天天财经

全力把主升做到最好、联电⊕、华新科⊕、金像电⊕

2026-10-20 17:39:49 网络 阅读(65)

一、盘势结构:强势突破47K,多头架构持续向上

全力把主升做到最好、联电⊕、华新科⊕、金像电⊕

  1. 台股今日呈现「开高震荡走高」格局,终场大涨775点、收47,326点,成交量增至约9,417亿元;三大法人同步偏多,外资买超883亿元、自营商买超157亿元、投信续买近99亿元,显示资金明显回流。
  2. 尽管市场仍面临美国就业数据、利率预期、油价与美债殖利率等干扰,但台股在AI基本面、企业获利及内外资买盘支撑下,成功突破47K关卡。
  3. 后市关键仍是「唯量是问」,若成交量能持续放大,有利挑战前高与更高区间;即使短线震荡,在基本面强劲及短中期均线维持上扬下,预期44K~45K仍具中期支撑,拉回反而提供优质股低接机会。

二、AI资本支出持续扩张,长线多头核心不变

  1. AI需求并未降温,从GPU、ASIC到资料中心基础建设,全球科技巨头持续扩大资本支出,AI算力需求仍处于长期成长循环。
  2. 未来投资主轴将聚焦五大方向:CPO/矽光子、高速光通讯、液冷与HVDC、高压电源与BBU、先进封装与HBM,以及ASIC与高速互连。
  3. 随着大型云端业者积极发展自研ASIC,将同步带动IC设计服务、先进封装、测试、高速PCB及相关材料需求;AI资料中心耗电量快速提升,也将使电网、变压器、高压供电与能源基础建设成为下一波重要商机。

三、台湾基本面强劲,年底旺季成为台股上涨底气

  1. 上市柜公司第二季税后纯益突破2兆元,再创历史新高,AI、高效能运算与半导体出口持续推升企业营收与获利。
  2. 下半年将进入科技产业传统旺季,搭配苹果新品发表、高阶VR/AR装置及ASIC专案陆续量产,有利供应链营收持续升温。
  3. 台湾科技硬体供应链完整,在全球AI资本支出持续扩大的趋势下,企业获利成长动能仍具优势,基本面将持续成为台股中长线的重要支撑。

四、操作策略:避开高估值追价,锁定AI与低基期族群

  1. 当前盘势进入利率、通膨、油价与企业获利的多空拉锯,高档涨多、估值偏高且短线涨不动的个股,建议避免追价,必要时可逢高分批获利调节。
  2. 资金可持续锁定具基本面支撑、流动性佳且产业趋势明确的AI受惠股、ASIC、PCB、被动元件、先进封装设备、半导体材料及资料中心基础建设。
  3. 整体而言,台股中长线多头架构尚未改变,但第四季仍须留意油价、美日利率政策及地缘政治风险。操作上建议坚守「低接不追高、分批布局、严控资金与风险」原则;指数震荡不代表行情结束,选对产业、掌握趋势,仍是下一阶段致胜关键。

基本面乃台股最大底气

股价却被严重超跌

受不了卖掉离场的

未来股价涨回去就真的不干你的事情

最简单来说就是买估值超跌的绩优股

晶圆代工→联电⊕

被动元件→华新科⊕

PCB龙头→金像电⊕

我们的每一档飙股

都事先掌握住大成长的题材

带会员低档布局

这就是跟对节奏的力量

看着我们一档接一档涨停

这就是「赢家的惯性」

不要好高骛远

要脚踏实地一步一步

我敢保证今年最大优惠

不必499不用399

只要199就能吃到饱

欢迎来电洽询大家一起共襄盛举

工商时报绩效竞赛13冠王、卓越绩效傲视同业、专业实力有目共赌!

