天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-〈纽约汇市〉美元下跌债券反弹缓和通膨数据冲击

美元周四(15日)自18个月高点回落，投资人将目光从强劲的美国通膨与消费支出数据，转向 AI 资料中心业者债券遭抛售的情况。

〈纽约汇市〉美元下跌债券反弹缓和通膨数据冲击

纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)下跌 0.45%，报 101.99。此前美国通膨数据高于预期，美元指数周三升至 18 个月高点。

美国 9 月生产者物价(PPI)以 4 年半来最快速度上涨，商品与服务成本同步增加，进一步显示通膨压力正从能源领域扩散至其他领域。

上个月零售销售增幅高于预期，主要受到汽油价格上涨带动，每周初领失业救济金人数则小幅增加，显示消费需求仍具韧性，劳动市场也维持稳定。

但美国公债价格上涨，美元则回落，反映联准会(Fed)官员近期发表审慎言论，进一步降低市场对 10 月升息的预期。

Monex USA交易主管 Juan Perez 表示，「目前市场存在一种不利美元的论述，原因在于，通膨若维持在这样的水准，且以如此快的速度上升，将难以持续。」

他表示，「无论战事方面没有好消息，或股市前景看起来悲观，在过去四周美元大幅走强之后，市场仍倾向抛售美元……经济停滞似乎对交易员的想法产生更大的影响。」

AI企业债务负担受关注

美元回落带动欧元反弹，欧元兑美元上涨 0.56%，从 18 个月低点升至 1.1218 美元，创下近两个月来最大单日涨幅。

英镑兑美元则上涨 0.64%，至 1.3275 美元，此前数据显示，英国经济 8 月意外成长 0.1%。

周三美国消费者物价指数（CPI）数据高于预期，最初推升市场对联准会维持高利率更长时间的押注。同时，市场再度担忧 AI 企业沉重的债务负担，促使资金流向美国公债等避险资产，市场走势因而震荡加剧。

Mesirow Currency Management 资深投资策略师 Uto Shinohara 表示，「晶片股遭抛售为债券提供支撑，使殖利率得以维持在相对受控的水准，抵销通膨讯号带来的影响。」

芝商所（CME Group）FedWatch 工具显示，交易员目前预期，联准会在 10 月 27 日至 28 日的会议上维持利率不变的机率为 73%，高于一个月前的 53%。

CPI 报告公布后，市场对升息的预期机率大幅上升，但联准会负责监管事务的副主席鲍曼 (Michelle Bowman)，以及旧金山联准银行总裁戴莉 (Mary Daly) 等官员表示，联准会可以等到会议前取得更明确的资讯再做决定，随后市场对升息的押注便有所降温。

LMAX Group 市场策略师 Joel Kruger 表示，「如果殖利率难以进一步走高，而美元每逢反弹便持续遭到卖出，将会强化我们的看法：通膨消息大致已被市场消化，风险的整体平衡将有利于风险性资产。」

投资人周五也将关注联准会官员在曼谷举行的国际货币基金（IMF）与世界银行年度会议上的谈话，包括联准会主席华许 (Kevin Warsh)，以寻找美国央行下一步行动的线索。

澳币兑美元下跌 0.77%，至 0.6919 美元，此前澳洲 9 月就业人数意外减少。

日元则升值 0.15%，至每美元兑 158.08 日元。

Shinohara 表示，「联准会即将进入政策会议前的静默期，而会议前也不再有一级重要经济数据公布，因此市场走势可能仍将受到俄罗斯与乌克兰、伊朗相关地缘政治不确定性，以及 AI 产业发展的影响。」

截至台湾时间周五 (16 日) 约 5:40 价格:

美元指数报 102.0059。+0.0310%
欧元兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1欧元兑1.1215美元。-0.0535%
英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1英镑兑1.3267美元。-0.0753%
澳币兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1澳币兑0.6920美元。-0.0144%
美元兑加币 (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.4188加币。+0.0211%
美元兑日元 (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑157.9700日元。-0.0127%

