〈纽约汇市〉美元在债市反弹之际走弱市场等待PCE与杰克森霍尔会议

美元周二(26日)走弱，市场风险情绪受到油价与美国公债殖利率下滑的带动而升温。同时，加拿大币在前一个交易日走跌后小幅反弹，加拿大政府以报复性关税反制华盛顿的措施。

纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)下跌0.1%，报98.93。目前徘徊在5月中旬以来最低水准附近。

固定收益市场持续受到外汇市场参与者的关注，美国公债殖利率连续第二个交易日走低。一项关键推动因素是CNBC周一的一则报导，称华盛顿可能动用规模近1兆美元的财政部一般帐户(TGA)，协助为上周宣布增加的长天期公债回购提供资金。市场将这项措施视为一项出乎意料的干预行动，目的是抑制殖利率上升，尤其是长天期殖利率。

经济学家与分析师普遍认为，美国财政部的干预只是针对更大问题所采取的不可持续短期解决方案，而这个更大的问题受到华盛顿财政债务不断膨胀所引发的市场担忧所推动。上周，美国政府债务突破40兆美元，导致财政部宣布措施后所带来的全部涨幅遭到逆转。

一般而言，公债殖利率上升会产生类似升息的效果，因为这会推高消费者与企业的借贷成本，通常有利于美元走强。然而，上周美国债务的消息引发了市场对美国财政状况的疑虑，而在这种环境下，投资人倾向将资金从法定货币转向黄金或加密货币等硬资产。

事实上，美元指数上周下跌近1%，黄金与加密货币均上涨。

Macquarie全球外汇与利率策略师Thierry Wizman表示，「美元昨天收复了上周跌幅的一小部分，但我们认为，市场更重要的变化，是美国长天期公债殖利率自上周中旬触及高点后持续下降。」

他表示，「也许有些交易员注意到了自昨天开始出现的报导(或外泄消息)，称美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)可能会动用财政部一般帐户，以扩大长天期公债的回购规模。视干预规模而定，这将是另一项试图管理长天期公债净供给的措施，这些债券会发行至高评级长天期债券市场。」

Wizman补充，「任何旨在单纯透过降低市场流通中的美国政府债务平均剩余期限来『扭转』美国殖利率曲线的操作，本身并不一定代表货币政策具『刺激性』，也不会单独创造刺激性的财政效果。它也没有直接处理赤字『问题』。但债务管理政策仍可能非常有用，具体取决于干预的规模，而非其对殖利率的影响。」

目前利率市场目前关注焦点已转向周三公布的7月核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数数据，该指标被广泛视为联准会(Fed)偏好的通膨衡量指标。之后市场焦点将转向联准会主席华许(Kevin Warsh)周五在杰克森霍尔(Jackson Hole)年度会议上的主题演讲。

加拿大出手反击 加币反弹

其他主要货币方面，加拿大币兑美元走强，美元兑加币下跌0.1%，至1.3827加币。

加币前一个交易日走弱，因华盛顿与渥太华为达成贸易协议所进行的谈判破裂，而新的50%美国关税于周六开始生效，适用于价值276亿美元的加拿大进口商品。

加拿大周二表示，自9月8日起，将「对美国根据第338条款与第232条款关税所针对的产品征收15%、25%及50%的报复性关税，各项产品的税率将与美国相应的税率一致。」

根据加拿大政府的声明，这些关税将适用于价值276亿美元的美国进口商品，涵盖钢铁、乳制品、家电、农业设备、纸浆与纸张，以及电子产品等产业。

英镑兑美元上涨0.1%，至1.3650美元，受到英国公债殖利率保持韧性及服务业价格走势强劲的支撑。

欧元兑美元小幅上涨0.1%，至1.1674美元，在区域交易员消化德国经济成长优于预期的数据后，延续近期涨势。德国国内生产毛额(GDP)年增率达1.0%，高于市场预期。

日元兑美元持平，美元兑日元汇率维持在159.10不变。

澳币兑美元上涨0.2%，至0.7164美元。澳洲央行8月会议纪要显示，政策制定者对核心物价居高不下是否足以支持再次升息仍存在分歧。

截至台湾时间周三 (27 日) 约 5:50 价格:

美元指数报 98.9054。-0.0005%
欧元兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1欧元兑1.1673美元。-0.0086%
英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1英镑兑1.3649美元。0.0000%
澳币兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1澳币兑0.7159美元。-0.0698%
美元兑加币 (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.3833加币。-0.0506%
美元兑日元 (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑159.1900日元。-0.0063%

