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〈贵金属盘后〉Fed华勒释出通膨降温利率不变讯号 黄金跳涨逾2%

2026-09-04 07:16:51 网络 阅读(1)

金价周四(3日)跳涨逾2%,主因是联准会(Fed)理事华勒(Christopher Waller)表示,若数据持续显示通膨压力减缓,他将支持利率不变,促使交易员削减9月升息押注,进而拉擡不孳息的黄金。

〈贵金属盘后〉Fed华勒释出通膨降温利率不变讯号 黄金跳涨逾2%

  • 黄金现货上涨2.3%,报每盎司4488.54美元,盘中稍早触及8月28日以来高点。
  • 12月交割的黄金期货收高2.8%,报每盎司4539.9美元。

华勒周四表示,若接下来公布的数据证实通膨压力正在降温,他将倾向在Fed下一次货币政策会议上主张维持利率不变。

交易员目前预估,Fed决策官员9月15日至16日开会时升息的机率约为54%,低于华勒发表谈话前的约62%。

StoneX资深市场策略师Bob Haberkorn说:「我认为目前交易员认为Fed在利率政策上可能不会那么积极。愈来愈多交易员开始认为,Fed或许只会再升息一次,但之后利率可能没有太大的进一步上修空间。」

美债殖利率下滑,降低持有不孳息资产的机会成本,进而支撑金价。美元也走弱,使以美元计价的黄金对海外买家而言更加便宜。

黄金周三一度跌至8月7日以来最低,但随着美元指数从近三周高点回落,美债殖利率也从多年高点下降,金价终场收高逾1%。

虽然黄金通常被视为抗通膨工具,但利率上升通常会削弱这种不孳息金属的吸引力。

投资人目前等待周五公布、备受关注的美国非农就业报告,接着下周还将公布8月消费者物价指数(CPI)与生产者物价指数(PPI)通膨数据。

另一方面,随着美国对伊朗发动攻击,以色列再度威胁伊朗,油价连续第四个交易日上涨。

其他贵金属交易
  • 现货白银上涨2.8%,报每盎司67.13美元。
  • 现货白金上涨4.2%,报每盎司1830.28美元。
  • 现货钯金上涨5.9%,报每盎司1426.75美元。

