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日本8月PPI年增7.6%高于预期 巩固央行9月升息预期

2026-09-11 16:13:09 网络 阅读(1)

日本央行最新公布数据显示,日本8月批发物价指数(PPI)持续处于高位,年增率超出市场预期,显示通膨压力居高不下,进一步巩固了日本央行于本月升息的合理性。

日本8月PPI年增7.6%高于预期 巩固央行9月升息预期

根据日本央行资料,8月批发物价指数较去年同期上涨7.6%,高于市场预期的7.4%,仅较7月修正后的7.7%(自2023年2月以来新高)略微放缓。按月计算,8月指数微幅下降0.2%。

推动物价上涨的主要项目包括石油与煤炭制品、化学制品、资讯通讯设备及有色金属。此外,8月以日元计价的进口物价指数年增24.8%,显示日元疲软显著推升了进口成本与广义通膨。

受到中东冲突推升燃料成本,以及劳动力市场紧绷带动工资上涨等影响,企业在能源、运输与包装等进货成本上面临持续压力,并试图将其转嫁给消费者。日本央行总裁植田和男强调,正密切观察批发物价变化,评估企业将成本转嫁给家庭的程度。

日本央行已于6月将利率调升至31年来高点的1%。随着通膨与日元疲软疑虑持续,市场已几乎完全消化央行将于9月18日会议上升息25个基点至1.25%的预期,分析师更预估基准利率可能于2027年第二季,进一步调升至1.75%。

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      "title": "「AI灭绝人类」警告疯传1.5亿次 五角大厦高官驳斥:别陷入恐惧循环",
      "shortTitle": "「AI灭绝人类」警告疯传1.5亿次 五角大厦高官驳斥:别陷入",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6604212/l/fdbcf1400159a5737d32dbe8bd24b19c.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-11T03:00:04.000Z",
      "description": "在Anthropic前工程师公开警告,AI业界人士相信这项技术「可能在本世代结束前害死所有人」数日后,美国国防部高阶官员出面反驳日益升高的AI风险疑虑。 美国国防部技术长、主管研究与工程事务的最高官员麦可(Emil Michael)周四(10日)在华盛顿一场国防产业会议上,提到Anthropic前工程师考克森(Jacob Coxon)的社群媒体贴文。 该文目前浏览次数已突破1.5亿次,内容涉及外界对无法控制的AI系统主宰「反乌托邦」世界的担忧。 麦可表示:「人们很容易陷入这种末日循环,认为『我们",
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    {
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      "title": "日元近期强升非短线反弹? 知名资管机构:低估修正启动 回调即布局多头",
      "shortTitle": "日元近期强升非短线反弹? 知名资管机构:低估修正启动 回调即",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6604429/l/91fddb9915626abf494fe27618688a99.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-11T04:50:04.000Z",
      "description": "日元近期强势攀升,可能并非短期反弹,而是多年低估状态进入更广泛修正。欧洲资产管理公司Edmond de Rothschild多资产及对冲策略主管Michael Nizard最新表示,日元正摆脱长期由美日利差与套利交易主导的定价模式,重新回归基本面。 Nizard说,「日元可能正在重新成为真正由基本面驱动的货币」,并称未来回档应视为重建,或是加码日元多头的机会。 本月以来日元已升值逾3%。日本央行(BOJ)加快紧缩的预期升温,加上日本退休金资金配置可能改变,投资人纷纷平仓日元空单。美国财长贝森特此",
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      "createdAt": "2026-09-11T02:10:08.000Z",
      "description": "伊朗战争、俄乌冲突及强烈圣婴现象持续冲击供应,AI投资与能源转型则推升需求。汇丰指出,随着库存缓冲快速消耗,大宗商品市场已进入「超级挤压」阶段,其统计模型更显示,全球大宗商品正处于通常延续时间较长的「超级牛市」。 汇丰全球大宗商品首席经济学家布洛克瑟姆(Paul Bloxham)在最新报告中表示,多重供应冲击与结构性需求成长共同推高价格中枢,商品价格进一步上涨的风险持续累积。汇丰因此将2026年大宗商品价格平均涨幅预测由16%上调至22%,2027年预测也较先前调升14%。 市场已开始反映供应吃",
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      "description": "美国总统川普提议,若共和党在11月期中选举获胜,将向每位美国成年公民发放5000美元支票,此举在掌控联邦财政预算的国会共和党内部引发了平淡且谨慎的反应。",
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