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〈台股风向球〉外资期货做空未转向前 题材股轮动维系多方热度

2026-11-15 00:03:14 网络 阅读(1)

在台股连4周走跌合计重挫20%后,国安基金宣布进场,使本周加权指数强弹达3973点,收复5日线和10日线短期均线,涨幅达10%,下档有撑的气氛逐渐转强,但又遭逢黄仁勋事件,令来回波动相当大,台股交易员提醒,外资期货净空单续增至已超过10万口,随着美股有压,仍要注意短线有获利者出场造成的压力,若有行情先以个股或族群表现为主流。

〈台股风向球〉外资期货做空未转向前 题材股轮动维系多方热度

上周加权指数反弹达10%,不过,外资仍卖超968亿元与内资投信对作,呈现连7周卖超,主要卖超中钢(2002-TW)和仁宝(2324-TW)均超过6万张,力积电(6770-TW)和大成钢(2027-TW)均逾4.6万张,英业达(2356-TW)达3.2万张,广达(-TW)2.1万张,元大台湾50正2(00631L-TW)近1.9万张,台积电(2330-TW)和正新(2105-TW)均达1.7万张。

反观投信仍维持买超力道,本周主要集中在大型电子股和金控股,有助稳住大盘涨点,一周来买超中信金(2891-TW)近5.4万张,南亚(1303-TW)4.2万张,元大台湾50(0050-TW)近3万张,国泰金(2882-TW)和富邦金(2881-TW)均逾2万张,元大台湾50正2达1.6万张,台积电近1.5万张,台玻(1802-TW)1.2万张,日月光投控(3711-TW)逾8000张。

台股交易员认为,九合一大选前的选前行情可望使大盘明显具备下档支撑,然而美股电子股因黄仁勋事件仍是余波荡漾,且大盘在过去一周大涨10%后面临月线和季线的反压,较好状况是先量缩整理、多头以题材股维持轮动热度。

永丰投顾指出,加权指数处在月线、季线与半年线下方,月线与季线走势向下正在形成压力,均线排列仍未明朗,但是KD 指标上已交叉向上,在此位阶很可能盘整;整体而言,短线反弹仍属跌深后的修复阶段,尚未重回多头结构。

从筹码面来看,外资 10 月卖超创下历史单月新高,但在反弹过程却未出现外资买超回补,从过往经验来看,新波段的开始往往伴随外资回补,因此需等外资转买,加上新台币止贬回升带动更多海外资金回流台湾。

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      "description": "FactSet 最新调查:大立光(3008-TW)EPS预估上修,预估EPS、预估营收、目标价、历史获利表现、即时新闻资讯。",
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法人指短线属跌深修复,月线与季线仍有压。",
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