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"description": "美元指数：截止发稿，美元指数交投于105.58附近。本周不会发布高级报告。市场正在等待下周美国的通胀数据，并且仍在消化上周五的美国非农就业报告。技术面上，根据日线图，美元指数显示出牛市枯竭的迹象，导致技术前景从中性走向看跌。RSI显示出一种疲软的看涨趋势，中线以下为负斜率，而MACD则显示出中性红。使前景中性的是，该指数保持在20天SMA以下，但高于100天和200天SMA，这表明多头在更广泛的前景中仍然占据上风。",
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"content": "<!--xm-broker-box-->\n<section style=\"display:flex;clear:both;overflow:hidden;border-radius:5px;padding:0.5em;align-items:center;border:1px solid #ffd9a8;margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:14px;\">\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;\"><a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"/public/upload/xm/xm-logo.jpg\" alt=\"XM外汇\" width=\"150\" height=\"90\" style=\"display:block;\"></a></div>\n<div style=\"flex:1 1 auto;width:330px;margin-left:15px;margin-right:30px;\">\n<strong style=\"font-size:1.25em;color:#f04949;\"><a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"color:#f04949;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇</a></strong>\n<p style=\"opacity:.6;line-height:1.4;overflow:hidden;font-size:14px;margin:0;\">注意：以上链接是XM外汇永久开户链接，不要进入假冒黑平台了！</p>\n</div>\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;margin-left:auto;white-space:nowrap;\">\n<a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#43ab04;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;margin-right:5px;margin-bottom:3px;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇官网</a>\n<a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#ec3030;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇开户</a>\n</div>\n</section>\n<strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">外汇市场行情分析</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 11月9日，周四亚盘，美元指数交投于105.58附近。本周不会发布高级报告。市场正在等待下周美国的通胀数据，并且仍在消化上周五的美国非农就业报告。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 主要货币走势分析</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> \n<p style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\"><span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700;\"> 美元指数：</span>截止发稿，美元指数交投于105.58附近。本周不会发布高级报告。市场正在等待下周美国的通胀数据，并且仍在消化上周五的美国非农就业报告。技术面上，根据日线图，美元指数显示出牛市枯竭的迹象，导致技术前景从中性走向看跌。RSI显示出一种疲软的看涨趋势，中线以下为负斜率，而MACD则显示出中性红。使前景中性的是，该指数保持在20天SMA以下，但高于100天和200天SMA，这表明多头在更广泛的前景中仍然占据上风。</p>\n \n<p style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\"> <span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700;\">欧元：</span>截止发稿，欧元/美元徘徊于1.0706附近。昨日<span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\">欧元/美元上涨，收报1.0709，涨幅0.09%。</span>华尔街描绘了乐观的市场情绪，这通常会对美元有害，但今天不会。德国工业生产数据差于预期，重新点燃了欧元区经济衰退的担忧。<span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\">技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.0727，进一步阻力位于1.0750，关键阻力位于1.0784；汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.0669，进一步支撑位于1.0635，更关键支撑位于1.0612。</span></p>\n \n<p style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0px 10px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\"> <span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700;\">英镑：</span>截止发稿，英镑/美元徘徊于1.2285附近。