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美元升息预期重燃 日元跌至一个半月新低 直逼159关卡

2026-11-11 18:46:42 网络 阅读(1)

日元周三(11日)亚市走势持续疲软,兑美元汇率回落至158.97附近,盘中跌幅约0.14%,并创下9月下旬以来约一个半月的新低纪录。

美元升息预期重燃 日元跌至一个半月新低 直逼159关卡

市场分析指出,美国高于预期的CPI数据激发市场对美国联准会升息的预期,美债殖利率大幅攀升带动美日利差扩大,吸引利差交易资金及日本进口商的实需买盘进场,进一步推低日元。

随着通膨疑虑再起,联准会多位官员发表鹰派言论,亦为美元提供强劲支撑。

联准会理事华勒(Christopher Waller)在通膨数据公布前即表示,若10月核心通膨达到0.3%,央行应考虑在下个月评估升息2码(50个基点)。数据公布后,达拉斯联邦准备银行总裁洛根(Lorie Logan)暗示更强劲的通膨可能需要加快升息步伐;芝加哥联邦准备银行总裁古尔斯比(Austan Goolsbee)更直言,这份物价报告「是另一份令人不安、甚至是接近令人困扰的报告」。

面对市场迅速计入联准会加速升息的可能性,第一生命经济研究所经济学家Seiji Katsurahata提出不同观点。Katsurahata认为,市场目前对联准会12月升息2码的猜测显得过度反应;随着市场定价最终稳定在升息1码(25个基点),短期美债殖利率应会趋于正常化,美元汇率的上行空间预期将受限。

同时,分析师认为日本银行(BOJ)可能必须跟进升息,以防止日元进一步走贬。日本银行最新会议意见摘要显示,决策官员对通膨上行风险仍保持高度警惕,并支持采取进一步升息措施。受美国国债殖利率飙升影响,日本10年期基准国债殖利率当日亦攀升至2.785%。

