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马斯克力挺美光定价合理!记忆体缺货恐延续至2028年、HBM市场估值看增

2026-10-14 13:50:24 网络 阅读(1)

随着全球记忆体市场供不应求,记忆体价格与供应商的定价策略成为市场关注焦点。SpaceX(SPCX-US) 执行长马斯克周二(13日)公开肯定美光科技(MU-US) 的未来记忆体定价策略,认为相较于部分收费过高的供应商,美光采取较合理的定价方式,有助于维持长期客户关系。

马斯克力挺美光定价合理!记忆体缺货恐延续至2028年、HBM市场估值看增

根据《Benzinga》报导,马斯克在社群平台X发文指出,美光对未来记忆体价格的处理方式相当合理,但其他供应商的收费则高得令人难以接受,客户不会忘记供应商如何对待他们。

他并认为,美光的做法是维持长期客户忠诚度的明智策略。

图:马斯克X
(图:马斯克X)

这番言论是回应世界贸易证券(World Trade Securities)执行长兼负责人Nicholas Mugalli在X上的贴文。Mugalli当时分享摩根大通一份看好记忆体与储存市场的研究报告。

Futurum Equities首席市场策略师Shay Boloor则认为,当供应最终逐渐宽松时,美光有机会将马斯克所说的这种「善意」转化为更长期的合约,以及更高的市场占有率。

摩根大通表示,记忆体市场的基本面「较90天前明显强劲许多」,目前需求远高于供给。

该机构预估,2026年记忆体供应短缺幅度约为20%,2027年为19%,2028年则为15%。

高频宽记忆体(HBM)市场的成长前景同样受到看好。摩根大通预估,HBM市场规模将从2026年的约640亿美元,扩大至2027年的约1,600亿美元,并于2028年进一步攀升至2,800亿美元。

在供应合约方面,美光的长期客户协议数量已从16份增加至26份,这些协议涵盖至2030年、占公司营收逾35%,剩余履约义务金额达1,500亿美元。

此外,美光2027会计年度超过75%的产出已经获得承诺。

不过,记忆体产业仍面临竞争与市场情绪带来的压力。周二(13日),半导体类股延续跌势,市场忧虑中国长鑫科技(688825-CN) 在晶片设计方面取得进展,能够在更小的空间内整合更多记忆体。

相关疑虑已对主要记忆体企业股价造成冲击。周一(12日),美光市值蒸发约520亿美元,SK海力士(000660KS) 市值减少约415亿美元,SanDisk(SNDKV-US) 市值则缩水约150亿美元。

