天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-XM外汇中文官网：美元超跌后反弹，利率决议澳元会如何走？

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11月7日，周二亚市盘中，美元指数延续隔夜微幅弹升行情，但在105.34仍疲软。黄金回调至1975美元，遇美国国债收益率反弹的重大阻碍。比特币在35000美元闪现新高峰信号，下一次回调前很可能出现两波挑战38500美元浪潮。人类历史首次出现“太空战”，以色列大气层外击落也门火箭。截至目前，美国驻伊拉克和叙利亚的基地仍处于高度戒备状态，防范与伊朗相关武装组织袭击。

据英国《每日电讯报》(The Daily Telegraph)报道，以色列上周使用“飞箭”(Arrow)防空系统，在地球大气层外击落一枚也门叛军“青年运动”向以军发射的弹道飞弹，被认为是人类史上首次在太空发生的战斗。

亚洲市场

日本报告称，9月份名义劳动现金收入略有增长，同比增长1.2%，略高于市场预期的同比增长1.0%。这一增长比上月的0.8%有所改善，乍一看可能是一个积极的指标，基本工资增长也标志着从8月份的1.2%同比增长到1.4%。

然而，并非所有收益组成部分都显示出强劲。特别支付通常是一个不稳定的类别，同比继续下降-6.0%，尽管收缩幅度没有8月份报告的同比-6.3%那么严重。与此同时，加班费略有增长，同比增长0.7%，表明额外工作时间略有增加。

当对通货膨胀进行调整时，日本工资状况的微妙画面变得更加令人担忧。反映收入购买力的实际工资同比大幅下降-2.4%，这是连续第18个月下降。实际工资的持续下滑表明，随着通货膨胀超过名义工资增长，家庭收入受到挤压。

与收入压力一致，家庭支出同比下降-2.8%，尽管这一数字略好于预期的同比下降3.0%。这标志着连续第七个月下降，突显出在经济不确定性的情况下，日本消费者一直不愿打开钱包。

从更积极的方面来看，在经季节性调整的基础上，家庭支出意外增长了0.3%，超出了母亲下降-0.4%的预期。

欧洲市场

在一夜之间的一次在线活动中，英国央行首席经济学家休·皮尔承认，与全球同行相比，减排速度较慢。英国的通货膨胀率也有所上升。尽管存在这种滞后，他表示相信“我们将看到英国下降到与世界其他地区更具可比性的水平。”

Pill发表上述言论之际，市场预期最早可能在2024年8月降息。他认为这个时机“并非完全不合理”，并强调这是世行可能重新评估其立场的时期，尽管通常会警告经济状况是不稳定的，可能会发生变化。

此外，Pill降低了人们对恢复到疫情前超低利率环境的预期，这表明未来利率更有可能找到中间立场。这种观点强化了零利率时代是一种反常现象而非标准货币条件的观点。

11月，欧元区的Sentix投资者信心指数从-21.90升至-18.6，创下6月以来的最高水平，超过了分析师22.5的预期。

报告的细节也令人鼓舞，当前形势指数从-27.0小幅上升至-26.8。预期指数从-16.8跃升至-10.0，为2月份以来的最高点。

然而，重要的是要承认，人们的期望仍然是负面的。根据Sentix的报告，“负面势头的减少是改善的初步迹象，但只有当预期变成积极的时候，才能解除一切。”

一个值得注意的发展是Sentix“通货膨胀”主题指数的上升，该指数自2020年初以来首次进入正区间，这表明通货膨胀可能正在减少，这是一个关键问题。该指数目前为+6.5点，这一事态发展可能会降低欧洲央行采取行动的紧迫性。

欧元区服务业采购经理人指数从9月份的48.7跌至47.8。同时追踪制造业和服务业的PMI综合指数从47.2降至46.5，为35个月低点。除疫情期间外，新业务的下降速度已达到2012年以来的最高水平。

这种衰退在欧元区主要经济体中表现得很明显，成员国报告了令人不安的指标。西班牙PMI综合指数为50.0，创下停滞边缘的两个月低点，而爱尔兰则降至49.7，创下11个月低点。意大利和德国都报告了服务业活动持续收缩的数据，PMI分别为47.0和45.9。法国虽然处于两个月高点，但仍处于收缩阶段，为44.6。

HCOB的Cyrus de la Rubia提供了一个严峻的分析：“欧元区服务业在第四季度开始时似乎举步维艰，延续了三个月的下降趋势。新业务的急剧减少是未来活动的一个令人担忧的预兆。尽管未来预期略有上升，但仍远低于历史平均水平。”

