AI狂潮变双面刃！台韩科技股剧烈震荡新兴市场波动超越新冠疫情

2026-09-23 12:22:46 网络阅读（63）
在人工智慧 (AI) 热潮下，主导高频宽记忆体 (HBM) 与先进记忆体的南韩、台湾企业大涨，也让新兴市场股市今年成为全球焦点，逐渐摆脱过去追随美股的角色。
新兴市场基金经理人 Carlos von Hardenberg 于 2018 年与新兴市场投资老将墨比尔斯 (Mark Mobius) 共同创立 MCP Emerging Markets。他说：「过去投资人只对美国和『科技七巨头』(Magnificent Seven) 有兴趣，因为它们表现实在太好了。但今年情况完全反转。」
然而，AI 行情也带来沉重代价。自 6 月底以来，新兴市场科技股剧烈震荡，仿佛投资人突然出现「高原反应」。
南韩 KOSPI 指数在三星电子与 SK 海力士带动下，一度翻倍上涨，但随后因市场疑虑及监管措施影响，短短六周内回跌约 40%，台积电 (TSM-US) 股价也回落近 14%。
这波修正使南韩市场波动率急升，就连涵盖 24 个国家、逾 1175 档股票、市值约 1.8 兆美元的 MSCI 新兴市场指数，其波动率也超越新冠疫情高峰。
AI 让新兴市场愈来愈像美股

法国巴黎银行 (BNP Paribas) 亚太现金股票研究主管 William Bratton 表示，目前许多机构投资人已难以承受南韩市场的剧烈波动。他说：「我们接触到的机构投资人认为，即使基本面仍相当强劲，目前也不值得冒这么大的波动风险。」
MSCI 仍将南韩与台湾列为新兴市场，主要是因为外资交易两地货币仍存在限制。
但部分市场人士认为，AI 热潮让新兴市场出现过去梦寐以求的科技股行情，如今却演变成「小心愿望成真」。
目前在 MSCI 新兴市场指数中，仅九家公司便占了权重逾 40%，包括台湾、南韩大型科技股，以及中国阿里巴巴 (BABA-US) 与腾讯 (00700-HK) 等企业，集中度甚至高于美股。
MSCI 研究主管 Ashley Lester 说：「过去投资人把新兴市场视为分散投资来源，但如今随着 AI 硬体龙头崛起，新兴市场已不再具有过去那种分散效果。它们如今正处于 AI 热潮的核心。」
外资撤离亚洲创十多年最大规模

