天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-XM外汇官网：投资者仍聚焦鲍威尔讲话，恐慌指数出现8年来最长的连续下滑

XM外汇

注意：以上链接是XM外汇永久开户链接，不要进入假冒黑平台了！

基本消息面

　　周三(11月8日)，美国股市11月的涨势逐渐消退，交易员正在等待美联储主席鲍威尔对华尔街鸽派言论的看法。与此同时，美国国债上涨。

　　由于多头疲倦的迹象，标准普尔500指数仅上涨0.1%，但仍连续第8个交易日上涨。华尔街的“恐慌指数”VIX出现了自2015年10月以来最长的连续下滑。在400亿美元的国债拍卖之后，十年期美国国债收益率跌破4.5。30年期美债收益率创下一个多月以来的最低水平。布伦特原油价格收于80美元以下。

　　周三黄金价格走低，本周黄金近期技术面状况恶化，促使投机者根据图表进行抛售，因此卖家今天处于掌控之中。由于一些明显的逢低买盘，白银交易走高。12月期金最后下跌13.30美元，至1960.20美元。12月白银最后上涨0.246美元，至22.83美元。

　　外汇市场中，欧元作为主要货币中最强劲的货币收盘。澳元是最弱的。日元也走弱，美元兑日元当日上涨0.45%，并在此过程中突破151.00水平。英镑兑美元上涨测试100小时均线并陷入停滞。美元兑加元连续第3天上涨，收盘时，该货币对回落至200小时移动均线1.37868。

　　美国国债销售对股市的影响力越来越大。花旗集团的数据显示，自2022年初以来，标准普尔500指数在拍卖日双向波动约1%，超过了前十年的平均水平。这些分析数据让交易员对周四240亿美元的30年期债券发行保持高度警惕。

　　华尔街也密切关注美联储官员的更多言论。美联储主席鲍威尔周三发表简短讲话，没有对利率前景发表评论。周四，他将有更多时间在政策挑战小组会议上表达自己的观点。

　　Miller Tabak + Co分析师Matt Maley表示：“如果鲍威尔对最近的长期利率走势发表任何评论，将会很有趣。如果他的语气比上周更加鹰派，可能会成为我们认为可能发生的市场喘息的催化剂。”

　　掉期交易员预计12月加息的可能性几乎为零，并预测美联储当前基准利率水平(5.25% 至 5.5%)将标志着紧缩周期的顶峰。

　　Oanda市场高级分析师Craig Erlam表示，即使美联储认为明年利率可能会下降，但期望他们在现阶段这么说也是不现实的，因为这会混淆并削弱他们的想要发出的信息，即利率必须在更长时间内保持较高水平。

　　Craig Erlam指出：“周三，我们继续看到股市交易低迷，投资者与央行的鹰派评论、悲观的经济预期和明年降息的猜测作斗争。”

　　瑞银集团策略师预计，标普500指数到2024年年底将上涨至4600点左右，这意味着较当前水平仅上涨约5%，因为他们认为增长疲软会损害收入。分析师Jonathan Golub和Patrick Palfrey写道，利润率面临不利因素，包括负运营杠杆、工资粘性、定价能力恶化和利息支出上升。

　　与此同时，Hoisington Investment Management首席经济学家Lacy Hunt认为，最近美国国债收益率的回落标志着一场即将开始的大行情，一旦美国经济陷入硬着陆，这种行情将会进一步加剧。

　　对于债券市场来说，Lacy Hunt认为：“阴云正在破灭，因为经济正在走向硬着陆，但这是一个需要时间的过程。美国经济面临非常严重的困难。这些问题将在未来很长一段时间内一直存在。”

主要货币走势分析：

　　欧元：欧元/美元上涨，收报1.0709，涨幅0.09%。技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.0727，进一步阻力位于1.0750，关键阻力位于1.0784;汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.0669，进一步支撑位于1.0635，更关键支撑位于1.0612。

　　英镑：英镑/美元下跌，收报1.2283，跌幅0.13%。技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.2310，进一步阻力位于1.2336，关键阻力位于1.2371;汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.2250，进一步支撑位于1.2215，更关键支撑位于1.2189。

　　日元：美元/日元收高，收报150.993，涨幅0.44%。技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于151.25，进一步阻力位151.541，关键阻力位于152.029;汇价下行的初步支撑位于150.471，进一步支撑位于149.983，更关键支撑位于149.692。

