嘉晶⊕、大中⊕、世芯、7月潜力股伺机进场!!

一、今日盘势重点

1. 指数创高后拉回整理

加权指数终场下跌 640 点，收 47,100 点。
成交量约 1.6 兆元，较前一日增加。
OTC 柜买指数下跌 12.69 点，收 440.81 点。
OTC 成交量约 3,161 亿元，同步放大。

2. 融资创高引发获利了结

集中市场融资突破 6,050 亿元新高。
OTC 融资达 2,084 亿元。
两市合计融资突破 8,134 亿元历史高点。
高杠杆环境下，市场风险意识升温，涨多个股出现明显获利回吐。

3. 高档热门股全面修正

重挫族群包括：

记忆体：南亚科 (2408-TW)、旺宏 (2337-TW)。
PCB/CCL：金像电 (2368-TW)、定颖投 (3715-TW)、台燿 (6274-TW)、联茂 (6213-TW)。
ABF 载板：景硕 (3189-TW)。
被动元件：华新科 (2492-TW)、禾伸堂 (3026-TW)、日电贸 (3090-TW)、钰邦 (6449-TW)。
MCU：新唐 (4919-TW)。
玻纤布与玻璃基板：台玻 (1802-TW)、正达 (3149-TW)。
矽晶圆：环球晶 (6488-TW)。
低轨卫星：升达科 (3491-TW)。

二、大盘趋势分析

1. 中长期多头格局未变

虽然短线震荡加剧，但：

指数仍稳守 10 日线及月线。
AI 带动企业获利成长趋势未变。
市场仍处于多头控盘架构。

2. 重要观察关卡

只要下列支撑不破：

指数	重要支撑
加权指数	42,006 点
OTC 柜买	392.56 点

则中长期上升趋势仍可延续。

三、AI 超级周期持续推升台股

1. 台湾经济成长强劲

主计总处上修 2026 年 GDP 至 9.64%。
瑞银预估 9.9%。
渣打预估 9.5%。
创近 16 年最佳成长水准。

2. 全球 AI 资本支出爆发

北美五大 CSP：

微软
AWS
Google
Meta
Oracle

预估：

2026 年 CapEx 约 8,050 亿美元。
2027 年突破 1.1 兆美元。
2028 年仍将维持高档成长。

AI 资料中心、GPU 丛集、自研 ASIC 与高功耗伺服器建设需求持续爆发。

3. 台湾供应链最大受惠

受惠领域包括：

晶圆代工
先进封装
PCB
CCL
ABF 载板
ASIC
CPO 矽光子
散热
半导体材料

法人预估：

2026 年上市柜企业获利成长可达 40% 以上。
成长动能有望延续至 2028 年。

四、最值得关注的新主流

1. CoPoS 先进封装革命

台积电新一代 CoPoS 技术可望带动：

全球设备商机突破 2,000 亿元。
开启未来 5 年以上成长循环。

受惠股：

汉唐 (2404-TW)
帆宣 (6196-TW)
亚翔 (6139-TW)
弘塑 (3131-TW)
辛耘 (3583-TW)
万润 (6187-TW)
家登 (3680-TW)
旺矽 (6223-TW)
精测 (6510-TW)
颖崴 (6515-TW)

2. 半导体设备与材料自主化

全球供应链重组趋势下：

受惠方向：

特殊气体
光阻材料
石英零组件
陶瓷零件
再生晶圆
封装耗材

2 奈米、A14 及 High-NA EUV 将带动新一波国产化商机。

五、资金轮动方向

第一梯队（涨幅已大）

短线宜避免追价：

记忆体
被动元件
MCU
部分 PCB
部分 ABF 载板

第二梯队（低基期转机股）

近期资金开始转进：

二极体暨 MOSFET

富鼎 (8261-TW)
德微 (3675-TW)
强茂 (2481-TW)
台半 (5425-TW)
大中 (6435-TW)
捷敏 - KY(6525-TW)

第三代半导体

嘉晶 (3016-TW)
汉磊 (3707-TW)

LED

光鼎 (6226-TW)
李洲 (3066-TW)
宏齐 (6168-TW)
光𬭎 (4956-TW)
鼎元 (2426-TW)
艾迪森 (3591-TW)

IC 设计

安国 (8054-TW)