欧洲最大资产管理公司东方汇理 (Amundi) 基金经理人 Ji Young Park 表示，她在市场震荡前已开始降低部分持股，但修正幅度仍让基金承受不小压力。
她透露：「过去一个月，南韩股市触发熔断机制约六、七次，可见波动程度之高。」
Ji Young Park 表示，她的投资期限约五年，因此并不偏好如此剧烈波动的市场，「我只希望晚上能睡得着。」
瑞士联合私人银行 (UBP) 科技投资组合经理人 Dimitri Kallianiotis 则表示，部分私人银行客户确实受到市场震荡影响，但他的建议仍是不要恐慌。
伦敦证券交易所集团 (LSEG) 资料显示，今年上半年，国际资金撤出亚洲 (不含中国) 股市的速度，至少是 2010 年以来同期最快。摩根大通 (JPM-US) 统计也显示，南韩及台湾首当其冲，分别流出超过 1000 亿美元及 440 亿美元资金。
由于市场规定基金不得持有单一个股过高比重，投资人也趁三星电子与 SK 海力士过去一年分别大涨约 500% 及 1100% 后，先行获利了结。
UBP 的 Kallianiotis 说：「投资人应该接受波动，同时避免追逐市场最热门的股票。如果在最剧烈修正时完全没有持股，也很可能错过之后的反弹。」
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    "content": "<p>在人工智慧 (AI) 热潮下，主导高频宽记忆体 (HBM) 与先进记忆体的南韩、台湾企业大涨，也让新兴市场股市今年成为全球焦点，逐渐摆脱过去追随美股的角色。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6562120/l/1f1d7f054ee35e8d6d4c91df62409c17.jpg\" alt=\"AI狂潮变双面刃！台韩科技股剧烈震荡 新兴市场波动超越新冠疫情 \" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>新兴市场基金经理人 Carlos von Hardenberg 于 2018 年与新兴市场投资老将墨比尔斯 (Mark Mobius) 共同创立 MCP Emerging Markets。他说：「过去投资人只对美国和『科技七巨头』(Magnificent Seven) 有兴趣，因为它们表现实在太好了。但今年情况完全反转。」</p>\n\n<p>然而，AI 行情也带来沉重代价。自 6 月底以来，新兴市场科技股剧烈震荡，仿佛投资人突然出现「高原反应」。</p>\n\n<p>南韩 KOSPI 指数在三星电子与 SK 海力士带动下，一度翻倍上涨，但随后因市场疑虑及监管措施影响，短短六周内回跌约 40%，台积电 (TSM-US) 股价也回落近 14%。</p>\n\n<p>这波修正使南韩市场波动率急升，就连涵盖 24 个国家、逾 1175 档股票、市值约 1.8 兆美元的 MSCI 新兴市场指数，其波动率也超越新冠疫情高峰。</p>\n\n<h6>AI 让新兴市场愈来愈像美股</h6>\n\n<p>法国巴黎银行 (BNP Paribas) 亚太现金股票研究主管 William Bratton 表示，目前许多机构投资人已难以承受南韩市场的剧烈波动。他说：「我们接触到的机构投资人认为，即使基本面仍相当强劲，目前也不值得冒这么大的波动风险。」</p>\n\n<p>MSCI 仍将南韩与台湾列为新兴市场，主要是因为外资交易两地货币仍存在限制。</p>\n\n<p>但部分市场人士认为，AI 热潮让新兴市场出现过去梦寐以求的科技股行情，如今却演变成「小心愿望成真」。</p>\n\n<p>目前在 MSCI 新兴市场指数中，仅九家公司便占了权重逾 40%，包括台湾、南韩大型科技股，以及中国阿里巴巴 (BABA-US) 与腾讯 (00700-HK) 等企业，集中度甚至高于美股。</p>\n\n<p>MSCI 研究主管 Ashley Lester 说：「过去投资人把新兴市场视为分散投资来源，但如今随着 AI 硬体龙头崛起，新兴市场已不再具有过去那种分散效果。它们如今正处于 AI 热潮的核心。」</p>\n\n<h6>外资撤离亚洲 创十多年最大规模</h6>\n\n<p>欧洲最大资产管理公司东方汇理 (Amundi) 基金经理人 Ji Young Park 表示，她在市场震荡前已开始降低部分持股，但修正幅度仍让基金承受不小压力。</p>\n\n<p>她透露：「过去一个月，南韩股市触发熔断机制约六、七次，可见波动程度之高。」</p>\n\n<p>Ji Young Park 表示，她的投资期限约五年，因此并不偏好如此剧烈波动的市场，「我只希望晚上能睡得着。」</p>\n\n<p>瑞士联合私人银行 (UBP) 科技投资组合经理人 Dimitri Kallianiotis 则表示，部分私人银行客户确实受到市场震荡影响，但他的建议仍是不要恐慌。</p>\n\n<p>伦敦证券交易所集团 (LSEG) 资料显示，今年上半年，国际资金撤出亚洲 (不含中国) 股市的速度，至少是 2010 年以来同期最快。摩根大通 (JPM-US) 统计也显示，南韩及台湾首当其冲，分别流出超过 1000 亿美元及 440 亿美元资金。</p>\n\n<p>由于市场规定基金不得持有单一个股过高比重，投资人也趁三星电子与 SK 海力士过去一年分别大涨约 500% 及 1100% 后，先行获利了结。</p>\n\n<p>UBP 的 Kallianiotis 说：「投资人应该接受波动，同时避免追逐市场最热门的股票。如果在最剧烈修正时完全没有持股，也很可能错过之后的反弹。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-6882.html\" title=\"美晶片股卖压蔓延亚洲！韩股跌逾7% 日经挫2000点 SK海力士首尔重挫11% \">美晶片股卖压蔓延亚洲！韩股跌逾7% 日经挫2000点 SK海力士首尔重挫11% </a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-9427.html\" title=\"记忆体超级周期掀涨价潮！今年Q2全球手机营收逆势冲1090亿美元 创历年同期新高\">记忆体超级周期掀涨价潮！今年Q2全球手机营收逆势冲1090亿美元 创历年同期新高</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-318.html\" title=\"记忆体要凉了？三星高级顾问：明年下半价格开始实质下跌\">记忆体要凉了？三星高级顾问：明年下半价格开始实质下跌</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-10321.html\" title=\"KOSPI崩跌22%掀「逃往美股」潮 韩国蚂蚁大军7月狂买46亿美元美股\">KOSPI崩跌22%掀「逃往美股」潮 韩国蚂蚁大军7月狂买46亿美元美股</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-7151.html\" title=\"WAIC 2026登场 大秀黑科技「AI自己研发、机器人自己组装」\">WAIC 2026登场 大秀黑科技「AI自己研发、机器人自己组装」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/AI/article-888.html\" title=\"〈财报〉中国消费疲弱拖累！拼多多Q1营收不如预期 股价重挫\">〈财报〉中国消费疲弱拖累！拼多多Q1营收不如预期 股价重挫</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-08-06T06:30:04.000Z",
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