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下一场金融危机恐从金融体系外爆发!地缘政治、网攻成潜在风险

2026-10-03 23:09:46 网络 阅读(1)

印度储备银行行长马洛萨(Sanjay Malhotra)周六(3日)警告,下一场金融危机的导火线可能来自金融体系以外,包括地缘政治事件、网路攻击或技术故障,这些非传统风险可能透过多种管道冲击金融体系。

下一场金融危机恐从金融体系外爆发!地缘政治、网攻成潜在风险

根据《彭博》报导,马洛萨在新德里一场活动中表示,未来的金融危机可能由地缘政治事件、网路攻击,或影响金融系统的技术故障引发。

他指出,印度仍面临伊朗战争带来的冲击,包括大宗商品价格上涨及「外部部门压力」,但印度经济正以「相对强健的姿态」应对这一阶段的挑战。

马洛萨强调,新一代系统性风险正逐渐呈现「外生」特征,凸显监管机构有必要将目光从传统金融不稳定因素,扩大至其他风险来源。

印度央行预计于下周三(7日)公布货币政策决议。随著作为亚洲第三大经济体的印度通膨升温,多数经济学家预期,该国央行将自2023年初以来首度升息。

不过,马洛萨并未在活动中评论货币政策。

尽管面临外部逆风,印度经济仍展现韧性,今年4月至6月当季经济成长率达7.8%。强劲的经济成长,可能让政策制定者有更大的空间提高借贷成本,同时避免需求明显转弱。

马洛萨表示,为强化金融体系的韧性,「我们必须致力于更深入了解」各环节之间的相互关联,以及危机可能蔓延的管道。

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      "title": "〈贵金属盘后〉美元走强、美债殖利率飙高 黄金周线连6周5跌",
      "shortTitle": "〈贵金属盘后〉美元走强、美债殖利率飙高 黄金周线连6周5跌",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620712/l/b88c3ec1ef1398a832a2a74d4e077998.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-02T21:50:04.000Z",
      "description": "美9月非农仅增2.9万人、失业率升至4.2%,Fed升息预期降温,金价一度反弹。
但美10年期殖利率约5.26%、30年期5.62%维持高档,美元周线续强,压抑黄金。
现货金周跌约3.3%,本周恐连2周下跌,近6周第5周收黑。",
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    {
      "id": 18437,
      "title": "升息预期撑美元 摩根士丹利改口看多 DXY年底上看102",
      "shortTitle": "升息预期撑美元 摩根士丹利改口看多 DXY年底上看102",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6616069/l/532892d300d76db54bc5fddbb1397464.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-03T03:10:03.000Z",
      "description": "小摩坦承看空美元预测失准,因能源高涨与美国经济强劲,Fed偏鹰派使升息预期升温。
摩根士丹利将今年底DXY预估由96上修至102,欧元兑美元降至1.12、英镑至1.30,美元兑日元上调至159。
展望2027年中,该行估DXY上看104;另提关税、外汇干预等黑天鹅恐引发美元多头停损卖压。",
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    {
      "id": 18442,
      "title": "联准会10月可能按兵不动 12月再按下升息按钮",
      "shortTitle": "联准会10月可能按兵不动 12月再按下升息按钮",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620835/l/1500354572070d941cde79afc63f6ba3.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-03T04:30:06.000Z",
      "description": "9月美国新增就业仅2.9万、失业率4.2%,低于预期,强化Fed本月暂停升息可能。
Fed官员称仍待更多数据,10月27日至28日会前将公布CPI,成下一步利率决策关键。
交易员降温10月升息押注至约25%,但市场仍押注12月可能再升息。",
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    {
      "id": 18443,
      "title": "7.28%!美国房贷创近3年新高 购屋族每月多付276美元",
      "shortTitle": "7.28%!美国房贷创近3年新高 购屋族每月多付276美元",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620933/l/edccc62e717f9be227315ea5dce20495.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-03T04:20:06.000Z",
