全球资金『弃债转股』！台股创新高后，相对低位阶的是这产业！？

债券资金将流入股票市场？

从联准会点阵图来看，2026年底之前还会升息一码(预测利率中位数4.1%)；2027年维持利率不变(预测利率中位数4.125%)；2028年开启降息(预测利率中位数3.9%)。

从联准会利率点阵图来看，至2028年底之前，联准会利率政策上下变动空间不大，相应来看，美债殖利率的空间也将会相对有限，不管是做多或做空美债的投资人，获利空间自然也有限。

更多的投资策略与选股资讯都在－
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频道连结https://www.youtube.com/@money66868

相对来看，陆续面对去杠杆、美债殖利率创多年新高等利空的美国股市整理完后开始创新高(9/21那斯达克指数创收盘历史新高)，显然市场资金开始回流美股，并押注Q4行情。9/2文章『9月魔咒！四巫日9.6兆美元结算！是危机还是黄金坑？』提供下表统计数据。

标普500指数自1928年以来统计：

月份	上涨比率	平均报酬
9月	45%	-1.1%
10月	59%	+0.5%
11月	62%	+1.0%
12月	72%	+1.2%

并且根据美国银行的统计，过去15次期中选举后12个月的平均报酬率达16.3%。从历史数据来看，未来一年股市获利空间将远高于债市，因此，除了长期收取利息为主的资金外，对于赚取债券价格价差的投资人来说，股市表现将会优于债市。况且标普500指数的预期本益比仅约19.4倍，在风险相对有限，但获利空间大的情况下，债市的投机与投资资金将有机会转向股市。

昨日欣兴(3037-TW)、南电(8046-TW)涨停板！9/7文章『签LTA还不够？博通合资建厂的真相！接下来锁定这个概念股！』在市场担忧博通与TOPPAN合资自建ABF厂，使得ABF供给紧张缓解，提醒投资朋友，这更证明ABF载板的缺货情况严重，反而是买点机会。

高盛预估2027年美国超大资料中心的资本支出规模达到1.4兆美元，摩根士丹利则预估2028年前14大CSP资本支出达到1.6兆美元。由于台厂在AI伺服器多个环节为重要供应链，因此，台股多头可用之兵多，昨日台股加权指数创新高，但各供应链位阶不同，下面相对低位阶AI绩优股给投资朋友参考。

投资朋友往往是上涨一段时间之后，才敢进场，昨日台股量能回升并创新高，但涨幅收敛，不少投资人又再追高。当然，投资朋友也不用过度担心，台股后面空间很大，但该怎么布局？

已经有人在中秋节前卡位，中秋节后换那些产业与个股表现？
让我帮助你，掌握中秋节后行情，加入我的行列，可先加入https://user225916.pse.is/money668并私讯【中秋好礼】有最新优惠活动！

AI供应链绩优股如下：

BBU：台达电(2308-TW)、光宝科(2301-TW)、顺达(3211-TW)、新盛力(4931-TW)、台半(5425-TW)、顺德(2351-TW)、国巨(2327-TW)

SiC：嘉晶(3016-TW)、汉磊(3707-TW)、世界(5347-TW)

涨价：联电(2303-TW)、世界(5347-TW)、华邦电(2344-TW)、南亚科(2408-TW)、环球晶(6488-TW)

更多产业趋势预告+盘中讯息→
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文章来源：摩尔投顾－叶俊敏分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n上涨比率\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n平均报酬\n</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n9月\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n45%\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n-1.1%\n</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n10月\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n59%\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n+0.5%\n</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n11月\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n62%\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n+1.0%\n</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n12月\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n72%\n</td>\n<td style=\"vertical-align:top\">\n+1.2%\n</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n\n并且根据美国银行的统计，过去15次期中选举后12个月的平均报酬率达16.3%。从历史数据来看，未来一年股市获利空间将远高于债市，因此，除了长期收取利息为主的资金外，对于赚取债券价格价差的投资人来说，股市表现将会优于债市。况且标普500指数的预期本益比仅约19.4倍，在风险相对有限，但获利空间大的情况下，债市的投机与投资资金将有机会转向股市。\n\n昨日欣兴(3037-TW)、南电(8046-TW)涨停板！9/7文章『签LTA还不够？博通合资建厂的真相！接下来锁定这个概念股！』在市场担忧博通与TOPPAN合资自建ABF厂，使得ABF供给紧张缓解，提醒投资朋友，这更证明ABF载板的缺货情况严重，反而是买点机会。\n\n高盛预估2027年美国超大资料中心的资本支出规模达到1.4兆美元，摩根士丹利则预估2028年前14大CSP资本支出达到1.6兆美元。由于台厂在AI伺服器多个环节为重要供应链，因此，台股多头可用之兵多，昨日台股加权指数创新高，但各供应链位阶不同，下面相对低位阶AI绩优股给投资朋友参考。\n\n投资朋友往往是上涨一段时间之后，才敢进场，昨日台股量能回升并创新高，但涨幅收敛，不少投资人又再追高。当然，投资朋友也不用过度担心，台股后面空间很大，但该怎么布局？\n\n已经有人在中秋节前卡位，中秋节后换那些产业与个股表现？ \n让我帮助你，掌握中秋节后行情，加入我的行列，可先加入<a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a>并私讯【中秋好礼】有最新优惠活动！\n\nAI供应链绩优股如下：\n\nBBU：台达电(2308-TW)、光宝科(2301-TW)、顺达(3211-TW)、新盛力(4931-TW)、台半(5425-TW)、顺德(2351-TW)、国巨(2327-TW)\n\nSiC：嘉晶(3016-TW)、汉磊(3707-TW)、世界(5347-TW)\n\n涨价：联电(2303-TW)、世界(5347-TW)、华邦电(2344-TW)、南亚科(2408-TW)、环球晶(6488-TW)\n\n更多产业趋势预告+盘中讯息→ \n都在叶老师的 Line @： \nLINE@ID：@money668 (@要记得加)\n\n<a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\">https://user225916.pse.is/money668</a> \n加入之后可以留言《巨亨网》让我知道你从哪里认识我的，有优惠活动或赠品会优先通知喔！\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－叶俊敏分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17125.html\" title=\"vivo V80 Lite 10/1 在台开卖搭载联发科技天玑 7300e处理器主打超大电池容量\">vivo V80 Lite 10/1 在台开卖搭载联发科技天玑 7300e处理器主打超大电池容量</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-21907.html\" title=\"宏达电正式揭晓VIVEE扩大个人AI产品布局 AI带进穿搭、陪伴与互动打造新世代日常\">宏达电正式揭晓VIVEE扩大个人AI产品布局 AI带进穿搭、陪伴与互动打造新世代日常</a></li>\n <li><a 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