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【创意、世芯、联发科=下一站万金股?】台积电320亿神操作!点亮ASIC三大天王获利爆发行情!

2026-11-13 08:32:55 网络 阅读(1)

今天大家都很关注辉达执行长黄仁勋去职的消息。但江江要提醒大家:这场人事风波并不会影响辉达未来的产品布局、供应链合作与AI资本支出,单一高层人事变动属短期情绪与治理结构冲击,并不改变全球云端巨头对 AI 算力与基建的刚性需求。今年国际资通讯大厂对台采购预估达3258亿美元,首度突破3千亿,2027年订单更强。科技大厂反映明年交货订单大增,需求不只来自辉达!所以,千万别跟着市场传言杀低。你该特别留意的是护国神山台积电(2330-TW)本周做了一件大事!

【创意、世芯、联发科=下一站万金股?】台积电320亿神操作!点亮ASIC三大天王获利爆发行情!

过去,台积电是 AI 淘金热里最稳的「卖铲人」:不管谁的模型赢,只要要训练、要推论,就得靠先进晶片、先进封装和庞大算力。过去台积电主要透过辉达、苹果、博通等客户间接受惠;现在直接入股 OpenAI 与 Anthropic,等于把关系从「客户下单」升级成「策略同盟」

台积电砸下320亿布局AI!这才是聪明钱的方向

台积电分别以最高5亿美元认购OpenAI及Anthropic股份,合计最高10亿美元,折合新台币约320亿元。注意!台积电愿意把资金投入两家全球重要的AI模型开发商,本身就是值得研究的重大战略讯号。

过去的台积电,就像淘金热里面最赚钱的卖铲人。不管最后谁挖到金矿,只要需要先进晶片,就可能得向台积电下单。但现在不一样了!台积电不只要卖铲子,还准备投资那些真正开采AI金矿的企业。

这背后透露什么?台积电正在从AI算力供应商,进一步向AI产业生态系投资者延伸。当然,策略投资不能保证AI没有泡沫,也不等于已取得两家公司的新晶片订单。但至少说明,产业龙头仍愿意投入资金,布局AI的长期成长机会。而江江认为,这场投资最值得延伸观察的,就是下一波可能改变AI晶片市场版图的主角--ASIC客制化晶片!

AI下一场大战!GPU与ASIC双轨并进

很多投资人以为,AI就是辉达的天下。但未来的算力市场,恐怕没有这么简单!你可以把GPU想成一台性能强大的万用跑车,什么路都能跑;ASIC则像专门设计的赛车,针对特定跑道把速度、效率与成本做到最佳化。

微软(MSFT-US)、Google(GOOGL-US)、亚马逊(AMZN-US)、Meta(META-US)等云端巨头,每年投入庞大资本支出建置AI资料中心,自然不愿意把所有算力需求押在单一供应商身上。因此,自研ASIC不只关系到成本与功耗,更牵涉到算力自主权。

未来不是ASIC全面取代GPU,而是两条路一起成长!GPU继续支撑通用AI运算,ASIC则在特定模型、推论工作负载与大规模云端部署中寻找成本优势。问题来了,云端巨头有钱、有需求,也有自己的晶片架构,但要把设计变成能够量产的先进晶片,还是得靠专业设计团队。这正是台湾ASIC三大天王最具想像空间的地方!

创意(3443-TW):台积电嫡系部队,ASIC接单爆发!

ASIC第一档,当然要特别关注创意!因为创意最大的优势,就是与台积电长期紧密合作,从先进制程、矽智财IP整合,到先进封装设计服务,形成相当完整的技术布局。简单讲,当云端巨头想开发自己的AI晶片,却不想从零开始打造整套设计团队,创意就有机会扮演关键推手。

而且创意已经不是只有题材!最新第三季营收188亿元,季增35%、年增118%,EPS达16.95元,展现客制化晶片专案带来的实质成长。法人看好2027年多项CPU及AI晶片专案持续贡献,上修2027年EPS预估至230元。

江江认为,创意最值得期待的,就是NRE设计收入与Turnkey晶片量产收入接力成长。前者反映新专案开发,后者才是营收规模放大的关键。一旦客户新晶片顺利量产,成长力道就有机会再上一层楼!

世芯-KY(3661-TW):3奈米ASIC放量,2027年迎接成长高峰!

第二档,是专攻高阶ASIC设计服务的世芯-KY。如果把AI晶片比成建造摩天大楼,世芯就是专门承接超高难度工程的团队。尤其先进制程晶片愈来愈复杂,设计、验证、功耗控制与量产整合的难度同步提升,具备大型专案成功经验的厂商,竞争优势也更明显。

最令人振奋的是,世芯近期法说会透露,新取得美国客户大型专案,预估2027年第二季开始贡献营收,全年贡献规模估约10亿美元!