经济形势似乎自相矛盾，在没有典型的伴随需求的情况下，价格上涨，这表明了“滞胀”的状况。德拉鲁比亚质疑这种“奇怪的滞胀区”将持续多久，这个问题也困扰着欧洲央行。由于采购经理人指数数据表明，欧洲央行无法迅速摆脱这些状况，因此欧洲央行似乎还没有能力降低利率，因为它平衡了增长缓慢和通胀持续的双重威胁。

美国市场

美联储内部鹰派代表人物、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利在周一接受福克斯新闻采访时表示：“在我们宣布‘我们已经完全解决了问题’之前，让我们获取更多数据并观察经济的发展情况。”

卡什卡利不认为美联储的加息已经结束，为了将通胀降至美联储2%的目标，他宁可过度收紧货币政策，也不愿“做得不够”。

卡什卡利表示，尽管通胀数据已经连续三个月表现出一些希望，但这还不够。“我们需要继续观察数据，看看是否真的成功将通胀问题控制住了，可以说是为了将通胀魔鬼重新装进瓶子里，”他补充道。

卡什卡利认为，过度紧缩的风险比过于保守更可取，并且他担心通胀可能再次上升。

“放松政策不会在合理的时间内使我们回到2%的通胀目标。”卡什卡利在接受《华尔街日报》采访时表示。

卡什卡利在上周五也重申，现在还为时过早，无法确定是否需要进一步加息。卡什卡利今年具有FOMC投票权。

美联储的政策制定者在上周的会议上将利率维持在5.25%至5.5%的范围内，这是22年来的最高水平。主席鲍威尔表示，美联储可能已经停止加息。过去几个月美国国债收益率的上升被一些美联储官员视为进一步抑制经济的因素。

美债收益率与美股之间依然是负相关关系

利率互换市场目前预计到2024年底，美联储利率将从预期的峰值5.37%下调超过100个基点。包括鲍威尔在内的一系列美联储官员还将在接下来的几天发表讲话。

美国股市周一收盘略有上涨，同时十年期美债收益率在上周五下滑至五周低点后，周一出现逆转，最高达到4.668%。投资者正在等待本周晚些时候一系列美联储政策制定者的指引，以及即将进入市场的大量债券供应。本周将进行约1120亿美元的三年期、十年期以及30年期美债拍卖。

“除非经济数据出现变化，否则你不会看到他们（美联储官员）改变立场。”旧金山Wedbush证券的高级副总裁斯蒂芬·马索卡（Stephen Massocca）表示。他说：“上周五肆虐的购买力今天已经不在了，所以很多股票的价格都在回落，收益率也稍微上升了。”

“美联储可能面临现实检验，” 加拿大帝国商业银行财富管理美国公司的首席投资官David Donabedian表示。“我们预计今年余下的时间将会波动不定，会根据利率走势出现‘躁郁摇摆’。”

对于摩根士丹利的克里斯·拉金（Chris Larkin）来说，市场势头能否持续下去的问题取决于即将公布的经济数据是否继续指向上周的非农就业报告方向，该报告显示十月份劳动力市场放缓。

“如果这种降温趋势持续下去，牛市可能会接受美联储将变得不那么鹰派的想法，”拉金指出。“无论如何，市场在短期内往往会出现回调，至少是在像上周那样异常大的波动之后，暂时性地回调。”

