的是「这件事」!?

2026-09-17 15:39:08 网络 阅读(1)

优分析

2026年09月17日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 台股收盘上涨439点,CCL族群却逆势成为重灾区。

联茂(6213-TW)跌停收在495元,台光电(2383-TW)下跌7.67%、收4,695元,台燿(6274-TWO)下跌6.71%、收1,320元。

市场担心,随CPO技术普及,高速讯号将在主晶片附近直接转成光讯号,不再需要经过主机板长距离传输,部分CCL规格可能由M8、M9降至M4,使过去「材料持续升级、平均售价不断提高」的成长逻辑面临改变。

但如果因此认为高阶CCL需求即将消失,可能又把问题看得太简单。

因为CPO带来的真正变化,不是材料全面停止升级,而是升级的位置正在改变。更重要的是,台光电、联茂与台燿承接下一轮需求的方向,已经开始分岔。

CPO不是让材料消失,而是让升级位置移动

目前AI伺服器与高速交换器需要在PCB上传输大量高速讯号,因此必须使用M8、M9等低损耗CCL,降低讯号经过铜线时产生的损耗与杂讯。

但随传输速度由224G SerDes继续往448G发展,电讯号能够在PCB上传输的距离愈来愈短,CPO因此将光引擎移到交换晶片附近,缩短高速电讯号的传输路径。

这可能使大型主机板不再需要所有区域都使用最高阶CCL,却不代表材料升级结束。

因为当光引擎、交换晶片与电源元件更密集地整合在一起,升级需求反而会转向IC载板、光引擎模组板、高阶交换器与厚铜电源板。

材料要求也将从单纯追求低讯号损耗,进一步增加低热膨胀、高导热、高耐压及尺寸稳定性。

因此,下一轮产业竞争不再只是谁能把CCL从M7做到M9,而是谁能把材料能力延伸到新的升级位置。

台光电:从PCB材料跨进IC载板

台光电的方向,是从PCB用CCL横向跨入IC载板用CCL。

过去市场关注台光电,主要看M7、M8到M9的规格升级;但现在,公司开始把既有的树脂配方及高阶材料能力,延伸至BT与ABF载板材料。

BT载板材料预计于2026年第四季放量,ABF载板CCL认证结果最快也将在同一季出炉。台湾新增的每月30万张产能,则规划用于载板CCL;若既有产能完成转换,AI载板CCL月产能可望达到约100万张。

这项布局的意义是,即使CPO降低大型主机板部分区域对M8、M9的用量,台光电仍有机会从晶片封装载板及光引擎周边取得新的材料价值。

此外,台光电M9已于2026年第三季进入量产,目标2027年营收占比达双位数,M10也已进入送样阶段,代表公司仍未放弃既有的高阶PCB材料市场。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

不过,台光电目前在载板材料市场的市占率仅约1.6%,与长期掌握主要市场的日韩厂商仍有差距。接下来真正要观察的,不只是通过认证,而是良率、客户采用与实际放量速度。

联茂:不走载板,聚焦高速PCB本业

联茂选择的是另一条路。

公司与日本三菱瓦斯合资的菱茂电子已决议解散,预计2026年10月完成清算,代表联茂现阶段不再把IC载板材料视为主要发展方向,而是将资源集中在通用伺服器与高速PCB。

通用型伺服器约占联茂营收五成至六成。随AMD Venice及Intel Oak Stream导入PCIe Gen 6,材料将由M6升级至M7,单台伺服器的材料产值可望提高20%至30%。

另一方面,一线CCL厂将产能优先配置给M8、M9等高阶产品,使部分中阶E-glass订单向外转移,联茂也成为缺料外溢的受益者。

联茂并非完全退出高阶材料。公司M9已通过美系GPU大厂认证,预计2027年开始放量,只是现阶段主要成长来源,仍是通用伺服器从M6升级至M7,而不是像台光电一样跨入载板市场。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

联茂的风险则在获利能力。2026年第一季毛利率仅11.4%,反映涨价速度落后原料成本;若2027年玻纤布与铜箔新增产能开出,缺料带来的转单及议价优势也可能逐渐减弱。

台燿:卡位交换器、ASIC与厚铜电源板

台燿的材料升级位置,主要落在高阶交换器、ASIC伺服器及厚铜电源板。

公司M7、M8产品占营收比重,已由2026年第一季的38%提高至第二季的39%,预估2027年有机会进一步超过五成。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

