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"title": "强势王季报》2026年第四季强势王展望",
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"description": "强势王精选3至4档基金,依主题定期检视;本季多档调整,聚焦台股、AI与收益配置。 台股明星队改配施罗德台湾乐活中小基金,近1年获利成长率50.7%,提升中小型成长股比重。 配置常胜军改采动态股债调整,收息大管家维持不变;后者看好非投等债8.2%、前缘债9.2%收益吸引力。",
"img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/bb08321513bc8d733f0c11932f9fb8b9.jpg",
"content": "<p>市场趋势不断变化,投资人要自己挑基金、追踪表现并不容易。<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/FundSpec/QFund/?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">强势王</a>的目标,是帮助投资人用更简单的方式,参与由专业团队精选与定期检视的强势基金投组,让投组更能因应不同阶段的市场环境。每个强势王精选3至4档基金,依据不同的主题进行策略配置,协助投资人掌握特定市场趋势的机会。投资研究部每季也会针对强势王的基金进行评估,依据包括但不限于基金过去的绩效表现和风险等关键指标,确保每档基金都符合当前的市场环境和投资主题。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/bb08321513bc8d733f0c11932f9fb8b9.jpg\" alt=\"强势王季报》2026年第四季强势王展望\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p><strong>1.台股明星队:聚焦关键科技供应链,掌握台股成长动能</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。\" data-height=\"384\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.9791666666666667\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/m/c23547a04a6284e98aa34f60124a6d1e.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/c23547a04a6284e98aa34f60124a6d1e.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/c23547a04a6284e98aa34f60124a6d1e.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xl/c23547a04a6284e98aa34f60124a6d1e.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xxl/c23547a04a6284e98aa34f60124a6d1e.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>「<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/FundSpec/QFund/themefund/002V004?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">台股明星队</a>」是聚焦台湾科技供应链成长机会的台股投资组合。随着全球AI投资持续推进,从先进制程、伺服器、散热、载板到电子零组件,台湾仍站在全球硬体升级的重要位置。不过,当AI成长机会逐步由大型权值股向设备、零组件与利基型供应链扩散,本季投组也进一步提高对中小型成长股的参与,希望掌握下一阶段企业获利成长机会。</p>\n\n<p>本季将「街口台湾基金」调整为「施罗德台湾乐活中小基金」。主要考量在于,施罗德台湾乐活中小基金的企业获利成长速度相对突出,近一年获利成长率达50.7%,高于街口台湾基金的38.2%;若拉长至近三年观察,施罗德台湾乐活中小基金获利成长率为26.7%,亦明显高于街口台湾基金的9.2%。透过此次调整,除了延续原有半导体与AI供应链主轴,也进一步增加具较高获利成长潜力的中小型企业配置,延伸至设备、零组件、测试及其他具成长性的利基型供应链,提升整体投组对台股成长机会的掌握度。</p>\n\n<p><strong>2. 一军大联盟:美台市场双核心,布局AI软硬体双引擎</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。\" data-height=\"393\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.9338422391857506\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/m/21a105029fc35c282754bda15b58cd3d.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/21a105029fc35c282754bda15b58cd3d.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/21a105029fc35c282754bda15b58cd3d.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xl/21a105029fc35c282754bda15b58cd3d.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xxl/21a105029fc35c282754bda15b58cd3d.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>「<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/FundSpec/QFund/themefund/001V003?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">一军大联盟</a>」以科技成长作为主要引擎,透过台湾科技股、全球科技股与美国科技股,再搭配其他受惠科技发展的美国成长企业,掌握AI从硬体建设到应用落地的完整成长链。过去AI投资主要集中在晶片、资料中心与算力建设,但随着基础建设逐步到位,企业导入AI的速度也开始加快,成长机会正由少数科技巨头向更多产业与企业扩散。从各基金最新月报来看,全球科技基金对美国市场的投资比重进一步提高,反映基金布局方向持续朝向AI发展最具代表性的市场集中,与我们持续看好美国AI产业发展的观点一致。