护盘强弹800点！真落底还是死猫跳？融资洗掉600亿，关键价位没过先别追！

国安基金进场救市，带动大盘迎来报复性反扑、一举回补跳空缺口，融资单日狂砍近600亿，浮额看似洗得很干净，但尾盘量缩与200家强攻涨停背后藏着哪些信号？究竟这波大涨是散户捡便宜的良机，还是主力诱多的陷阱？上方重重反压就在眼前，没看懂关键讯号前，千万别冲动追高！

〈国安基金护盘点火！台股暴涨1960点，融资大减近600亿成反弹关键〉

国安基金正式宣布启动进场护盘机制，直接为市场注入强心针，带动台股今日展开报复性反弹，加权指数盘中最高冲上42349点，终场大涨1960点，收在41661点，台积电(2330-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、台达电(2308-TW)等大型权值股同步强攻，早盘预估成交量迅速扩增至1.1兆元，具备带量上攻条件，即便上周五长黑重挫留下的空方缺口幅度极大，盘中多方买盘依然积极表态，顺利将缺口全数回补。

从筹码结构来看，上周五柜融资余额单日大减近600亿元，创下历史级去杠杆纪录，反而为后续反弹延续性创造极佳环境，今天终场成交量收敛至约8400亿元，并非追价买盘不足，而是全市场涨停家数超过200家，筹码强势锁定后无法继续创造实质成交量，反映场外潜在追价买盘依然强劲，少数受融资断头卖压干扰的弱势个股，等待最后浮额清理完毕，也有望跟进补涨。

〈AI供应链杂音仍未散！创见释出记忆体报价讯号，电子零组件面临新考验〉

不过股价强势反弹不代表产业基本面疑虑已经全面解除，高阶ASIC客制化晶片与新一代AI伺服器，在产品世代交替之际，仍面临衔接与制程良率挑战，加上政治选举结果引发市场对大型资料中心建设时程递延的担忧，短线供应链杂音尚未完全消除，尤其部分关键零组件报价已逐步迈入高原期，记忆体模组厂创见(2451-TW)已表态现阶段报价涨幅暂时不再向上调升，原先被视为AI算力供应链中最紧缺的记忆体产品，都开始浮现涨价动能放缓讯号，其他供需相对没那么紧缺的电子零组件与周边供应链，后续自然也将面临定价能力与需求强度的重新检视，这也是为什么智霖老师在节目上一直提醒，不能单凭一天的强势反弹，就认定所有产业疑虑已经全面解除。

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APP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：https://lihi.cc/zwrii

〈台股反弹能走多远？关键均线反压与财报法说，决定下一阶段行情高度〉

接下来的观察重点，是这波反弹能否从政策面与筹码面的推动，进一步转化成产业基本面的支撑，随着接下来密集财报公布、重量级法说会以及各项产业座谈会陆续登场，市场将重新检视龙头大厂释出的最新前瞻营运指引，确认中长线结构性落底是否真正完成，现阶段不需要因为短线急涨，就躁进胡乱调节，也不必因为先前的恐慌卖压而失去判断，让子弹多飞一会，等指数逐步推升至上方关键均线重反压区，配合成交量、筹码变化与产业基本面，决定下一步进退方向，把市场节奏看清楚，才能在震荡行情中掌握真正有利的机会，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

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上周五柜融资余额单日大减近600亿元，搭配今日200家以上涨停，显示筹码去杠杆后反弹条件转强。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6653637/l/8b0b3124f131aaa88fc2ecfe9b5cc0ea.jpg", "content": "国安基金进场救市，带动大盘迎来报复性反扑、一举回补跳空缺口，融资单日狂砍近600亿，浮额看似洗得很干净，但尾盘量缩与200家强攻涨停背后藏着哪些信号？究竟这波大涨是散户捡便宜的良机，还是主力诱多的陷阱？上方重重反压就在眼前，没看懂关键讯号前，千万别冲动追高！\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6653637/l/8b0b3124f131aaa88fc2ecfe9b5cc0ea.jpg\" alt=\"护盘强弹800点！真落底还是死猫跳？融资洗掉600亿，关键价位没过先别追！\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n \n\n〈国安基金护盘点火！台股暴涨1960点，融资大减近600亿成反弹关键〉\n\n国安基金正式宣布启动进场护盘机制，直接为市场注入强心针，带动台股今日展开报复性反弹，加权指数盘中最高冲上42349点，终场大涨1960点，收在41661点，台积电(2330-TW)、联发科(2454-TW)、台达电(2308-TW)等大型权值股同步强攻，早盘预估成交量迅速扩增至1.1兆元，具备带量上攻条件，即便上周五长黑重挫留下的空方缺口幅度极大，盘中多方买盘依然积极表态，顺利将缺口全数回补。\n\n \n\n从筹码结构来看，上周五柜融资余额单日大减近600亿元，创下历史级去杠杆纪录，反而为后续反弹延续性创造极佳环境，今天终场成交量收敛至约8400亿元，并非追价买盘不足，而是全市场涨停家数超过200家，筹码强势锁定后无法继续创造实质成交量，反映场外潜在追价买盘依然强劲，少数受融资断头卖压干扰的弱势个股，等待最后浮额清理完毕，也有望跟进补涨。\n\n \n\n〈AI供应链杂音仍未散！创见释出记忆体报价讯号，电子零组件面临新考验〉\n\n不过股价强势反弹不代表产业基本面疑虑已经全面解除，高阶ASIC客制化晶片与新一代AI伺服器，在产品世代交替之际，仍面临衔接与制程良率挑战，加上政治选举结果引发市场对大型资料中心建设时程递延的担忧，短线供应链杂音尚未完全消除，尤其部分关键零组件报价已逐步迈入高原期，记忆体模组厂创见(2451-TW)已表态现阶段报价涨幅暂时不再向上调升，原先被视为AI算力供应链中最紧缺的记忆体产品，都开始浮现涨价动能放缓讯号，其他供需相对没那么紧缺的电子零组件与周边供应链，后续自然也将面临定价能力与需求强度的重新检视，这也是为什么<a href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>在节目上一直提醒，不能单凭一天的强势反弹，就认定所有产业疑虑已经全面解除。\n\n \n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉\n\nAPP选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师APP】：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"156\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"4.108974358974359\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6653637/m/08b6f6a951050788a3ffba7a34914642.jpg\" data-width=\"641\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6653637/l/08b6f6a951050788a3ffba7a34914642.jpg\"></figure>\n\n \n\n〈台股反弹能走多远？关键均线反压与财报法说，决定下一阶段行情高度〉\n\n接下来的观察重点，是这波反弹能否从政策面与筹码面的推动，进一步转化成产业基本面的支撑，随着接下来密集财报公布、重量级法说会以及各项产业座谈会陆续登场，市场将重新检视龙头大厂释出的最新前瞻营运指引，确认中长线结构性落底是否真正完成，现阶段不需要因为短线急涨，就躁进胡乱调节，也不必因为先前的恐慌卖压而失去判断，让子弹多飞一会，等指数逐步推升至上方关键均线重反压区，配合成交量、筹码变化与产业基本面，决定下一步进退方向，把市场节奏看清楚，才能在震荡行情中掌握真正有利的机会，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n \n\n最新影音(请点影音上方标题至Youtube收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/4knTdtB_03w\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n \n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉\n\n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a>\n\n \n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n \n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2107.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 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