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    {
      "id": 13920,
      "title": "电网建设缺钱 韩国电力要三星、SK海力士预付25兆韩元电费",
      "shortTitle": "电网建设缺钱 韩国电力要三星、SK海力士预付25兆韩元电费",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596294/l/450b11d9c517aeee480456c287fed7d7.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T08:10:03.000Z",
      "description": "韩国电力公社(KEPCO)为填补电网扩建资金缺口,已向三星电子(005930KS) 与 SK海力士(000660KS) 提出方案,要求两家公司预付未来5年、合计25兆韩元(约181亿美元)的电费。若方案成行,将是韩国电力首度把既有预付电费机制,转化为大规模电网建设的融资工具。 据悉,韩国电力要求三星电子预付金额达20兆韩元,SK 海力士则为5兆韩元。韩国电力表示,目前已就相关方案接触三星电子、SK海力士等大型用电户,但企业参与意愿、利率水准、预付规模及期限都尚未定案。 晶片聚落推升用电需求 韩国",
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    },
    {
      "id": 13921,
      "title": "南韩再爆重大资安事件 影音平台Tving近4000万帐户个资遭窃",
      "shortTitle": "南韩再爆重大资安事件 影音平台Tving近4000万帐户个资",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596267/l/3a77bdfbe05426397dd5a21fa11f7340.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T07:40:10.000Z",
      "description": "南韩科学技术情报通信部周四(3日)公布调查结果,指影音串流(OTT)平台Tving发生大规模骇客入侵与个资外泄事件。",
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    {
      "id": 13935,
      "title": "传川普幕僚试图控制美伊战争规模 伊朗再度发起空袭致局势升温",
      "shortTitle": "传川普幕僚试图控制美伊战争规模 伊朗再度发起空袭致局势升温",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596300/l/90beb0785c67650c09a442dfbdf43811.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T09:10:02.000Z",
      "description": "根据《路透》周三(2日)报导,美国总统川普的幕僚正试图在11月期中选举前,控制美伊战争的规模以防冲突扩大。",
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    {
      "id": 13936,
      "title": "晶片、电力不再是最大阻碍 美国AI算力卡在「许可」",
      "shortTitle": "晶片、电力不再是最大阻碍 美国AI算力卡在「许可」",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596266/l/371a81d5f03890e1420603cf5d05259d.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T09:00:04.000Z",
      "description": "巴克莱最新研究报告指出,随着资料中心在全美各地面临日益强烈的社区抵制、许可审查延误与监管制度碎片化,「许可」正成为AI基础设施扩张的下一个核心瓶颈,影响程度可能不亚于算力短缺或电力不足。 美国人工智慧(AI)算力竞赛的真正障碍,正从晶片与电网转向政治及监管。盖洛普今年3月民调显示,71%的美国受访者反对在住家附近兴建资料中心,高于反对核电厂的53%。 这股反对情绪跨越党派,共和党人、独立选民与民主党人均有过半数不支持,Politico更近期的调查也显示,民众反感仍在加深。 反对理由并非集中於单一",
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    {
      "id": 13937,
      "title": "10年债飙破4.81%!美债市场天翻地覆 五位策略师给出应对之策",
      "shortTitle": "10年债飙破4.81%!美债市场天翻地覆 五位策略师给出应对",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596124/l/9b8a33542307b706c5b60252704b3474.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T09:00:03.000Z",
      "description": "10年期美债殖利率周三(2日)一度冲至4.816%,创2023年11月以来新高,30年美债最高触及5.288%,美国债市动荡之际恰逢美国联邦债务突破40兆美元、一年赤字近2兆美元,美国财政部扩大回购长债,联准会(Fed)主席华许暗示可能升息,加上国际油价重新点燃输入性通膨,全球长债同步重新定价。 美国财富管理机构Cerity Partners咨询业务投资主管Ian Toner说:「大多数新闻是短期的,大多数投资组合应该是长期的。先问根本面变没变,再动仓位。」 Empower的首席投资策略师Mar",
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    {
      "id": 13938,
      "title": "日银有意9月升息1码至1.25% 不排除加快脚步",
      "shortTitle": "日银有意9月升息1码至1.25% 不排除加快脚步",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596352/l/55c1357f9f7c8c803bbe3bdb85906e0f.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T08:30:04.000Z",
      "description": "日本银行(央行)因应物价上行风险,倾向本月将基准利率调升1码,未来升息步调则将保持弹性。 彭博引述消息人士报导,日本央行官员将在9月18日结束的两天政策会议上,研议把目前1%的政策利率调高至1.25%。官员仍认为通膨风险偏向上行,服务价格上涨及日元持续疲弱,都强化了升息的理由。 官员目前认为,经济发展大致符合央行预期。其中一名知情人士表示,情势并未出现重大变化,尚不足以支持一次升息2码,因此大幅升息的可能性不高。 日本央行也意识到,9月之后可能仍需进一步升息,并愿意视经济情势及通膨上行风险,弹性",
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    {
      "id": 13939,
      "title": "〈陆股盘后〉午后快速下跌后迎来反抽 三大指数走高",
      "shortTitle": "〈陆股盘后〉午后快速下跌后迎来反抽 三大指数走高",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6595936/l/2489b81eb6d1f4751f1047b35ecf51f4.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T08:30:03.000Z",