因此,本季投组维持不变,持续透过现有配置同时掌握AI基础建设与应用落地两端的机会,希望在AI投资主线由硬体向软体、由少数龙头向更多企业扩散的过程中,延续投组的科技成长动能。</p>\n\n<p><strong>3.未来科技王</strong><strong>:科技纯度高、锁定高成长科技产业机会</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。\" data-height=\"439\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.7312072892938497\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/m/320691dd661d30c207741345c94dd3e5.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/320691dd661d30c207741345c94dd3e5.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/320691dd661d30c207741345c94dd3e5.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xl/320691dd661d30c207741345c94dd3e5.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xxl/320691dd661d30c207741345c94dd3e5.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p> </p>\n\n<p>「<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/FundSpec/QFund/themefund/003V004?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">未来科技王</a>」聚焦高成长科技产业,布局半导体、AI基础建设、先进硬体与新兴科技应用等领域,强调科技浓度与企业成长动能,适合看好科技产业长线发展、且能承受较高市场波动的人。本季将「第一金亚洲科技基金」调整为「瀚亚亚洲科技资本家基金」,主要是将原先偏重日本的亚洲科技布局,转向台韩比重较高、企业获利成长性更突出的基金,进一步提高投组对亚洲AI硬体与半导体供应链的掌握。「瀚亚亚洲科技资本家基金」台湾比重50.1%,明显高于原基金的19%,韩国比重25.2%,日本比重则由原基金的40.6%降至8.8%,整体配置由原先较偏重日本市场,转向更集中于台湾、韩国等亚洲科技AI供应链重镇。另外,「瀚亚亚洲科技资本家基金」近一年每股盈余成长率54.8%,高于原基金38.8%;近三年每股盈余成长率25.5%,也高于原基金的20%。营收成长方面,近1年、3年与5年分别为33.4%、18.3%与22.6%,亦高于原基金的23.4%、14.%与19.3%。</p>\n\n<p><strong>4.配置常胜军:随景气灵活调整攻守,让配置贴着市场走</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。\" data-height=\"425\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.7882352941176471\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/m/5ffa208b062ecbd95a60e1b813479983.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/5ffa208b062ecbd95a60e1b813479983.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/5ffa208b062ecbd95a60e1b813479983.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xl/5ffa208b062ecbd95a60e1b813479983.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xxl/5ffa208b062ecbd95a60e1b813479983.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>资料来源:基金公司月报,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。各基金配置比重可能随市场状况与基金经理人操作调整,相关数据亦可能随之变动,本图仅供参考。</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>本季我们重新调整「<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/FundSpec/QFund/themefund/005V004?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">配置常胜军</a>」的投资方式,核心原因在于市场环境与景气循环不断变化,若长期固定维持相同的股债比例,未必能即时反映不同阶段的风险与机会。因此,投组从原先较接近传统股债均衡配置的模式,改为依景气与市场环境动态调整股票与债券比重,让整体配置更有弹性。〈想了解完整的动态配置逻辑,请详<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/investment-article/asset-allocation-evolution-dynamic-adjustment?tblci=GiCfqMRVm-zin7eX9HteWhp8PA8T4x50mCkdKuLt1ltbUiCYqWgovqC-wN6X6LcXMOycXw?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">资产配置再进化!「配置常胜军」帮你动态调整攻守</a>〉未来投组将综合观察经济成长、企业获利、利率环境与市场风险,作为调整攻守的主要依据。当景气较佳、企业获利与成长动能偏强时,可提高股票比重,增加对市场上涨机会的参与;若景气转弱、衰退风险升高或市场波动加剧,则可提高美国公债等防御型资产比重,必要时也能大幅降低股票部位。</p>\n\n<p>配合投资逻辑的改变,本季将原本三档基金全面调整为指数型基金,让投组能更直接反映我们对市场与景气的判断。目前由元大标普500ETF(00646)连结基金、富邦NASDAQ-100指数基金与元大台湾卓越50ETF(0050)连结基金组成,配置比例分别为35%、35%及30%。其中,元大标普500ETF连结基金布局美国500家大型企业,涵盖各主要产业龙头;富邦NASDAQ-100指数基金聚焦美国大型创新科技企业,强化整体成长动能;元大台湾卓越50 ETF连结基金则锁定台股市值前50大企业,补足台湾大型权值股与科技龙头布局。三档基金搭配后,「配置常胜军」形成「美国大型企业+美国科技创新+台湾大型权值股」的配置架构,一方面保留大型企业作为核心,另一方面也能参与美台科技与成长产业的发展机会。