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34年前「金融偷猎者」 大获全胜 贝森特改换角色当庄家

2026-10-25 03:09:11 网络 阅读(58)

美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)本周展现出极具战术性的货币政策风格,公开向外汇交易员喊话,大胆宣告「我现在就是庄家」。他强调自己对日本央行与日本政策制定者的行动拥有「资讯不对称」优势,并直接挑战市场交易员敢不敢与他作对。

34年前「金融偷猎者」 大获全胜 贝森特改换角色当庄家

这种将主导权掌握在手的强硬作风,深深植根于他34年前协助索罗斯「击溃英格兰银行」的顶尖避险基金经历。

据《Fortune》记者Eva Roytburg报导,1992年时年仅29岁的贝森特洞察到英格兰银行的致命弱点:央行承诺将英镑维持在欧洲汇率机制(ERM)的狭幅区间内,但透过升息来保卫汇率的做法,会严重打击当时持有浮动利率房贷的英国屋主。

贝森特成功说服老板索罗斯对英镑发动大规模做空,最终迫使英国退出ERM,并为基金赚进10亿美元利润。Roytburg总结,贝森特从中汲取的关键教训是:「当央行人为将货币维持在市场无法支持的水准时,市场最终将会获胜」。

34年后,贝森特角色互换,从昔日的「金融偷猎者」变成了坐镇局面的「金融护林员」。据报导,贝森特目前正与日本当局协调购买日元,且他多次暗示希望东京当局调升利率,而非仅依赖反复干预。在他的警告与干预下,美元兑日元汇率已从2026年7月的163上方,一路回落至9月8日的153.96。

然而,这套强硬手法也在内部引发质疑;昔日索罗斯时期的同僚Stanley Druckenmiller公开指责他介入债券市场是个错误,而贝森特则反驳称,扩大买回旧美债旨在冷却美国公债市场的「发烧」现象。

据《路透》报导,日本央行预计在即将召开的会议上提高基准利率,这成为验证贝森特威慑是否有效的即时测试。若日本当局顺利升息,贝森特的豪赌就能成立;若日本犹豫不决,这位曾写下狙击央行教科书的掌权者,将亲自验证市场规律是否会反噬自己。

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      "description": "美光财报优于预期,2027年绝大多数HBM产能已签约售罄。
策略客户长期财务承诺显示AI记忆体需求强劲、供应短缺恐延续至2028年。
SK海力士10月27日法说受关注,华尔街点评「强力买进」。",
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      "id": 9195,
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美银追踪9月核心PCE月增估值由0.22%上调至0.32%,主因能源、AI相关科技商品与租金压力
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    "title": "34年前「金融偷猎者」 大获全胜 贝森特改换角色当庄家",
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    "description": "美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)本周展现出极具战术性的货币政策风格,公开向外汇交易员喊话,大胆宣告「我现在就是庄家」。",
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    "content": "<p>美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)本周展现出极具战术性的货币政策风格,公开向外汇交易员喊话,大胆宣告「我现在就是庄家」。他强调自己对日本央行与日本政策制定者的行动拥有「资讯不对称」优势,并直接挑战市场交易员敢不敢与他作对。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6601808/l/be19d99c6b5b53bf04b7645428672ba9.jpg\" alt=\"34年前「金融偷猎者」 大获全胜 贝森特改换角色当庄家\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>这种将主导权掌握在手的强硬作风,深深植根于他34年前协助索罗斯「击溃英格兰银行」的顶尖避险基金经历。</p>\n\n<p>据《Fortune》记者Eva Roytburg报导,1992年时年仅29岁的贝森特洞察到英格兰银行的致命弱点:央行承诺将英镑维持在欧洲汇率机制(ERM)的狭幅区间内,但透过升息来保卫汇率的做法,会严重打击当时持有浮动利率房贷的英国屋主。</p>\n\n<p>贝森特成功说服老板索罗斯对英镑发动大规模做空,最终迫使英国退出ERM,并为基金赚进10亿美元利润。Roytburg总结,贝森特从中汲取的关键教训是:「当央行人为将货币维持在市场无法支持的水准时,市场最终将会获胜」。</p>\n\n<p>34年后,贝森特角色互换,从昔日的「金融偷猎者」变成了坐镇局面的「金融护林员」。据报导,贝森特目前正与日本当局协调购买日元,且他多次暗示希望东京当局调升利率,而非仅依赖反复干预。在他的警告与干预下,美元兑日元汇率已从2026年7月的163上方,一路回落至9月8日的153.96。</p>\n\n<p>然而,这套强硬手法也在内部引发质疑;昔日索罗斯时期的同僚Stanley Druckenmiller公开指责他介入债券市场是个错误,而贝森特则反驳称,扩大买回旧美债旨在冷却美国公债市场的「发烧」现象。</p>\n\n<p>据《路透》报导,日本央行预计在即将召开的会议上提高基准利率,这成为验证贝森特威慑是否有效的即时测试。若日本当局顺利升息,贝森特的豪赌就能成立;若日本犹豫不决,这位曾写下狙击央行教科书的掌权者,将亲自验证市场规律是否会反噬自己。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-20591.html\" title=\"不只押注AI晶片 Bolt Graphics瞄准科学运算与专业绘图 拟募资1亿美元 估值上看7亿美元\">不只押注AI晶片 Bolt Graphics瞄准科学运算与专业绘图 拟募资1亿美元 估值上看7亿美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-7251.html\" title=\"辉达惊险守住全球市值王座 苹果盘中一度超车\">辉达惊险守住全球市值王座 苹果盘中一度超车</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-21556.html\" title=\"Meta借钱扩张AI基建引爆债市警讯 资料中心债券殖利率飙升 违约保险费创新高\">Meta借钱扩张AI基建引爆债市警讯 资料中心债券殖利率飙升 违约保险费创新高</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-16836.html\" title=\"AI撑起美股近半获利成长 高盛警告:明年这股动力恐减弱\">AI撑起美股近半获利成长 高盛警告:明年这股动力恐减弱</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8370.html\" title=\"Rocket Lab获美国太空军2.66亿美元发射合约 股价劲扬4%\">Rocket Lab获美国太空军2.66亿美元发射合约 股价劲扬4%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-850.html\" title=\"〈财报〉AI晶片需求「异常强劲」 迈威尔财测超预期\">〈财报〉AI晶片需求「异常强劲」 迈威尔财测超预期</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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