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美日又出手了?日元跌破160后突然暴力拉升 市场疯传干预猜测

2026-09-03 01:06:52 网络 阅读(1)

日元周三(2日)盘中突然快速升值,在20国集团(G20)会议即将落幕之际,引发日本与美国可能再次进场干预汇市的揣测。由于当时没有明显新闻或总体经济因素足以解释这波走势,市场交易室随即传出官方出手买进日元的说法。

美日又出手了?日元跌破160后突然暴力拉升 市场疯传干预猜测

(图:ZeroHedge)
日元一度贬破160日元兑1美元,随后突然急速反弹,但涨势并未持续扩大。(图:ZeroHedge)

日元稍早一度贬破160日元兑1美元,随后突然急速反弹,但涨势并未持续扩大。市场人士认为,160日元可能已成为美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)与日本银行(BOJ)共同防守的新底线。

美国银行(BAC-US)外汇策略师Alex Cohen表示,市场仍对汇市干预保持高度警戒。部分交易员则认为,这波升势可能只是市场扫除停损单,也就是日元贬破关键价位后,引发大量部位自动平仓;不过,仍不能排除相关走势是由官方力量触发。

Monex外汇交易员Andrew Hazlett表示,市场确实传出官方干预的消息,但就本次波动幅度而言,他对这项说法持怀疑态度。然而,日元兑美元与欧元同时突然走强,也很难以其他原因解释。

(图:ZeroHedge)
(图:ZeroHedge)

这次日元升幅仍小于约一个月前的行情。当时日元一度贬至约164日元兑1美元,创近40年低点,随后东京与华府联手进场支撑日元,推动日元反弹约5%。

那是美日自1998年以来首次协调买进日元,也是数十年来罕见的联合汇市干预。两国政府事后均暗示,如有必要不排除再次采取共同行动,大幅提高做空日元的风险。随着160日元关卡再度失守,交易员正密切观察官方是否已悄然出手,或准备进行新一轮干预。

