《价值型投资最新产业研究报告》力积电（6770-TW）记忆体代工涨价，3D AI晶圆代工打开转机

纵使大盘盘中重挫，力积电 (6770-TW) 依然撑在盘上翻红，非常强势。记忆体报价强势上涨，加上逻辑代工产能吃紧，带动本业营运出现明显翻转。过去力积电 (6770-TW) 受到景气循环与库存调整影响，获利压力较大，但现在记忆体、逻辑代工与 3D AI 晶圆代工三条线同步转强，营运能见度比前一段时间清楚。

产能利用率也是重要讯号。力积电 (6770-TW) 第二季出货量达 42.2 万片，产能利用率约 87%。随着记忆体与逻辑代工订单持续升温，第三季到第四季产能利用率预期将维持满载，若报价延续上涨，营收与获利仍有机会逐季改善。

目前力积电 (6770-TW) 最直接的成长来源，是记忆体代工。记忆体代工营收占比已达约 52%，受惠 AI 需求强劲，云端服务商积极预购产能，让动态随机存取记忆体供给更紧。公司 7 月再度针对记忆体代工价格大幅调涨，预计会在年底前后逐步反映到营收。

制程升级也持续推进。力积电 (6770-TW) 自行开发的 1X 奈米制程已在 6 月进入小量生产，预计 2027 年正式量产；与美光合作的新一代制程机台也规划在 2027 年第 1 季到位，并以 2028 年中量产为目标。这代表力积电 (6770-TW) 不只吃到短期报价上涨，也在往更高效率、更具竞争力的制程前进。

快闪记忆体也是另一个值得看的方向。由于国际大厂把产能转往高阶 3D 快闪记忆体，使传统小容量快闪记忆体供给吃紧，网通、工控等刚性需求仍强。力积电 (6770-TW) 相关代工节点已转向更具成本竞争力的 24 奈米，有助于提升产品竞争力。

逻辑代工方面，力积电 (6770-TW) 也受惠产能供不应求。第三季订单需求已明显高于可供产能，公司 7 月全面调高 8 吋与 12 吋逻辑代工价格。AI 伺服器用电需求提高，也带动电源管理晶片、分离式元件与功率元件用量增加，力积电 (6770-TW) 正提高高毛利电源管理晶片与金氧半场效电晶体的出货比重，并降低低毛利面板驱动与感测器代工占比。

中长期来看，力积电 (6770-TW) 最具想像空间的，是 3D AI 晶圆代工。这项业务营收占比已从第一季的 3.2%，提升到第二季的 5.4%，公司目标是在三年内拉高到 20%。若能顺利放大，力积电 (6770-TW) 的产品结构会从传统代工，逐步往高毛利先进封装与特殊晶圆服务升级。

晶圆堆叠技术同样值得追踪。力积电 (6770-TW) 4 层晶圆堆叠已完成客户验证，8 层记忆体堆叠试片良率也有不错进展，后续将往 12 层推进。若这项技术顺利成熟，将有机会在低功耗、高密度记忆体应用中打开新空间。

力积电 (6770-TW) 与美光合作的高频宽记忆体后段代工合约，也将延续到 2030 年。公司预计今年底前完成实验线设置，并规划在 2027 年第 4 季进入大量生产，若进度顺利，将成为高毛利业务的重要来源。

力积电 (6770-TW) 后续最重要的观察重点，是报价上涨能不能延续、产能能不能维持满载，以及 3D AI 晶圆代工能否逐步放大营收占比。若这三条线顺利推进，力积电 (6770-TW) 就有机会从景气循环低谷，重新走向记忆体与特殊晶圆代工的成长循环。想第一时间知道哪些股票可以逢低进场，请先加入庆龙老师官方 LINE，输入 @ai8085 或点击文章下方连结，盘中 & 盘后会有二通免费 CALL 讯，带你掌握现在看见未来。