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美9月PPI创4年半来最快增幅，CPI也高于预期，但Fed官员审慎发言压低10月升息押注。
AI企业债务遭关注，资金转向美债避险，美元回落带动欧元、英镑反弹。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6631429/l/a746e515a4a49df32ee3db344cab327e.jpg", "content": "美元周四(15日)自18个月高点回落，投资人将目光从强劲的美国通膨与消费支出数据，转向 AI 资料中心业者债券遭抛售的情况。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6631429/l/a746e515a4a49df32ee3db344cab327e.jpg\" alt=\"〈纽约汇市〉美元下跌债券反弹缓和通膨数据冲击\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)下跌 0.45%，报 101.99。此前美国通膨数据高于预期，美元指数周三升至 18 个月高点。\n\n美国 9 月生产者物价(PPI)以 4 年半来最快速度上涨，商品与服务成本同步增加，进一步显示通膨压力正从能源领域扩散至其他领域。\n\n上个月零售销售增幅高于预期，主要受到汽油价格上涨带动，每周初领失业救济金人数则小幅增加，显示消费需求仍具韧性，劳动市场也维持稳定。\n\n但美国公债价格上涨，美元则回落，反映联准会(Fed)官员近期发表审慎言论，进一步降低市场对 10 月升息的预期。\n\nMonex USA交易主管 Juan Perez 表示，「目前市场存在一种不利美元的论述，原因在于，通膨若维持在这样的水准，且以如此快的速度上升，将难以持续。」\n\n他表示，「无论战事方面没有好消息，或股市前景看起来悲观，在过去四周美元大幅走强之后，市场仍倾向抛售美元……经济停滞似乎对交易员的想法产生更大的影响。」\n\nAI企业债务负担受关注\n\n美元回落带动欧元反弹，欧元兑美元上涨 0.56%，从 18 个月低点升至 1.1218 美元，创下近两个月来最大单日涨幅。\n\n英镑兑美元则上涨 0.64%，至 1.3275 美元，此前数据显示，英国经济 8 月意外成长 0.1%。\n\n周三美国消费者物价指数（CPI）数据高于预期，最初推升市场对联准会维持高利率更长时间的押注。同时，市场再度担忧 AI 企业沉重的债务负担，促使资金流向美国公债等避险资产，市场走势因而震荡加剧。\n\nMesirow Currency Management 资深投资策略师 Uto Shinohara 表示，「晶片股遭抛售为债券提供支撑，使殖利率得以维持在相对受控的水准，抵销通膨讯号带来的影响。」\n\n芝商所（CME Group）FedWatch 工具显示，交易员目前预期，联准会在 10 月 27 日至 28 日的会议上维持利率不变的机率为 73%，高于一个月前的 53%。\n\nCPI 报告公布后，市场对升息的预期机率大幅上升，但联准会负责监管事务的副主席鲍曼 (Michelle Bowman)，以及旧金山联准银行总裁戴莉 (Mary Daly) 等官员表示，联准会可以等到会议前取得更明确的资讯再做决定，随后市场对升息的押注便有所降温。\n\nLMAX Group 市场策略师 Joel Kruger 表示，「如果殖利率难以进一步走高，而美元每逢反弹便持续遭到卖出，将会强化我们的看法：通膨消息大致已被市场消化，风险的整体平衡将有利于风险性资产。」\n\n投资人周五也将关注联准会官员在曼谷举行的国际货币基金（IMF）与世界银行年度会议上的谈话，包括联准会主席华许 (Kevin Warsh)，以寻找美国央行下一步行动的线索。\n\n澳币兑美元下跌 0.77%，至 0.6919 美元，此前澳洲 9 月就业人数意外减少。\n\n日元则升值 0.15%，至每美元兑 158.08 日元。\n\nShinohara 表示，「联准会即将进入政策会议前的静默期，而会议前也不再有一级重要经济数据公布，因此市场走势可能仍将受到俄罗斯与乌克兰、伊朗相关地缘政治不确定性，以及 AI 产业发展的影响。」\n\n截至台湾时间周五 (16 日) 约 5:40 价格:\n\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/index/GI/DXY\">美元指数</a>报 102.0059。+0.0310%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑1.1215美元。-0.0535%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑1.3267美元。-0.0753%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑0.6920美元。-0.0144%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a> (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.4188<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a>。+0.0211%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a> (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑157.9700<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a>。-0.0127%</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-20513.html\" title=\"记忆体、半导体重挫AI变天？巨亨买基金揭三大原因吁分散布局有利抗震\">记忆体、半导体重挫AI变天？巨亨买基金揭三大原因吁分散布局有利抗震</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-20569.html\" title=\"韩股血洗、台股开始松动亚洲科技股「去杠杆卖压」引爆全面恐慌\">韩股血洗、台股开始松动亚洲科技股「去杠杆卖压」引爆全面恐慌</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-20551.html\" title=\"〈美股早盘〉通膨难降、科技股续跌！主要指数开低台积电ADR跌逾4%\">〈美股早盘〉通膨难降、科技股续跌！主要指数开低台积电ADR跌逾4%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-20585.html\" title=\"美股正酝酿大牛市避险基金大咖点名「标普493」接棒领涨\">美股正酝酿大牛市避险基金大咖点名「标普493」接棒领涨</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-20584.html\" title=\"台积电、阿里巴巴在列！Cboe预定10/19延长选择权交易时段\">台积电、阿里巴巴在列！Cboe预定10/19延长选择权交易时段</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-20552.html\" title=\"零售大增是油钱撑的！美国9月销售超预期核心消费却降温\">零售大增是油钱撑的！美国9月销售超预期核心消费却降温</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 1, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6631429", "createdAt": "2026-10-15T21:42:40.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-10-15T22:09:31.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 30, "pid": 0, "name": "实时", "pinyin": "hour", "path": "/hour", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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