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      "shortTitle": "纽西兰央行再度升息1码至2.75% 释放鸽派紧缩讯号 纽元走",
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      "description": "纽西兰央行周三(2日)宣布将基准利率上调25个基点(1码)至2.75%。这是央行继7月后连续第二次升息,旨在抑制高企的通膨。",
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    {
      "id": 13725,
      "title": "植田和男释放9月升息强烈讯号!日银升息预期近100%、日债殖利率飙近30年高",
      "shortTitle": "植田和男释放9月升息强烈讯号!日银升息预期近100%、日债殖",
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      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T06:50:02.000Z",
      "description": "日本银行总裁植田和男释出强烈升息讯号,市场对日银9月升息的定价已接近100%。10年期、30年期日债殖利率同步创近30年新高,日本财政扩张与货币紧缩政策的拉锯也成为市场焦点。",
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      "id": 13726,
      "title": "美方称荷姆兹海峡单日原油运量达1700万桶 创伊朗战后新高但引数据争议",
      "shortTitle": "美方称荷姆兹海峡单日原油运量达1700万桶 创伊朗战后新高但",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595182/l/352f931b66f4c490cf89fd34610d249b.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T06:10:03.000Z",
      "description": "美国能源部长莱特(Chris Wright)表示,周一(31日)约有1,700万桶原油及油气产品通过关键航道荷姆兹海峡,创下伊朗战争爆发以来的单日最高运量纪录。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "id": 13735,
      "title": "中国气象局:过去60年青藏高原冰川面积减少约24% 冰川动力失稳",
      "shortTitle": "中国气象局:过去60年青藏高原冰川面积减少约24% 冰川动力",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595242/l/f4c402c4c18b82fe4c2c015b84130702.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T08:00:02.000Z",
      "description": "中国气象局今(2)日表示,全球气候暖化是近期西藏吉隆泥石流灾害发生的重要背景因素,中国国家气候中心副主任高荣在会上分析了暖化对青藏高原冰川的影响。 上周三(8月26日)上午,尼泊尔境内蓝塘里壤峰北坡高海拔区域发生大规模冰岩崩塌,崩塌物沿深切沟谷高速下泄,随后演变为冲击西藏吉隆口岸的泥石流灾害,造成重大人员伤亡和基础设施损毁。 高荣在9月记者会上指出,在全球气候暖化的背景下,全球山地冰川呈现加速融化态势。气候变暖改变了冰川的动力学特征,冰温升高、冰川流速加快、跃动发生频率加大。进入21世纪,特别是",
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      "id": 13736,
      "title": "德国拟数周内敲定更强硬的对中贸易方案 不排除加征关税",
      "shortTitle": "德国拟数周内敲定更强硬的对中贸易方案 不排除加征关税",
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      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T07:40:03.000Z",
      "description": "德国财政部长Lars Klingbeil在造访美国南卡罗来纳州斯帕坦堡(Spartanburg)的BMW车厂后透露,德国政府计划在未来数周内达成共识,推出一系列反制措施,以因应其所认定之中国不公平贸易行为。",
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    {
      "id": 13754,
      "title": "〈陆股盘后〉两市全天低档震荡 成交额明显萎缩",
      "shortTitle": "〈陆股盘后〉两市全天低档震荡 成交额明显萎缩",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6594252/l/46bbc7ad4e25b8ea9b31bab06a51904c.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T08:30:05.000Z",
      "description": "中国A股三大指数2日(周三)集体开低,两市全天低档震荡,成交额明显萎缩。",
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      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 13755,
      "title": "美伊冲突与利率疑虑夹击 比特币跌至7.7万美元 需求转负引发警讯",
      "shortTitle": "美伊冲突与利率疑虑夹击 比特币跌至7.7万美元 需求转负引发",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595243/l/fefd8d99e44e575e9ed96d9ce80fd6f6.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T08:10:05.000Z",
      "description": "随着地缘政治紧张局势升温与总体经济不确定性夹击,加密货币市场在迎来强劲的 8 月涨势后,于 9 月开局遭遇重挫。比特币周三(2日)一度跌至7.64万美元附近",
      "pv": 1,
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    {
      "id": 13768,
      "title": "日银审议委员高田创释鹰派讯号 暗示加速升息步伐",
      "shortTitle": "日银审议委员高田创释鹰派讯号 暗示加速升息步伐",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595315/l/c70bbece976b144560efe0aaf6ffb01e.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-02T09:30:03.000Z",
      "description": "日本央行审议委员高田创周三(2日)在札幌召开的记者会上,释出强烈鹰派讯号。他表示,未来的升息幅度不排除超过常规的0.25%,",
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      "id": 13779,
      "title": "战争导致全球供应紧张 美国柴油价格创4月以来新高",
      "shortTitle": "战争导致全球供应紧张 美国柴油价格创4月以来新高",
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      "description": "随着美伊战争持续以及俄乌冲突升级,全球柴油供应正陷入严重瓶颈,进而面临巨大的通膨与供应链危机。做为全球经济命脉的柴油,其价格攀升正对各国产业及消费者造成直接冲击。",
