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〈美国期中选举〉民主党可望大胜!伊朗议长解读:美国选民用选票说「不要战争」

2026-11-04 16:57:48 网络 阅读(1)

美国期中选举开票预测结果显示,民主党已经攻下国会参众两院,对此伊朗国会议长卡利巴夫(Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf)周三(4日)表示,美国选民已经表明「不要战争」。

〈美国期中选举〉民主党可望大胜!伊朗议长解读:美国选民用选票说「不要战争」

卡利巴夫在X发文说:「无论是出于良知,还是生活成本考量,美国人都说了『不要战争』,我们支持这个讯息。」

他接着警告:「如果美国政府为了服侍国际上的金主与勒索者,而背叛民意,就会明白我们的『不』将伴随一场梦魇。」

伊朗战争已成为期中选举选民关注的核心议题之一。美国总统川普今年2月与以色列联手对伊朗发动攻击后,美国各地能源价格攀高,也加剧民众对生活成本上升的忧虑。

川普坦言战争是失利原因之一

针对共和党在国会两院的失利,川普把部分原因归咎于伊朗战争。当《华尔街日报》(WSJ)问他战争是否促成共和党败选,川普回答说:「伊朗是其中一个因素。」

不过,川普仍坚称对伊朗开战是正确决定。他说:「我不会去想这件事。我做了正确的事,我还是会这么做。」

目前华府并未明确表示打算恢复对伊朗的攻击,但《华尔街日报》与《纽约时报》(The New York Times)都报导,美国正为期中选举后可能重启军事行动做准备。

伊朗最高领袖哈米尼(Mojtaba Khamenei)上周六呼吁德黑兰武装部队,面对「任何程度或形式的威胁」,都应立即采取具有实质影响力、且不受地理范围限制的回应。

民主党可能推动具约束力的战争权力决议

如果民主党掌握国会参众两院多数席次,可能有机会推动具法律约束力的《战争权力决议》(War Powers Resolution)通过。若国会未授权对伊朗开战,这项决议将要求川普结束冲突。

今年6月,当时仍由共和党掌控的参众两院曾通过一项要求结束战争的共同决议,但这类决议不具法律约束力,也不具有法律效力。美国国会先前也曾多次尝试推动具约束力的《战争权力决议》,但都未能通过。