2023年11月9日重点关注的财经数据与事件

　　①09:30 中国10月CPI年率

　　②16:35 日本央行行长植田和男接受采访

　　③21:30 美国至11月4日当周初请失业金人数

　　④22:30 美联储博斯蒂克和巴尔金发表讲话

　　⑤次日00:00 美联储巴尔金发表讲话

　　⑥次日01:30 欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话

　　⑦次日03:00 美联储主席鲍威尔发表讲话

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style=\"color:#f04949;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇</a>\n注意：以上链接是XM外汇永久开户链接，不要进入假冒黑平台了！\n</div>\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;margin-left:auto;white-space:nowrap;\">\n<a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#43ab04;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;margin-right:5px;margin-bottom:3px;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇官网</a>\n<a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#ec3030;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇开户</a>\n</div>\n</section>\n基本消息面\n　　周三(11月8日)，美国股市11月的涨势逐渐消退，交易员正在等待美联储主席鲍威尔对华尔街鸽派言论的看法。与此同时，美国国债上涨。\n　　由于多头疲倦的迹象，标准普尔500指数仅上涨0.1%，但仍连续第8个交易日上涨。华尔街的“恐慌指数”VIX出现了自2015年10月以来最长的连续下滑。在400亿美元的国债拍卖之后，十年期美国国债收益率跌破4.5。30年期美债收益率创下一个多月以来的最低水平。布伦特原油价格收于80美元以下。\n　　周三黄金价格走低，本周黄金近期技术面状况恶化，促使投机者根据图表进行抛售，因此卖家今天处于掌控之中。由于一些明显的逢低买盘，白银交易走高。12月期金最后下跌13.30美元，至1960.20美元。12月白银最后上涨0.246美元，至22.83美元。\n　　外汇市场中，欧元作为主要货币中最强劲的货币收盘。澳元是最弱的。日元也走弱，美元兑日元当日上涨0.45%，并在此过程中突破151.00水平。英镑兑美元上涨测试100小时均线并陷入停滞。美元兑加元连续第3天上涨，收盘时，该货币对回落至200小时移动均线1.37868。\n　　美国国债销售对股市的影响力越来越大。花旗集团的数据显示，自2022年初以来，标准普尔500指数在拍卖日双向波动约1%，超过了前十年的平均水平。这些分析数据让交易员对周四240亿美元的30年期债券发行保持高度警惕。\n　　华尔街也密切关注美联储官员的更多言论。美联储主席鲍威尔周三发表简短讲话，没有对利率前景发表评论。周四，他将有更多时间在政策挑战小组会议上表达自己的观点。\n　　Miller Tabak + Co分析师Matt Maley表示：“如果鲍威尔对最近的长期利率走势发表任何评论，将会很有趣。如果他的语气比上周更加鹰派，可能会成为我们认为可能发生的市场喘息的催化剂。”\n　　掉期交易员预计12月加息的可能性几乎为零，并预测美联储当前基准利率水平(5.25% 至 5.5%)将标志着紧缩周期的顶峰。\n　　Oanda市场高级分析师Craig Erlam表示，即使美联储认为明年利率可能会下降，但期望他们在现阶段这么说也是不现实的，因为这会混淆并削弱他们的想要发出的信息，即利率必须在更长时间内保持较高水平。\n　　Craig Erlam指出：“周三，我们继续看到股市交易低迷，投资者与央行的鹰派评论、悲观的经济预期和明年降息的猜测作斗争。”\n　　瑞银集团策略师预计，标普500指数到2024年年底将上涨至4600点左右，这意味着较当前水平仅上涨约5%，因为他们认为增长疲软会损害收入。分析师Jonathan Golub和Patrick Palfrey写道，利润率面临不利因素，包括负运营杠杆、工资粘性、定价能力恶化和利息支出上升。\n　　与此同时，Hoisington Investment Management首席经济学家Lacy Hunt认为，最近美国国债收益率的回落标志着一场即将开始的大行情，一旦美国经济陷入硬着陆，这种行情将会进一步加剧。\n　　对于债券市场来说，Lacy Hunt认为：“阴云正在破灭，因为经济正在走向硬着陆，但这是一个需要时间的过程。美国经济面临非常严重的困难。这些问题将在未来很长一段时间内一直存在。”\n主要货币走势分析：\n　　欧元：欧元/美元上涨，收报1.0709，涨幅0.09%。技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.0727，进一步阻力位于1.0750，关键阻力位于1.0784;汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.0669，进一步支撑位于1.0635，更关键支撑位于1.0612。\n<img align=\"\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"/public/upload/xm/3acdbdb3c726de22940ec371d4c41df7.png\">\n　　英镑：英镑/美元下跌，收报1.2283，跌幅0.13%。技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.2310，进一步阻力位于1.2336，关键阻力位于1.2371;汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.2250，进一步支撑位于1.2215，更关键支撑位于1.2189。\n<img align=\"\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"/public/upload/xm/2019d2913b4d9e142cd65da07c3c44cd.png\">\n　　日元：美元/日元收高，收报150.993，涨幅0.44%。技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于151.25，进一步阻力位151.541，关键阻力位于152.029;汇价下行的初步支撑位于150.471，进一步支撑位于149.983，更关键支撑位于149.692。\n<img align=\"\" alt=\"\" border=\"0\" src=\"/public/upload/xm/c9a234080606ca294e12a29c6648b01d.png\">\n2023年11月9日重点关注的财经数据与事件\n　　①09:30 中国10月CPI年率\n　　②16:35 日本央行行长植田和男接受采访\n　　③21:30 美国至11月4日当周初请失业金人数\n　　④22:30 美联储博斯蒂克和巴尔金发表讲话\n　　⑤次日00:00 美联储巴尔金发表讲话\n　　⑥次日01:30 欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话\n　　⑦次日03:00 美联储主席鲍威尔发表讲话<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-2781.html\" title=\"XM外汇官网平台怎么样？有哪些监管机构？\">XM外汇官网平台怎么样？有哪些监管机构？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3148.html\" title=\"XM外汇：外汇基本面分析的误区有哪些？\">XM外汇：外汇基本面分析的误区有哪些？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3033.html\" title=\"XM外汇官网平台监管：保障交易者权益的重要保障\">XM外汇官网平台监管：保障交易者权益的重要保障</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3117.html\" 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