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"title": "AI泡沫要来了？知名交易员放空AMD等「3档」AI飙股！",
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"description": "曾因成功押中 Beyond Meat 轧空行情而声名大噪的交易员 Dimitri Semenikhin，近期公开放空 AMD、Nebius 及 Bloom Energy 三档 AI 热门股。他认为市场已将最乐观的 AI 需求与电力消耗预期完全",
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"content": "<p>一位曾掀起超越肉类 (<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:BYND:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">BYND-US</a>) 轧空行情的知名交易员，如今将矛头指向人工智慧（AI）基础建设类股，公开表示正在放空三档涨幅惊人的 AI 相关股票。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6487040/l/41093919038f2e11de767587107fbe15.jpg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>根据《Business insider》报导，交易员 Dimitri Semenikhin 本周在 X 平台发文，透露他正在做空 AI 基础设施与云端运算服务供应商 Nebius Group (<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:YNDX:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">YNDX-US</a>) 、超微半导体 (<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:AMD:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">AMD-US</a>) 以及再生能源公司布鲁姆能源 (<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:BE:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">BE-US</a>) 三家公司的股票。</p>\n\n<p>Semenikhin 表示，目前市场估值几乎已经把最乐观的情境完全反映进去了，「投资人普遍假设 AI 需求不仅会按照现有预测持续成长，甚至还会进一步超越预期；同时也认定支撑这些运算需求所需的电力将大幅攀升，使市场对硬体设备的依赖程度进一步提高。」</p>\n\n<p>他指出，AI 供应链目前的狂热程度已经有些失控，与当年网路基础设施和 Web 产业扩张时出现的泡沫化现象非常相似。</p>\n\n<p>Semenikhin 说：「我相信未来人们一定会使用越来越多 AI 系统，但这些系统很可能变得更加轻量化、更有效率。未来对电力的依赖程度，虽然仍会高于现在，但未必会像市场目前预测的那么夸张。」</p>\n\n<p>他表示，自己过去曾持有 Nebius 的多头部位。不过，自己并不认为 Nebius 是一家糟糕的公司；只是当前市场炒作情绪高涨、估值持续攀升的情况下，从投资角度来看，现在并不是一个合理的进场时机。</p>\n\n<p>尽管 Semenikhin 态度保守，Nebius 、超微半导体以及布鲁姆能源三档个股在 2026 年的表现均相当亮眼，Nebius 已大涨 167%、超微半导体飙升 121%，布鲁姆能源更暴涨 202%。</p>\n\n<p>主要生产燃料电池的布鲁姆能源，今年已成为 AI 概念股的市场宠儿。监管文件显示，由前 OpenAI 研究员 Leopold Aschenbrenner 创立的避险基金将布鲁姆能源列为主要持股之一，这也在年初带动布鲁姆能源股价涨势加速。</p>\n\n<p>对于超微半导体第一季财报大幅超越华尔街预期、分析师纷纷上调目标价一事，Semenikhin 同样不为所动。</p>\n\n<p>他坦言，这些 AI 龙头股的惊人涨幅，正是他选择放空的原因之一。虽然 Semenikhin 对整体 AI 类股持偏空看法，但在众多相关企业中，他认为这三家公司最适合作为放空标的，因为它们在短时间内已累积过于惊人的涨幅。</p>\n\n<p>他补充道：「我认为所有与 AI 硬体及基础设施相关的企业，目前估值都偏高。不过，相较于大型企业，规模较小的公司股价波动更剧烈，因此我并未将它们纳入放空名单。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8123.html\" title=\"SemiAnalysis：Kimi K3碾压Nemotron 3 Ultra 辉达「委员会模式」遭警讯\">SemiAnalysis：Kimi K3碾压Nemotron 3 Ultra 辉达「委员会模式」遭警讯</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5966.html\" title=\"Google Cloud：57%台湾企业已部署AI代理 位居亚太地区前段班\">Google Cloud：57%台湾企业已部署AI代理 位居亚太地区前段班</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13915.html\" title=\"全球机构投资人美元避险比率降至历史新低 美元潜在抛售压力巨大\">全球机构投资人美元避险比率降至历史新低 美元潜在抛售压力巨大</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-12388.html\" title=\"SpaceX再获卖出评级 分析师：股价可能下跌25%\">SpaceX再获卖出评级 分析师：股价可能下跌25%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5660.html\" title=\"马斯克Terafab或撼动全球半导体设备市场版图？瑞银估5年采购1350亿美元\">马斯克Terafab或撼动全球半导体设备市场版图？瑞银估5年采购1350亿美元</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-1855.html\" title=\"这次不一样！知名财经部落格警告：上周五下跌非「逢低买进机会」\">这次不一样！知名财经部落格警告：上周五下跌非「逢低买进机会」</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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