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      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T03:40:02.000Z",
      "description": "Polymarket交易员估民主党夺众院、参院控制权机率达89%,市场忧美股短期承压。
川普称若蓝潮成真将当「否决先生」,加税与支出法案恐卡关,2027年债务上限与政府关门风险升高。
AI监管成另一焦点;统计显示共和党总统配分裂国会时标普500平均年报酬7.33%,但期中选后历史上多走强。",
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    {
      "id": 23220,
      "title": "〈美国期中选举〉川普表态愿接受期中选举结果、与民主党合作",
      "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉川普表态愿接受期中选举结果、与民主党合作",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646222/l/f5d49d9d09e9531dbedeba66bd6fe532.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T04:36:28.000Z",
      "description": "川普接受《纽约时报》专访称,绝对愿意接受期中选举结果,民主党若胜选也愿与其合作。
《美联社》开票统计显示,民主党参院距50席多数差2席,众院则以143席领先共和党86席。
德州、北卡、南卡等关键州选情有利民主党;选前民调显示川普与共和党支持度跌至历史低点。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 23221,
      "title": "〈美国期中选举〉民主党胜选美股未必受冲击?历史数据:标普500选后1年平均仍涨约16%",
      "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉民主党胜选美股未必受冲击?历史数据:标普50",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646092/l/423822a96ea8b708c2921bce693b0f69.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T04:21:27.000Z",
      "description": "民调与Polymarket显示,民主党期中选举全面胜出机率达76%,众院选情较明朗、参院仍有变数。
历史统计显示,国会控制权变化对标普500长期影响不明显,选后1年平均仍涨约14%至16%。
但短线市场可能受影响;民主党掌国会后3个月股市平均涨11%,共和党2002年维持控制权后3个月跌8%。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 23222,
      "title": "〈美国期中选举〉川普首度发声:若我在选票上  共和党将会「压倒性」胜出",
      "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉川普首度发声:若我在选票上  共和党将会「压",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646158/l/431c61cb80767ee3cfbd20310b236a43.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T04:11:39.000Z",
      "description": "川普首次回应期中选举,称选票上没有他;若参选,「我们会以压倒性优势获胜」。
白宫声明指川普不在选票上,却能带动支持者投票,并称候选人素质至关重要。
共和党全美惨败后,白宫被讥讽;官员称美伊冲突、汽油价回落后,民主党选民恐后悔。",
      "pv": 1,
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    },
    {
      "id": 23223,
      "title": "〈美国期中选举〉民主党夺回众议院!川普失国会优势、恐面临调查潮",
      "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉民主党夺回众议院!川普失国会优势、恐面临调查",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646128/l/ceaa2781d71b9ab968cffaa9afbd75df.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T03:48:12.000Z",
      "description": "民主党预料夺回众院控制权,川普两年来首次面临国会制衡
选民不满高物价与伊朗战争;民主党在印州、北卡、纽泽西、宾州等地斩获席次
市场避险反应,美股期货跌、美元走弱;民主党若掌国会将可调查川普及其家族",
      "pv": 1,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 23224,
      "title": "民主党将横扫国会!美元重挫创一个月低 瑞郎、日元成避险赢家",
      "shortTitle": "民主党将横扫国会!美元重挫创一个月低 瑞郎、日元成避险赢家",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646104/l/c7e6a04781b4cfcadedaa7b8ee319526.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T03:45:16.000Z",
      "description": "美国期中选举初步结果显示民主党可望同拿参众两院,全球市场迅速重新定价。
美元指数亚洲早盘一度跌0.4%,瑞郎升近1%、日元升0.7%;科技股与AI概念股估值面临重估。
若政治僵局限制减税与支出,美债供给压力下降、10年期殖利率走低;黄金买盘与期货交易量也明显成长。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 23225,
      "title": "〈美国期中选举〉18年来首败!共和党输掉参院关键席次",
      "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉18年来首败!共和党输掉参院关键席次",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646101/l/42440eaa38a2afc00b895e4a68f3a47c.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T03:45:09.000Z",
      "description": "北卡州前州长库珀击败共和党对手惠特利,成为民主党自2008年以来首位拿下该州参院席次者。
截至台湾时间4日上午已开票84.2%,库珀得票近60%,大幅领先惠特利约38.4%。
共和党失去蒂利斯原本席次,民主党争取参院控制权再添关键一席;川普仍称共和党选情乐观。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 23242,
      "title": "美国民主党胜选预期引爆避险潮 日股暴跌 日元走升",
      "shortTitle": "美国民主党胜选预期引爆避险潮 日股暴跌 日元走升",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646262/l/d8fc1a89a94032915c4829ef3de73878.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T05:33:49.000Z",
      "description": "美国期中选举开票序盘显示民主党居优势,市场忧AI与资料中心面临更严格监管,日股周三避险卖压涌现
日经一度大跌逾2800点、跌幅4.6%至60206,跌破200日线61880;TOPIX跌3.3%,美元遭抛售、日元升至157.65
AI半导体股领跌,法人对后市看法分歧,聚焦参议院开票结果与影响长短",