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文章来源:伦元投顾陈学进分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券

无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利

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    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/8e76b09399f4f685ee93da532dd396a4.jpg",
    "content": "\n<p><strong>一、盘势结构:强势突破47K,多头架构持续向上</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/8e76b09399f4f685ee93da532dd396a4.jpg\" alt=\"全力把主升做到最好、联电⊕、华新科⊕、金像电⊕\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<ol>\n<li>台股今日呈现「<strong>开高震荡走高</strong>」格局,终场大涨<strong>775</strong><strong>点、收</strong><strong>47,326</strong><strong>点</strong>,成交量增至约<strong>9,417</strong><strong>亿元</strong>;三大法人同步偏多,外资买超883亿元、自营商买超157亿元、投信续买近99亿元,显示资金明显回流。</li>\n<li>尽管市场仍面临美国就业数据、利率预期、油价与美债殖利率等干扰,但台股在<strong>AI</strong><strong>基本面、企业获利及内外资买盘</strong>支撑下,成功突破47K关卡。</li>\n<li>后市关键仍是「<strong>唯量是问</strong>」,若成交量能持续放大,有利挑战前高与更高区间;即使短线震荡,在基本面强劲及短中期均线维持上扬下,预期<strong>44K</strong><strong>~</strong><strong>45K</strong><strong>仍具中期支撑</strong>,拉回反而提供优质股低接机会。</li>\n</ol>\n\n<p><strong>二、AI资本支出持续扩张,长线多头核心不变</strong></p>\n\n<ol>\n<li>AI需求并未降温,从GPU、ASIC到资料中心基础建设,全球科技巨头持续扩大资本支出,AI算力需求仍处于长期成长循环。</li>\n<li>未来投资主轴将聚焦五大方向:<strong>CPO</strong><strong>/矽光子、高速光通讯、液冷与</strong><strong>HVDC</strong><strong>、高压电源与</strong><strong>BBU</strong><strong>、先进封装与</strong><strong>HBM</strong><strong>,以及</strong><strong>ASIC</strong><strong>与高速互连</strong>。</li>\n<li>随着大型云端业者积极发展自研ASIC,将同步带动IC设计服务、先进封装、测试、高速PCB及相关材料需求;AI资料中心耗电量快速提升,也将使<strong>电网、变压器、高压供电与能源基础建设</strong>成为下一波重要商机。</li>\n</ol>\n\n<p><strong>三、台湾基本面强劲,年底旺季成为台股上涨底气</strong></p>\n\n<ol>\n<li>上市柜公司第二季税后纯益突破<strong>2</strong><strong>兆元</strong>,再创历史新高,AI、高效能运算与半导体出口持续推升企业营收与获利。</li>\n<li>下半年将进入科技产业传统旺季,搭配<strong>苹果新品发表、高阶</strong><strong>VR</strong><strong>/</strong><strong>AR</strong><strong>装置及</strong><strong>ASIC</strong><strong>专案陆续量产</strong>,有利供应链营收持续升温。</li>\n<li>台湾科技硬体供应链完整,在全球AI资本支出持续扩大的趋势下,企业获利成长动能仍具优势,基本面将持续成为台股中长线的重要支撑。</li>\n</ol>\n\n<p><strong>四、操作策略:避开高估值追价,锁定AI与低基期族群</strong></p>\n\n<ol>\n<li>当前盘势进入<strong>利率、通膨、油价与企业获利</strong>的多空拉锯,高档涨多、估值偏高且短线涨不动的个股,建议避免追价,必要时可逢高分批获利调节。</li>\n<li>资金可持续锁定具基本面支撑、流动性佳且产业趋势明确的<strong>AI</strong><strong>受惠股、</strong><strong>ASIC</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>PCB</strong><strong>、被动元件、先进封装设备、半导体材料及资料中心基础建设</strong>。</li>\n<li>整体而言,台股中长线多头架构尚未改变,但第四季仍须留意<strong>油价、美日利率政策及地缘政治风险</strong>。操作上建议坚守「<strong>低接不追高、分批布局、严控资金与风险</strong>」原则;指数震荡不代表行情结束,<strong>选对产业、掌握趋势,仍是下一阶段致胜关键。</strong></li>\n</ol>\n\n<div>\n<hr></hr></div>\n\n<p>基本面乃台股最大底气</p>\n\n<p>股价却被严重超跌</p>\n\n<p>受不了卖掉离场的</p>\n\n<p>未来股价涨回去就真的不干你的事情</p>\n\n<p>最简单来说就是买估值超跌的绩优股</p>\n\n<p>晶圆代工&rarr;联电&oplus;</p>\n\n<p>被动元件&rarr;华新科&oplus;</p>\n\n<p>PCB龙头&rarr;金像电&oplus;</p>\n\n<p>我们的每一档飙股</p>\n\n<p>都事先掌握住大成长的题材</p>\n\n<p>带会员低档布局</p>\n\n<p>这就是跟对节奏的力量</p>\n\n<p>看着我们一档接一档涨停</p>\n\n<p>这就是「赢家的惯性」</p>\n\n<p>不要好高骛远</p>\n\n<p>要脚踏实地一步一步</p>\n\n<p>我敢保证今年最大优惠</p>\n\n<p>不必499不用399</p>\n\n<p>只要199就能吃到饱</p>\n\n<p>欢迎来电洽询大家一起共襄盛举</p>\n\n<p><img data-height=\"570\" data-ratio=\"1.3333333333333333\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/m/e6a8ad74579dfddaeb426f8cdee2b578.