华邦电、南亚科、欣兴不妙？融资当冲双爆表…5000点崩盘倒数？！大户私藏的『避难名单』曝光！

上周五台股才收千点长黑，结果周五与台股连动最密切的费半由指标股辉达 (NVDA-US)、台积电 (2330-TW)ADR 带头震荡重挫 4% 下，周一台股再度开低、震荡难免。从日线来看，大盘的 MACD 柱状体由红翻黑，但 MACD 快线依然稳稳在「0 轴之上」！这在技术分析上叫什么？叫「乖离过大的强势整理」，而不是趋势的翻空！

再把格局放大一点，看看大盘的「周线」与「月线」结构，从头到尾根本「从未背离」。这就好像一辆在高速公路上全速前进的超跑，开太久了、引擎热了，中途进大保养站加个油、换个机油，这不是很合情合理的事吗？

重点来了！什么时候才是另一个逢低的好买点？很简单，就在「下一次日线 MACD 柱状体收脚」的那一天！只要柱状体由长变短、跌势趋缓，那就是最强烈的止跌讯号。如果收脚后的反攻攻势，还能带着一个向上的「跳空缺口」，那就是多头攻势再起，上攻 4 万 5 千点的历史大关的关键讯号！

本周观察台股下档三道钢铁般的防线，分别是 40576、39840 以及 39487。只要跌到这附近，大盘的下档空间就极为有限。所以，面对拉回，你该做的事情绝不是盲目恐慌，而是赶快把目光锁定在那些「大户锁码」的珍珠股上！

春江水暖鸭先知！掌握法人与大户的「锁码地图」
在股市里，大股东、外资和投信就是那群最敏锐的鸭子。一档股票未来业绩会不会好、有没有爆发力，看看他们的筹码流向就一清二楚了。
当股价大跌、散户慌乱抛售时，大户通常只有一个标准动作：「加码、继续买」！根据上周最新的筹码数据，以下这三大族群已经被主力偷偷锁码，值得你高度留意：

第一军团：外资与投信狂吸筹：功率元件与被动元件全面升级
首先看到外资锁码的焦点股 - 强茂 (2481-TW)。这档股票同时也是投信锁码与大户锁码的超级三合一重磅核心！强茂作为台湾二极体与功率半导体大厂，近几年在车用与高效能 AI 伺服器电源管理晶片布局非常深。随着 AI 伺服器对供电规格要求呈现几何级数增长，强茂的获利成长性不容小觑。其护城河在于拥有极高规的车规认证与长期稳定的高阶供应链信任关系，散户在抛、大户在接，筹码洗得非常干净。

同样受到外资青睐的还有被动元件大厂华新科 (2492-TW) 与全台最大被动元件代理商日电贸 (3090-TW)。AI 伺服器与边缘 AI 设备的普及，对电容、电感、电阻的消耗量与规格要求是过去的数倍。在经历了漫长的产业库存调整后，两者在 2026 年迎来了强劲的补库存与规格升级潮，高市占率与稳健的现金流就是他们最强大的市场防线。

此外，全球前三大焊锡材料厂升贸 (3305-TW) 也在外资的锁码名单中。高阶 AI 晶片封装制程非常严苛，升贸独门研发的低温焊锡配方，不仅能大幅降低碳排放，更获得了国际晶片大厂的独家认证。全球能做到同等精密良率的对手屈指可数，这就是它独一无二的利基。

而专攻锂电池模组的新盛力 (4931-TW)，在 AI 资料中心对不断电系统（BBU）与备援电池需求大爆发的背景下，营收与 EPS 正展现出惊人的爆发力，外资逆势加码正是看好其下半年的获利成效。另外，IC 通路大厂益登 (3048-TW) 代理了众多全球高阶通讯与 AI 晶片，随边缘运算普及，其无可替代的物流与通路整合能力，让它成为晶片大厂不可或缺的策略伙伴。

第二军团：千张与 400 张大户重仓矽光子、高速传输与机器人巨头！

再来大户锁码股：第一个必须提到的就是光通讯与矽光子（CPO）的明星球员联钧 (3450-TW)！联钧刚公布的 2026 年 4 月营收缴出年增 45.5% 的傲人佳绩，创下 13 个月以来的新高。在 AI 晶片算力狂飙的时代，传统的铜线传输已经面临物理极限，而「光通讯技术」是唯一的救赎。联钧掌握了全球顶尖的高阶光电封测与晶圆加工技术，这道高耸的技术壁垒，就是它最宽广的护城河，难怪千张大户在拉回时毫不手软地疯狂囤货。

另一档大户疯狂锁码股，则是大银微 (4576-TW)。大银微在 2026 年正式迎来「先进封装与机器人」双引擎的成长加速期。根据其最新的法说会消息，受惠于半导体 CoWoS 与先进封装对高精度定位平台的需求，其超高精度定位平台的订单能见度已经排到了 2027 年初，4 月营收更是刷出历史新高！大银微在奈米级精密定位的技术实力具备全球独占性，极高的毛利率与获利成长性，让它在 AI 自动化与矽光子检测设备领域站稳龙头地位。

另外，高速传输晶片王者谱瑞 - KY(4966-TW) 也是大户的掌心宝。不论是 AI PC 还是高阶伺服器，海量数据传输都需要 PCIe Gen 5 与 Gen 6 高速介面晶片的支持。谱瑞 - KY 拥有顶尖的 IP 设计能力与高毛利优势，短线的拉回反倒提供大户大举吸筹的绝佳时机。

最后，在联电集团资源挹注下转型为高阶 IP 与 ASIC 设计公司的矽统 (2363-TW)、专攻精密磁性材料与车用电感的台庆科 (3357-TW)，以及华丽转型、切入扇出型面板级封装（FOPLP）先进封装技术的面板大厂群创 (3481-TW)，都因为各自拥有强大的转型利基与极低的股价位阶，成为大户在风雨中默默重仓布局的秘密武器。

更多产业趋势报告 + 盘中讯息→请加入江江 Line@：

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文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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