PCB 设备与材料

霖宏 (5464-TW)
晟钛 (3229-TW)
仓和 (6538-TW)
达航科 (4577-TW)

AI 设备与封测

创控 (6909-TW)
菱生 (2369-TW)
精材 (3374-TW)
典范 (3372-TW)

晶圆代工

联电 (2303-TW)

六、投资策略结论

短线：融资过热下，高档震荡与洗盘将成常态。
中线：AI 超级周期、台积电先进制程及全球 AI 资本支出扩张趋势不变。
选股重于选市：避免追逐涨幅过大的热门股。
布局方向：聚焦低基期、转机型及尚未完全反映 AI 成长题材的个股。
操作原则：坚守「低接不追高、分批布局、严控持股水位」策略。

核心观点

本次下跌属于「多头趋势中的技术性修正」，并非空头反转讯号；在 AI 产业长线需求持续扩张下，台股主升段行情仍有机会延续，但资金将由高档热门股逐步转向低基期与落后补涨族群。

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文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师

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"articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, "article": { "id": 3391, "cid": 27, "subCid": null, "title": "嘉晶⊕、大中⊕、世芯、7月潜力股伺机进场!!", "shortTitle": "嘉晶⊕、大中⊕、世芯、7月潜力股伺机进场!!", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "一、今日盘势重点 1. 指数创高后拉回整理加权指数终场下跌 640 点，收 47,100 点。成交量约 1.6 兆元，较前一日增加。 OTC 柜买指数下跌 12.69 点，收 440.81 点。 OTC 成交量约 3,161 亿元，同步放大。 2. 融资创高引发获利了结集中市场融资突破 6,050 亿元新高。 OTC 融资达 2,084 亿元。两市合计融资突破 8,134 亿元历史高点。高杠杆环境下，市场风险意识升温，涨多个股出现明显获利回吐。 3. 高档热门股全面修正重挫族群包括：", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/l/bd902b74eb5327c7cf1984257f7eb926.jpg", "content": "一、今日盘势重点\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/l/bd902b74eb5327c7cf1984257f7eb926.jpg\" alt=\"嘉晶⊕、大中⊕、世芯、7月潜力股伺机进场!!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n1. 指数创高后拉回整理\n\n<ul>\n<li>加权指数终场下跌 640 点，收 47,100 点。</li>\n<li>成交量约 1.6 兆元，较前一日增加。</li>\n<li>OTC 柜买指数下跌 12.69 点，收 440.81 点。</li>\n<li>OTC 成交量约 3,161 亿元，同步放大。</li>\n</ul>\n\n2. 融资创高引发获利了结\n\n<ul>\n<li>集中市场融资突破 6,050 亿元新高。</li>\n<li>OTC 融资达 2,084 亿元。</li>\n<li>两市合计融资突破 8,134 亿元历史高点。</li>\n<li>高杠杆环境下，市场风险意识升温，涨多个股出现明显获利回吐。</li>\n</ul>\n\n3. 高档热门股全面修正\n\n重挫族群包括：\n\n<ul>\n<li>记忆体：南亚科 (2408-TW)、旺宏 (2337-TW)。</li>\n<li>PCB/CCL：金像电 (2368-TW)、定颖投 (3715-TW)、台燿 (6274-TW)、联茂 (6213-TW)。</li>\n<li>ABF 载板：景硕 (3189-TW)。</li>\n<li>被动元件：华新科 (2492-TW)、禾伸堂 (3026-TW)、日电贸 (3090-TW)、钰邦 (6449-TW)。</li>\n<li>MCU：新唐 (4919-TW)。</li>\n<li>玻纤布与玻璃基板：台玻 (1802-TW)、正达 (3149-TW)。</li>\n<li>矽晶圆：环球晶 (6488-TW)。</li>\n<li>低轨卫星：升达科 (3491-TW)。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n二、大盘趋势分析\n\n1. 中长期多头格局未变\n\n虽然短线震荡加剧，但：\n\n<ul>\n<li>指数仍稳守 10 日线及月线。</li>\n<li>AI 带动企业获利成长趋势未变。</li>\n<li>市场仍处于多头控盘架构。</li>\n</ul>\n\n2. 重要观察关卡\n\n只要下列支撑不破：\n\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>\n指数\n</th>\n<th>\n重要支撑\n</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n加权指数\n</td>\n<td>\n42,006 点\n</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\nOTC 柜买\n</td>\n<td>\n392.56 点\n</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n\n则中长期上升趋势仍可延续。\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n三、AI 超级周期持续推升台股\n\n1. 台湾经济成长强劲\n\n<ul>\n<li>主计总处上修 2026 年 GDP 至 9.64%。