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英特尔领军晶片股今年狂飙 涨势超越网路泡沫

2026-09-12 04:17:30 网络 阅读(111)

《MarketWatch》报导,AI 热潮今年带动晶片股大涨,并推升广受市场关注的费城半导体指数 (SOX-US) 刷新历史纪录。

这波涨势主要由老牌晶片厂英特尔 (Intel)(INTC-US) 领军。随着代理式 AI 兴起,市场对伺服器中央处理器 (CPU) 的需求再度升温,而代理式 AI 需要 CPU 来自主执行任务,使英特尔成为主要受惠者之一。

AI 发展重心也逐渐转向推论 (Inference),也就是模型完成训练后的实际运作阶段,进一步带动 CPU 需求强劲成长。

根据道琼市场数据,费半指数 2026 年迄今已大涨 79.3%,创下年度前 100 个交易日史上最佳表现。此前纪录出现在 1995 年网路泡沫刚起步时,当年前 100 个交易日费半上涨 62%。该指数于 1993 年 12 月推出。

费半指数 30 档成分股今年全数上涨超过 10%。相比之下,标普 500 今年上涨 9.9%。其中,表现最佳的是英特尔,股价暴涨 230%,表现最差的是辉达 (Nvidia)(NVDA-US),但股价仍上涨 14%。

超微 (Advanced Micro Devices, AMD)(AMD-US) 同样受惠于伺服器 CPU 需求复苏。今年股价已上涨 131.4%,并于周二首度突破 8,000 亿美元市值门槛。

截至周三,尽管 AMD 股价下跌 1.7%,市值仍达 8,080.3 亿美元,超越摩根大通 (JPMorgan Chase),成为美国市值第 13 大企业。摩根大通 (JPM-US) 周三股价下跌 2.4%,市值降至 8,019.2 亿美元。

另一方面,辉达今年表现落后其他半导体同业,部分原因在于投资人仍担忧 AI 支出的可持续性。目前全球前四大超大型云端业者预计今年共将投入近 7,000 亿美元建设 AI 基础设施。

辉达目前市值达 5.14 兆美元,其崛起主要依赖 GPU 产品。不过,公司现在也积极抢攻其估计规模达 2,000 亿美元的 CPU 市场。辉达财务长 Colette Kress 本月稍早在财报电话会议中表示,「这是我们过去从未真正涉足的市场。」

AI 热潮同时造成记忆体晶片严重短缺,进一步推升美光 (Micron Technology)(MU-US) 股价,今年累计大涨 225.3%,成为费半第二强势个股。美光市值周二首度突破 1 兆美元,当日收盘股价创下 895.88 美元历史新高,也成为美国市值第 10 大企业。

Barclays 分析师 Tom O’Malley 将美光目标价自 675 美元调升至 1,175 美元,较周三 928.41 美元收盘价仍有约 27% 上涨空间。O’Malley 调升目标价的原因,是他提高了 2027 年每股盈余 (EPS) 预估本益比倍数,反映「更具结构性的良好定价环境,以及更多长期合约安排。」

美光在 3 月财报中宣布,公司正导入策略性客户协议 (SCAs),其内容比过去与客户签署的长期合约更进一步。

美光执行长 Sanjay Mehrotra 在财报会议中表示,「SCAs 涵盖多年期具体承诺,可提升公司商业模式的能见度与稳定性。」他也透露,美光已签下首份为期五年的协议。

O"Malley 指出,美光目前尚未透露太多新合约细节,但随着更多协议签署,市场未来将逐步了解其架构。「当这些细节逐渐浮现时,我们认为将成为股价正面催化剂,也代表本轮记忆体景气循环可持续性再向前迈进一步。」