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/e6a8ad74579dfddaeb426f8cdee2b578.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/e6a8ad74579dfddaeb426f8cdee2b578.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/xl/e6a8ad74579dfddaeb426f8cdee2b578.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/xl/e6a8ad74579dfddaeb426f8cdee2b578.jpg 3x\"></img></p>\n\n<p><img data-height=\"570\" data-ratio=\"1.3333333333333333\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/m/dad93abd004ed3b7bb6b7cbce66e948b.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/dad93abd004ed3b7bb6b7cbce66e948b.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/dad93abd004ed3b7bb6b7cbce66e948b.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/xl/dad93abd004ed3b7bb6b7cbce66e948b.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/xl/dad93abd004ed3b7bb6b7cbce66e948b.jpg 3x\"></img></p>\n\n<p><img data-height=\"570\" data-ratio=\"1.3333333333333333\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/m/b625a57abb297e0c09c5e0c5e68cfa7c.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/b625a57abb297e0c09c5e0c5e68cfa7c.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/b625a57abb297e0c09c5e0c5e68cfa7c.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/xl/b625a57abb297e0c09c5e0c5e68cfa7c.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/xl/b625a57abb297e0c09c5e0c5e68cfa7c.jpg 3x\"></img></p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/g_li2reZWik\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<p>工商时报绩效竞赛13冠王、卓越绩效傲视同业、专业实力有目共赌!</p>\n\n<p>更多第一手讯息、以及飙股机会&rarr;请加入大师兄飙股鑫天地的大家族</p>\n\n<p>LINE@连结网址:<a href=\"https://line.me/R/ti/p/@gold99\">https://line.me/R/ti/p/%40gold99</a></p>\n\n<p><span>Telegram</span>连结网址:<a href=\"https://t.me/gold0999\">https://t.me/gold0999</a></p>\n\n<p>YT个人专属频道:<a href=\"mailto:youtube.com/@master55688\">youtube.com/@master55688</a></p>\n\n<p>举手之劳、记得!按赞、订阅、分享、开启小铃铛</p>\n\n<p>让更多人可以看见我们的影片</p>\n\n<p>咨询专线02-2321-9933(24小时专人服务)</p>\n\n<p><img data-height=\"485\" data-ratio=\"1.5670103092783505\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/m/3900e93bf3d822ec7446c291b6a1a291.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6599457/l/3900e93bf3d822ec7446c291b6a1a291.jpg\"></img></p>\n\n<p>文章来源:伦元投顾陈学进分析师</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br></br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br></br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a 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    "createdAt": "2026-09-07T09:38:46.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-10-20T09:39:49.000Z"
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