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美伊外交谈判陷僵局 中东原油出口回升难压油价涨势

2026-09-29 18:53:06 网络 阅读(1)

由于美国与伊朗的外交谈判陷入僵局,市场对中东原油供应中断的疑虑持续升温,盖过了该地区出口回升的利多,国际油价周二(29日)亚市连续第二天上涨。

美伊外交谈判陷僵局 中东原油出口回升难压油价涨势

截至下午,布兰特原油期货微涨 0.1% 至每桶 105.38 美元,前一交易日曾高攀至近 109 美元;纽约WTI中级原油期货则升至每桶 92.77 美元。

油价高企同时加剧了全球债市的卖压,市场担忧能源冲击将推升通膨并引发新一波央行升息潮。ING分析师在报告中指出:「地缘政治新闻头条与能源价格的上扬压力,给了利率进一步推高的借口。」

据《路透》引述消息人士透露,卡达斡旋人员虽安排与伊朗外长及美国官员会谈,但双方对在美国期中选举前达成协议皆持悲观态度。

尽管外交局势僵持,中东实体原油出口已呈现复苏。Kpler 数据显示,9 月中东主要产油国出口量升至每日 1,280 万桶,创 2 月以来新高。

《华尔街日报》报导,沙乌地阿拉伯已修复东西管线并重启延布港出口,此管线运能高达每日 700 万桶,重启后流量约每日 350 万桶,有效绕过荷姆兹海峡。然而,由于海湾周边运输成本高昂且柴油等成品油市场吃紧,市场的供应疑虑仍难以完全平息。