昨日<span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\">英镑/美元下跌，收报1.2283，跌幅0.13%。</span>英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利没有帮助英镑，因为他重申了英国央行首席经济学家休·皮尔的观点，即通胀预计将大幅下降。<span style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"font-size:16px;background-color:#FFFFFF;\";\">技术面上，汇价上行的初步阻力位于1.2310，进一步阻力位于1.2336，关键阻力位于1.2371；汇价下行的初步支撑位于1.2250，进一步支撑位于1.2215，更关键支撑位于1.2189。</span></p>\n<br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 外汇市场消息汇总</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 1、鲍威尔敦促美联储经济学家在做出预测时应保持灵活性</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美联储主席鲍威尔表示，央行必须要愿意跳出那种传统上用于预测经济的复杂数学模拟。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 鲍威尔在庆祝美联储研究与统计部成立100周年的会议上致开幕词，他说，“即使使用最先进的模型，即使处于相对平静的时期，经济表现也常常出乎我们意料，我们的经济是灵活和充满活力的，有时会受到无法预测的冲击，例如全球金融危机或大流行病。这种时候，预测人员必须跳出模型来思考。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 2、美联储副主席杰斐逊：尽管前景不确定 美联储有时也必须采取行动</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美联储副主席杰斐逊暗示，尽管围绕经济前景存在高度不确定性，但如果通胀预期开始升温，决策者将需要作出强有力的回应。杰斐逊周三在美联储一场研究会议上表示，正如美联储主席鲍威尔在2018年的演讲中提到的，有两个尤为重要的情况，面临高度不确定性时，做得太少的代价比做得太多还要高昂。他表示，“第一种情况是试图避免金融危机等严重不利事件。在这种情况下，像我们将不惜一切代价地行动'之类的话可能比‘我们将采取谨慎措施'更为有效。第二种情况是通胀预期面临失锚风险。如果预期开始动摇，货币政策反应无力的现实或预期将使问题恶化。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 3、美国30年期抵押贷款利率创逾一年来最大跌幅</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国30年期抵押贷款平均利率上周创出一年多来最大跌幅，推动购房申请创下6月初以来最大增幅。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国抵押贷款银行家协会（MBA）周三公布的数据显示，30年期定息抵押贷款的合约利率下跌25个基点至7.61%，为9月底以来的最低水平。在截至11月3日当周，购房申请指数增长3%。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 抵押贷款利率录得6月中以来的首次连续第二周下降，适度缓解了陷入困境的房地产市场。不过抵押贷款利率仍然处于令人不安的高位，使得许多将利率锁定在低得多水平的房主望而却步。这导致供应承压，促使房价保持高位。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 4、美国政府或将下周关门？策略师警告：市场目前低估了这种风险</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 日前，最新调查显示，随着美国经济放缓，美元走强的裂缝将蔓延。路透调查显示，多数外汇策略师认为，美元近期的弱势将持续到今年剩余时间。他们还表示，经济数据将是2023年剩余时间主要货币走势的主要影响因素。今年美国经济强于预期，加上美联储升息抑制高通胀导致公债收益率上升，令美元相对于其他货币拥有无可置疑的优势。但市场对美联储已经结束加息的新预期使美元处于不利地位，美元从上个月的峰值下跌近2.0%，今年以来上涨约2%。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 5、寒冬将至 欧洲突传好消息！IMF：大部分经济体将实现“软着陆” 示警央行勿“过早降息”</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 迄今为止央行官员对于与战争有关的能源价格上涨是否会推高利率存在分歧。尽管利率制定者通常会忽视能源市场的波动性，但加拿大和英国央行行长已表示，他们需要解决石油和天然气价格上涨带来的通胀风险。如果以色列与哈马斯的战争升级，各国央行对于如何应对能源价格可能上涨的问题存在分歧。加拿大央行行长麦克勒姆向英国《金融时报》表示，由于近期的通胀浪潮（这一波通胀是一代人以来最大的一次），能源价格冲击的后果可能更难以控制。他表示：“当你的通胀率连续两年高于目标、预期高于目标并且企业正在迅速转嫁投入成本时，你必须更加谨慎。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 外汇机构观点汇总</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 1、高盛：澳洲联储利率或已见顶</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 高盛继续预计澳洲联储将维持4.35%的政策利率，直至2024年第四季度开始进入逐步宽松周期。高盛首席经济学家Andrew Boak表示，在即将对新任澳洲联储副行长和与澳洲联储审查相关的机构变革立法做出决策之前，联储反应职能的不确定性增加，因此存在对这一中央情景的双向风险。他补充道，澳洲联储此前在本轮加息周期中始终不愿加息，显示出收紧货币政策的倾向有所放缓，这强化了目前将继续按兵不动的观点。