外资连十卖后终转多？主力甩筹码成功？下一波反攻谁先起涨？

每次杀到最凶的时候，砍股票的人都觉得自己很聪明，直到行情反转向上，才发现自己卖在了起涨点。

10/6台股才刚冲到49968点的历史新高，但短短十个交易日就掉了近4000点。再看周一收一根带652点的长下影线的止跌K，昨天立马一记黑K直接把周一的下影线整根吞掉，今日大盘一口气又大反弹，洗到投资人都脱了一层皮了，这篇文，江江就要跟大家说明：这场「甩筹码大戏」的真实面貌。

外资大卖、投信逆势买进，市场正在发生什么事？

今天之前的10个交易日外资天天大卖；但投信却逆势买超。这种截然不同的资金方向，正是目前市场值得观察的焦点。外资卖不停，难道代表行情一定没救了？也不尽然。外资可能因为全球资金配置、汇率、风险控管等因素调节部位；投信则可能基于不同的投资策略与持股配置进场。法人买卖方向不同，不等于其中一方一定知道明天会涨还是跌。

真正值得研究的是：当大盘遭遇卖压时，哪些股票仍有法人持续布局？公司的订单、营收与获利展望，能不能支撑未来的股价？这才是我们从震荡中寻找机会的起点。做投资的过程中一定会遇到颠簸，近日的震荡只是过程中的一个小考验。当大趋势完全没有改变时，我们现在要做的不是跟着市场的情绪恐慌杀低，否则一旦跳空强弹缺口诞生，你很可能再也买不回来，白白错失后续的强弹行情。

AI长线需求还在，台厂供应链为什么值得追踪？

江江一直强调，投资不能只看大盘的涨跌，更不能看太短，要看产业的成长引擎有没有熄火。以台积电(2330-TW)为例，台积电维持2026年资本支出600亿至640亿美元的规划，并指出AI及代理AI等市场带来多年期需求，先进封装CoWoS产能也持续扩充。这代表什么？

AI不是只要买一颗GPU就能完成。从晶圆制造、先进封装、高速传输，到伺服器电路板、散热系统，每个环节都必须跟上运算需求。只要AI建置持续推进，供应链就有机会受惠。

不过，这里有个很重要的观念：大厂资本支出增加，不代表所有供应商都能同步赚钱。真正要看的是订单能否转成营收、营收能否转成获利，以及市场目前给的股价是否已经反映太多成长预期。

所以，短线股价下跌未必代表AI产业的成长故事结束；但我们也不能把每一次下跌，都直接解读成主力洗盘。市场给的是重新评估持股的机会，能不能变成好的进场点，还得靠基本面与筹码共同验证。

投信连续买进名单：6档AI指标股值得追踪

台积电(2330-TW)：获投信连续15天大买。先进制程与CoWoS封装绝对龙头，受惠CSP巨头AI资本支出持续扩张，扩产计划皆有客户资本背书，订单能见度极高，获利成长动能强劲，为全球AI供应链最坚实的核心基石。

金像电(2368-TW)：获投信连续11天大买，10月累计买超逾万张。全球AI伺服器高层板龙头，获亚马逊私募15.89亿元入股绑定产能，并斥资79亿元建厂扩产，技术获得巨头背书，获利迎来高速爆发期。

世芯-KY(3661-TW)：获投信连续12天大买。云端大厂客制化ASIC设计服务龙头，获亚马逊累计投资23.6亿元入股绑定Trainium自研晶片，受惠CSP晶片客制化大趋势，高毛利获利成长爆发力强。

台燿(6274-TW)：获投信连续12天大买。高阶铜箔基板（CCL）大厂，受惠AI伺服器与高阶网通需求爆发，高阶材料升级驱动产品单价与毛利率同步提升，业绩展现强劲的长线成长动能。

臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)：获投信连续9天大买。全球PCB龙头，积极卡位AI伺服器光模组载板与高阶PCB，规划与建设中产能高达35座厂，随次世代AI晶片全面量产，产能与获利将迎来翻倍级成长。

奇𬭎(3017-TW)：获投信连续6天大买。AI伺服器散热与水冷模组龙头，受惠次世代高功耗AI晶片全面导入水冷散热，产品单价大幅提升，带动营收与获利持续挑战新高。

这几档共同特点很清楚：不是靠想像力支撑，而是有真实的巨头资本背书、产能绑定与明确的出货能见度。当大盘在洗浮额时，这些具备长线动能的标的，反而成为法人逢低卡位的首选。