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"XM外汇", "pinyin": "smfx", "path": "/whjjs/smfx", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, "article": { "id": 3056, "cid": 66, "subCid": null, "title": "XM外汇中文官网：美元超跌后反弹，利率决议澳元会如何走？", "shortTitle": null, "tagId": null, "attr": null, "articleView": null, "source": "网络", "author": "", "description": "11月7日，周二亚市盘中，美元指数延续隔夜微幅弹升行情，但在105.34仍疲软。黄金回调至1975美元，遇美国国债收益率反弹的重大阻碍。比特币在35000美元闪现新高峰信号，下一次回调前很可能出现两波挑战38500美元浪潮。人类历史首次出现“太空战”，以色列大气层外击落也门火箭。截至目前，美国驻伊拉克和叙利亚的基地仍处于高度戒备状态，防范与伊朗相关武装组织袭击。据英国《每日电讯报》(The Da", "img": "/public/upload/xm/xm.jpg", "content": "\n<section style=\"display:flex;clear:both;overflow:hidden;border-radius:5px;padding:0.5em;align-items:center;border:1px solid #ffd9a8;margin-top:10px;margin-bottom:14px;\">\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;\"><a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img src=\"/public/upload/xm/xm-logo.jpg\" alt=\"XM外汇\" width=\"150\" height=\"90\" style=\"display:block;\"></a></div>\n<div style=\"flex:1 1 auto;width:330px;margin-left:15px;margin-right:30px;\">\n<strong style=\"font-size:1.25em;color:#f04949;\"><a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"color:#f04949;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇</a></strong>\n<p style=\"opacity:.6;line-height:1.4;overflow:hidden;font-size:14px;margin:0;\">注意：以上链接是XM外汇永久开户链接，不要进入假冒黑平台了！</p>\n</div>\n<div style=\"flex:0 0 auto;margin-left:auto;white-space:nowrap;\">\n<a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#43ab04;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;margin-right:5px;margin-bottom:3px;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇官网</a>\n<a href=\"https://affs.click/7lMw6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" style=\"background-color:#ec3030;color:#fff;display:inline-flex;height:2.4em;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:0 1em;border-radius:4px;text-decoration:none;\">XM外汇开户</a>\n</div>\n</section>\n<span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\">11月7日，周二亚市盘中，美元指数延续隔夜微幅弹升行情，但在105.34仍疲软。黄金回调至1975美元，遇美国国债收益率反弹的重大阻碍。比特币在35000美元闪现新高峰信号，下一次回调前很可能出现两波挑战38500美元浪潮。人类历史首次出现“太空战”，以色列大气层外击落也门火箭。截至目前，美国驻伊拉克和叙利亚的基地仍处于高度戒备状态，防范与伊朗相关武装组织袭击。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 据英国《每日电讯报》(The Daily Telegraph)报道，以色列上周使用“飞箭”(Arrow)防空系统，在地球大气层外击落一枚也门叛军“青年运动”向以军发射的弹道飞弹，被认为是人类史上首次在太空发生的战斗。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 亚洲市场</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 日本报告称，9月份名义劳动现金收入略有增长，同比增长1.2%，略高于市场预期的同比增长1.0%。这一增长比上月的0.8%有所改善，乍一看可能是一个积极的指标，基本工资增长也标志着从8月份的1.2%同比增长到1.4%。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 然而，并非所有收益组成部分都显示出强劲。特别支付通常是一个不稳定的类别，同比继续下降-6.0%，尽管收缩幅度没有8月份报告的同比-6.3%那么严重。与此同时，加班费略有增长，同比增长0.7%，表明额外工作时间略有增加。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 当对通货膨胀进行调整时，日本工资状况的微妙画面变得更加令人担忧。反映收入购买力的实际工资同比大幅下降-2.4%，这是连续第18个月下降。实际工资的持续下滑表明，随着通货膨胀超过名义工资增长，家庭收入受到挤压。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 与收入压力一致，家庭支出同比下降-2.8%，尽管这一数字略好于预期的同比下降3.0%。这标志着连续第七个月下降，突显出在经济不确定性的情况下，日本消费者一直不愿打开钱包。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 从更积极的方面来看，在经季节性调整的基础上，家庭支出意外增长了0.3%，超出了母亲下降-0.4%的预期。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 欧洲市场</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 在一夜之间的一次在线活动中，英国央行首席经济学家休·皮尔承认，与全球同行相比，减排速度较慢。英国的通货膨胀率也有所上升。尽管存在这种滞后，他表示相信“我们将看到英国下降到与世界其他地区更具可比性的水平。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> Pill发表上述言论之际，市场预期最早可能在2024年8月降息。他认为这个时机“并非完全不合理”，并强调这是世行可能重新评估其立场的时期，尽管通常会警告经济状况是不稳定的，可能会发生变化。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 此外，Pill降低了人们对恢复到疫情前超低利率环境的预期，这表明未来利率更有可能找到中间立场。这种观点强化了零利率时代是一种反常现象而非标准货币条件的观点。