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美光财报为SK海力士即将公布的业绩 透露哪些讯号?

2026-10-02 11:40:04 网络 阅读(1)

美光最新公布的强劲财报,为即将于 10 月 27 日登场的 SK 海力士 (SK Hynix) 第三季法说会开出闪亮头彩。随着全球人工智慧 (AI) 应用需求持续攀升,AI 记忆体市场正面临长期供不应求的局面,美光释出的乐观展望不仅振奋市场,更为同业 SK 海力士带来极具指标性的正面讯号。

美光财报为SK海力士即将公布的业绩 透露哪些讯号?

美光客户抢先锁定产能 2027 年 HBM 供应几乎售罄

美光财报显示,终端客户为确保先进记忆体供应,正掀起一波「抢料潮」。

美光策略性客户的长期财务承诺金额,已从今年 6 月的 220 亿美元大幅暴增至 320 亿美元。

美光更明确指出,2027 年绝大多数的高频宽记忆体 (HBM) 产能皆已签约售罄,且合约价格显著高于 2026 年水准。

美光预测,记忆体供应短缺的现象在 2027 至 2028 年恐将更加严峻。

此现象凸显出 AI 记忆体买方宁可提前数年下单锁定产能,也不愿等待价格回档。

美光第四会计季营收达 542.3 亿美元,调整后每股盈余 (EPS) 为 33.42 美元,毛利率高达 87%;预估第一会计季营收将进一步攀升至 615 亿美元,展现出高价值产品线所带来的强劲获利动能。

SK 海力士 HBM4 增产在即 市场聚焦价格与产品组合

作为 DRAM 与 HBM 领域的竞争巨头,SK 海力士营收已达 79.32 兆韩元,营业利益达 60.54 兆韩元,并已与全球约 10 家主要客户签订长期合约。

目前 SK 海力士已启动 HBM4 的大量出货,并预计于 2026 年下半年进一步扩大产能。美光揭露的产业荣景,正好为 SK 海力士的长约结构提供了有力支撑。

法人指出,投资人于 10 月 27 日检视 SK 海力士财报时,除了关注出货量成长外,应特别留意 DRAM 价格走势以及 HBM4 在整体产品组合中的营收占比。若 SK 海力士呈现价格再度调涨或 HBM4 渗透率加速,将再次印证先进记忆体供不应求的产业主旋律。

资本支出同步扩张 华尔街力挺「强力买进」

尽管记忆体大厂纷纷扩大资本支出以期扩充产能,美光预估 2027 会计年度上半年资本支出将达 250 亿美元,但考量到新晶圆厂从兴建到实际投产需时数年,短期内新增产能仍难以缓解市场渴求。

华尔街分析师目前对美光与 SK 海力士双双给予「强力买进」评等。其中美光目标价上看 1,564 美元,隐含约 51.5% 的潜在上涨空间。SK 海力士目标价则为 254.70 美元。

整体而言,美光亮眼的成绩单已为 SK 海力士即将揭晓的业绩奠定了坚实且乐观的基调。

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