未来将更重视利用透明度较高、贴近市场走势的指数工具,再依景气与市场环境弹性调整股票与债券比重,让每一次攻守调整都能更直接反映当下的资产配置判断。</p>\n\n<p><strong>5. 收息大管家</strong><strong>:多元收益策略,布局长期成长机会</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"资料来源:理柏,理柏环球分类,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。基金分类系依理柏环球分类标准整理,分类结果可能因理柏定义调整而有所变动,本图仅供参考。注:配息率=每单位配息金额÷除息日前一日之净值。配息率是根据该基金在过去一年的实际配息情况而得的数值。配息不代表实际报酬,且过去配息不代表未来配息;基金净值可能因市场因素而上下波动。\" data-height=\"421\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.8052256532066508\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/m/0e7be724ac310295750cd3619a4e3370.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/0e7be724ac310295750cd3619a4e3370.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/l/0e7be724ac310295750cd3619a4e3370.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xl/0e7be724ac310295750cd3619a4e3370.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6623493/xxl/0e7be724ac310295750cd3619a4e3370.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>资料来源:理柏,理柏环球分类,「巨亨买基金」整理,资料日期:2026/09/30。基金分类系依理柏环球分类标准整理,分类结果可能因理柏定义调整而有所变动,本图仅供参考。注:配息率=每单位配息金额÷除息日前一日之净值。配息率是根据该基金在过去一年的实际配息情况而得的数值。配息不代表实际报酬,且过去配息不代表未来配息;基金净值可能因市场因素而上下波动。</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>「<a href=\"https://www.anuefund.com/FundSpec/QFund/themefund/004V003?proType=anue&utm_source=cnyes&utm_medium=article&utm_campaign=radar_20261005\">收息大管家</a>」以现金流需求为核心、同时兼顾收益与成长,透过环球收益股票、环球非投资等级债券与前缘市场债券搭配,建立多元收益来源。股票部位除了提供股息机会,也保留参与企业成长的空间;债券部位则透过不同信用评级与区域市场配置,增加整体收益来源。本季投组维持不变,主要考量目前利率仍处相对高档,债券收益率仍具配置吸引力。目前全球非投资等级债殖利率约8.2%、前缘市场债券约9.2%,皆高于美国十年期公债的5.3%,显示出较高的收益吸引力。加上全球经济维持温和成长,企业获利与信用市场仍有一定支撑,因此现阶段维持既有配置,暂无须调整。</p>\n\n<p><strong>本资料仅供参考,「巨亨买基金」已尽力就可靠之资料来源提供正确之意见与消息,但无法保证该等资料之完整性。</strong></p>\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>依金融消费者保护法最新相关规定,为提供投资人更好的投资服务,本公司施行「投资属性评估」程序,您于巨亨买基金网站完成「投资风险适合度」评估,本公司将依客户属性做商品适合度规范并至少每年请您更新一次,若未能完成属性评估届时将会影响您的交易。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>基金交易系以长期投资为目的,不宜期待于短期内获取高收益。任何基金单位之价格及其收益均可能涨或跌,故不一定能取回全部之投资金额。投资人申购前应自行了解判断。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>外币计价之基金,投资人须承担取得收益分配或买回价金时转换回新台币可能产生之汇率风险。若转换当时之新台币兑换外币汇率相较于原始投资日之汇率升值时,投资人将承受汇兑损失。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>各基金所采用之「公平价格调整」(或「反稀释」)、短线交易及「价格调整机制(或「摆动定价」)」等机制,相关说明请详各基金公开说明书。投资人应遵守基金公开说明书所列相关交易规定与限制。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>各基金经金管会核准或同意生效,惟不表示绝无风险。基金经理公司以往之经理绩效不保证基金之最低投资收益;基金经理公司除尽善良管理人之注意义务外,不负责本基金之盈亏,亦不保证最低之收益,投资人申购前应详阅投资人须知/基金公开说明书。投资人申购前应自行了解判断。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>有关基金应负担之费用(含分销费用)已揭露于基金公开说明书及投资人须知,投资人可至</strong><a href=\"https://mops.twse.com.tw/mops/web/index\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>公开资讯观测站</strong></a><strong>或</strong><a href=\"https://www.fundclear.com.tw/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>基金资讯观测站</strong></a><strong>中查询。</strong></li>\n<li><span style=\"color:#ff0000\"><strong>由于非投资等级债券基金之信用评等未达投资等级或未经信用评等,且对利率变动的敏感度甚高,故非投资等级债券基金可能会因利率上升、市场流动性下降,或债券发行机构违约不支付本金、利息或破产而蒙受亏损。非投资等级债券基金不适合无法承担相关风险之投资人,投资人投资以非投资等级债券基金为诉求之基金不宜占其投资组合过高之比重。部份基金或所投资之债券子基金,可能投资美国Rule 144A 债券,该等债券属私募性质,较可能发生流动性不足,财务讯息揭露不完整或因价格不透明导致波动性较大之风险,投资人须留意相关风险。