交换器方面,800G产品已经出货,1.6T预计于2026年下半年放量,材料规格也将由M8往M9升级。

即使未来3.2T交换器开始导入CPO,800G与1.6T仍将是资料中心重要的分流设备,因此高阶交换器材料不会立即被取代。

台燿另一项差异是厚铜CCL,目前约占营收14%。随AI伺服器功耗提高,电源板使用的铜厚由3oz升级至5至6oz,带动材料用量与平均售价同步增加。

泰国厂预计2026年第三季底增加每月30万张产能,用于承接ASIC伺服器相关需求。不过,新厂初期成本、设备交期与良率爬坡,也可能压抑短期获利表现。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

三家公司走向不同的升级路线

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

真正要问的不是会不会降级,而是价值转移到哪里

这次市场担心的「CCL降级」,可能只说对了一半。

CPO确实可能降低大型主机板部分区域使用M8、M9的必要性,使「整张板全面升级」的成长模式受到挑战;但高速运算需要的材料不会因此消失,而是逐步转向IC载板、光引擎模组、高阶交换器与厚铜电源板。

台光电选择跨入载板,联茂聚焦通用伺服器,台燿则卡位交换器、ASIC与电源板。三家公司虽然同属CCL族群,未来的成长动能与风险已经不再相同。

所以,今天三家公司同步重挫后,市场真正需要重新判断的,不只是M8、M9需求会不会减少,而是下一轮高价值材料需求,最后会落在哪一种产品、由哪一家供应商承接。

CPO不一定终结CCL升级,但正在重新分配材料升级所带来的价值。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
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    "description": "2026年09月17日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 台股收盘上涨439点,CCL族群却逆势成为重灾区。 联茂(6213-TW)跌停收在495元,台光电(2383-TW)下跌7.67%、收4,695元,台燿(6274-TWO)下跌6.71%、收1,320元。 市场担心,随CPO技术普及,高速讯号将在主晶片附近直接转成光讯号,不再需要经过主机板长距离传输,部分CCL规格可能由M8、M9降至M4,使过去「材料持续升级、平均售价不断提高」的成长逻辑面临改变。 但如果因此认为高阶CCL需求即将消失,可能",
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    "content": "<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6609044/o/3034de448e44819b9f03104e44eca554.jpg\" alt=\"优分析\" /><p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">2026年09月17日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 台股收盘上涨439点,CCL族群却逆势成为重灾区。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">联茂(6213-TW)跌停收在495元,台光电(2383-TW)下跌7.67%、收4,695元,台燿(6274-TWO)下跌6.71%、收1,320元。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">市场担心,随CPO技术普及,高速讯号将在主晶片附近直接转成光讯号,不再需要经过主机板长距离传输,部分CCL规格可能由M8、M9降至M4,使过去「材料持续升级、平均售价不断提高」的成长逻辑面临改变。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">但如果因此认为高阶CCL需求即将消失,可能又把问题看得太简单。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">因为CPO带来的真正变化,不是材料全面停止升级,而是升级的位置正在改变。更重要的是,台光电、联茂与台燿承接下一轮需求的方向,已经开始分岔。</p>\n<h2>CPO不是让材料消失,而是让升级位置移动</h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">目前AI伺服器与高速交换器需要在PCB上传输大量高速讯号,因此必须使用M8、M9等低损耗CCL,降低讯号经过铜线时产生的损耗与杂讯。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">但随传输速度由224G SerDes继续往448G发展,电讯号能够在PCB上传输的距离愈来愈短,CPO因此将光引擎移到交换晶片附近,缩短高速电讯号的传输路径。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">这可能使大型主机板不再需要所有区域都使用最高阶CCL,却不代表材料升级结束。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">因为当光引擎、交换晶片与电源元件更密集地整合在一起,升级需求反而会转向IC载板、光引擎模组板、高阶交换器与厚铜电源板。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">材料要求也将从单纯追求低讯号损耗,进一步增加低热膨胀、高导热、高耐压及尺寸稳定性。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">因此,下一轮产业竞争不再只是谁能把CCL从M7做到M9,而是谁能把材料能力延伸到新的升级位置。</p>\n<h2>台光电:从PCB材料跨进IC载板</h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">台光电的方向,是从PCB用CCL横向跨入IC载板用CCL。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">过去市场关注台光电,主要看M7、M8到M9的规格升级;但现在,公司开始把既有的树脂配方及高阶材料能力,延伸至BT与ABF载板材料。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">BT载板材料预计于2026年第四季放量,ABF载板CCL认证结果最快也将在同一季出炉。台湾新增的每月30万张产能,则规划用于载板CCL;若既有产能完成转换,AI载板CCL月产能可望达到约100万张。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">这项布局的意义是,即使CPO降低大型主机板部分区域对M8、M9的用量,台光电仍有机会从晶片封装载板及光引擎周边取得新的材料价值。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">此外,台光电M9已于2026年第三季进入量产,目标2027年营收占比达双位数,M10也已进入送样阶段,代表公司仍未放弃既有的高阶PCB材料市场。