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 11月，欧元区的Sentix投资者信心指数从-21.90升至-18.6，创下6月以来的最高水平，超过了分析师22.5的预期。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 报告的细节也令人鼓舞，当前形势指数从-27.0小幅上升至-26.8。预期指数从-16.8跃升至-10.0，为2月份以来的最高点。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 然而，重要的是要承认，人们的期望仍然是负面的。根据Sentix的报告，“负面势头的减少是改善的初步迹象，但只有当预期变成积极的时候，才能解除一切。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 一个值得注意的发展是Sentix“通货膨胀”主题指数的上升，该指数自2020年初以来首次进入正区间，这表明通货膨胀可能正在减少，这是一个关键问题。该指数目前为+6.5点，这一事态发展可能会降低欧洲央行采取行动的紧迫性。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 欧元区服务业采购经理人指数从9月份的48.7跌至47.8。同时追踪制造业和服务业的PMI综合指数从47.2降至46.5，为35个月低点。除疫情期间外，新业务的下降速度已达到2012年以来的最高水平。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 这种衰退在欧元区主要经济体中表现得很明显，成员国报告了令人不安的指标。西班牙PMI综合指数为50.0，创下停滞边缘的两个月低点，而爱尔兰则降至49.7，创下11个月低点。意大利和德国都报告了服务业活动持续收缩的数据，PMI分别为47.0和45.9。法国虽然处于两个月高点，但仍处于收缩阶段，为44.6。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> HCOB的Cyrus de la Rubia提供了一个严峻的分析：“欧元区服务业在第四季度开始时似乎举步维艰，延续了三个月的下降趋势。新业务的急剧减少是未来活动的一个令人担忧的预兆。尽管未来预期略有上升，但仍远低于历史平均水平。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 经济形势似乎自相矛盾，在没有典型的伴随需求的情况下，价格上涨，这表明了“滞胀”的状况。德拉鲁比亚质疑这种“奇怪的滞胀区”将持续多久，这个问题也困扰着欧洲央行。由于采购经理人指数数据表明，欧洲央行无法迅速摆脱这些状况，因此欧洲央行似乎还没有能力降低利率，因为它平衡了增长缓慢和通胀持续的双重威胁。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"> 美国市场</strong><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美联储内部鹰派代表人物、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利在周一接受福克斯新闻采访时表示：“在我们宣布‘我们已经完全解决了问题’之前，让我们获取更多数据并观察经济的发展情况。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 卡什卡利不认为美联储的加息已经结束，为了将通胀降至美联储2%的目标，他宁可过度收紧货币政策，也不愿“做得不够”。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 卡什卡利表示，尽管通胀数据已经连续三个月表现出一些希望，但这还不够。“我们需要继续观察数据，看看是否真的成功将通胀问题控制住了，可以说是为了将通胀魔鬼重新装进瓶子里，”他补充道。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 卡什卡利认为，过度紧缩的风险比过于保守更可取，并且他担心通胀可能再次上升。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> “放松政策不会在合理的时间内使我们回到2%的通胀目标。”卡什卡利在接受《华尔街日报》采访时表示。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 卡什卡利在上周五也重申，现在还为时过早，无法确定是否需要进一步加息。卡什卡利今年具有FOMC投票权。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美联储的政策制定者在上周的会议上将利率维持在5.25%至5.5%的范围内，这是22年来的最高水平。主席鲍威尔表示，美联储可能已经停止加息。过去几个月美国国债收益率的上升被一些美联储官员视为进一步抑制经济的因素。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美债收益率与美股之间依然是负相关关系</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 利率互换市场目前预计到2024年底，美联储利率将从预期的峰值5.37%下调超过100个基点。包括鲍威尔在内的一系列美联储官员还将在接下来的几天发表讲话。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 美国股市周一收盘略有上涨，同时十年期美债收益率在上周五下滑至五周低点后，周一出现逆转，最高达到4.668%。投资者正在等待本周晚些时候一系列美联储政策制定者的指引，以及即将进入市场的大量债券供应。本周将进行约1120亿美元的三年期、十年期以及30年期美债拍卖。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> “除非经济数据出现变化，否则你不会看到他们（美联储官员）改变立场。”旧金山Wedbush证券的高级副总裁斯蒂芬·马索卡（Stephen Massocca）表示。他说：“上周五肆虐的购买力今天已经不在了，所以很多股票的价格都在回落，收益率也稍微上升了。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> “美联储可能面临现实检验，” 加拿大帝国商业银行财富管理美国公司的首席投资官David Donabedian表示。“我们预计今年余下的时间将会波动不定，会根据利率走势出现‘躁郁摇摆’。”</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> 对于摩根士丹利的克里斯·拉金（Chris Larkin）来说，市场势头能否持续下去的问题取决于即将公布的经济数据是否继续指向上周的非农就业报告方向，该报告显示十月份劳动力市场放缓。</span><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><br style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: \"Helvetica Neue\", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial; display: inline !important; float: none;\"> “如果这种降温趋势持续下去，牛市可能会接受美联储将变得不那么鹰派的想法，”拉金指出。“无论如何，市场在短期内往往会出现回调，至少是在像上周那样异常大的波动之后，暂时性地回调。”</span><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3093.html\" title=\"XM外汇平台官网为什么经常打不开，是不是跑路了？\">XM外汇平台官网为什么经常打不开，是不是跑路了？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/whjjs/smfx/article-3146.html\" 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