AI泡沫要来了？知名交易员放空AMD等「3档」AI飙股！

2026-10-28 09:32:30 网络阅读（136）
一位曾掀起超越肉类 (BYND-US) 轧空行情的知名交易员，如今将矛头指向人工智慧（AI）基础建设类股，公开表示正在放空三档涨幅惊人的 AI 相关股票。
根据《Business insider》报导，交易员 Dimitri Semenikhin 本周在 X 平台发文，透露他正在做空 AI 基础设施与云端运算服务供应商 Nebius Group (YNDX-US) 、超微半导体 (AMD-US) 以及再生能源公司布鲁姆能源 (BE-US) 三家公司的股票。
Semenikhin 表示，目前市场估值几乎已经把最乐观的情境完全反映进去了，「投资人普遍假设 AI 需求不仅会按照现有预测持续成长，甚至还会进一步超越预期；同时也认定支撑这些运算需求所需的电力将大幅攀升，使市场对硬体设备的依赖程度进一步提高。」
他指出，AI 供应链目前的狂热程度已经有些失控，与当年网路基础设施和 Web 产业扩张时出现的泡沫化现象非常相似。
Semenikhin 说：「我相信未来人们一定会使用越来越多 AI 系统，但这些系统很可能变得更加轻量化、更有效率。未来对电力的依赖程度，虽然仍会高于现在，但未必会像市场目前预测的那么夸张。」
他表示，自己过去曾持有 Nebius 的多头部位。不过，自己并不认为 Nebius 是一家糟糕的公司；只是当前市场炒作情绪高涨、估值持续攀升的情况下，从投资角度来看，现在并不是一个合理的进场时机。
尽管 Semenikhin 态度保守，Nebius 、超微半导体以及布鲁姆能源三档个股在 2026 年的表现均相当亮眼，Nebius 已大涨 167%、超微半导体飙升 121%，布鲁姆能源更暴涨 202%。
主要生产燃料电池的布鲁姆能源，今年已成为 AI 概念股的市场宠儿。监管文件显示，由前 OpenAI 研究员 Leopold Aschenbrenner 创立的避险基金将布鲁姆能源列为主要持股之一，这也在年初带动布鲁姆能源股价涨势加速。
对于超微半导体第一季财报大幅超越华尔街预期、分析师纷纷上调目标价一事，Semenikhin 同样不为所动。
他坦言，这些 AI 龙头股的惊人涨幅，正是他选择放空的原因之一。虽然 Semenikhin 对整体 AI 类股持偏空看法，但在众多相关企业中，他认为这三家公司最适合作为放空标的，因为它们在短时间内已累积过于惊人的涨幅。
他补充道：「我认为所有与 AI 硬体及基础设施相关的企业，目前估值都偏高。不过，相较于大型企业，规模较小的公司股价波动更剧烈，因此我并未将它们纳入放空名单。」
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