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    "title": "美日又出手了?日元跌破160后突然暴力拉升 市场疯传干预猜测",
    "shortTitle": "美日又出手了?日元跌破160后突然暴力拉升 市场疯传干预猜测",
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    "description": "日元周三(2日)盘中突然快速升值,在20国集团(G20)会议即将落幕之际,引发日本与美国可能再次进场干预汇市的揣测。由于当时没有明显新闻或总体经济因素足以解释这波走势,市场交易室随即传出官方出手买进日元的说法。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/l/227f9b6ec0f439398b3cd388deb15f6b.jpg",
    "content": "<p>日元周三(2日)盘中突然快速升值,在20国集团(G20)会议即将落幕之际,引发日本与美国可能再次进场干预汇市的揣测。由于当时没有明显新闻或总体经济因素足以解释这波走势,市场交易室随即传出官方出手买进日元的说法。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/l/227f9b6ec0f439398b3cd388deb15f6b.jpg\" alt=\"美日又出手了?日元跌破160后突然暴力拉升 市场疯传干预猜测\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<figure><img alt=\"(图:ZeroHedge)\" data-height=\"451\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.6851441241685143\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/m/336a8a163f3bd30e6196d2298c6819ca.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/l/336a8a163f3bd30e6196d2298c6819ca.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/l/336a8a163f3bd30e6196d2298c6819ca.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/xl/336a8a163f3bd30e6196d2298c6819ca.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/xl/336a8a163f3bd30e6196d2298c6819ca.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>日元一度贬破160日元兑1美元,随后突然急速反弹,但涨势并未持续扩大。(图:ZeroHedge)</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>日元稍早一度贬破160日元兑1美元,随后突然急速反弹,但涨势并未持续扩大。市场人士认为,160日元可能已成为美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)与日本银行(BOJ)共同防守的新底线。</p>\n\n<p>美国银行(BAC-US)外汇策略师Alex Cohen表示,市场仍对汇市干预保持高度警戒。部分交易员则认为,这波升势可能只是市场扫除停损单,也就是日元贬破关键价位后,引发大量部位自动平仓;不过,仍不能排除相关走势是由官方力量触发。</p>\n\n<p>Monex外汇交易员Andrew Hazlett表示,市场确实传出官方干预的消息,但就本次波动幅度而言,他对这项说法持怀疑态度。然而,日元兑美元与欧元同时突然走强,也很难以其他原因解释。</p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"(图:ZeroHedge)\" data-height=\"454\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.6740088105726871\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/m/f68a820ec87d766dfbbee9698bd695c0.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/l/f68a820ec87d766dfbbee9698bd695c0.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/l/f68a820ec87d766dfbbee9698bd695c0.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/xl/f68a820ec87d766dfbbee9698bd695c0.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595807/xl/f68a820ec87d766dfbbee9698bd695c0.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>(图:ZeroHedge)</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>这次日元升幅仍小于约一个月前的行情。当时日元一度贬至约164日元兑1美元,创近40年低点,随后东京与华府联手进场支撑日元,推动日元反弹约5%。</p>\n\n<p>那是美日自1998年以来首次协调买进日元,也是数十年来罕见的联合汇市干预。两国政府事后均暗示,如有必要不排除再次采取共同行动,大幅提高做空日元的风险。随着160日元关卡再度失守,交易员正密切观察官方是否已悄然出手,或准备进行新一轮干预。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13809.html\" title=\"黄金卖压即将枯竭!德银:鹰派Fed也难阻挡金属走强、下一轮上涨或由主动资金接棒\">黄金卖压即将枯竭!德银:鹰派Fed也难阻挡金属走强、下一轮上涨或由主动资金接棒</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13768.html\" title=\"日银审议委员高田创释鹰派讯号 暗示加速升息步伐\">日银审议委员高田创释鹰派讯号 暗示加速升息步伐</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13810.html\" title=\"〈财报前瞻〉市值蒸发5200亿美元 博通能靠AI财测上演辉达式大涨?\">〈财报前瞻〉市值蒸发5200亿美元 博通能靠AI财测上演辉达式大涨?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13724.html\" title=\"纽西兰央行再度升息1码至2.75% 释放鸽派紧缩讯号 纽元走跌\">纽西兰央行再度升息1码至2.75% 释放鸽派紧缩讯号 纽元走跌</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13735.html\" title=\"中国气象局:过去60年青藏高原冰川面积减少约24% 冰川动力失稳\">中国气象局:过去60年青藏高原冰川面积减少约24% 冰川动力失稳</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13755.html\" title=\"美伊冲突与利率疑虑夹击 比特币跌至7.7万美元 需求转负引发警讯\">美伊冲突与利率疑虑夹击 比特币跌至7.7万美元 需求转负引发警讯</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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