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 2、花旗：美股涨势恐面临风险</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 花旗策略师称，标普500指数上周创下一年来最好单周表现，主要是由于投资者锁定了看空押注的利润，这表明进一步上涨的空间很小。策略师Chris Montagu表示，上周追踪该基准指数的合约流动主要是空头回补，即交易商买入股票平仓，整体仓位仍\"适度看跌\"。简而言之，获利了结导致头寸更清晰、更平衡，从而降低了整体头寸风险。在进一步空头回补的背景下，市场在短期内上涨的可能性似乎较小。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 3、汇丰：预计明年全球股市有10%的上涨空间</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 汇丰策略师在一份报告中表示，软着陆情景为2024年全球股市上涨铺平了道路，并补充称，他们预计股市将较当前水平上涨10%，且美国股市将继续领先。由策略师Alastair Pinder领导的一个团队表示，在最近股市回调之后，下行风险得到了更好的定价，但增加了防御性敞口。美国和新兴市场仍是增持地区，这两个市场可能会提供最具弹性的盈利预期。同时他们继续减持欧洲、日本和英国的股票，因其认为这是价值陷阱。Pinder最看好的行业包括科技和非必需消费品，他还将工业和消费必需品类股评级从中性上调为增持，并将医疗保健类股评级从减持上调为中性。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 4、潘森宏观：德国经济萎缩程度或超出预期</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 在德国9月份工业产出降幅超出预期后，潘森宏观的Melanie Debono警告称，德国经济的萎缩可能比最初想象的要严重。根据上周公布的初步估计，欧洲最大的经济体第三季度仅小幅萎缩了0.1%，但由于工业不景气，这一数字很可能被下调至更严重的降幅。Debono表示，这些数字也预示着德国经济在今年最后一个季度也将表现低迷，生产将继续萎缩，并拖累整体经济。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 5、荷兰国际：德国工业低迷加剧，经济将进一步萎缩</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 荷兰国际宏观主管 Carsten Brzeski在一份报告中指出，德国工业的阴霾没有减退的迹象。受汽车行业产量下降的影响，9月份德国工业产出下降了1.4%，降幅高于预期。Brzeski指出，这些令人失望的数据加剧了长期以来的宏观经济阴霾。“我们几乎到了这样的地步：孩子们会问父母，德国上一次公布一系列积极的宏观数据是在什么时候。”根据荷兰国际的预测，德国经济第三季度出现萎缩之后，很可能会陷入技术性衰退，并在今年最后几个月进一步萎缩。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">6、摩根大通：美联储降息乐观情绪消退，美股或将结束六连涨</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 由于市场对美联储降息时机的押注疑虑增加，美国股市周二势将结束连续六天的涨势。今日早些时候，美联储卡什卡利表示，虽然有积极迹象显示物价压力正在缓解，但宣布战胜通胀还为时过早。目前交易员们正在观望包括鲍威尔在内的其他美联储官员本周的讲话是否会呼应这一观点，随后他们可能会降低对2024年年中开始降息的押注。摩根大通投资策略主管Grace Peters表示，市场可能对首次降息的时机过于乐观。虽然她确实认为美联储最后一次加息已经实施，但美联储预计将在明年年中之前保持这一较高利率水平。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> </span><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\">7、 德意志银行：美联储降息或会落后于人，美元料将维持强势</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 德意志银行分析师表示，澳大利亚、瑞典和欧元区的利率可能会先于美国下降，美元的强势可能会持续更长时间。德意志银行全球外汇研究主管George Saravelos表示，在美国以外的地方，政策传导更快，因此其他央行的宽松周期跟美联储相比也将来的更早，出于同样的原因，上诉地区可能也会先于英国和加拿大降息。此外他还表示，现在仍然不是进行看跌美元交易的时候。Saravelos称，紧缩政策的传导速度更慢提升了软着陆的可能性，当紧缩开始产生影响时，美联储会拥有更多时间来应对疲软的经济增长，这与强美元更久的持续性一致。</span><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-2783.html\" title=\"XM外汇官网：投资者仍聚焦鲍威尔讲话，恐慌指数出现8年来最长的连续下滑\">XM外汇官网：投资者仍聚焦鲍威尔讲话，恐慌指数出现8年来最长的连续下滑</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3077.html\" title=\"XM外汇官网：外汇为什么是浮动点差？\">XM外汇官网：外汇为什么是浮动点差？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3031.html\" title=\"XM外汇官网平台正规靠谱吗？全面解析这家备受关注的外汇经纪商\">XM外汇官网平台正规靠谱吗？全面解析这家备受关注的外汇经纪商</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-2813.html\" title=\"XM外汇平台：外汇投资出现不良心态的原因是什么？\">XM外汇平台：外汇投资出现不良心态的原因是什么？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3010.html\" title=\"XM外汇官网平台盈利不让出金，账户盈利被强制扣除\">XM外汇官网平台盈利不让出金，账户盈利被强制扣除</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3124.html\" title=\"XM外汇：进行外汇基本面分析时需要了解的三大经济指标\">XM外汇：进行外汇基本面分析时需要了解的三大经济指标</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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