股价表现方面, 美光周二下跌3.62%,收在953.19美元,盘后上涨0.32%,报956.20美元。

Benzinga Edge的评级数据显示,美光股票的动能评分位居第99百分位,品质评分则位居第97百分位。

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美光长约增至26份、涵盖至2030年,2027会计年度逾75%产出已承诺;惟半导体股因长鑫科技竞争疑虑承压",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/l/e8aa675cb7ebbe060b8a8bd6ed238688.jpg",
    "content": "<p>随着全球记忆体市场供不应求,记忆体价格与供应商的定价策略成为市场关注焦点。SpaceX(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:SPCX:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">SPCX-US</a>) 执行长马斯克周二(13日)公开肯定美光科技(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:MU:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">MU-US</a>) 的未来记忆体定价策略,认为相较于部分收费过高的供应商,美光采取较合理的定价方式,有助于维持长期客户关系。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/l/e8aa675cb7ebbe060b8a8bd6ed238688.jpg\" alt=\"马斯克力挺美光定价合理!记忆体缺货恐延续至2028年、HBM市场估值看增\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>根据《Benzinga》报导,马斯克在社群平台X发文指出,美光对未来记忆体价格的处理方式相当合理,但其他供应商的收费则高得令人难以接受,客户不会忘记供应商如何对待他们。</p>\n\n<p>他并认为,美光的做法是维持长期客户忠诚度的明智策略。</p>\n\n<figure><img alt=\"图:马斯克X\" data-height=\"473\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.6067653276955602\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/m/df2454f19ebda5a59bc665d97345b587.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/l/df2454f19ebda5a59bc665d97345b587.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/l/df2454f19ebda5a59bc665d97345b587.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/xl/df2454f19ebda5a59bc665d97345b587.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6630084/xxl/df2454f19ebda5a59bc665d97345b587.jpg 3x\">\n<figcaption>(图:<a href=\"https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2110126632572756339?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">马斯克X</a>)</figcaption>\n</figure>\n\n<p>这番言论是回应世界贸易证券(World Trade Securities)执行长兼负责人Nicholas Mugalli在X上的贴文。Mugalli当时分享摩根大通一份看好记忆体与储存市场的研究报告。</p>\n\n<p>Futurum Equities首席市场策略师Shay Boloor则认为,当供应最终逐渐宽松时,美光有机会将马斯克所说的这种「善意」转化为更长期的合约,以及更高的市场占有率。</p>\n\n<p>摩根大通表示,记忆体市场的基本面「较90天前明显强劲许多」,目前需求远高于供给。</p>\n\n<p>该机构预估,2026年记忆体供应短缺幅度约为20%,2027年为19%,2028年则为15%。</p>\n\n<p>高频宽记忆体(HBM)市场的成长前景同样受到看好。摩根大通预估,HBM市场规模将从2026年的约640亿美元,扩大至2027年的约1,600亿美元,并于2028年进一步攀升至2,800亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>在供应合约方面,美光的长期客户协议数量已从16份增加至26份,这些协议涵盖至2030年、占公司营收逾35%,剩余履约义务金额达1,500亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>此外,美光2027会计年度超过75%的产出已经获得承诺。</p>\n\n<p>不过,记忆体产业仍面临竞争与市场情绪带来的压力。周二(13日),半导体类股延续跌势,市场忧虑中国长鑫科技(<a data-symbol-template=\"CNS:688825:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">688825-CN</a>) 在晶片设计方面取得进展,能够在更小的空间内整合更多记忆体。</p>\n\n<p>相关疑虑已对主要记忆体企业股价造成冲击。周一(12日),美光市值蒸发约520亿美元,SK海力士(<a data-symbol-template=\"GF:000660KS:FUTURES:STOCK\" href=\"#\">000660KS</a>) 市值减少约415亿美元,SanDisk(<a data-symbol-template=\"USS:SNDKV:STOCK:COMMON\" href=\"#\">SNDKV-US</a>) 市值则缩水约150亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>股价表现方面, 美光周二下跌3.62%,收在953.19美元,盘后上涨0.32%,报956.20美元。</p>\n\n<p>Benzinga Edge的评级数据显示,美光股票的动能评分位居第99百分位,品质评分则位居第97百分位。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-6086.html\" title=\"尽管AI潜力「不可限量」分析师:别急着买特斯拉\">尽管AI潜力「不可限量」分析师:别急着买特斯拉</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-2063.html\" title=\"苹果AI将引爆史诗级换机潮?13亿台iPhone正等着升级\">苹果AI将引爆史诗级换机潮?13亿台iPhone正等着升级</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-1444.html\" title=\"TrendForce上修记忆体市场预测!2027年规模或超1.28兆美元、AI代理驱动新一轮爆发周期\">TrendForce上修记忆体市场预测!2027年规模或超1.28兆美元、AI代理驱动新一轮爆发周期</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13796.html\" title=\"美国就业警报又响!8月小非农仅增3.8万人 创1月来最小增幅\">美国就业警报又响!8月小非农仅增3.8万人 创1月来最小增幅</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-9163.html\" title=\"苹果称记忆体价格暴涨如「百年洪灾」暗示DRAM市场需要更多供应商\">苹果称记忆体价格暴涨如「百年洪灾」暗示DRAM市场需要更多供应商</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8385.html\" title=\"中国DUV量产传闻重击ASML 美光、SK海力士ADR、SanDisk全面下杀\">中国DUV量产传闻重击ASML 美光、SK海力士ADR、SanDisk全面下杀</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-10-14T05:50:03.000Z",
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