      "description": "美30年房贷利率升至7.28%,单周涨25个基点,创2022年10月以来最大升幅
MBA:房贷申请量降6%,再融资减56%,购屋申请年减14%,ARM占比升至10.3%
高利率压抑购屋需求;40万美元房贷月付较2月底多276美元",
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      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 18444,
      "title": "牛市警讯浮现!仅25%标普成分股站上50日线 结构急剧恶化 ",
      "shortTitle": "牛市警讯浮现!仅25%标普成分股站上50日线 结构急剧恶化 ",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6619972/l/36768b6bec6e12c906ab7a172c6fdb4f.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-03T04:10:02.000Z",
      "description": "标普500仅25%成分股高于50日均线、47%高于200日线,皆创近半年或今年4月以来新低。
NYSE已连10个交易日创52周新低股数多于新高,近15日有14天出现此警讯,市场广度急剧恶化。
资金转向辉达、Meta等科技巨头,但强劲财报仍支撑股市;短线恐修正,长线多头顶部未必已到。",
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      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 18445,
      "title": "G7突宣布释放1亿桶战略储备!油价跳水后反弹 美伊战事仍是最大变数",
      "shortTitle": "G7突宣布释放1亿桶战略储备!油价跳水后反弹 美伊战事仍是最",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620932/l/9b3b9c68f38577ff83c8c91ef64d5e70.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-03T04:00:04.000Z",
      "description": "G7宣布透过IEA释放最多1亿桶柴油、原油及石油产品储备,立即启动并持续4个月,优先缓解柴油供应压力。
消息带动油价剧烈震荡,WTI盘中一度跌逾5%,终场跌1.73%至91.26美元;Brent守在100美元上方。
但中东战事、荷姆兹海峡船舶遇袭及美国增兵仍在,市场认为战略储备仅能部分缓解短期缺口。",
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    },
    {
      "id": 18400,
      "title": "川普喊韩国投84亿美元采油!韩方错愕:协议里没有",
      "shortTitle": "川普喊韩国投84亿美元采油!韩方错愕:协议里没有",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620750/l/fcf4f5c70250afc149332c92e1e251c6.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-02T17:30:02.000Z",
      "description": "川普称美韩协议含84亿美元EOR计划,韩国官员指协议内未包含
韩方称仅限2025年11月联合事实清单,白宫与韩国驻美大使馆未回应
川普加速宣传韩国2,000亿美元对美投资;含阿拉斯加LNG管线仍待审查",
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      "id": 18405,
      "title": "〈能源盘后〉G7宣布释放1亿桶油品储备 油价承压小跌 但市场仍盯中东供应",
      "shortTitle": "〈能源盘后〉G7宣布释放1亿桶油品储备 油价承压小跌 但市场",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620711/l/3931bca298ab6c37ba204f33f58cd31f.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-02T21:20:03.000Z",
      "description": "欧盟同意释放柴油战略储备,G7并透过IEA协调4个月内释放合计1亿桶原油、柴油及其他石油产品。
布兰特原油周五收跌6美分至每桶102.25美元,WTI跌1.76美元至91.11美元;市场消化新增供应消息。
美国、欧洲与中国能源政策及中东、俄罗斯供应变数交错,成品油供应紧张仍是油市主要压力。",
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      "id": 18406,
      "title": "杜拜航空爆重大安检漏洞!副机师遭阿曼禁飞仍获聘",
      "shortTitle": "杜拜航空爆重大安检漏洞!副机师遭阿曼禁飞仍获聘",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-02T21:10:02.000Z",