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    {
      "id": 23243,
      "title": "欧盟新规独厚在地制造 本田考虑重启欧洲汽车产线",
      "shortTitle": "欧盟新规独厚在地制造 本田考虑重启欧洲汽车产线",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646062/l/92347d3a5d6c1ca3ad5849c45f7df2ac.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T05:19:25.000Z",
      "description": "本田欧洲区主管表示,若欧盟推行优先惠及在地制造车款的新规,这家日本车厂未来不排除重返欧洲重建生产基地。 身兼本田欧洲分公司总裁的 Hans de Jaeger周二(4日)于米兰国际摩托车展(EICMA)受访时强调,这家生产跨界休旅 HR-V 的车厂「绝无退出欧洲市场的意图」。 他指出,公司未来可能探索在地化生产或与其他车厂结盟代工,但也特别 Clarify(说明)目前尚无具体计划落地。De Jaeger补充,鉴于日企长期以来的投资,期望最终法案能将日本纳为值得信赖的合作伙伴。 欧盟委员会拟议中的",
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      "id": 23245,
      "title": "〈美国期中选举〉「蓝色浪潮」料横扫国会 华尔街下一阶段走向何方?",
      "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉「蓝色浪潮」料横扫国会 华尔街下一阶段走向何",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646269/l/b290351b0425de91a4afea2e65a8d6c1.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-04T06:20:03.000Z",
      "description": "民主党初步开票强势,Polymarket估同掌两院99%、Kalshi估众院99%、参院98%,蓝色浪潮押注升温。
美股期货分化下挫,纳指100跌2%、标普500跌0.9%。
华尔街看好选后12个月,但若蓝潮加重AI与科技监管,权重股回调恐打破标普500期中选举后92%上涨纪录。",
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      "path": "/hour"
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  "article": {
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    "title": "〈美国期中选举〉民主党可望大胜!伊朗议长解读:美国选民用选票说「不要战争」",
    "shortTitle": "〈美国期中选举〉民主党可望大胜!伊朗议长解读:美国选民用选票",
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    "description": "伊朗国会议长卡利巴夫说,美国期中选举结果显示民众已说「不要战争」,伊朗支持这个讯息。
川普称共和党失利部分原因是伊朗战争,仍表示对伊朗开战是正确决定。
若民主党掌控国会,可推动具法律约束力的《战争权力决议》,要求川普未获授权即结束对伊朗冲突。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646351/l/52a07f179b135cb3023cef28f15c35a5.jpg",
    "content": "<p>美国期中选举开票预测结果显示,民主党已经攻下国会参众两院,对此伊朗国会议长卡利巴夫(Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf)周三(4日)表示,美国选民已经表明「不要战争」。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6646351/l/52a07f179b135cb3023cef28f15c35a5.jpg\" alt=\"〈美国期中选举〉民主党可望大胜!伊朗议长解读:美国选民用选票说「不要战争」\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>卡利巴夫在X发文说:「无论是出于良知,还是生活成本考量,美国人都说了『不要战争』,我们支持这个讯息。」</p>\n\n<p>他接着警告:「如果美国政府为了服侍国际上的金主与勒索者,而背叛民意,就会明白我们的『不』将伴随一场梦魇。」</p>\n\n<p>伊朗战争已成为期中选举选民关注的核心议题之一。美国总统川普今年2月与以色列联手对伊朗发动攻击后,美国各地能源价格攀高,也加剧民众对生活成本上升的忧虑。</p>\n\n<h6>川普坦言战争是失利原因之一</h6>\n\n<p>针对共和党在国会两院的失利,川普把部分原因归咎于伊朗战争。当《华尔街日报》(WSJ)问他战争是否促成共和党败选,川普回答说:「伊朗是其中一个因素。」</p>\n\n<p>不过,川普仍坚称对伊朗开战是正确决定。他说:「我不会去想这件事。我做了正确的事,我还是会这么做。」</p>\n\n<p>目前华府并未明确表示打算恢复对伊朗的攻击,但《华尔街日报》与《纽约时报》(The New York Times)都报导,美国正为期中选举后可能重启军事行动做准备。</p>\n\n<p>伊朗最高领袖哈米尼(Mojtaba Khamenei)上周六呼吁德黑兰武装部队,面对「任何程度或形式的威胁」,都应立即采取具有实质影响力、且不受地理范围限制的回应。</p>\n\n<h6>民主党可能推动具约束力的战争权力决议</h6>\n\n<p>如果民主党掌握国会参众两院多数席次,可能有机会推动具法律约束力的《战争权力决议》(War Powers Resolution)通过。若国会未授权对伊朗开战,这项决议将要求川普结束冲突。</p>\n\n<p>今年6月,当时仍由共和党掌控的参众两院曾通过一项要求结束战争的共同决议,但这类决议不具法律约束力,也不具有法律效力。美国国会先前也曾多次尝试推动具约束力的《战争权力决议》,但都未能通过。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23247.html\" title=\"〈美国期中选举〉川普谈共和党败因 油价比伊朗战争更伤、最大问题是「我没参选」\">〈美国期中选举〉川普谈共和党败因 油价比伊朗战争更伤、最大问题是「我没参选」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23222.html\" title=\"〈美国期中选举〉川普首度发声:若我在选票上  共和党将会「压倒性」胜出\">〈美国期中选举〉川普首度发声:若我在选票上  共和党将会「压倒性」胜出</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23275.html\" title=\"从非洲裔众院议长、美洲原住民女参议员再到穆斯林参议员:美大选涌现多个历史性「第一」\">从非洲裔众院议长、美洲原住民女参议员再到穆斯林参议员:美大选涌现多个历史性「第一」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23242.html\" title=\"美国民主党胜选预期引爆避险潮 日股暴跌 日元走升\">美国民主党胜选预期引爆避险潮 日股暴跌 日元走升</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23243.html\" title=\"欧盟新规独厚在地制造 本田考虑重启欧洲汽车产线\">欧盟新规独厚在地制造 本田考虑重启欧洲汽车产线</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-23248.html\" title=\"〈美国期中选举〉民主党横扫国会!川普将成跛脚总统 共和党恐陷路线「内战」\">〈美国期中选举〉民主党横扫国会!川普将成跛脚总统 共和党恐陷路线「内战」</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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