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【袁志峰专栏】恒指技术超卖,反弹可期

2026-10-27 03:25:17 网络 阅读(116)

今日推介 - 京东健康 (6618, $33.88), 目标价 $37.5, 止损价 $32.5

【袁志峰专栏】恒指技术超卖,反弹可期

1) 股市前景

周一港股下跌,成交高企,南向资金连续 3 日净卖出。恒指连跌 4 日,累挫 4.3%,9 天相对强弱指数跌至 27,呈技术超卖,叠加港股估值跌至吸引水平,建议长线买入。

2) 上日中港股市况总结

周一恒指低开 117 点,早段急挫,最多曾跌 480 点至 23445 点,其后震荡走高,午后跌幅一度收窄至 61 点,尾市再次受压,收报 23768 点,跌 156 点或 0.7%。成交额按日减 3% 至 3486 亿元,5 月份日均成交额 2928 亿元。

港股通南向资金净卖出约 58 亿元。建滔集团 (148) 及建滔积层板 (1888) 及中芯国际 (981) 录得 33.3、14.3 及 8.2 亿元净买入。长飞光纤 (6869)、阿里(9988) 及腾讯 (700) 录得 24.8、11.8 及 11.5 亿元净卖出。6 月以来累积净买入约 168 亿元,5 月净卖出约 36 亿元。

恒指跌 0.7%,成份股 22 升 70 跌 1 持平。中国人寿 (2628) 涨近 8%,为升幅最大蓝筹。宁德时代 (3750) 涨逾 4%。中芯国际 (981) 及药明康德 (2359) 涨逾 3%。洛阳钼业 (3993)、蒙牛乳业(2319) 及中国平安 (2318) 升逾 2%。吉利汽车 (175) 跌逾 6%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。龙湖集团 (960) 及老铺黄金 (6181) 跌逾 5%。中国海外 (688)、极兔速递(1519)、申洲国际(2313)、李宁(2331)、信义光能(968) 及信义玻璃 (868) 跌逾 3%。华润置地 (1109)、泡泡玛特(9992)、中国联通(762)、安踏体育(2020)、金沙中国(1928)、中生制药(1177) 及九龙仓置业 (1997) 跌逾 2%。中银香港 (2388)、长和(1) 及百济神州 (6160) 跌逾 1%。

恒生科指跌 1.2%,收报 4549 点,成份股 5 升 25 跌。大型科技股普跌,阿里 (9988)、腾讯(700) 及京东 (9618) 跌逾 1%,百度 (9888) 跌逾 2%,快手 (1024) 及小米 (1810) 跌逾 3%。Minimax(100)及智谱 (2513) 涨逾 23% 及 15%,为升幅最大成份股。中芯国际 (981) 涨逾 3%。比亚迪电子 (205) 跌逾 4%,为跌幅最大成份股。蔚来 (9866)、零跑汽车(9863)、比亚迪(1211) 及京东健康 (6618) 跌逾 3%。理想汽车 (2015)、华虹宏力(1347)、联想(992) 及商汤 (20) 跌逾 2%。携程 (9961)、美的集团(300) 及海尔智家 (6690) 跌逾 1%。

板块方面,人工智能、券商、内险、锂电池及煤炭股逆市上升。Minimax(100)及智谱 (2513) 涨逾 23% 及 15%。中金公司 (3908) 及中信证券 (6030) 升逾 7% 及 6%,中国银河 (6881) 及国泰海通 (2611) 升逾 5%。中国人寿 (2628) 升近 8%,中国平安 (2318) 及中国财险 (2328) 升逾 2%。宁德时代 (3750) 升逾 4%,赣锋锂业 (1772) 及天齐锂业 (9696) 升逾 2%。中煤能源 (1898) 及兖矿能源 (1171) 升逾 1%。

电动车、内房、黄金、手机零件、航空及体育用品股跑输大市,跌幅居前。吉利汽车 (175) 跌逾 6%, 比亚迪 (1211) 及蔚来 (9866) 跌逾 3%。龙湖集团 (960) 跌近 6%,中国海外 (688) 及绿城中国 (3900) 跌逾 3%。招金矿业 (1818) 及山东黄金 (1787) 跌逾 4%。比亚迪电子 (285) 及瑞声科技 (2018) 跌逾 4% 及 3%。中国国航 (753) 跌逾 3%,东方航空 (670) 及南方航空 (1055) 跌逾 2%。李宁 (2331) 及安踏体育 (2020) 跌逾 3% 及 2%。

周一上证指数小幅高开,早段曾跌 0.5%,其后转转上扬至收盘,以接近全日高位收市,收报 4163.10 点,升 1.8%。深证成指升 2.1%。科创 50 指数升 2.0%。沪深两市总成交约 37400 亿元 (人民币 · 下同),创历史次高,环比增加 4300 亿元,5 月份日均成交额约 31800 亿元。

3) 宏观 / 行业讯息
.
中国人民银行公布,内地 6 月贷款市场报价利率 (LPR) 维持不变。据 6 月 LPR 显示,1 年期 LPR 维持 3 厘;5 年期以上 LPR 维持 3.5 厘。(信报)