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固定收益市场持续受到外汇市场参与者的关注，美国公债殖利率连续第二个交易日走低。一项关键推动因素是CNBC周一的一则报导，称华盛顿可能动用规模近1兆美元的财政部一般帐户(TGA)，协助为上周宣布增加的长天期公债回购提供资金。市场将这项措施视为一项出乎意料的干预行动，目的是抑制殖利率上升，尤其是长天期殖利率。\n\n经济学家与分析师普遍认为，美国财政部的干预只是针对更大问题所采取的不可持续短期解决方案，而这个更大的问题受到华盛顿财政债务不断膨胀所引发的市场担忧所推动。上周，美国政府债务突破40兆美元，导致财政部宣布措施后所带来的全部涨幅遭到逆转。\n\n一般而言，公债殖利率上升会产生类似升息的效果，因为这会推高消费者与企业的借贷成本，通常有利于美元走强。然而，上周美国债务的消息引发了市场对美国财政状况的疑虑，而在这种环境下，投资人倾向将资金从法定货币转向黄金或加密货币等硬资产。\n\n事实上，美元指数上周下跌近1%，黄金与加密货币均上涨。\n\nMacquarie全球外汇与利率策略师Thierry Wizman表示，「美元昨天收复了上周跌幅的一小部分，但我们认为，市场更重要的变化，是美国长天期公债殖利率自上周中旬触及高点后持续下降。」\n\n他表示，「也许有些交易员注意到了自昨天开始出现的报导(或外泄消息)，称美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)可能会动用财政部一般帐户，以扩大长天期公债的回购规模。视干预规模而定，这将是另一项试图管理长天期公债净供给的措施，这些债券会发行至高评级长天期债券市场。」\n\nWizman补充，「任何旨在单纯透过降低市场流通中的美国政府债务平均剩余期限来『扭转』美国殖利率曲线的操作，本身并不一定代表货币政策具『刺激性』，也不会单独创造刺激性的财政效果。它也没有直接处理赤字『问题』。但债务管理政策仍可能非常有用，具体取决于干预的规模，而非其对殖利率的影响。」\n\n目前利率市场目前关注焦点已转向周三公布的7月核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数数据，该指标被广泛视为联准会(Fed)偏好的通膨衡量指标。之后市场焦点将转向联准会主席华许(Kevin Warsh)周五在杰克森霍尔(Jackson Hole)年度会议上的主题演讲。\n\n加拿大出手反击 加币反弹\n\n其他主要货币方面，加拿大币兑美元走强，美元兑加币下跌0.1%，至1.3827加币。\n\n加币前一个交易日走弱，因华盛顿与渥太华为达成贸易协议所进行的谈判破裂，而新的50%美国关税于周六开始生效，适用于价值276亿美元的加拿大进口商品。\n\n加拿大周二表示，自9月8日起，将「对美国根据第338条款与第232条款关税所针对的产品征收15%、25%及50%的报复性关税，各项产品的税率将与美国相应的税率一致。」\n\n根据加拿大政府的声明，这些关税将适用于价值276亿美元的美国进口商品，涵盖钢铁、乳制品、家电、农业设备、纸浆与纸张，以及电子产品等产业。\n\n英镑兑美元上涨0.1%，至1.3650美元，受到英国公债殖利率保持韧性及服务业价格走势强劲的支撑。\n\n欧元兑美元小幅上涨0.1%，至1.1674美元，在区域交易员消化德国经济成长优于预期的数据后，延续近期涨势。德国国内生产毛额(GDP)年增率达1.0%，高于市场预期。\n\n日元兑美元持平，美元兑日元汇率维持在159.10不变。\n\n澳币兑美元上涨0.2%，至0.7164美元。澳洲央行8月会议纪要显示，政策制定者对核心物价居高不下是否足以支持再次升息仍存在分歧。\n\n截至台湾时间周三 (27 日) 约 5:50 价格:\n\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/index/GI/DXY\">美元指数</a>报 98.9054。-0.0005%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑1.1673美元。-0.0086%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑1.3649美元。0.0000%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑0.7159美元。-0.0698%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a> (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.3833<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a>。-0.0506%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a> (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑159.1900<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a>。-0.0063%</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-4544.html\" title=\"AI应用版图扩大Ouster股价创52周新高LiDAR布局延伸至智慧基建与国防市场\">AI应用版图扩大Ouster股价创52周新高LiDAR布局延伸至智慧基建与国防市场</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-9195.html\" title=\"库克一句话释讯号记忆体晶片股触底了吗？\">库克一句话释讯号记忆体晶片股触底了吗？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15545.html\" 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