</li>\n<li>瑞银预估 9.9%。</li>\n<li>渣打预估 9.5%。</li>\n<li>创近 16 年最佳成长水准。</li>\n</ul>\n\n2. 全球 AI 资本支出爆发\n\n北美五大 CSP：\n\n<ul>\n<li>微软</li>\n<li> AWS</li>\n<li>Google</li>\n<li>Meta</li>\n<li>Oracle</li>\n</ul>\n\n预估：\n\n<ul>\n<li>2026 年 CapEx 约 8,050 亿美元。</li>\n<li>2027 年突破 1.1 兆美元。</li>\n<li>2028 年仍将维持高档成长。</li>\n</ul>\n\nAI 资料中心、GPU 丛集、自研 ASIC 与高功耗伺服器建设需求持续爆发。\n\n3. 台湾供应链最大受惠\n\n受惠领域包括：\n\n<ul>\n<li>晶圆代工</li>\n<li>先进封装</li>\n<li> PCB</li>\n<li>CCL</li>\n<li>ABF 载板</li>\n<li> ASIC</li>\n<li>CPO 矽光子</li>\n<li>散热</li>\n<li>半导体材料</li>\n</ul>\n\n法人预估：\n\n<ul>\n<li>2026 年上市柜企业获利成长可达 40% 以上。</li>\n<li>成长动能有望延续至 2028 年。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n四、最值得关注的新主流\n\n1. CoPoS 先进封装革命\n\n台积电新一代 CoPoS 技术可望带动：\n\n<ul>\n<li>全球设备商机突破 2,000 亿元。</li>\n<li>开启未来 5 年以上成长循环。</li>\n</ul>\n\n受惠股：\n\n<ul>\n<li>汉唐 (2404-TW)</li>\n<li> 帆宣 (6196-TW)</li>\n<li> 亚翔 (6139-TW)</li>\n<li> 弘塑 (3131-TW)</li>\n<li> 辛耘 (3583-TW)</li>\n<li> 万润 (6187-TW)</li>\n<li> 家登 (3680-TW)</li>\n<li> 旺矽 (6223-TW)</li>\n<li> 精测 (6510-TW)</li>\n<li> 颖崴 (6515-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\n2. 半导体设备与材料自主化\n\n全球供应链重组趋势下：\n\n受惠方向：\n\n<ul>\n<li>特殊气体</li>\n<li>光阻材料</li>\n<li>石英零组件</li>\n<li>陶瓷零件</li>\n<li>再生晶圆</li>\n<li>封装耗材</li>\n</ul>\n\n2 奈米、A14 及 High-NA EUV 将带动新一波国产化商机。\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n五、资金轮动方向\n\n第一梯队（涨幅已大）\n\n短线宜避免追价：\n\n<ul>\n<li>记忆体</li>\n<li>被动元件</li>\n<li> MCU</li>\n<li> 部分 PCB</li>\n<li> 部分 ABF 载板</li>\n</ul>\n\n第二梯队（低基期转机股）\n\n近期资金开始转进：\n\n二极体暨 MOSFET\n\n<ul>\n<li>富鼎 (8261-TW)</li>\n<li> 德微 (3675-TW)</li>\n<li> 强茂 (2481-TW)</li>\n<li> 台半 (5425-TW)</li>\n<li> 大中 (6435-TW)</li>\n<li> 捷敏 - KY(6525-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\n第三代半导体\n\n<ul>\n<li>嘉晶 (3016-TW)</li>\n<li> 汉磊 (3707-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\nLED\n\n<ul>\n<li>光鼎 (6226-TW)</li>\n<li> 李洲 (3066-TW)</li>\n<li> 宏齐 (6168-TW)</li>\n<li> 光𬭎 (4956-TW)</li>\n<li> 鼎元 (2426-TW)</li>\n<li> 艾迪森 (3591-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\nIC 设计\n\n<ul>\n<li>安国 (8054-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\nPCB 设备与材料\n\n<ul>\n<li>霖宏 (5464-TW)</li>\n<li> 晟钛 (3229-TW)</li>\n<li> 仓和 (6538-TW)</li>\n<li> 达航科 (4577-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\nAI 设备与封测\n\n<ul>\n<li>创控 (6909-TW)</li>\n<li> 菱生 (2369-TW)</li>\n<li> 精材 (3374-TW)</li>\n<li> 典范 (3372-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\n晶圆代工\n\n<ul>\n<li>联电 (2303-TW)</li>\n</ul>\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n六、投资策略结论\n\n<ol>\n<li>短线：融资过热下，高档震荡与洗盘将成常态。</li>\n<li>中线：AI 超级周期、台积电先进制程及全球 AI 资本支出扩张趋势不变。</li>\n<li>选股重于选市：避免追逐涨幅过大的热门股。</li>\n<li>布局方向：聚焦低基期、转机型及尚未完全反映 AI 成长题材的个股。</li>\n<li>操作原则：坚守「低接不追高、分批布局、严控持股水位」策略。