野村投信最新台股看法--【台股操盘人笔记】AI平台放量，营收成长动能延续

加权股价指数近6个月表现：（资料来源：Bloomberg，截至2026/10/07）

野村脚勤观点：
AI平台放量，营收成长动能延续
随着辉达Vera Rubin、Google TPU及AWS Trainium3显著放量，AI供应链成长动能延续至第四季。虽部分公司因7、8月急单提前拉货，导致9月营收月减，但年增表现仍维持倍数成长，显示客户拉货节奏调整并未改变成长趋势，持续看好滑轨、散热及CCL等供应链。其中，CCL近期虽面临M8、M9需求减少与PTFE材料替代的杂音，但以2027年主要成长动能的ASIC平台来看，导入M9材料与高阶玻纤布的趋势仍持续推进。事实上不同AI平台的材料选择与升级路径各异，但考量AI整体需求扩大，具备高阶产品规格、稳定量产能力与客户认证优势的厂商，仍有望受惠市场规模扩张与产品组合升级。

经理人视角：
大盘利多因素：
（一）AI资本支出强劲：四大CSP 2027年资本支出上修至1兆美元，AI基础建设的投资循环尚未见顶
（二）Vera Rubin出货：预期Q3末~Q4初进入大量量产阶段，相关供应链可望看到月营收显著成长
（三）获利上修趋势不变：野村投信内部股票池估计2026年EPS YoY上修至77.3%，连续第9个月上修
大盘利空因素：
（一）评价面仍有压力：Fed进入升息循环、美债殖利率突破5.3%，短线或为评价面带来压力
（二）CSP自由现金流转负：短期对资本支出影响应属有限，但若加速恶化，或影响未来资本支出节奏
布局2027年主轴：聚焦获利成长对抗评价压力
中秋节后台股迅速重启涨势，惟短线面临获利了结、资金轮动，以及美国公债殖利率高档与美国期中选举等不确定性压抑，离五万点关卡仍近乡情怯。不过以近期部份AI供应链自结月营收表现亮眼来看，预期企业获利成长仍有望抵销评价压力，我们仍对第四季行情维持正向看法。展望2027年，考量美国财政赤字问题难解，加上CSP融资需求增加可能使利率维持高档，选股上更应聚焦获利成长强劲且展望持续上修的公司，才有望打败利率上扬带来的评价压抑。目前2027年聚焦方向以同时受惠辉达GPU与CSP自研ASIC放量相关产业，包括：散热、PCB及CCL供应链，有机会迎来出货量增加、规格升级与产品组合改善；另一方面，光通讯与CPO相关的雷射光源、光纤阵列（FAU）及光收发模组也有机会随着2027逐步放量受惠，亦是明年看好的重点产业。

本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。

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警语
注：文中涉及个别公司相关资讯仅供个别事件说明与评论，非为个股之推荐，投资人申购本基金系持有基金受益凭证，而非本文提及之投资资产或标的。投资人无法直接投资指数，本资料仅为市场历史数值统计概况说明，非基金绩效表现之预测。本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。
野村证券投资信托股份有限公司 110615台北市信义路五段7号30楼(台北101大楼)
客服专线：(02) 8758-1568 野村投资理财网：www.nomurafunds.com.tw
上述基金均经金管会核准或同意生效，惟不表示绝无风险。基金经理公司以往之经理绩效不保证基金之最低投资收益；基金经理公司除尽善良管理人之注意义务外，不负责本基金之盈亏，亦不保证最低之收益，投资人申购前应详阅基金公开说明书(或投资人须知)。有关基金应负担之费用(境外基金含分销费用)已揭露于基金公开说明书或投资人须知中，本公司及销售机构均备有基金公开说明书(或其中译本)或投资人须知，投资人亦可至基金资讯观测站或本公司网站(https://www.nomurafunds.com.tw)中查询。基金买卖系以投资人自己之判断为之，投资人应了解并承担交易可能产生之损益，且最大可能损失达原始投资金额。基金不受存款保险、保险安定基金或其他相关保障机制之保障。如因基金交易所生纷争，台端应先向本公司申诉，如不接受前开申诉处理结果或本公司未在三十日内处理时，得在六十日内向金融消费评议中心申请评议。台端亦得向投信投顾公会申诉、向证券投资人及期货交易人保护中心申请调处或向法院起诉。基金投资风险包括但不限于類股过度集中之风险、产业景气循环之风险、流动性风险、外汇管制及汇率变动风险、投资地区政治、社会或经济变动之风险、商品交易对手之信用风险、与其他投资风险等，请详见基金公开说明书(投资人须知)。基金可能投资承销股票，其可能风险为曝露于时间落差之风险，即缴款之后到股票挂牌上市上柜之前的风险。【野村投信独立经营管理】