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6609044/o/a2c25e0fff465c8f3e9cbee91de8419e.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">不过,台光电目前在载板材料市场的市占率仅约1.6%,与长期掌握主要市场的日韩厂商仍有差距。接下来真正要观察的,不只是通过认证,而是良率、客户采用与实际放量速度。</p>\n<h2>联茂:不走载板,聚焦高速PCB本业</h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">联茂选择的是另一条路。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">公司与日本三菱瓦斯合资的菱茂电子已决议解散,预计2026年10月完成清算,代表联茂现阶段不再把IC载板材料视为主要发展方向,而是将资源集中在通用伺服器与高速PCB。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">通用型伺服器约占联茂营收五成至六成。随AMD Venice及Intel Oak Stream导入PCIe Gen 6,材料将由M6升级至M7,单台伺服器的材料产值可望提高20%至30%。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">另一方面,一线CCL厂将产能优先配置给M8、M9等高阶产品,使部分中阶E-glass订单向外转移,联茂也成为缺料外溢的受益者。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">联茂并非完全退出高阶材料。公司M9已通过美系GPU大厂认证,预计2027年开始放量,只是现阶段主要成长来源,仍是通用伺服器从M6升级至M7,而不是像台光电一样跨入载板市场。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6609044/o/def732068c7a100d7834049184217895.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">联茂的风险则在获利能力。2026年第一季毛利率仅11.4%,反映涨价速度落后原料成本;若2027年玻纤布与铜箔新增产能开出,缺料带来的转单及议价优势也可能逐渐减弱。</p>\n<h2>台燿:卡位交换器、ASIC与厚铜电源板</h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">台燿的材料升级位置,主要落在高阶交换器、ASIC伺服器及厚铜电源板。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">公司M7、M8产品占营收比重,已由2026年第一季的38%提高至第二季的39%,预估2027年有机会进一步超过五成。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6609044/o/10ad1abba1355d968107686c3e689159.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">交换器方面,800G产品已经出货,1.6T预计于2026年下半年放量,材料规格也将由M8往M9升级。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">即使未来3.2T交换器开始导入CPO,800G与1.6T仍将是资料中心重要的分流设备,因此高阶交换器材料不会立即被取代。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">台燿另一项差异是厚铜CCL,目前约占营收14%。随AI伺服器功耗提高,电源板使用的铜厚由3oz升级至5至6oz,带动材料用量与平均售价同步增加。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">泰国厂预计2026年第三季底增加每月30万张产能,用于承接ASIC伺服器相关需求。不过,新厂初期成本、设备交期与良率爬坡,也可能压抑短期获利表现。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6609044/o/270e5cfcc738476ac5f69d3bfe560e6d.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<h2>三家公司走向不同的升级路线</h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6609044/o/36281021aa92ea8c9aed61670d35f341.jpg\">(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)</p>\n<h2>真正要问的不是会不会降级,而是价值转移到哪里</h2>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">这次市场担心的「CCL降级」,可能只说对了一半。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">CPO确实可能降低大型主机板部分区域使用M8、M9的必要性,使「整张板全面升级」的成长模式受到挑战;但高速运算需要的材料不会因此消失,而是逐步转向IC载板、光引擎模组、高阶交换器与厚铜电源板。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">台光电选择跨入载板,联茂聚焦通用伺服器,台燿则卡位交换器、ASIC与电源板。三家公司虽然同属CCL族群,未来的成长动能与风险已经不再相同。</p>\n<p class=\"isSelectedEnd\">所以,今天三家公司同步重挫后,市场真正需要重新判断的,不只是M8、M9需求会不会减少,而是下一轮高价值材料需求,最后会落在哪一种产品、由哪一家供应商承接。</p>\n<p>CPO不一定终结CCL升级,但正在重新分配材料升级所带来的价值。</p><p>※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:<a style=\"color:#A9A9A9\" rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https://uanalyze.com.tw/articles/2333355524\">原文连结</a>\n            <br>※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。</p>\n            <p></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9996.html\" title=\"营收速报  - 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