</strong></span></li>\n<li><span style=\"color:#ff0000\"><strong>股票入息基金所称之「入息」系指基金会使用符合其投资目标之衍生性工具,以产生额外之收入。为获取较一致性之配息收入,除股票投资之资本利得及股息收益外,卖出短期选择权之已实现权利金收入亦属于基金之配息来源之一。基金之衍生性金融商品投资策略,包括卖出短期选择权买权操作,与其他股票型基金特性不同,在市场短线大幅上涨时,可能导致基金绩效落后于市场之情形。为寻求一致地于该期间每月向股东分配股息,基金之配息可能由本金支出;惟上述配息政策并不表示配息固定不变。基金投资全球股票市场,亦即基金投资人亦将承担股票基金一般所应承担之风险,不会因为衍生性金融商品的操作而有所降低。此外,投资人应留意衍生性工具操作与本策略所可能产生之投资风险(详见公开说明书或投资人须知)。</strong></span></li>\n<li><strong>基金投资于金融机构发行具损失吸收能力之债券(包括应急可转换债券及具总损失吸收能力债券,下称CoCo Bond及TLAC债券),当金融机构出现资本适足率低于一定水平、重大营运或破产危机时,得以契约形式或透过法定机制将债券减记面额或转换股权,可能导致客户部分或全部债权减记、利息取消、债权转换股权、修改债券条件如到期日、票息、付息日、或暂停配息等变动。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>基金配息不代表基金实际报酬,且过去配息不代表未来配息;基金净值可能因市场因素而上下波动。</strong></li>\n<li><span style=\"color:#ff0000\"><strong>基金配息之配息率计算公式为「每单位配息金额÷除息日前一日之净值x100%」,含息报酬率计算为:[(除息日当月月底净值+每单位配息金额) ÷前一月/三月/六月/一年底净值-1]*100%。</strong></span></li>\n<li><strong>部分基金配息前未先扣除应负担之相关费用。基金的配息可能由基金的收益或本金中支付。任何涉及由本金支出的部份,可能导致原始投资金额减损。各基金由本金支付配息之相关资料,投资人可至各投信基金公司及总代理人网站查询。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>基金涉及投资新兴市场部份,因其波动性与风险程度可能较高,且其政治与经济情势稳定度可能低于已开发国家,也可能使资产价值受不同程度之影响。依金管会规定:</strong>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>投信基金直接投资大陆地区有价证券仅限挂牌上市有价证券,投资人须留意中国市场特定政治、经济与市场等投资风险。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>境外基金直接投资大陆地区证券市场之有价证券以挂牌上市有价证券及银行间债券市场为限,且投资总金额不得超过本基金净资产价值之百分之二十。但若该年度获得境外基金深耕计划认可者不在此限,比例得放宽至百分之四十。另投资人亦须留意中国市场特定政治、外汇、经济与市场等投资风险。</strong></li>\n</ul>\n</li>\n<li><strong>本文提及之经济走势预测不必然代表基金之绩效,基金投资风险请详阅基金公开说明书。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>投资人因不同时间进场,将有不同之投资绩效,过去之绩效亦不代表未来绩效之保证。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>投资人应注意货币基金投资之风险包括利率风险、债券交易市场流动性不足之风险及投资无担保公司债之风险;本基金或有因利率变动、债券交易市场流动性不足及定期存单提前解约而影响基金净值下跌之风险,同时或有受益人大量赎回时,至延迟给付赎回价款之可能。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>风险报酬等级系依基金类型、投资区域或主要投资标的/产业,由低至高,区分为RR1~RR5五个风险报酬等级。RR系计算过去五年基金净值波动度标准差,以标准差区间予以分类等级,基金成立未满五年,将以较短区间或适当参考标的作为评估标准。此等级分类系基于一般市场状况反映市场价格波动风险,无法涵盖所有风险(如:基金计价币别汇率风险、投资标的产业风险、信用风险、利率风险、流动性风险等),亦不宜作为投资唯一依据,投资人应充分评估基金之投资风险。基金主要相关投资风险(如信用风险、流动性风险…等)已揭露于基金公开说明书或投资人须知。其他相关资料(如年化标准差、Alpha、Beta及Sharp值等)可至中华民国投信投顾公会网站「</strong><a href=\"https://www.sitca.org.tw/index_pc.aspx\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>基金绩效及评估指标查询专区</strong></a><strong>」查询。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>上述资料来源仅供投资人参考,惟相关资讯仍应以各基金公司公告为准。如有任何疏漏错误,本公司或关系企业与其任何董事或任何受雇人恕不负任何法律责任。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>有关基金之 ESG 资讯,投资人应于申购前详阅基金公开说明书或投资人须知所载之基金所有特色或目标等资讯,基金ESG资讯可查询</strong><a href=\"https://announce.fundclear.com.tw/MOPSFundWeb/ESG.jsp\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>基金资讯观测站</strong></a><strong>。</strong></li>\n<li><strong>投资人申购基金系持有基金受益凭证,而非本文提及之投资资产或标的;投资人应留意衍生性工具/证券相关商品等杠杆投资策略所可能产生之投资风险(详见公开说明书或投资人须知)。</strong></li>\n</ul>\n\n<p><strong>巨亨证券投资顾问股份有限公司 │ 客服信箱:[email protected]</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong> 公司地址:台北市信义区松仁路89号18楼B室 │ 服务专线:(02)2720-8126 │ 服务时间:09:00-17:00</strong></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19043.html\" title=\"投资雷达》屡创新高还能买吗?破解投资人恐慌迷思\">投资雷达》屡创新高还能买吗?破解投资人恐慌迷思</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18979.html\" title=\"疲弱就业难改抛售预期!美长债殖利率续徘徊近24年高点 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