      "description": "中国A股三大指数3日(周四)集体开高,早盘股指回落创指一度转跌,午前两市重返升势,午后快速下跌后迎来反抽,尾盘再度回落。",
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    {
      "id": 13960,
      "title": "预售屋延宕惨变「买新卖新」!国税局曝重购退税常栽在这件事 遭补大笔税款",
      "shortTitle": "预售屋延宕惨变「买新卖新」!国税局曝重购退税常栽在这件事 遭",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596451/l/dfedbcb539729e2d089d384e98c90231.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T09:38:09.000Z",
      "description": "近来交屋潮涌现,国税局提醒换屋族购买预售屋务必密切注意「成屋登记日」,避免因买新卖新错失房地合一税重购退税优惠,甚至面临补税命运。高雄国税局表示,所得税法第14条之8规定,民众出售自用房屋土地,自完成移转登记日起算2年内",
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      "id": 13961,
      "title": "结婚限定!合法转移资产「最佳」时机:父母送礼额度大松绑 最高可688万元免税",
      "shortTitle": "结婚限定!合法转移资产「最佳」时机:父母送礼额度大松绑 最高",
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      "createdAt": "2026-09-03T09:13:38.000Z",
      "description": "合法转移资产最佳时机?子女结婚父母送礼额度大公开 最高688万元免税",
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      "pinyin": "hour",
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      "path": "/hour"
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    "title": "〈贵金属盘后〉Fed华勒释出通膨降温利率不变讯号 黄金跳涨逾2%",
    "shortTitle": "〈贵金属盘后〉Fed华勒释出通膨降温利率不变讯号 黄金跳涨逾",
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    "description": "金价周四(3日)跳涨逾2%,主因是联准会(Fed)理事华勒(Christopher Waller)表示,若数据持续显示通膨压力减缓,他将支持利率不变,促使交易员削减9月升息押注,进而拉擡不孳息的黄金。 黄金现货上涨2.3%,报每盎司4488.54美元,盘中稍早触及8月28日以来高点。 12月交割的黄金期货收高2.8%,报每盎司4539.9美元。 华勒周四表示,若接下来公布的数据证实通膨压力正在降温,他将倾向在Fed下一次货币政策会议上主张维持利率不变。 交易员目前预估,Fed决策官员9月15日至",
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    "content": "<p>金价周四(3日)跳涨逾2%,主因是联准会(Fed)理事华勒(Christopher Waller)表示,若数据持续显示通膨压力减缓,他将支持利率不变,促使交易员削减9月升息押注,进而拉擡不孳息的黄金。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6596852/l/6fdac00abe27f7358cc90bc3b6692cd8.jpg\" alt=\"〈贵金属盘后〉Fed华勒释出通膨降温利率不变讯号 黄金跳涨逾2%\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>黄金现货上涨2.3%,报每盎司4488.54美元,盘中稍早触及8月28日以来高点。</li>\n<li>12月交割的黄金期货收高2.8%,报每盎司4539.9美元。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<p>华勒周四表示,若接下来公布的数据证实通膨压力正在降温,他将倾向在Fed下一次货币政策会议上主张维持利率不变。</p>\n\n<p>交易员目前预估,Fed决策官员9月15日至16日开会时升息的机率约为54%,低于华勒发表谈话前的约62%。</p>\n\n<p>StoneX资深市场策略师Bob Haberkorn说:「我认为目前交易员认为Fed在利率政策上可能不会那么积极。愈来愈多交易员开始认为,Fed或许只会再升息一次,但之后利率可能没有太大的进一步上修空间。」</p>\n\n<p>美债殖利率下滑,降低持有不孳息资产的机会成本,进而支撑金价。美元也走弱,使以美元计价的黄金对海外买家而言更加便宜。</p>\n\n<p>黄金周三一度跌至8月7日以来最低,但随着美元指数从近三周高点回落,美债殖利率也从多年高点下降,金价终场收高逾1%。</p>\n\n<p>虽然黄金通常被视为抗通膨工具,但利率上升通常会削弱这种不孳息金属的吸引力。</p>\n\n<p>投资人目前等待周五公布、备受关注的美国非农就业报告,接着下周还将公布8月消费者物价指数(CPI)与生产者物价指数(PPI)通膨数据。</p>\n\n<p>另一方面,随着美国对伊朗发动攻击,以色列再度威胁伊朗,油价连续第四个交易日上涨。</p>\n\n<h6>其他贵金属交易</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>现货白银上涨2.8%,报每盎司67.13美元。</li>\n<li>现货白金上涨4.2%,报每盎司1830.28美元。</li>\n<li>现货钯金上涨5.9%,报每盎司1426.75美元。</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13935.html\" title=\"传川普幕僚试图控制美伊战争规模 伊朗再度发起空袭致局势升温\">传川普幕僚试图控制美伊战争规模 伊朗再度发起空袭致局势升温</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13910.html\" title=\"日本GPIF罕见召开夏季会议 市场预期将上调日本公债配置\">日本GPIF罕见召开夏季会议 市场预期将上调日本公债配置</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13921.html\" title=\"南韩再爆重大资安事件 影音平台Tving近4000万帐户个资遭窃\">南韩再爆重大资安事件 影音平台Tving近4000万帐户个资遭窃</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13986.html\" title=\"黄金期货触及关键技术价位 「对折回档」策略成交易焦点\">黄金期货触及关键技术价位 「对折回档」策略成交易焦点</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13938.html\" title=\"日银有意9月升息1码至1.25% 不排除加快脚步\">日银有意9月升息1码至1.25% 不排除加快脚步</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-13993.html\" title=\"调查:德国企业感受到来自中国的竞争压力日益增长\">调查:德国企业感受到来自中国的竞争压力日益增长</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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