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"title": "尽管通膨升温 英国央行预计维持利率不变",
"shortTitle": "尽管通膨升温 英国央行预计维持利率不变",
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"description": "尽管英国8月消费者物价指数(CPI)年增率由7月的2.9%攀升至3.1%,进一步偏离英国央行设定的2%目标,市场普遍预期货币政策委员会(MPC)仍将以多数决将基准利率维持在3.75%。",
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"content": "<p>尽管英国8月消费者物价指数(CPI)年增率由7月的2.9%攀升至3.1%,进一步偏离英国央行设定的2%目标,市场普遍预期货币政策委员会(MPC)仍将以多数决将基准利率维持在3.75%,这将是央行连续第六次按兵不动。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6608946/l/56052323fc3283d059c75378a7b3c262.jpg\" alt=\"尽管通膨升温 英国央行预计维持利率不变\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>本次通膨回升主要受到伊朗冲突引发的油气价格飙涨,以及荷姆兹海峡航运受阻影响,推升了汽油与机票价格。随着10月国内家庭能源帐单即将调涨,短期内物价压力恐难缓解。</p>\n\n<p>针对利率政策方向,专家与央行内部呈现明确分歧。施罗德全球经济主管 David Rees 认为劳动市场与薪资成长依然温和,他指出:「这应能限制进口价格压力嵌入国内薪资与物价的程度」,因而支持央行暂时维持利率不变。</p>\n\n<p>英国央行首席经济学家 Huw Pill 则强烈反对「观望态度」。他在演说中主张升息至4%,并警告:「不确定性可能无法如预期般快速解决,进而导致利率设定出现『现状偏误』,让货币政策在因应通膨风险时『落后于曲线』」。此前,委员 Megan Greene 与 Catherine Mann 也曾投票支持升息至4%。</p>\n\n<p>在美国联准会(Fed)与欧洲央行(ECB)陆续调整政策之际,掉期市场预估英国央行可能于11月或12月启动升息。由于首相柏南(Andy Burnham)政府将于10月底提出秋季预算案,央行倾向先观察财政政策细节。而升息预期已带动房贷利率上扬,也加重了政府的债务利息负担。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16279.html\" title=\"香港金管局随Fed上调基本利率 余伟文:民众需充分考量并管理利率风险\">香港金管局随Fed上调基本利率 余伟文:民众需充分考量并管理利率风险</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16285.html\" title=\"中国逾8亿人爱看AI短剧 官方喊话加码扶持真人剧\">中国逾8亿人爱看AI短剧 官方喊话加码扶持真人剧</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16264.html\" title=\"中国访日游客锐减59% 连续9个月下滑\">中国访日游客锐减59% 连续9个月下滑</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16270.html\" title=\"燃油成本高涨重压航空业 美国航空公司考虑削减航班\">燃油成本高涨重压航空业 美国航空公司考虑削减航班</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16300.html\" title=\"川普:向加拿大发出邀请是「敌意行为」 考虑对欧盟祭出关税\">川普:向加拿大发出邀请是「敌意行为」 考虑对欧盟祭出关税</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-16301.html\" title=\"靠AI与TikTok!张一鸣身家破1050亿美元成亚洲新首富 七年成长约700%\">靠AI与TikTok!张一鸣身家破1050亿美元成亚洲新首富 七年成长约700%</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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"createdAt": "2026-09-17T08:20:03.000Z",
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