更多产业趋势报告+盘中讯息→请加入江江Line@：

https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ

江江每日解盘影片→含金量满满，节目内容太精彩+太权威惹！

坚持用心制作优质好节目，一定要看到最后！

并且【订阅+按赞+分享帮助好友】

文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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投信连买台积电、金像电、世芯-KY、台燿、臻鼎-KY、奇𬭎，聚焦AI供应链与法人布局。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635083/l/391f9679e80a09ba3780f90f6fb35d1c.jpg", "content": "每次杀到最凶的时候，砍股票的人都觉得自己很聪明，直到行情反转向上，才发现自己卖在了起涨点。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635083/l/391f9679e80a09ba3780f90f6fb35d1c.jpg\" alt=\"外资连十卖后终转多？主力甩筹码成功？下一波反攻谁先起涨？\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n10/6台股才刚冲到49968点的历史新高，但短短十个交易日就掉了近4000点。再看周一收一根带652点的长下影线的止跌K，昨天立马一记黑K直接把周一的下影线整根吞掉，今日大盘一口气又大反弹，洗到投资人都脱了一层皮了，这篇文，江江就要跟大家说明：这场「甩筹码大戏」的真实面貌。\n\n外资大卖、投信逆势买进，市场正在发生什么事？\n\n今天之前的10个交易日外资天天大卖；但投信却逆势买超。这种截然不同的资金方向，正是目前市场值得观察的焦点。外资卖不停，难道代表行情一定没救了？也不尽然。外资可能因为全球资金配置、汇率、风险控管等因素调节部位；投信则可能基于不同的投资策略与持股配置进场。法人买卖方向不同，不等于其中一方一定知道明天会涨还是跌。\n\n真正值得研究的是：当大盘遭遇卖压时，哪些股票仍有法人持续布局？公司的订单、营收与获利展望，能不能支撑未来的股价？这才是我们从震荡中寻找机会的起点。做投资的过程中一定会遇到颠簸，近日的震荡只是过程中的一个小考验。当大趋势完全没有改变时，我们现在要做的不是跟着市场的情绪恐慌杀低，否则一旦跳空强弹缺口诞生，你很可能再也买不回来，白白错失后续的强弹行情。\n\nAI长线需求还在，台厂供应链为什么值得追踪？\n\n江江一直强调，投资不能只看大盘的涨跌，更不能看太短，要看产业的成长引擎有没有熄火。以台积电(2330-TW)为例，台积电维持2026年资本支出600亿至640亿美元的规划，并指出AI及代理AI等市场带来多年期需求，先进封装CoWoS产能也持续扩充。这代表什么？\n\nAI不是只要买一颗GPU就能完成。从晶圆制造、先进封装、高速传输，到伺服器电路板、散热系统，每个环节都必须跟上运算需求。只要AI建置持续推进，供应链就有机会受惠。\n\n不过，这里有个很重要的观念：大厂资本支出增加，不代表所有供应商都能同步赚钱。真正要看的是订单能否转成营收、营收能否转成获利，以及市场目前给的股价是否已经反映太多成长预期。\n\n所以，短线股价下跌未必代表AI产业的成长故事结束；但我们也不能把每一次下跌，都直接解读成主力洗盘。市场给的是重新评估持股的机会，能不能变成好的进场点，还得靠基本面与筹码共同验证。\n\n投信连续买进名单：6档AI指标股值得追踪\n\n台积电(2330-TW)：获投信连续15天大买。先进制程与CoWoS封装绝对龙头，受惠CSP巨头AI资本支出持续扩张，扩产计划皆有客户资本背书，订单能见度极高，获利成长动能强劲，为全球AI供应链最坚实的核心基石。\n\n金像电(2368-TW)：获投信连续11天大买，10月累计买超逾万张。全球AI伺服器高层板龙头，获亚马逊私募15.89亿元入股绑定产能，并斥资79亿元建厂扩产，技术获得巨头背书，获利迎来高速爆发期。\n\n世芯-KY(3661-TW)：获投信连续12天大买。云端大厂客制化ASIC设计服务龙头，获亚马逊累计投资23.6亿元入股绑定Trainium自研晶片，受惠CSP晶片客制化大趋势，高毛利获利成长爆发力强。\n\n台燿(6274-TW)：获投信连续12天大买。高阶铜箔基板（CCL）大厂，受惠AI伺服器与高阶网通需求爆发，高阶材料升级驱动产品单价与毛利率同步提升，业绩展现强劲的长线成长动能。\n\n臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)：获投信连续9天大买。全球PCB龙头，积极卡位AI伺服器光模组载板与高阶PCB，规划与建设中产能高达35座厂，随次世代AI晶片全面量产，产能与获利将迎来翻倍级成长。\n\n奇𬭎(3017-TW)：获投信连续6天大买。AI伺服器散热与水冷模组龙头，受惠次世代高功耗AI晶片全面导入水冷散热，产品单价大幅提升，带动营收与获利持续挑战新高。\n\n这几档共同特点很清楚：不是靠想像力支撑，而是有真实的巨头资本背书、产能绑定与明确的出货能见度。当大盘在洗浮额时，这些具备长线动能的标的，反而成为法人逢低卡位的首选。\n\n更多产业趋势报告+盘中讯息→请加入江江Line@：\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a>\n\n江江每日解盘影片→含金量满满，节目内容太精彩+太权威惹！\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/9ix1Aj2nN78\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n坚持用心制作优质好节目，一定要看到最后！\n\n并且【订阅+按赞+分享帮助好友】\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10760.html\" title=\"〈南茂法说〉Q2获利大增2.6倍、EPS 1.28元创四年新高\">〈南茂法说〉Q2获利大增2.6倍、EPS 1.28元创四年新高</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2492.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - 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