</li>\n</ol>\n\n核心观点\n\n本次下跌属于「多头趋势中的技术性修正」，并非空头反转讯号；在 AI 产业长线需求持续扩张下，台股主升段行情仍有机会延续，但资金将由高档热门股逐步转向低基期与落后补涨族群。\n\n<div>\n<hr></div>\n\n大师兄再一次强调：\n\n真的不要轻忽 AI 商机的威力\n\n6 月至今创造 38 支&oplus;的那个男人\n\n傲人绩效有目共赌！\n\n下一档底部起涨飙股\n\n你一定不能再错过\n\n如果你也想跟我们一样\n\n把获利给牢牢抓在手里\n\n现在就加入赢家的行列\n\n别等喷出后才后悔没上车\n\n做对做错真的会差很多\n\n让你用【最小负担】跟上最强主流\n\n<a href=\"https://forms.gle/6NjQmcKZ9uXHwWLL8\">https://forms.gle/6NjQmcKZ9uXHwWLL8</a>\n\n选股远比选大盘更重要\n\n但是如果你有股票套牢了\n\n不晓得如何来处理或调整\n\n欢迎加 LINE 私讯大师兄\n\n并留下你的姓名及连络电话\n\n大师兄情义相挺来助你一臂之力\n\n带你赢在起跑点上\n\n一个转念就可以改变你的一生\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"297\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.3097643097643097\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/8191056a08f6b6b7807cc0ffc3fda4c3.jpg\" data-width=\"389\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/8191056a08f6b6b7807cc0ffc3fda4c3.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"270\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.4407407407407407\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/149475cf4ebde9f65412d531e53a21de.jpg\" data-width=\"389\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/149475cf4ebde9f65412d531e53a21de.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"299\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.3010033444816054\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/0b79ba3f4dbf8aa4ab736a9e4b19c108.jpg\" data-width=\"389\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/0b79ba3f4dbf8aa4ab736a9e4b19c108.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/At8aE2WWaVM\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n工商时报绩效竞赛 13 冠王、卓越绩效傲视同业、专业实力有目共赌！\n\n更多第一手讯息、以及飙股机会→请加入大师兄飙股鑫天地的大家族\n\nLINE@连结网址：<a href=\"https://line.me/R/ti/p/@gold99\">https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40gold99</a>\n\nTelegram 连结网址：<a href=\"https://t.me/gold0999\">https://t.me/gold0999</a>\n\nYT 个人专属频道：<a href=\"mailto:youtube.com/@master55688\">youtube.com/@master55688</a>\n\n举手之劳\n\n记得！按赞、订阅、分享、开启小铃铛\n\n让更多人可以看见我们的影片\n\n咨询专线 02-2321-9933(24 小时专人服务)\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"541\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.4048059149722736\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/m/aecd1cd1bb8627c34f4bdac87bb95dd3.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6509064/l/aecd1cd1bb8627c34f4bdac87bb95dd3.jpg\"></figure>\n\n文章来源：伦元投顾陈学进分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-371.html\" title=\"〈苏姿丰演讲〉苏姿丰：不预期最先进晶片可销往中国会聚焦AI PC与边缘AI\">〈苏姿丰演讲〉苏姿丰：不预期最先进晶片可销往中国会聚焦AI PC与边缘AI</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9850.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - 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