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          "id": 57,
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    "content": "<p>《MarketWatch》报导,AI 热潮今年带动晶片股大涨,并推升广受市场关注的费城半导体指数 (SOX-US) 刷新历史纪录。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6471697/l/0d248fd906cf6166fd20cab19136a911.jpg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>这波涨势主要由老牌晶片厂英特尔 (Intel)(INTC-US) 领军。随着代理式 AI 兴起,市场对伺服器中央处理器 (CPU) 的需求再度升温,而代理式 AI 需要 CPU 来自主执行任务,使英特尔成为主要受惠者之一。</p>\n\n<p>AI 发展重心也逐渐转向推论 (Inference),也就是模型完成训练后的实际运作阶段,进一步带动 CPU 需求强劲成长。</p>\n\n<p>根据道琼市场数据,费半指数 2026 年迄今已大涨 79.3%,创下年度前 100 个交易日史上最佳表现。此前纪录出现在 1995 年网路泡沫刚起步时,当年前 100 个交易日费半上涨 62%。该指数于 1993 年 12 月推出。</p>\n\n<p>费半指数 30 档成分股今年全数上涨超过 10%。相比之下,标普 500 今年上涨 9.9%。其中,表现最佳的是英特尔,股价暴涨 230%,表现最差的是辉达 (Nvidia)(NVDA-US),但股价仍上涨 14%。</p>\n\n<p>超微 (Advanced Micro Devices, AMD)(AMD-US) 同样受惠于伺服器 CPU 需求复苏。今年股价已上涨 131.4%,并于周二首度突破 8,000 亿美元市值门槛。</p>\n\n<p>截至周三,尽管 AMD 股价下跌 1.7%,市值仍达 8,080.3 亿美元,超越摩根大通 (JPMorgan Chase),成为美国市值第 13 大企业。摩根大通 (JPM-US) 周三股价下跌 2.4%,市值降至 8,019.2 亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>另一方面,辉达今年表现落后其他半导体同业,部分原因在于投资人仍担忧 AI 支出的可持续性。目前全球前四大超大型云端业者预计今年共将投入近 7,000 亿美元建设 AI 基础设施。</p>\n\n<p>辉达目前市值达 5.14 兆美元,其崛起主要依赖 GPU 产品。不过,公司现在也积极抢攻其估计规模达 2,000 亿美元的 CPU 市场。辉达财务长 Colette Kress 本月稍早在财报电话会议中表示,「这是我们过去从未真正涉足的市场。」</p>\n\n<p>AI 热潮同时造成记忆体晶片严重短缺,进一步推升美光 (Micron Technology)(MU-US) 股价,今年累计大涨 225.3%,成为费半第二强势个股。美光市值周二首度突破 1 兆美元,当日收盘股价创下 895.88 美元历史新高,也成为美国市值第 10 大企业。</p>\n\n<p>Barclays 分析师 Tom O&rsquo;Malley 将美光目标价自 675 美元调升至 1,175 美元,较周三 928.41 美元收盘价仍有约 27% 上涨空间。O&rsquo;Malley 调升目标价的原因,是他提高了 2027 年每股盈余 (EPS) 预估本益比倍数,反映「更具结构性的良好定价环境,以及更多长期合约安排。」</p>\n\n<p>美光在 3 月财报中宣布,公司正导入策略性客户协议 (SCAs),其内容比过去与客户签署的长期合约更进一步。</p>\n\n<p>美光执行长 Sanjay Mehrotra 在财报会议中表示,「SCAs 涵盖多年期具体承诺,可提升公司商业模式的能见度与稳定性。」他也透露,美光已签下首份为期五年的协议。</p>\n\n<p>O\"Malley 指出,美光目前尚未透露太多新合约细节,但随着更多协议签署,市场未来将逐步了解其架构。「当这些细节逐渐浮现时,我们认为将成为股价正面催化剂,也代表本轮记忆体景气循环可持续性再向前迈进一步。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-6260.html\" title=\"美股夏季行情恐提前结束?大摩警告「三大风险」\">美股夏季行情恐提前结束?大摩警告「三大风险」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-13780.html\" title=\"日债殖利率破3%也不怕!波克夏续押日本五大商社\">日债殖利率破3%也不怕!波克夏续押日本五大商社</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-3830.html\" title=\"微软6月恐创25年来最差 分析师:回档反而是买点\">微软6月恐创25年来最差 分析师:回档反而是买点</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5446.html\" title=\"美股盘前|AI晶片股卖压再现 那斯达克期货跌近1%\">美股盘前|AI晶片股卖压再现 那斯达克期货跌近1%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-11672.html\" title=\"美伊谅解备忘录到期不延长 川普促伊朗「举白旗投降」\">美伊谅解备忘录到期不延长 川普促伊朗「举白旗投降」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-14028.html\" title=\"iPhone 18 Pro效能有望再跃进 A20 Pro两大升级曝光\">iPhone 18 Pro效能有望再跃进 A20 Pro两大升级曝光</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-05-27T23:00:16.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-09-11T20:17:30.000Z"
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