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      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T02:28:57.000Z",
      "description": "中国人民银行(央行)日前发布消息,为促进服务业优质高效发展,进一步增强政策支持的针对性有效性,促进金融资源更多投向服务业重点领域和薄弱环节,中国人民银行、金融监管总局、证监会、国家发展改革委、工业和信息化部、财政部、商务部、文化和旅游部等八部门印发《关于金融支持服务业扩能提质的指导意见》。 《意见》细化金融支持重点方向和领域,从提升金融机构支持服务业的专业能力、加大对生产性和生活性服务业金融支持、做强做优金融服务业等方面,提出19项务实工作举措。 《意见》指出,要推动金融机构转变传统重资产重抵押",
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    {
      "id": 17685,
      "title": "伊朗「7日计划」重回谈判桌?美伊或与调解方会谈、穆吉塔巴称西方干涉时代已终结",
      "shortTitle": "伊朗「7日计划」重回谈判桌?美伊或与调解方会谈、穆吉塔巴称西",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617482/l/d87f83e56ce716f53e9531cbd4039638.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T02:10:03.000Z",
      "description": "卡达等调解方推动美伊间接接触,阿拉格齐28日将会面讨论局势最新提议。
伊朗「7日计划」修订版成焦点,涉解冻资产、撤销制裁、重启核谈与开放荷姆兹海峡。
川普称谈判人员本周续接触,但美伊对停火条件分歧大,协议前景仍不明。",
      "pv": 3,
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    {
      "id": 17709,
      "title": "日财务大臣重申日元疲软担忧 与美财长通话再提日元被低估  下一次联合干预近了?",
      "shortTitle": "日财务大臣重申日元疲软担忧 与美财长通话再提日元被低估  下",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617651/l/809b1d757efe9429d7bd11974526f756.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T04:40:04.000Z",
      "description": "美元兑日元今亚洲早盘约157.35,日财务大臣片山皋月称日元疲软仍是持续担忧。
片山称日美将密切联系、维持外汇市场有序运行,并重申对日元被低估的共同关切。
她否认高市政府压低日元、强调央行独立;但未宣布行动,汇市或续测试干预门槛。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 17710,
      "title": "10月联准会升不升息?花旗:就业数据难改预期、关键看下一份CPI",
      "shortTitle": "10月联准会升不升息?花旗:就业数据难改预期、关键看下一份C",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617647/l/8b08dc529155e80ab769d2766f6dec89.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T04:06:17.000Z",
      "description": "花旗指联准会10月升息定价,关键看9月核心CPI。
花旗估9月非农增8.5万、失业率4.2%;除非转负或升至4.3%,否则对升息预期影响有限。
核心PCE料下修但已被反映;若核心CPI降至月增0.2%或更低,将支持暂停升息。",
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    {
      "id": 17717,
      "title": "美债殖利率飙升+油价高涨 亚股震荡 全球面临高利率新常态",
      "shortTitle": "美债殖利率飙升+油价高涨 亚股震荡 全球面临高利率新常态",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617710/l/661dd068d2b382a113ff33acdf2e4f4f.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T05:40:04.000Z",
      "description": "美债遭两年来最重单月抛售,10年期殖利率盘中突破5.27%,创19年新高,2年期逼近5%。
升息预期与油价走高压抑风险资产,那指跌0.9%,亚洲股债普遍收跌,中东油价升至每桶106.60美元。
中国科技股因美拟禁用资料中心中国零组件重挫;美元走强,日圆在157.31兑1美元附近震荡。",
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    {
      "id": 17718,
      "title": "欧元兑美元跌近1.14关卡 能源价格成欧元最大变数 ECB面临通膨与成长两难",
      "shortTitle": "欧元兑美元跌近1.14关卡 能源价格成欧元最大变数 ECB面",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617712/l/416470427b3b484fbae1dedff3e1b8e9.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T05:20:03.000Z",
      "description": "能源价格飙升与欧洲政治风险夹击,欧元今年升势面临考验。
欧元兑美元 9/25 收约1.1400,9/24一度跌至1.1367,9/29早盘约1.1370。
ECB称能源冲击恐推升通膨、压抑成长;法国财政与Fed利率前景亦牵动美元。",
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    {
      "id": 17726,
      "title": "日本升息至31年新高但日元竟反贬 2.3兆美元套利交易成全球金融潜在火药桶",
      "shortTitle": "日本升息至31年新高但日元竟反贬 2.3兆美元套利交易成全球",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617728/l/a1d05bf26337e3f635d934c202a2872c.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T06:40:03.000Z",
      "description": "日银本月升息至1.25%,创31年高,但美元兑日元一度破158,日元未升反贬。
主因美国联准会重启升息、美日利差仍大,且日银以7比2决议未达市场预期鹰派。
跨境日元借款3年半增67%至360兆日元,套利交易恐在升息过快时引发连锁平仓。",
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      "id": 17727,
      "title": "瑞银:Fed过去35年从未在选举年前一个月升息  12月再升一码较合理",
      "shortTitle": "瑞银:Fed过去35年从未在选举年前一个月升息  12月再升",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617701/l/bfbed70cab7766a96537ac92ba5f2634.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T06:30:06.000Z",
      "description": "FedWatch显示市场预估Fed下月再升息1码机率升至69%,但瑞银Simon Penn认为过度押注。
Penn指选前10月升息罕见,Fed可先按兵不动,12月再升1码较合理。
瑞银Keith Parker称10年期美债殖利率一年升约100基点,压低美股估值,标普500本益比回撤17%。",
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      "id": 17728,
      "title": "抗中东与AI通膨!澳洲央行升息1码至4.6% 创15年新高且不排除再升",
      "shortTitle": "抗中东与AI通膨!澳洲央行升息1码至4.6% 创15年新高且",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617711/l/76d6a57879f316ac62f380b5cc5dbb74.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-29T06:10:03.000Z",
      "description": "澳洲央行28日升息1码至4.6%,为15年高点,今年来第4次升息、共升100个基点。
RBA称中东冲突推升全球能源价格,AI需求也带动科技产品涨价,通膨上行风险已成现实。
央行不排除进一步升息抑制通膨,但也警告可能压抑经济成长;澳洲第2季GDP年增2.1%】【。",
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    "title": "美伊外交谈判陷僵局 中东原油出口回升难压油价涨势",
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    "description": "美伊外交谈判陷僵局,中东原油供应中断疑虑升温,国际油价周二连2天上涨。
布兰特原油涨0.1%至105.38美元;WTI升至92.77美元,前一日布兰特一度逼近109美元。
油价高企加剧全球债市卖压,市场忧能源冲击推升通膨并引发新一波升息。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617943/l/6086b4ed896d8f254a082616c6d7827a.jpg",
    "content": "<p>由于美国与伊朗的外交谈判陷入僵局,市场对中东原油供应中断的疑虑持续升温,盖过了该地区出口回升的利多,国际油价周二(29日)亚市连续第二天上涨。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6617943/l/6086b4ed896d8f254a082616c6d7827a.jpg\" alt=\"美伊外交谈判陷僵局 中东原油出口回升难压油价涨势\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>截至下午,布兰特原油期货微涨 0.1% 至每桶 105.38 美元,前一交易日曾高攀至近 109 美元;纽约WTI中级原油期货则升至每桶 92.77 美元。</p>\n\n<p>油价高企同时加剧了全球债市的卖压,市场担忧能源冲击将推升通膨并引发新一波央行升息潮。ING分析师在报告中指出:「地缘政治新闻头条与能源价格的上扬压力,给了利率进一步推高的借口。」</p>\n\n<p>据《路透》引述消息人士透露,卡达斡旋人员虽安排与伊朗外长及美国官员会谈,但双方对在美国期中选举前达成协议皆持悲观态度。</p>\n\n<p>尽管外交局势僵持,中东实体原油出口已呈现复苏。Kpler 数据显示,9 月中东主要产油国出口量升至每日 1,280 万桶,创 2 月以来新高。</p>\n\n<p>《华尔街日报》报导,沙乌地阿拉伯已修复东西管线并重启延布港出口,此管线运能高达每日 700 万桶,重启后流量约每日 350 万桶,有效绕过荷姆兹海峡。然而,由于海湾周边运输成本高昂且柴油等成品油市场吃紧,市场的供应疑虑仍难以完全平息。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17726.html\" title=\"日本升息至31年新高但日元竟反贬 2.3兆美元套利交易成全球金融潜在火药桶\">日本升息至31年新高但日元竟反贬 2.3兆美元套利交易成全球金融潜在火药桶</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17729.html\" title=\"债券之外还有新选择!股息、债息、权利金多元布局 震荡市兼顾成长与防御\">债券之外还有新选择!股息、债息、权利金多元布局 震荡市兼顾成长与防御</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17717.html\" title=\"美债殖利率飙升+油价高涨 亚股震荡 全球面临高利率新常态\">美债殖利率飙升+油价高涨 亚股震荡 全球面临高利率新常态</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17667.html\" title=\"无人机全美配送遇法律阻力 15州控告FAA环评不足\">无人机全美配送遇法律阻力 15州控告FAA环评不足</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17749.html\" title=\"《纽时》赫格塞斯究竟隐瞒了什么?美军基地遭伊朗攻击照片曝、战争透明度引发质疑\">《纽时》赫格塞斯究竟隐瞒了什么?美军基地遭伊朗攻击照片曝、战争透明度引发质疑</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17747.html\" title=\"〈陆股盘后〉中国释经济刺激信号 三大指数走高\">〈陆股盘后〉中国释经济刺激信号 三大指数走高</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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