日元持续贬值虽提升日本出口商的盈利能力,但进口能源与原料成本上涨已显著加重企业负担,并引发国内消费者物价压力。

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      "id": 24745,
      "title": "外媒报导黄仁勋出轨方式 环球时报:华人网友反感",
      "shortTitle": "外媒报导黄仁勋出轨方式 环球时报:华人网友反感",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6657732/l/778e103212632d3b07547558428bd59e.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-11T04:08:03.000Z",
      "description": "美国晶片大厂辉达执行长黄仁勋承认出轨引起全球舆论围观和媒体报导。
中共鹰派喉舌《环球时报》指出,不少华人很快发现这些网路围观和报导出现了一些让他们反感的元素。
《环球时报》说,不少华人网友发现西方国家网上围绕黄仁勋出轨的事情,正在演变成一场对华裔女性污名化的风暴。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "id": 24746,
      "title": "房市低迷拖累财政!韩京畿道政府拟卖政府大楼及土地 偿还7兆韩元债务",
      "shortTitle": "房市低迷拖累财政!韩京畿道政府拟卖政府大楼及土地 偿还7兆韩",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6658065/l/010d093268a15652b70ab2d3568fbb3b.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-11T03:50:04.000Z",
      "description": "京畿道拟出售水原市光教新城政府办公大楼及土地,最高可望上看1兆韩元,之后可能租回办公。
京畿道累计债务逾7兆韩元,地方税收下滑、福利预算攀升,知事秋美爱8月宣布进入「财政紧急状态」。
卖楼偿债引发议会、职员反对,批评是最糟选择;专家称大楼难短期售出,难解财政困境。",
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    {
      "id": 24771,
      "title": "211比204险胜!美众院挡下弹劾案 但新国会明年就任 赫格塞斯政治麻烦远未结束",
      "shortTitle": "211比204险胜!美众院挡下弹劾案 但新国会明年就任 赫格",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6658402/l/fecc46b7fec0d9e0b98baf6a867eb90f.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-11T06:40:06.000Z",
      "description": "众院以211票对204票将赫格塞斯弹劾案交委员会,程序上等同暂停,弹劾行动陷入停滞。
共和党Massie提8项条款,指控赫格塞斯未经国会授权对伊朗、叶门等地军事行动,违反《战争权力决议》。
川普称弹劾「惨败」力挺赫格塞斯;他则称是政治闹剧,明年新国会恐再掀更大调查。",
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    {
      "id": 24772,
      "title": "香港上市债券市场重大突破 人民币历史性超越美元",
      "shortTitle": "香港上市债券市场重大突破 人民币历史性超越美元",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6658366/l/1ad5549cb9b01daa8dd3f6ccc7a59edd.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-11T06:40:05.000Z",
      "description": "2026年前三季香港点心债占总发行额37%,首度超越美元债33%成最大发行币种。
点心债发行规模达2,868亿元人民币、117档,超越2025年全年,腾讯、京东及外资机构皆赴港发债。
陈浩濂称香港将以「金融+」深化科技、绿色与民生融合;大公国际香港指市场仍有流动性与对冲工具等挑战。",
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    {
      "id": 24773,
      "title": "APEC工商领导人峰会开幕在即 预计超2000人参会",
      "shortTitle": "APEC工商领导人峰会开幕在即 预计超2000人参会",
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      "description": "APEC工商领导人峰会11月17日至18日深圳登场,主题「共促繁荣,共赢未来」,预计逾2,000人参与。
Google、波音、瑞银等申请出席,会议设8种语言口译,聚焦数位经济、AI与绿色低碳合作。
11月18日至19日领袖峰会续在深圳举行,中方称不讨论乌克兰命运,欧洲需参与谈判。",
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      "id": 24774,
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      "shortTitle": "福斯收购Roku后启动80亿美元债券发行!最长年期达40年",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6658201/l/4c1843e55345a35061ff40118a8b875a.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-11T06:10:06.000Z",
      "description": "美国媒体公司福斯(FOX-US) 完成以220亿美元收购串流平台Roku(ROKU-US) 后,随即启动大规模债券筹资,计划透过发行投资级债券募集约80亿美元,以偿还部分收购融资。 根据《彭博》周二(10日)引述知情人士报导,福斯已开始分七批发行投资级债券,期限从3年至40年不等。其中,期限最长的债券发行利率,较美国公债殖利率高出约2.25个百分点。 此次债券发行由摩根士丹利(MS-US) 主导承销,花旗集团(C-US) 、德意志银行(DB-US) 、高盛集团(GS-US) 及摩根大通银行(JP",
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    {
      "id": 24775,
      "title": "51个月首见!特斯拉中国10月销量暴跌66.1%至8817辆 Model Y从销量居首跌至66名",
      "shortTitle": "51个月首见!特斯拉中国10月销量暴跌66.1%至8817辆",
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      "description": "特斯拉10月中国仅卖8817辆,Model Y零售7807辆、Model 3零售1010辆;Model Y自9月第1位跌至第66位
特斯拉中国10月批发67829辆,年增10.3%、月减28.88%,创2月来最低
上海厂优先供海外、9月促销透支需求,且产品线仅Model 3与Model Y令销量承压",
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    {
      "id": 24784,
      "title": "黄仁勋卷间谍外遇疑云 美驻中大使坦言双边关系「颠簸不顺」",
      "shortTitle": "黄仁勋卷间谍外遇疑云 美驻中大使坦言双边关系「颠簸不顺」",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6658440/l/5929269e43cfef81dd08966742fc7a31.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-11-11T07:40:26.000Z",
      "description": "美国驻中大使庞德伟称,辉达黄仁勋婚外情风波考验美中关系,并强调国家安全是经贸对话一部分
庞德伟指美方对中国稀土出货进度失望,关键元素供应已等待数月
川习将于深圳APEC会晤,外界关注脆弱贸易休兵与半导体出口管制走向",
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      "id": 24785,
      "title": "受美债抛售潮冲击 10年期日债殖利率飙升10.5个基点至2.795%",
      "shortTitle": "受美债抛售潮冲击 10年期日债殖利率飙升10.5个基点至2.",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6658437/l/ce6bf96dd58fdf60e4907d598bfc8718.jpg",
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      "description": "受美国最新通膨数据高于预期影响,美联准会(Fed)官员相继释出更为鹰派的升息讯号,促使美债爆发强烈抛售潮。美国 2 年期公债殖利率剧增 18 个基点至 4.74%,创下近期最大单日涨幅,10 年期美债殖利率再次冲破 5% 大关。 这股卖压随即波及日本债券市场。11 日日本公债价格显著走低、殖利率普遍飙升,其中指标性 10 年期日本公债殖利率大涨 10.5 个基点,来到 2.795%;5 年期公债殖利率上扬 9.5 个基点至 2.195%;对政策利率极为敏感的 2 年期公债殖利率亦攀升 8.5 个",
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    "title": "美元升息预期重燃 日元跌至一个半月新低 直逼159关卡",
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    "description": "美CPI高于预期,市场押注联准会升息,美债殖利率攀升推动美日利差扩大,日元跌至158.97附近,创9月下旬来新低。
华勒、洛根、古尔斯比相继发表鹰派谈话;市场一度加码联准会12月升息2码预期。
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