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消息指该副机长先前因涉极端思想遭阿曼禁飞,却仍获FlyDubai聘用并执飞敏感航线
尼坦雅胡定调为恐攻,FlyDubai停飞杜拜往返特拉维夫;跨国安检与机师背景审查受质疑",
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    "title": "下一场金融危机恐从金融体系外爆发!地缘政治、网攻成潜在风险",
    "shortTitle": "下一场金融危机恐从金融体系外爆发!地缘政治、网攻成潜在风险",
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    "description": "印度储备银行行长马洛萨(Sanjay Malhotra)周六(3日)警告,下一场金融危机的导火线可能来自金融体系以外,包括地缘政治事件、网路攻击或技术故障,这些非传统风险可能透过多种管道冲击金融体系。 根据《彭博》报导,马洛萨在新德里一场活动中表示,未来的金融危机可能由地缘政治事件、网路攻击,或影响金融系统的技术故障引发。 他指出,印度仍面临伊朗战争带来的冲击,包括大宗商品价格上涨及「外部部门压力」,但印度经济正以「相对强健的姿态」应对这一阶段的挑战。 马洛萨强调,新一代系统性风险正逐渐呈现「外",
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    "content": "<p>印度储备银行行长马洛萨(Sanjay Malhotra)周六(3日)警告,下一场金融危机的导火线可能来自金融体系以外,包括地缘政治事件、网路攻击或技术故障,这些非传统风险可能透过多种管道冲击金融体系。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6621022/l/4e748401bacb4ac4e6897261b310ba2b.jpg\" alt=\"下一场金融危机恐从金融体系外爆发!地缘政治、网攻成潜在风险\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>根据《彭博》报导,马洛萨在新德里一场活动中表示,未来的金融危机可能由地缘政治事件、网路攻击,或影响金融系统的技术故障引发。</p>\n\n<p>他指出,印度仍面临伊朗战争带来的冲击,包括大宗商品价格上涨及「外部部门压力」,但印度经济正以「相对强健的姿态」应对这一阶段的挑战。</p>\n\n<p>马洛萨强调,新一代系统性风险正逐渐呈现「外生」特征,凸显监管机构有必要将目光从传统金融不稳定因素,扩大至其他风险来源。</p>\n\n<p>印度央行预计于下周三(7日)公布货币政策决议。随著作为亚洲第三大经济体的印度通膨升温,多数经济学家预期,该国央行将自2023年初以来首度升息。</p>\n\n<p>不过,马洛萨并未在活动中评论货币政策。</p>\n\n<p>尽管面临外部逆风,印度经济仍展现韧性,今年4月至6月当季经济成长率达7.8%。强劲的经济成长,可能让政策制定者有更大的空间提高借贷成本,同时避免需求明显转弱。</p>\n\n<p>马洛萨表示,为强化金融体系的韧性,「我们必须致力于更深入了解」各环节之间的相互关联,以及危机可能蔓延的管道。</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">(本文不开放合作伙伴转载)</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18445.html\" title=\"G7突宣布释放1亿桶战略储备!油价跳水后反弹 美伊战事仍是最大变数\">G7突宣布释放1亿桶战略储备!油价跳水后反弹 美伊战事仍是最大变数</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18409.html\" title=\"2000亿美元赴美投资生变?川普称已谈妥 南韩却强调阿拉斯加LNG尚未拍板\">2000亿美元赴美投资生变?川普称已谈妥 南韩却强调阿拉斯加LNG尚未拍板</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18461.html\" title=\"体力变差?华尔街日报:「川习会」中方要求配合习近平休息\">体力变差?华尔街日报:「川习会」中方要求配合习近平休息</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18459.html\" title=\"Fed示警「通膨心态」成降息阻力!企业提前涨价恐让美国通膨更难降至2%\">Fed示警「通膨心态」成降息阻力!企业提前涨价恐让美国通膨更难降至2%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18452.html\" title=\"9月非农报告终结10月升息预期?Fed传声筒:政策立场未变、9月CPI才是关键\">9月非农报告终结10月升息预期?Fed传声筒:政策立场未变、9月CPI才是关键</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18442.html\" title=\"联准会10月可能按兵不动 12月再按下升息按钮\">联准会10月可能按兵不动 12月再按下升息按钮</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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