天天财经

亚德客-KY(1590)二度上修全年展望!气动元件上升循环,能撑到哪一年?

2026-10-15 11:58:29 网络 阅读(1)

图片来源:优分析产业资料库

2026年10月15日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 亚德客-KY自2025年下半年起营运明显转强,2026年连续三季改写单季营收新高。

9月营收人民币8.06亿元,年增14%;第三季营收人民币24.27亿元,年增23%,创同期新高。

公司全年营收展望从保守转为积极:2025年7月曾下修至高个位数或10%,2026年7月已上修至超过20%,并预期这波气动元件需求的上升循环,可延续至2027年。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

接单大于出货,稼动率维持100%
真正值得注意的是,第三季气动元件稼动率维持100%,接单金额持续大于出货金额,未交货订单维持高档。

公司2026年资本支出原规划新台币20亿至30亿元,因出货优于预期、库存偏低,正评估增加宁波厂的产能及设备。

获利同步垫高,营业利益率由2025年的28%至30%,升至2026年第二季的35.06%,全年目标为34%。

终端需求方面,工具机第二季年增35%;日本工具机9月订单暴增60.4%至2,232亿日圆,刷新历史新高,其中中国市场订单年增61.7%,显示设备投资循环明确转向。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

线性滑轨稼动率回升,2027年拚毛利率40%
2026年前8月线性滑轨营收年增24%,约人民币4.2亿元,稼动率从2025年的逾20%提升至40%以上,预计年底达50%。

公司2027年将维持积极定价策略,目标在1至2年内把稼动率拉升至70%至80%,毛利率提升至40%。

过去线轨营收目标曾一再调整,2024年原目标人民币8亿元后降至6亿元,2025年实际为5.4亿元,2026年公司不再给出指引。

半导体业务从不做到积极布局,月营收一年内倍增
公司策略出现明显转向:2024年底前不发展半导体,2025年初转为积极布局。

目前以泛用型气动元件供货给半导体客户,月营收从2025年第二季的人民币500万至600万元,倍增至1,300万至1,400万元。

针对半导体后端制程客户开发的专用规格,预计2027年上市,2028年起可望有较大营收贡献,长期目标是10年内达人民币10亿元。

风险提醒:线轨稼动率仍偏低,半导体贡献要等2028年
线性滑轨稼动率虽已回升,但目前仍仅4成左右,毛利率提升至40%的目标,有赖稼动率与定价策略持续兑现;公司过去也有下修目标的纪录,2025年7月曾把全年展望下修。

半导体专用产品要到2027年才上市、2028年才可能明显贡献,短期对整体营收的拉动有限,需求上升循环能否如公司预期延续至2027年,仍要看后续接单与出货的变化。

(图片来源:优分析产业资料库)

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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