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第二季出货量达 42.2 万片，产能利用率约 87%。随着记忆体与逻辑代工订单持续升温，第三季到第四季产能利用率预期将维持满载，若报价延续上", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/l/6d00404ae4248aca68f0abd7ba5c66f6.jpg", "content": "<p>纵使大盘盘中重挫，力积电 (6770-TW) 依然撑在盘上翻红，非常强势。记忆体报价强势上涨，加上逻辑代工产能吃紧，带动本业营运出现明显翻转。过去力积电 (6770-TW) 受到景气循环与库存调整影响，获利压力较大，但现在记忆体、逻辑代工与 3D AI 晶圆代工三条线同步转强，营运能见度比前一段时间清楚。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/l/6d00404ae4248aca68f0abd7ba5c66f6.jpg\" alt=\"《价值型投资最新产业研究报告》力积电（6770-TW）记忆体代工涨价，3D AI晶圆代工打开转机\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>产能利用率也是重要讯号。力积电 (6770-TW) 第二季出货量达 42.2 万片，产能利用率约 87%。随着记忆体与逻辑代工订单持续升温，第三季到第四季产能利用率预期将维持满载，若报价延续上涨，营收与获利仍有机会逐季改善。</p>\n\n<p>目前力积电 (6770-TW) 最直接的成长来源，是记忆体代工。记忆体代工营收占比已达约 52%，受惠 AI 需求强劲，云端服务商积极预购产能，让动态随机存取记忆体供给更紧。公司 7 月再度针对记忆体代工价格大幅调涨，预计会在年底前后逐步反映到营收。</p>\n\n<p>制程升级也持续推进。力积电 (6770-TW) 自行开发的 1X 奈米制程已在 6 月进入小量生产，预计 2027 年正式量产；与美光合作的新一代制程机台也规划在 2027 年第 1 季到位，并以 2028 年中量产为目标。这代表力积电 (6770-TW) 不只吃到短期报价上涨，也在往更高效率、更具竞争力的制程前进。</p>\n\n<p>快闪记忆体也是另一个值得看的方向。由于国际大厂把产能转往高阶 3D 快闪记忆体，使传统小容量快闪记忆体供给吃紧，网通、工控等刚性需求仍强。力积电 (6770-TW) 相关代工节点已转向更具成本竞争力的 24 奈米，有助于提升产品竞争力。</p>\n\n<p>逻辑代工方面，力积电 (6770-TW) 也受惠产能供不应求。第三季订单需求已明显高于可供产能，公司 7 月全面调高 8 吋与 12 吋逻辑代工价格。AI 伺服器用电需求提高，也带动电源管理晶片、分离式元件与功率元件用量增加，力积电 (6770-TW) 正提高高毛利电源管理晶片与金氧半场效电晶体的出货比重，并降低低毛利面板驱动与感测器代工占比。</p>\n\n<p>中长期来看，力积电 (6770-TW) 最具想像空间的，是 3D AI 晶圆代工。这项业务营收占比已从第一季的 3.2%，提升到第二季的 5.4%，公司目标是在三年内拉高到 20%。若能顺利放大，力积电 (6770-TW) 的产品结构会从传统代工，逐步往高毛利先进封装与特殊晶圆服务升级。</p>\n\n<p>晶圆堆叠技术同样值得追踪。力积电 (6770-TW) 4 层晶圆堆叠已完成客户验证，8 层记忆体堆叠试片良率也有不错进展，后续将往 12 层推进。若这项技术顺利成熟，将有机会在低功耗、高密度记忆体应用中打开新空间。</p>\n\n<p>力积电 (6770-TW) 与美光合作的高频宽记忆体后段代工合约，也将延续到 2030 年。公司预计今年底前完成实验线设置，并规划在 2027 年第 4 季进入大量生产，若进度顺利，将成为高毛利业务的重要来源。</p>\n\n<p>力积电 (6770-TW) 后续最重要的观察重点，是报价上涨能不能延续、产能能不能维持满载，以及 3D AI 晶圆代工能否逐步放大营收占比。若这三条线顺利推进，力积电 (6770-TW) 就有机会从景气循环低谷，重新走向记忆体与特殊晶圆代工的成长循环。想第一时间知道哪些股票可以逢低进场，请先加入庆龙老师官方 LINE，输入 @ai8085 或点击文章下方连结，盘中 & 盘后会有二通免费 CALL 讯，带你掌握现在看见未来。</p>\n\n<p>「价值型投资」最新盘后解盘节目</p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/fJlSi4NBYI8\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"537\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.415270018621974\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/m/fe7dd1096572629d3dfcbf6eb6bce763.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/l/fe7dd1096572629d3dfcbf6eb6bce763.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/l/fe7dd1096572629d3dfcbf6eb6bce763.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/xl/fe7dd1096572629d3dfcbf6eb6bce763.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6536628/xxl/fe7dd1096572629d3dfcbf6eb6bce763.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n<p>每天二 + 一则免费 CALL 讯<br>\n加入价值型投资 LINE 官方帐号: <a href=\"https://lin.ee/3rueKmz\">https://lin.ee/3rueKmz</a></p>\n\n<p>文章来源: 蔡庆龙分析师 - 摩尔投顾</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11175.html\" title=\"元太携BMW合作第4款彩色变色概念车 iX3 Flow慕尼黑正式亮相\">元太携BMW合作第4款彩色变色概念车 iX3 Flow慕尼黑正式亮相</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-914.html\" title=\"车用232关税调降东阳：终于回到较公平的竞争基础\">车用232关税调降东阳：终于回到较公平的竞争基础</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4987.html\" title=\"信邦自结5月纯益年增25% EPS 1.03元\">信邦自结5月纯益年增25% EPS 1.03元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-8083.html\" title=\"〈台股盘后〉4大不利因素创史上第9大跌点1195点失守季线周线仍涨983点\">〈台股盘后〉4大不利因素创史上第9大跌点1195点失守季线周线仍涨983点</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-8988.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨21.95点至348.18点，涨幅6.73%\">盘中速报 - 柜买市场加权指数上涨21.95点至348.18点，涨幅6.73%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2523.html\" title=\"台湾「碳市场」定调：三轨并进！环部下半年规画试行总量管制ETS 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