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惟Fed升息、美债殖利率逾5.3%，短线恐压抑台股评价", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6624786/l/728e317f86b1bc273560349812cdc0d0.jpg", "content": "加权股价指数近6个月表现：（资料来源：Bloomberg，截至2026/10/07）\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6624786/l/728e317f86b1bc273560349812cdc0d0.jpg\" alt=\"野村投信最新台股看法--【台股操盘人笔记】AI平台放量，营收成长动能延续\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"189\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"4.021164021164021\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6624786/m/08a73a2bc2b5e7a5841c47f9e4ee56f5.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6624786/l/08a73a2bc2b5e7a5841c47f9e4ee56f5.jpg\"></figure>\n\n野村脚勤观点： \nAI平台放量，营收成长动能延续 \n随着辉达Vera Rubin、Google TPU及AWS Trainium3显著放量，AI供应链成长动能延续至第四季。虽部分公司因7、8月急单提前拉货，导致9月营收月减，但年增表现仍维持倍数成长，显示客户拉货节奏调整并未改变成长趋势，持续看好滑轨、散热及CCL等供应链。其中，CCL近期虽面临M8、M9需求减少与PTFE材料替代的杂音，但以2027年主要成长动能的ASIC平台来看，导入M9材料与高阶玻纤布的趋势仍持续推进。事实上不同AI平台的材料选择与升级路径各异，但考量AI整体需求扩大，具备高阶产品规格、稳定量产能力与客户认证优势的厂商，仍有望受惠市场规模扩张与产品组合升级。\n\n经理人视角： \n大盘利多因素： \n（一）AI资本支出强劲：四大CSP 2027年资本支出上修至1兆美元，AI基础建设的投资循环尚未见顶 \n（二）Vera Rubin出货：预期Q3末~Q4初进入大量量产阶段，相关供应链可望看到月营收显著成长 \n（三）获利上修趋势不变：野村投信内部股票池估计2026年EPS YoY上修至77.3%，连续第9个月上修 \n大盘利空因素： \n（一）评价面仍有压力：Fed进入升息循环、美债殖利率突破5.3%，短线或为评价面带来压力 \n（二）CSP自由现金流转负：短期对资本支出影响应属有限，但若加速恶化，或影响未来资本支出节奏 \n布局2027年主轴：聚焦获利成长对抗评价压力 \n中秋节后台股迅速重启涨势，惟短线面临获利了结、资金轮动，以及美国公债殖利率高档与美国期中选举等不确定性压抑，离五万点关卡仍近乡情怯。不过以近期部份AI供应链自结月营收表现亮眼来看，预期企业获利成长仍有望抵销评价压力，我们仍对第四季行情维持正向看法。展望2027年，考量美国财政赤字问题难解，加上CSP融资需求增加可能使利率维持高档，选股上更应聚焦获利成长强劲且展望持续上修的公司，才有望打败利率上扬带来的评价压抑。目前2027年聚焦方向以同时受惠辉达GPU与CSP自研ASIC放量相关产业，包括：散热、PCB及CCL供应链，有机会迎来出货量增加、规格升级与产品组合改善；另一方面，光通讯与CPO相关的雷射光源、光纤阵列（FAU）及光收发模组也有机会随着2027逐步放量受惠，亦是明年看好的重点产业。\n\n本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。\n\n<a href=\"https://money.nomurafunds.com.tw/articles.html?c=8&utm_source=cnYES&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=Campaignsite&utm_content=articles\">阅读更多精彩文章</a>\n\n【野村投信赞助刊登】\n\n \n\n \n\n警语 \n注：文中涉及个别公司相关资讯仅供个别事件说明与评论，非为个股之推荐，投资人申购本基金系持有基金受益凭证，而非本文提及之投资资产或标的。投资人无法直接投资指数，本资料仅为市场历史数值统计概况说明，非基金绩效表现之预测。本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效，基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。 \n野村证券投资信托股份有限公司 110615台北市信义路五段7号30楼(台北101大楼) \n客服专线：(02) 8758-1568 野村投资理财网：<a href=\"http://www.nomurafunds.com.tw\">www.nomurafunds.com.tw</a> \n上述基金均经金管会核准或同意生效，惟不表示绝无风险。基金经理公司以往之经理绩效不保证基金之最低投资收益；基金经理公司除尽善良管理人之注意义务外，不负责本基金之盈亏，亦不保证最低之收益，投资人申购前应详阅基金公开说明书(或投资人须知)。有关基金应负担之费用(境外基金含分销费用)已揭露于基金公开说明书或投资人须知中，本公司及销售机构均备有基金公开说明书(或其中译本)或投资人须知，投资人亦可至基金资讯观测站或本公司网站(https://www.nomurafunds.com.tw)中查询。基金买卖系以投资人自己之判断为之，投资人应了解并承担交易可能产生之损益，且最大可能损失达原始投资金额。基金不受存款保险、保险安定基金或其他相关保障机制之保障。如因基金交易所生纷争，台端应先向本公司申诉，如不接受前开申诉处理结果或本公司未在三十日内处理时，得在六十日内向金融消费评议中心申请评议。台端亦得向投信投顾公会申诉、向证券投资人及期货交易人保护中心申请调处或向法院起诉。基金投资风险包括但不限于類股过度集中之风险、产业景气循环之风险、流动性风险、外汇管制及汇率变动风险、投资地区政治、社会或经济变动之风险、商品交易对手之信用风险、与其他投资风险等，请详见基金公开说明书(投资人须知)。基金可能投资承销股票，其可能风险为曝露于时间落差之风险，即缴款之后到股票挂牌上市上柜之前的风险。【野村投信独立经营管理】<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-20069.html\" title=\"台股市值榜大洗牌！川湖、致茂摔出兆元俱乐部富邦金逆势创新高\">台股市值榜大洗牌！川湖、致茂摔出兆元俱乐部富邦金逆势创新高</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-19119.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 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