原有3奈米AI加速器专案,2027年营收贡献也预期呈现三位数成长。不过,江江提醒大家,世芯第三季虽然营收大增,但因Turnkey业务占比提高,毛利率降至18%。这代表未来不能只看营收爆发,还要观察毛利率及实际EPS能否同步成长。

世芯的投资价值,在于大型ASIC订单进入量产后的规模效益,而真正的获利爆发力,仍要靠产品组合与营业利益验证。

联发科(2454-TW):从手机晶片霸主,跨入云端ASIC新战场!

过去大家想到联发科,第一印象就是手机晶片。但现在,联发科正透过高速SerDes传输IP、先进制程与封装整合能力,切入全球最热门的AI资料中心ASIC市场。而且成长不是只停留在想像阶段!

因为联发科宣布首款资料中心AI ASIC已于9月开始出货,预估第四季相关营收达25亿美元,2027年更有机会挑战160亿美元,目标市占率约20%。第二款ASIC也朝2028年第一季量产推进,并已取得第二家云端ASIC客户。

这代表什么?代表联发科的获利引擎,正从智慧手机市场延伸至云端算力市场。未来若ASIC订单持续扩张,不但有望降低对手机景气循环的依赖,也可能带来新的获利成长曲线。接下来当ASIC营收规模放大后,联发科能否带动整体营业利益与EPS再创高峰,进而获得市场重新评价,我们将持续追踪!

更多产业趋势报告+盘中讯息→请加入江江Line@:

https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ

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文章来源:摩尔投顾-江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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    "content": "<p>今天大家都很关注辉达执行长黄仁勋去职的消息。但江江要提醒大家:这场人事风波并不会影响辉达未来的产品布局、供应链合作与AI资本支出,单一高层人事变动属短期情绪与治理结构冲击,并不改变全球云端巨头对 AI 算力与基建的刚性需求。今年国际资通讯大厂对台采购预估达3258亿美元,首度突破3千亿,2027年订单更强。科技大厂反映明年交货订单大增,需求不只来自辉达!所以,千万别跟着市场传言杀低。你该特别留意的是护国神山台积电(2330-TW)本周做了一件大事!</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6661241/l/58790b6e46afbade3fcc94b287decfc3.jpg\" alt=\"【创意、世芯、联发科=下一站万金股?】台积电320亿神操作!点亮ASIC三大天王获利爆发行情!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>过去,台积电是 AI 淘金热里最稳的「卖铲人」:不管谁的模型赢,只要要训练、要推论,就得靠先进晶片、先进封装和庞大算力。过去台积电主要透过辉达、苹果、博通等客户间接受惠;现在直接入股 OpenAI 与 Anthropic,等于把关系从「客户下单」升级成「策略同盟」</p>\n\n<p>台积电砸下320亿布局AI!这才是聪明钱的方向</p>\n\n<p>台积电分别以最高5亿美元认购OpenAI及Anthropic股份,合计最高10亿美元,折合新台币约320亿元。注意!台积电愿意把资金投入两家全球重要的AI模型开发商,本身就是值得研究的重大战略讯号。</p>\n\n<p>过去的台积电,就像淘金热里面最赚钱的卖铲人。不管最后谁挖到金矿,只要需要先进晶片,就可能得向台积电下单。但现在不一样了!台积电不只要卖铲子,还准备投资那些真正开采AI金矿的企业。</p>\n\n<p>这背后透露什么?台积电正在从AI算力供应商,进一步向AI产业生态系投资者延伸。当然,策略投资不能保证AI没有泡沫,也不等于已取得两家公司的新晶片订单。但至少说明,产业龙头仍愿意投入资金,布局AI的长期成长机会。而江江认为,这场投资最值得延伸观察的,就是下一波可能改变AI晶片市场版图的主角--ASIC客制化晶片!</p>\n\n<p>AI下一场大战!GPU与ASIC双轨并进</p>\n\n<p>很多投资人以为,AI就是辉达的天下。但未来的算力市场,恐怕没有这么简单!你可以把GPU想成一台性能强大的万用跑车,什么路都能跑;ASIC则像专门设计的赛车,针对特定跑道把速度、效率与成本做到最佳化。</p>\n\n<p>微软(MSFT-US)、Google(GOOGL-US)、亚马逊(AMZN-US)、Meta(META-US)等云端巨头,每年投入庞大资本支出建置AI资料中心,自然不愿意把所有算力需求押在单一供应商身上。因此,自研ASIC不只关系到成本与功耗,更牵涉到算力自主权。</p>\n\n<p>未来不是ASIC全面取代GPU,而是两条路一起成长!GPU继续支撑通用AI运算,ASIC则在特定模型、推论工作负载与大规模云端部署中寻找成本优势。问题来了,云端巨头有钱、有需求,也有自己的晶片架构,但要把设计变成能够量产的先进晶片,还是得靠专业设计团队。这正是台湾ASIC三大天王最具想像空间的地方!</p>\n\n<p>创意(3443-TW):台积电嫡系部队,ASIC接单爆发!</p>\n\n<p>ASIC第一档,当然要特别关注创意!因为创意最大的优势,就是与台积电长期紧密合作,从先进制程、矽智财IP整合,到先进封装设计服务,形成相当完整的技术布局。简单讲,当云端巨头想开发自己的AI晶片,却不想从零开始打造整套设计团队,创意就有机会扮演关键推手。</p>\n\n<p>而且创意已经不是只有题材!最新第三季营收188亿元,季增35%、年增118%,EPS达16.95元,展现客制化晶片专案带来的实质成长。法人看好2027年多项CPU及AI晶片专案持续贡献,上修2027年EPS预估至230元。</p>\n\n<p>江江认为,创意最值得期待的,就是NRE设计收入与Turnkey晶片量产收入接力成长。前者反映新专案开发,后者才是营收规模放大的关键。一旦客户新晶片顺利量产,成长力道就有机会再上一层楼!</p>\n\n<p>世芯-KY(3661-TW):3奈米ASIC放量,2027年迎接成长高峰!</p>\n\n<p>第二档,是专攻高阶ASIC设计服务的世芯-KY。如果把AI晶片比成建造摩天大楼,世芯就是专门承接超高难度工程的团队。尤其先进制程晶片愈来愈复杂,设计、验证、功耗控制与量产整合的难度同步提升,具备大型专案成功经验的厂商,竞争优势也更明显。</p>\n\n<p>最令人振奋的是,世芯近期法说会透露,新取得美国客户大型专案,预估2027年第二季开始贡献营收,全年贡献规模估约10亿美元!</p>\n\n<p>原有3奈米AI加速器专案,2027年营收贡献也预期呈现三位数成长。不过,江江提醒大家,世芯第三季虽然营收大增,但因Turnkey业务占比提高,毛利率降至18%。这代表未来不能只看营收爆发,还要观察毛利率及实际EPS能否同步成长。</p>\n\n<p>世芯的投资价值,在于大型ASIC订单进入量产后的规模效益,而真正的获利爆发力,仍要靠产品组合与营业利益验证。</p>\n\n<p>联发科(2454-TW):从手机晶片霸主,跨入云端ASIC新战场!</p>\n\n<p>过去大家想到联发科,第一印象就是手机晶片。但现在,联发科正透过高速SerDes传输IP、先进制程与封装整合能力,切入全球最热门的AI资料中心ASIC市场。而且成长不是只停留在想像阶段!</p>\n\n<p>因为联发科宣布首款资料中心AI ASIC已于9月开始出货,预估第四季相关营收达25亿美元,2027年更有机会挑战160亿美元,目标市占率约20%。第二款ASIC也朝2028年第一季量产推进,并已取得第二家云端ASIC客户。</p>\n\n<p>这代表什么?代表联发科的获利引擎,正从智慧手机市场延伸至云端算力市场。未来若ASIC订单持续扩张,不但有望降低对手机景气循环的依赖,也可能带来新的获利成长曲线。接下来当ASIC营收规模放大后,联发科能否带动整体营业利益与EPS再创高峰,进而获得市场重新评价,我们将持续追踪!</p>\n\n<p>更多产业趋势报告+盘中讯息&rarr;请加入江江Line@:</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a></p>\n\n<p>江江每日解盘影片&rarr;含金量满满,节目内容太精彩+太权威惹!</p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/VEr8-iNmwNM\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<p>坚持用心制作优质好节目,一定要看到最后!</p>\n\n<p>并且【订阅+按赞+分享帮助好友】</p>\n\n<p>文章来源:摩尔投顾-江国中分析师</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-25231.html\" title=\"黄仁勋辞职后管制恐再收紧!美众院议长:对中国晶片出口限制共识升温\">黄仁勋辞职后管制恐再收紧!美众院议长:对中国晶片出口限制共识升温</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-25205.html\" title=\"川普喊「不需要与伊朗达成协议」!国际油价应声上涨、美股期货承压\">川普喊「不需要与伊朗达成协议」!国际油价应声上涨、美股期货承压</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-25132.html\" title=\"巨亨投资雷达》美股大跌是衰退使然还是股市错杀?手中股票该卖吗?\">巨亨投资雷达》美股大跌是衰退使然还是股市错杀?手中股票该卖吗?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-25322.html\" title=\"华尔街拿电锯大砍辉达目标价 这家银行从465美元砍至186美元\">华尔街拿电锯大砍辉达目标价 这家银行从465美元砍至186美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-25317.html\" title=\"〈贵金属盘后〉川普宣称不需要与伊朗达成协议 黄金下挫3%触逾一年低点\">〈贵金属盘后〉川普宣称不需要与伊朗达成协议 黄金下挫3%触逾一年低点</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-25228.html\" title=\"法兴银行列「三大顺风」 看好标普500年底前再大涨一波\">法兴银行列「三大顺风」 看好标普500年底前再大涨一波</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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