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    "content": "<p>今日推介 - 京东健康 (6618, $33.88), 目标价 $37.5, 止损价 $32.5</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6507839/l/8095881133d176286ab0eead62aa277a.jpg\" alt=\"【袁志峰专栏】恒指技术超卖,反弹可期\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>1) 股市前景</p>\n\n<p>周一港股下跌,成交高企,南向资金连续 3 日净卖出。恒指连跌 4 日,累挫 4.3%,9 天相对强弱指数跌至 27,呈技术超卖,叠加港股估值跌至吸引水平,建议长线买入。</p>\n\n<p>2) 上日中港股市况总结</p>\n\n<p>周一恒指低开 117 点,早段急挫,最多曾跌 480 点至 23445 点,其后震荡走高,午后跌幅一度收窄至 61 点,尾市再次受压,收报 23768 点,跌 156 点或 0.7%。成交额按日减 3% 至 3486 亿元,5 月份日均成交额 2928 亿元。</p>\n\n<p>港股通南向资金净卖出约 58 亿元。建滔集团 (148) 及建滔积层板 (1888) 及中芯国际 (981) 录得 33.3、14.3 及 8.2 亿元净买入。长飞光纤 (6869)、阿里(9988) 及腾讯 (700) 录得 24.8、11.8 及 11.5 亿元净卖出。6 月以来累积净买入约 168 亿元,5 月净卖出约 36 亿元。</p>\n\n<p>恒指跌 0.7%,成份股 22 升 70 跌 1 持平。中国人寿 (2628) 涨近 8%,为升幅最大蓝筹。宁德时代 (3750) 涨逾 4%。中芯国际 (981) 及药明康德 (2359) 涨逾 3%。洛阳钼业 (3993)、蒙牛乳业(2319) 及中国平安 (2318) 升逾 2%。吉利汽车 (175) 跌逾 6%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。龙湖集团 (960) 及老铺黄金 (6181) 跌逾 5%。中国海外 (688)、极兔速递(1519)、申洲国际(2313)、李宁(2331)、信义光能(968) 及信义玻璃 (868) 跌逾 3%。华润置地 (1109)、泡泡玛特(9992)、中国联通(762)、安踏体育(2020)、金沙中国(1928)、中生制药(1177) 及九龙仓置业 (1997) 跌逾 2%。中银香港 (2388)、长和(1) 及百济神州 (6160) 跌逾 1%。</p>\n\n<p>恒生科指跌 1.2%,收报 4549 点,成份股 5 升 25 跌。大型科技股普跌,阿里 (9988)、腾讯(700) 及京东 (9618) 跌逾 1%,百度 (9888) 跌逾 2%,快手 (1024) 及小米 (1810) 跌逾 3%。Minimax(100)及智谱 (2513) 涨逾 23% 及 15%,为升幅最大成份股。中芯国际 (981) 涨逾 3%。比亚迪电子 (205) 跌逾 4%,为跌幅最大成份股。蔚来 (9866)、零跑汽车(9863)、比亚迪(1211) 及京东健康 (6618) 跌逾 3%。理想汽车 (2015)、华虹宏力(1347)、联想(992) 及商汤 (20) 跌逾 2%。携程 (9961)、美的集团(300) 及海尔智家 (6690) 跌逾 1%。</p>\n\n<p>板块方面,人工智能、券商、内险、锂电池及煤炭股逆市上升。Minimax(100)及智谱 (2513) 涨逾 23% 及 15%。中金公司 (3908) 及中信证券 (6030) 升逾 7% 及 6%,中国银河 (6881) 及国泰海通 (2611) 升逾 5%。中国人寿 (2628) 升近 8%,中国平安 (2318) 及中国财险 (2328) 升逾 2%。宁德时代 (3750) 升逾 4%,赣锋锂业 (1772) 及天齐锂业 (9696) 升逾 2%。中煤能源 (1898) 及兖矿能源 (1171) 升逾 1%。</p>\n\n<p>电动车、内房、黄金、手机零件、航空及体育用品股跑输大市,跌幅居前。吉利汽车 (175) 跌逾 6%, 比亚迪 (1211) 及蔚来 (9866) 跌逾 3%。龙湖集团 (960) 跌近 6%,中国海外 (688) 及绿城中国 (3900) 跌逾 3%。招金矿业 (1818) 及山东黄金 (1787) 跌逾 4%。比亚迪电子 (285) 及瑞声科技 (2018) 跌逾 4% 及 3%。中国国航 (753) 跌逾 3%,东方航空 (670) 及南方航空 (1055) 跌逾 2%。李宁 (2331) 及安踏体育 (2020) 跌逾 3% 及 2%。</p>\n\n<p>周一上证指数小幅高开,早段曾跌 0.5%,其后转转上扬至收盘,以接近全日高位收市,收报 4163.10 点,升 1.8%。深证成指升 2.1%。科创 50 指数升 2.0%。沪深两市总成交约 37400 亿元 (人民币 &middot; 下同),创历史次高,环比增加 4300 亿元,5 月份日均成交额约 31800 亿元。</p>\n\n<p>3) 宏观 / 行业讯息<br>\n.<br>\n中国人民银行公布,内地 6 月贷款市场报价利率 (LPR) 维持不变。据 6 月 LPR 显示,1 年期 LPR 维持 3 厘;5 年期以上 LPR 维持 3.5 厘。(信报)</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-7124.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-214.36点至4620.08点,跌幅4.43%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-214.36点至4620.08点,跌幅4.43%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-20320.html\" title=\"【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期\">【袁志峰专栏】美国9月通胀高于预期</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-1994.html\" title=\"〈港股盘后〉恒指窄幅震荡跌0.37% 半导体板块逆势上涨 科指升0.29%\">〈港股盘后〉恒指窄幅震荡跌0.37% 半导体板块逆势上涨 科指升0.29%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-3937.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-147.45点至4258.47点,跌幅3.35%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-147.45点至4258.47点,跌幅3.35%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-16113.html\" title=\"〈港股盘后〉恒指探底回升涨0.19% AI硬体与半导体股全线走强\">〈港股盘后〉恒指探底回升涨0.19% AI硬体与半导体股全线走强</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-8641.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数上涨145.01点至4875.62点,涨幅3.07%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数上涨145.01点至4875.62点,涨幅3.07%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-06-22T20:50:02.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-10-26T19:25:17.000Z"
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